http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?action=history&feed=atom&title=Elections_in_India%3A_exit_polls Elections in India: exit polls - Revision history 2026-08-29T16:37:30Z Revision history for this page on the wiki MediaWiki 1.19.2 http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=131805&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* 2021: None forecast TMC’s landslide; Chanakya closest */ 2024-06-12T03:15:03Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">2021: None forecast TMC’s landslide; Chanakya closest</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 03:15, 12 June 2024</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 193:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 193:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>None of the exit polls had predicted a landslide for Mamata Benerjee-led Trinamool Congress in West Bengal. Today’s Chanakya had predicted the maximum 195 seats for the ruling party, which was much less than the final figure that the TMC touched late on Sunday night.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>None of the exit polls had predicted a landslide for Mamata Benerjee-led Trinamool Congress in West Bengal. Today’s Chanakya had predicted the maximum 195 seats for the ruling party, which was much less than the final figure that the TMC touched late on Sunday night.</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The Election Commission website showed the party heading to a win in 215 seats.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The Election Commission website showed the party heading to a win in 215 seats.</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>Similarly, none of the exit polls predicted BJP’s tally going below 80 seats. Barring Today’s Chanakya, all other polls had projected BJP crossing the 100 mark in the state.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>Similarly, none of the exit polls predicted BJP’s tally going below 80 seats. Barring Today’s Chanakya, all other polls had projected BJP crossing the 100 mark in the state.</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 201:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 202:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>In case of Kerala, Today’s Chanakya had projected LDF to bag at least 93 seats and on Sunday, the ruling bloc had as many as 99 seats.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>In case of Kerala, Today’s Chanakya had projected LDF to bag at least 93 seats and on Sunday, the ruling bloc had as many as 99 seats.</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>In Assam, three exit poll projections were close to the actual result. India Today-Axis, Republic CNX and Today’s Chanakya had predicted the BJP-led alliance to win 61-85 seats. The alliance was set to win 75 seats.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>In Assam, three exit poll projections were close to the actual result. India Today-Axis, Republic CNX and Today’s Chanakya had predicted the BJP-led alliance to win 61-85 seats. The alliance was set to win 75 seats.</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>
</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>
</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">=2024: ALL exit polls were way off the mark=</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[https://epaper.indiatimes.com/article-share?article=05_06_2024_026_011_cap_TOI&#160; June 5, 2024: ''The Times of India'']</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">New Delhi: Psephologist Pradeep Gupta wept on live television on Tuesday. The reputed pollster was way off target in his prediction of Lok Sabha 2024 election results. Axis-IndiaToday had given 361-401 seats to NDA.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">
He wasn’t the only one psephologist who got the outcome wrong. Today’s ChanakyaNews24, ETG-Times Now, Marize-Republic Bharat, ABP-CVoter — all were spectacularly inaccurate. And many were left wondering what could have led to the mismatch between exit polls and actual results.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">
D Shyam Babu of Centre for Policy Research says that when you have electoral waves, such as the anti-incumbency wave in 2014, prediction gets closer to reality. “Exit polls don’t deliver when the contest is close and we need them as in this election,” he says.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">
It is not the first time that exit polls proved to be erroneous. In 2004, exit polls had predicted a majority for the incumbent NDA govt led by PM Atal Bihari Vajpayee. But the coalition ended up getting fewer seats than Congress-led UPA. Such surveys also went haywire in several assembly polls in Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and other states.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">
Shyam Babu speculates that it could be that many who voted for non-BJP parties might </ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">have misreported their choice. “This could be partly due to apprehension or a factor of groupthink: not backing an obvious and ascendant BJP might appear silly or bigoted,” he says.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">
Rahul Verma of CPR offered a state-wise break-up of the exit polls. “Kerala, TN, Gujarat, MP, Chhattisgarh, Assam, Jharkhand on expected lines. Karnataka, Bihar, Odisha, AP, Telangana, Delhi in the direction pollsters predicted. UP, Maharashtra, West Bengal — three largest states with 160 seats — horribly wrong,” he posted on X.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">
Social scientist Badri Narayan agrees the exit polls were bang on in several states but also woefully inaccurate in three big states. He attributed this to a possibly flawed methodology. “It seems the pollsters listened to the visible public and did not speak to the quiet voter,” he said. In exit polls, voters are asked about their political choice after they have cast their ballot.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">
Sociologist Dipankar Gupta says that there is no way an enumerator can tick boxes which capture gestures, rolling eyes, shrug and glances. “He or she is biased in favour of perceptions fed by media, which leads this person to consider ambiguous responses as one in line with pre-existing biases. The enumerator is nearly always from a different social and social conic background,” he says.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">
“Also, in an environment which is hierarchical and lacks trust, there is a tendency to conceal one’s honest opinion, especially if the respondent perceives that his or her view is out of the ordinary and what is generally acceptable at this point of time,” he says.
</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Political scientist Balveer Arora says the exit polls displayed a herd mentality. “None of them wanted to risk underplaying BJP. They lost credibility in the process,” he says.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS </ins>IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS </ins>IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=118177&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* 2020: Bihar state conundrum */ 2022-03-12T19:58:03Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">2020: Bihar state conundrum</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 19:58, 12 March 2022</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 180:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 180:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>Many of the exit polls showed the RJD-led coalition as the favourite in Bihar but the BJP-JD(U) combine proved them wrong and again stormed back to power. At least two polling agencies, Axis My India Poll and Today’s Chanakya, aired on television channels after voting predicted a clean win for RJD-led grand alliance. Others showed a tight race, with the Grand Alliance having an edge.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>Many of the exit polls showed the RJD-led coalition as the favourite in Bihar but the BJP-JD(U) combine proved them wrong and again stormed back to power. At least two polling agencies, Axis My India Poll and Today’s Chanakya, aired on television channels after voting predicted a clean win for RJD-led grand alliance. Others showed a tight race, with the Grand Alliance having an edge.</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS </ins>IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS </ins>IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=118176&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* The 2004 Lok Sabha election */ 2022-03-12T19:57:36Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">The 2004 Lok Sabha election</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 19:57, 12 March 2022</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 18:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 18:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The prevalent debate was whether the half-way mark of 272 would be breached or not. &#160;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The prevalent debate was whether the half-way mark of 272 would be breached or not. &#160;</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>But when the actual results came, the numbers were completely opposite and the Congress and its allies got 216 seats against a projection ranging from 170 to 205. BJP just managed to get 187 seats against the projections of over 240 to 250 seats. &#160;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>But when the actual results came, the numbers were completely opposite and the Congress and its allies got 216 seats against a projection ranging from 170 to 205. BJP just managed to get 187 seats against the projections of over 240 to 250 seats.</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=Lok Sabha elections, 2014=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=Lok Sabha elections, 2014=</div></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=118175&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* Lok Sabha elections, 2014 */ 2022-03-12T19:57:26Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">Lok Sabha elections, 2014</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 19:57, 12 March 2022</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 8:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 8:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India |E ]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India |E ]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics |E ]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics |E ]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">=The 2004 Lok Sabha election=</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/pinch-of-salt-some-misses-some-hits-for-exit-polls-in-previous-elections/articleshow/90075530.cms&#160; March 8, 2022: ''The Times of India'']</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">In 2004, when the confident NDA government under Atal Bihari Vajpayee called early elections, the received wisdom, and the pollsters' opinion, was that they would return to office. None of the exit polls gave the Congress a chance. Everyone knows how that turned out. </ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">The exit polls got it spectacularly wrong in the 2004 Lok Sabha polls when the BJP appeared ascendant with its 'India Shining' campaign. Following victories in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan state elections, Atal Bihari Vajpayee government dissolved the Parliament early, hoping for re-election. 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BJP just managed to get 187 seats against the projections of over 240 to 250 seats. </ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=Lok Sabha elections, 2014=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=Lok Sabha elections, 2014=</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 22:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 34:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The other pollsters were correct with their overall predictions, but no were close to the exact numbers.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The other pollsters were correct with their overall predictions, but no were close to the exact numbers.</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The Times Now-ORG predicted 257 seats for NDA and 135 for UPA, while the C-Voter-India TV exit poll gave the NDA 289 seats and the UPA 101 seats.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The Times Now-ORG predicted 257 seats for NDA and 135 for UPA, while the C-Voter-India TV exit poll gave the NDA 289 seats and the UPA 101 seats.</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=2015-16, State Assembly elections=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=2015-16, State Assembly elections=</div></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=118174&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* 2020 */ 2022-03-12T19:55:00Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">2020</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 19:55, 12 March 2022</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 190:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 190:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=See also=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=See also=</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Elections in India: opinion polls]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Elections in India: opinion polls]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=118173&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* 2020 */ 2022-03-12T19:54:52Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">2020</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 19:54, 12 March 2022</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 151:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 151:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=2020=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=2020<ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">: Bihar state conundrum</ins>=</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/pinch-of-salt-some-misses-some-hits-for-exit-polls-in-previous-elections/articleshow/90075530.cms&#160; March 8, 2022: ''The Times of India'']</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/pinch-of-salt-some-misses-some-hits-for-exit-polls-in-previous-elections/articleshow/90075530.cms&#160; March 8, 2022: ''The Times of India'']</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=118172&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* 2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right */ 2022-03-12T19:54:25Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 19:54, 12 March 2022</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 150:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 150:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">=2020=</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/pinch-of-salt-some-misses-some-hits-for-exit-polls-in-previous-elections/articleshow/90075530.cms&#160; March 8, 2022: ''The Times of India'']</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">''' The 2020 Bihar state conundrum: '''</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Many of the exit polls showed the RJD-led coalition as the favourite in Bihar but the BJP-JD(U) combine proved them wrong and again stormed back to power. At least two polling agencies, Axis My India Poll and Today’s Chanakya, aired on television channels after voting predicted a clean win for RJD-led grand alliance. Others showed a tight race, with the Grand Alliance having an edge.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=2021: None forecast TMC’s landslide; Chanakya closest=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=2021: None forecast TMC’s landslide; Chanakya closest=</div></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=110777&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* 2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right */ 2021-05-07T18:59:37Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 18:59, 7 May 2021</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 151:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 151:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">=2021: None forecast TMC’s landslide; Chanakya closest=</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2021%2F05%2F03&amp;entity=Ar00905&amp;sk=B41419BF&amp;mode=text&#160; May 3, 2021: ''The Times of India'']</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>&#160;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">None of the exit polls forecast Didi’s landslide</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>&#160;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">New Delhi:</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>&#160;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">None of the exit polls had predicted a landslide for Mamata Benerjee-led Trinamool Congress in West Bengal. Today’s Chanakya had predicted the maximum 195 seats for the ruling party, which was much less than the final figure that the TMC touched late on Sunday night.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">The Election Commission website showed the party heading to a win in 215 seats.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">Similarly, none of the exit polls predicted BJP’s tally going below 80 seats. Barring Today’s Chanakya, all other polls had projected BJP crossing the 100 mark in the state.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>&#160;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">In case of Tamil Nadu and Kerala, all exit polls had projected a comfortable majority for the DMK and the LDF, respectively.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>&#160;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">Times Now-CVoter and Republic CNX projections were somewhat close to the actual score that DMK clocked on Sunday. Both had projected DMK to bag a minimum of 160 seats and the Dravidian party was heading towards 153 seats.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>&#160;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">In case of Kerala, Today’s Chanakya had projected LDF to bag at least 93 seats and on Sunday, the ruling bloc had as many as 99 seats.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">In Assam, three exit poll projections were close to the actual result. India Today-Axis, Republic CNX and Today’s Chanakya had predicted the BJP-led alliance to win 61-85 seats. The alliance was set to win 75 seats.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">
</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>&#160;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India|E ELECTIONS <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS </ins>IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics|E ELECTIONS <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">IN INDIA: EXIT POLLSELECTIONS </ins>IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=See also=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=See also=</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Elections in India: opinion polls]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Elections in India: opinion polls]]</div></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=105993&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* 2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right */ 2020-11-27T20:14:48Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 20:14, 27 November 2020</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 139:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 139:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right=</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2019%2F05%2F24&amp;entity=Ar02813&amp;sk=043DA8F5&amp;mode=text&#160; May <del class="diffchange diffchange-inline"> </del>''The Times of India'']</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2019%2F05%2F24&amp;entity=Ar02813&amp;sk=043DA8F5&amp;mode=text&#160; May <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">24, 2019: </ins>''The Times of India'']</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>At least three exit poll results nearly matched the outcome of the 2019 general elections.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>At least three exit poll results nearly matched the outcome of the 2019 general elections.</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>Exit polls <del class="diffchange diffchange-inline">on Sunday </del>had unanimously projected a return of the Narendra Modi government with National democratic Alliance (NDA) securing a majority, though there were differences on whether Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would cross the halfway mark on its own in the Lok Sabha.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>Exit polls <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline"> </ins>had unanimously projected a return of the Narendra Modi government with National democratic Alliance (NDA) securing a majority, though there were differences on whether Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would cross the halfway mark on its own in the Lok Sabha.</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>There was speculation about the accuracy of the exit poll results with Congress president Rahul Gandhi terming them “fake” and urging party workers to ignore them.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>There was speculation about the accuracy of the exit poll results with Congress president Rahul Gandhi terming them “fake” and urging party workers to ignore them.</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 151:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 151:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India|E &#160;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:India|E <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="background: #ffa; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics|E &#160;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Category:Politics|E <ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=See also=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=See also=</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Elections in India: opinion polls]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Elections in India: opinion polls]]</div></td></tr> </table> Jyoti http://indpaedia.com/ind/index.php?title=Elections_in_India:_exit_polls&diff=105992&oldid=prev Jyoti: /* 2017, State Assembly elections */ 2020-11-27T20:14:14Z <p>‎<span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">2017, State Assembly elections</span></span></p> <table class='diff diff-contentalign-left'> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <col class='diff-marker' /> <col class='diff-content' /> <tr valign='top'> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan='2' style="background-color: white; color:black;">Revision as of 20:14, 27 November 2020</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 136:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 136:</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>RESULT: The BJP was neck to neck with the Congress in too. In Manipur, the ruling Congress secured 28 while the BJP bagged 21 seats, according to details available for 40 constituencies. Meanwhile, anti-AFSPA activist Irom Sharmila announced that she is quitting electoral politics, barely a few hours after her debut polls ended in a debacle - she managed just 90 votes in her contest against chief minister Ibobi Singh.</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>RESULT: The BJP was neck to neck with the Congress in too. In Manipur, the ruling Congress secured 28 while the BJP bagged 21 seats, according to details available for 40 constituencies. Meanwhile, anti-AFSPA activist Irom Sharmila announced that she is quitting electoral politics, barely a few hours after her debut polls ended in a debacle - she managed just 90 votes in her contest against chief minister Ibobi Singh.</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">=2019: Three exit polls almost got the numbers right=</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2019%2F05%2F24&amp;entity=Ar02813&amp;sk=043DA8F5&amp;mode=text&#160; May&#160; ''The Times of India'']</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">At least three exit poll results nearly matched the outcome of the 2019 general elections.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Exit polls on Sunday had unanimously projected a return of the Narendra Modi government with National democratic Alliance (NDA) securing a majority, though there were differences on whether Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would cross the halfway mark on its own in the Lok Sabha.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">There was speculation about the accuracy of the exit poll results with Congress president Rahul Gandhi terming them “fake” and urging party workers to ignore them.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">“The next 24 hours are very crucial. Stay alert and vigilant. Don’t be scared. You are fighting for the truth. Don’t be disheartened by the propaganda of fake exit polls. Believe in yourself and Congress. Your hard work will not go to waste. Jai Hind,” Gandhi had tweeted.</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">The India Today-MyAxis poll had predicted 339-365 seats for BJP and its allies and 77-108 seats for Congress and its partners. Today’s Chanakya had estimated 336-364 for NDA and 86-104 for the Congress and its alliance partners. News18-IPSOS had given 336 to the BJP and allies and 82 to United Progressive Alliance (UPA).</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:India|E </ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[[Category:Politics|E </ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">&#160;</td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="background: #cfc; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div><ins style="color: red; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">ELECTIONS IN INDIA: EXIT POLLS]]</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=See also=</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>=See also=</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Elections in India: opinion polls]]</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>&#160;</td><td style="background: #eee; color:black; font-size: smaller;"><div>[[Elections in India: opinion polls]]</div></td></tr> </table> Jyoti