Delhi: Assembly elections - Revision history

Jyoti: /* The overall results: statistics/ 2025, also 2015, 2020 */

2025-03-23T21:11:08Z

‎The overall results: statistics/ 2025, also 2015, 2020

Jyoti: /* The main trends */

2025-03-23T21:08:05Z

‎The main trends

Jyoti: /* What made BJP win, AAP lose */

2025-03-23T21:07:24Z

‎What made BJP win, AAP lose

Jyoti: /* 2020 */

2025-03-23T21:06:41Z

‎2020

Jyoti: /* Vote-share, party- wise */

2025-03-23T21:03:18Z

‎Vote-share, party- wise

Jyoti: /* 1993-2020 */

2025-03-16T20:23:51Z

‎1993-2020

Jyoti: /* Number of candidates */

2025-03-16T20:12:09Z

‎Number of candidates

Jyoti: /* Number of candidates */

2025-03-05T15:56:44Z

‎Number of candidates

Jyoti: /* 1993-2020: The two top parties */

2025-03-05T09:57:26Z

‎1993-2020: The two top parties

Jyoti: /* YEAR WISE DEVELOPMENTS */

2025-03-05T09:48:42Z

‎YEAR WISE DEVELOPMENTS

@@ Line 250: / Line 250: @@
 =2025=
-==The overall results:  statistics/ 2025, also 2015, 2020==
+==The overall results: statistics/ 2025, also 2015, 2020==
 [https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=09_02_2025_031_004_cap_TOI  February 9, 2025: ''The Times of India'']
-[[File: The Delhi Assembly elections, The overall results: statistics, 2025, also 2015, 2020.jpg|The Delhi Assembly elections: The overall results: statistics/ 2025, also 2015, 2020 <br/> From: [https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=09_02_2025_031_004_cap_TOI  February 9, 2025: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
+[[File: The Delhi Assembly elections, The overall results- statistics, 2025, also 2015, 2020.jpg|The Delhi Assembly elections: The overall results: statistics/ 2025, also 2015, 2020 <br/> From: [https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=09_02_2025_031_004_cap_TOI  February 9, 2025: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 The saffron outfit’s last and only stint in office in NCT Delhi had come in 1993, nearly two decades before Arvind Kejriwal launched his party
 ==What made BJP win, AAP lose==

← Older revision		Revision as of 21:08, 23 March 2025
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	Some political observers believed that had Congress and AAP contested the election as alliance partners, the results could have been different. Although the vote cutting by Congress was evident in its candidates saving their security deposits only in Kasturba Nagar, Badli and Nangloi Jat, a Congress functionary refused to accept the theory. “We contested the Lok Sabha election jointly and the result was we failed to win a single seat. Theoretically, one can say that the alliance could have prevented the BJP juggernaut, but the results could have been totally different too,” the Congress member argued.		Some political observers believed that had Congress and AAP contested the election as alliance partners, the results could have been different. Although the vote cutting by Congress was evident in its candidates saving their security deposits only in Kasturba Nagar, Badli and Nangloi Jat, a Congress functionary refused to accept the theory. “We contested the Lok Sabha election jointly and the result was we failed to win a single seat. Theoretically, one can say that the alliance could have prevented the BJP juggernaut, but the results could have been totally different too,” the Congress member argued.
		+
		+	==The fate of defectors==
		+	[https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=09_02_2025_008_007_cap_TOI Sugandha Jha, February 9, 2025: ''The Times of India'']
		+
		+	New Delhi : Bets placed by 15 of the 24 candidates who switched parties before contesting the Delhi assembly elections didn’t pan out, but BJP gained the most from former AAP and Congress names in the capital’s three cornered fight. The most prominent among defectors was Kailash Gahlot, who was the minister for administrative reforms in the AAP govt, till he switched allegiance to BJP last year.
		+
		+	Gahlot, who previously represented Najafgarh constituency as an AAP MLA, contested from Bijwasan this time and won by 11,276 votes over his nearest rival Surender Bhardwaj (AAP). After his win, Gahlot said, “Delhi has reposed its faith in the vision of PM Modi. Bijwasan has pressing issues like water shortages and sewer infrastructure. I will ensure these are fixed.”
		+
		+	Other victories came from senior Congress faces who joined BJP.
		+
		+	Arvinder Singh Lovely, the former Delhi Congress chief, left the ‘grand old’ party after disagreements over ticket distribution.
		+
		+	Lovely, who had opposed Congress’s decision to field Kanhaiya Kumar from the capital in the 2024 Lok Sabha election, won Gandhi Nagar this election by a margin of 12,748 votes. AAP’s Naveen Chaudhary came in second.  It was three-time Congress MLA from Jangpura, Tarvinder Singh Marwah, who defeated former deputy CM and Arvind Kejriwal’s trusted second-in-command Manish Sisodia, this time as a BJP contestant.
		+
		+	Though Marwah’s lead over Sisodia concluded at just 675 votes, this victory is a symbolic one for BJP. Marwah exited Congress in 2022 after publicly complaining that he was not given time for a meeting by the Congress high command. In Chhatarpur, it was a battle of defectors, which tilted in favour of AAP-turned- BJP politician Kartar Singh Tanwar. He trumped Brahm Singh Tanwar, who had gone the other way around.
		+
		+	Pravesh Ratn was one of the only two politicians who went from BJP to AAP, and won. He clinched the Patel Nagar reserved seat for the Kejriwal-led party, defeating AAP defector Raaj Kumar Anand.
		+
		+	The only other BJP defector to win as an AAP candidate was Anil Jha, who secured the Kirari constituency.
		+
		+	Of those to lose the polls were several AAP members who moved to the Congress. These included Asim Ahmad Khan (Matia Mahal), Devender Sehrawat (Bijwasan), Abdul Rehman (Seelampur), Mohammad Ishraque (Babarpur) and Adarsh Shastri (Dwarka).
		+
		+	Those who went the other way, from Congress to AAP, didn’t make headway either — Sumesh Shokeen (Matiala) and Mukesh Goel (Adarsh Nagar), for instance.
		+
		+	Still, the Aam Aadmi Party can take heart that not all was lost. Among them was Priyanka Gautam, who could not wrest SC-reserved Kondli constituency for the BJP from AAP’s Kuldeep Kumar, though he won by a lower margin this election. In 2020, Kumar had a lead of almost 18,000 votes over his nearest rival.
		+
		+	Gautam is a sitting councillor who won the 2022 MCD polls on an AAP ticket.
		+
		+	A big downer for AAP was from Timarpur, a constituency it has won the last three Delhi polls it contested.
		+
		+	Surinder Pal Singh, who was earlier in both Congress and BJP, had held the seat in 2003 and 2008.
		+
		+	He moved to AAP last Dec, but could not clinch a victory from Timarpur.
		+
		+	The seasoned politician lost to BJP’s Surya Prakash Khatri by just 1,168 votes in a contest overshadowed by allegations that 30,000 voter slips were found at a scrap dealer’s shop.

	[[Category:India\|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS		[[Category:India\|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS

@@ Line 272: / Line 272: @@
 BRAND KEJRIWAL LOSES SHEEN: Kejriwal started as a ‘humble man of the people’ who didn’t want to stay in govt bungalows. But he came into these polls as a very different leader. He and his colleagues didn’t recognise that aside from anti-incumbency against AAP, there was anti-incumbency against Kejriwal himself
- MODI HAI TO… When things turned against AAP, Modi’s appeal, dormant in the last two assembly polls, came to the fore. He was front and centre in BJP’s campaign and his sharp attacks and promises of smooth coordination between the Centre and Delhi made an appreciable difference
+ MODI HAI TO… When things turned against AAP, Modi’s appeal, dormant in the last two assembly polls, came to the fore. He was front and centre in BJP’s campaign and his sharp attacks and promises of smooth coordination between the Centre and Delhi made an appreciable difference.
 [[Category:India|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS

← Older revision		Revision as of 21:06, 23 March 2025
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	'' How candidates who defected from one party to another fared in the Delhi assembly elections, 2020 ''		'' How candidates who defected from one party to another fared in the Delhi assembly elections, 2020 ''
		+
		+	=2025=
		+	==The overall results: statistics/ 2025, also 2015, 2020==
		+	[https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=09_02_2025_031_004_cap_TOI February 9, 2025: ''The Times of India'']
		+
		+	[[File: The Delhi Assembly elections, The overall results: statistics, 2025, also 2015, 2020.jpg\|The Delhi Assembly elections: The overall results: statistics/ 2025, also 2015, 2020 <br/> From: [https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=09_02_2025_031_004_cap_TOI February 9, 2025: ''The Times of India'']\|frame\|500px]]
		+
		+
		+	The saffron outfit’s last and only stint in office in NCT Delhi had come in 1993, nearly two decades before Arvind Kejriwal launched his party
		+
		+	==What made BJP win, AAP lose==
		+	[https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=09_02_2025_031_005_cap_TOI February 9, 2025: ''The Times of India'']
		+
		+
		+	''' BJP-AAP vote share gap is quite small. So, what swung the election decisively in BJP’s favour? Some short takes: '''
		+
		+	SAFFRON’S LONG MARCH: BJP’s campaign for Delhi started much before polls were announced. Every bad headline against AAP was followed by a sustained BJP campaign, hurting the incumbent. Closer to elections, ‘sheesh mahal’, as BJP cleverly named the generously refurbished CM residence, hurt AAP’s image even more. After initially criticising AAP’s freebie game, BJP, too, made populist promises with gusto. BJP also talked up the idea of a double-engine sarkar, even as perceptions of govt dysfunctionality took hold, in part thanks to the LG-AAP fight. By the time polls were held, many voters had bought BJP’s argument
		+
		+	TAKING THE MIDDLE OUT: Vote-share stats make it clear AAP has lost little of its core low-income vote. BJP would have always strategised with that assumption — and therefore it targeted Delhi’s neo-middle class and middle class, who were more upset with the state of roads, traffic, Yamuna, and air pollution than they were impressed by free water, power and primary health care. To that, BJP added the announcement of the 8th Pay Commission — Delhi voters include many govt employees and their families — and the Budget’s income tax cuts
		+
		+	‘FAKES’ AMONG FREEBIES: BJP campaigned hard against some elements of AAP’s welfare policy regime. ‘Fake medicines’ and ‘ghost patients’ in free mohalla clinics was one such campaign. AAP contested these claims hotly. But some of those charges stuck when coupled with demonstrable failures like Yamuna ﬂowing as dirty as ever and desperate AAP claims like Haryana’s BJP govt ‘poisoning’ Yamuna water. That AAP suffered big losses in seats along the Haryana border tells this story powerfully
		+
		+	BRAND KEJRIWAL LOSES SHEEN: Kejriwal started as a ‘humble man of the people’ who didn’t want to stay in govt bungalows. But he came into these polls as a very different leader. He and his colleagues didn’t recognise that aside from anti-incumbency against AAP, there was anti-incumbency against Kejriwal himself
		+
		+	MODI HAI TO… When things turned against AAP, Modi’s appeal, dormant in the last two assembly polls, came to the fore. He was front and centre in BJP’s campaign and his sharp attacks and promises of smooth coordination between the Centre and Delhi made an appreciable difference
		+
		+	[[Category:India\|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
		+	DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]
		+	[[Category:Pages with broken file links\|DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
		+	DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]
		+	[[Category:Politics\|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
		+	DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]
		+
	=See also=		=See also=

@@ Line 106: / Line 106: @@
  While prominent national and state parties genuinely try to spread their wings in other states and contest to make a difference, experts believe on many occasions the candidates of registered unrecognised parties and independents are used by bigger political players to “cut” into the votes of the rivals. “Often, the candidates of a particular religion or caste or affiliation are put up to confuse voters. Candidates with similar-sounding names of a prominent one in that particular constituency are also made to contest. If there are a number of candidates in a particular constituency with different symbols, the voter may get confused and votes might get divided,” said a veteran political functionary who worked as a back-end resource in a large number of elections.
-[[Category:India|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
+==Delhi as a whole: 1993-2025==
-DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]
+[[File: The vote share of the main parties in the Delhi Assembly elections, 1993-2025.jpg|The vote share of the main parties in the Delhi Assembly elections, 1993-2025 <br/> From: [https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=09_02_2025_002_007_cap_TOI  Atul Mathur, February 9, 2025: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
-[[Category:Pages with broken file links|DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
-DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]
+'''See graphic''':
-[[Category:Politics|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
-DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]
+'' The vote share of the main parties in the Delhi Assembly elections, 1993-2025 ''
 [[Category:India|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS

@@ Line 81: / Line 81: @@
 [[File: Delhi assembly elections, Vote-share, party- wise, 1993-2020.jpg|Delhi assembly elections, Vote-share, party- wise, 1993-2020 <br/> From: [https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=20_01_2025_005_005_cap_TOI  Atul Mathur, January 20, 2025: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 New Delhi : They once posed a challenge to the dominance of Congress and BJP in the electoral politics of the capital. However, several prominent national and state parties, which even won a few seats in different elections, slowly faded away in ignominy and have no relevance left in the city politics now.
@@ Line 98: / Line 105: @@
  While prominent national and state parties genuinely try to spread their wings in other states and contest to make a difference, experts believe on many occasions the candidates of registered unrecognised parties and independents are used by bigger political players to “cut” into the votes of the rivals. “Often, the candidates of a particular religion or caste or affiliation are put up to confuse voters. Candidates with similar-sounding names of a prominent one in that particular constituency are also made to contest. If there are a number of candidates in a particular constituency with different symbols, the voter may get confused and votes might get divided,” said a veteran political functionary who worked as a back-end resource in a large number of elections.
 [[Category:India|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS

@@ Line 7: / Line 7: @@
 =Number of candidates=
@@ Line 30: / Line 38: @@
 Matiala in west Delhi has the highest number of over 4.2 lakh voters, followed by Vikaspuri (4 lakh), Burari (3.6 lakh), Okhla (3.3 lakh) and Badarpur (3.2 lakh). Chandni Chowk is the smallest constituency in terms of voters with just over 1.2 lakh voters, closely followed by neighbouring Matia Mahal and Delhi Cantonment. Balliamaran and New Delhi are the fourth and fifth smallest assembly constituencies with over 1.4 lakh voters each.
 =Strike rate=

← Older revision		Revision as of 15:56, 5 March 2025
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	Matiala in west Delhi has the highest number of over 4.2 lakh voters, followed by Vikaspuri (4 lakh), Burari (3.6 lakh), Okhla (3.3 lakh) and Badarpur (3.2 lakh). Chandni Chowk is the smallest constituency in terms of voters with just over 1.2 lakh voters, closely followed by neighbouring Matia Mahal and Delhi Cantonment. Balliamaran and New Delhi are the fourth and fifth smallest assembly constituencies with over 1.4 lakh voters each.		Matiala in west Delhi has the highest number of over 4.2 lakh voters, followed by Vikaspuri (4 lakh), Burari (3.6 lakh), Okhla (3.3 lakh) and Badarpur (3.2 lakh). Chandni Chowk is the smallest constituency in terms of voters with just over 1.2 lakh voters, closely followed by neighbouring Matia Mahal and Delhi Cantonment. Balliamaran and New Delhi are the fourth and fifth smallest assembly constituencies with over 1.4 lakh voters each.

		+	=Strike rate=
		+	==1993 – 2020==
		+	[[File: The ratio of the number of seats won to seats contested by the main political parties in Delhi, 1993 – 2020.jpg\| The ratio of the number of seats won to seats contested by the main political parties in Delhi, 1993 – 2020 <br/> From: [https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=29_01_2025_004_003_cap_TOI January 29, 2025: ''The Times of India'']\|frame\|500px]]

		+	'''See graphic''':
		+
		+	'' The ratio of the number of seats won to seats contested by the main political parties in Delhi, 1993 – 2020 ''
		+
		+	[[Category:India\|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
		+	DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]
		+	[[Category:Pages with broken file links\|DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
		+	DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]
		+	[[Category:Politics\|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS
		+	DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS]]

	= Voter turnout=		= Voter turnout=

← Older revision		Revision as of 09:57, 5 March 2025
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	'' The two parties that pulled the highest number of votes in Delhi Legislative Assembly elections, 1993-2020 ''		'' The two parties that pulled the highest number of votes in Delhi Legislative Assembly elections, 1993-2020 ''
		+
		+	==2013, 2015, 2020: voting patterns==
		+	[[File: 2013, 2015, 2020- voting patterns in Delhi.jpg\|2013, 2015, 2020: voting patterns in Delhi <br/> From: [https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=08_01_2025_006_004_cap_TOI Abhinav Rajput, January 8, 2025: ''The Times of India'']\|frame\|500px]]
		+
		+	'''See graphic''':
		+
		+	'' 2013, 2015, 2020: voting patterns in Delhi ''

	[[Category:India\|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS		[[Category:India\|D DELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONSDELHI: ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS