Monsoons: India, Sedition, offences against the state: India

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[[Category:Law,Constitution,Judiciary |I]]
  
=In three sentences=
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=What is India’s sedition law?=
The four-month monsoon [rainy] season normally begins from June 1 and ends on September 30. The Southwest Monsoon gives 70 per cent (of the entire year's) rains to the country, where agriculture still remains a major contributor to the GDP. June contributes 17% of the total rainfall, July 32%, August 28% and September 23%.    ([https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/monsoon-covers-entire-country-17-days-ahead-of-normal-schedule/articleshow/64794673.cms From PTI])
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[https://www.indiatoday.in/education-today/gk-current-affairs/story/indian-sedition-law-309015-2016-02-16 Indian Sedition Law: What is it and what does it say, February 16, 2016: ''India Today'']
  
And three more sentences:
 
  
How long was '''the monsoon break in June,''' during the period 2010 to 2018?
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'''What is Sedition law and what does it say in the Indian Penal Code:'''
  
2010: It was a 13-day break, the longest in June in the years 2010-18
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Section 124-A in the Indian Penal Code, named 'Sedition', explains sedition in wide and magnanimous terms
  
2018: The monsoon did not move for 9 days after June 13.
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It says 'Whoever, by words, either spoken or written, or by signs, or by visible representation, or otherwise, brings or attempts to bring into hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards the Government established by law in India' shall be punished with life imprisonment
  
=A backgrounder=
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The explanations which the Indian Penal Code gives are that 'the expression 'disaffection' includes disloyalty and all feelings of hate
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=LEARNING-WITH-THE-TIMES-Monsoon-usually-reaches-Indias-29052017013038  Monsoon usually reaches India's mainland by first week of June, May 29 2017: ''The Times of India'']
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It also says that comments that express strong disapproval of 'the measures of the Government, with a view to obtain their desired modifications by lawful means, without exciting or attempting to excite hatred, contempt or disaffection, do not constitute an offense under this section.'
  
'''What causes monsoon?'''
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According to the section 124-A, comments expressing strong disapproval of the 'administrative or other action of the Government without exciting or attempting to excite hatred, contempt or disaffection, do not constitute an offense under this section.'
  
Monsoon, which is the seasonal reversal in the wind direction, causes most of the rainfall received in India and some other parts of the world. The primary cause of monsoons is the difference between annual temperature trends over land and sea. The apparent position of Sun with reference to earth is not fixed -it oscillates from tropic of cancer to Capricorn through the equator. The heating leads to the creation of a low pressure region. The northeast and southeast trade winds converge in this low pressure zone which is also known as the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). This low pressure region witnesses continuous rise of the moist wind from the sea surface to the upper layers of atmosphere, where the cooling causes the loss of moisture resulting into precipitation. It is observed that the rainy season of east Asia, Sub Saharan Africa, Australia and southern parts of North America coincides with the shift of the ITCZ towards these regions.
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The law was originally drafted by Thomas Macaulay
  
'''What causes Indian monsoon?'''
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It was not a part of IPC in the 1860s and was even dropped from the law. It was introduced in the IPC in the year 1870
  
Thar Desert and adjoining areas of the northern and central Indian Subcontinent heats up during the hot seasons of sum mer. Because of the rapid solar heating mainly between April and May a lowpressure cell is created over the Indian subcontinent. To fill up this void, the moisture-laden winds from the Indian Ocean rush in to the subcontinent. The ITCZ, which is sometimes also referred as monsoon trough also shifts northwards towards the subcontinent causing monsoon rains which typically reaches subcontinent's mainland in the last week of May or the first week of June. The metdepartment declares the onset of monsoon over Kerala if 60% of the 14 enlisted stations falling in the states report a rainfall of 2.5mm or more for any two consec ll of 2.5mm or more for any two consec utive days falling after 10 May.
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Many Indian freedom fighters, including Mahatma Gandhi and Bal Gangadhar Tilak, were charged with sedition during freedom struggle
  
'''What are the ways to forecast monsoon?'''
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When the first amendment was introduced, which also included detailed limitations on free speech, the then Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru was categorical in his belief that the offence of sedition was fundamentally unconstitutional. He had said 'now so far as I am concerned [Section 124-A] is highly objectionable and obnoxious and it should have no place both for practical and historical reasons. The sooner we get rid of it the better.'
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=Sedition and the law (S.124-A IPC)=
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==Maharasthra circular of 2015==
  
Generally there are three main approaches used for long range forecast of the southwest monsoon in India. The first is the statistical method which uses the historical relationships between southwest monsoon and various global weath er parameters. The historical data is then used to forecast the onset of the monsoon.The second approach is the empirical method which uses time series analysis of past rainfall data. The third is the dynamical method which uses general circula tion models of atmosphere and oceans to predict the southwest monsoons. It is observed that the prediction models based on statistical approach have so far yielded most accurate results for the Indian monsoon. However none of the models can claim 100% accuracy because there are several factors like the correlations between the parameters, changing predictability of the model over a period of time.
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[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Maha-issues-fresh-norms-on-sedition-draws-oppns-05092015012021 ''The Times of India''], Sep 05 2015
  
'''Which method is used by our met-department to forecast monsoon?'''
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''' Maharashtra issues fresh norms on sedition, draws oppn's ire '''  
  
Prior to 2002 IMD used to issue annual forecast using a model based on 16 parameter but it failed in 2002. Since 2003 two new models were introduced which instead of 16 used 8 and 10 parameters to forecast the southwest monsoon in India. Apart from this a two stage forecast system was also introduced--the first stage forecast was issued in mid April and an update or second stage by the end of June. This model also gave false predictions for 2004. Since 2007 a new forecast system using ensemble technique is being used to forecast monsoon. At present monsoon is predicted on the basis of five predictors including the sea surface temperature (SST) gradient between north Atlantic and north Pacific, Equatorial South Indian Ocean SST, East Asia Mean Sea Level Pressure, Northwest Europe Land Surface Air Temperature and Equatorial Pacific Warm Water Volume at designated times of the year. Instead of relying on one model with best possible forecast, the ensemble method uses inputs from the forecast of all models to calculate the final result.
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People trying to bring change in government through legal means will not face sedition charge in Maharashtra, but those attempting to bring into “hatred or contempt, dissatisfaction and provoking violence“ against the central or state government will be slapped with sedition charges.
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These provisions are part of a fresh set of guidelines issued to police by the Maharashtra government with regard to invocation of the IPC Section (124-A) pertaining to sedition.
  
=Factors that influence the monsoons=
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The circular containing these guidelines says sedition clause can be invoked against “whoever, by words, either spoken or written, or by signs or by visible representation, is critical of politicians, elected representatives belonging to the government“.
==Dust, soot from West Asia affect monsoon in India==
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===Summary===
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[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F11%2F16&entity=Ar02113&sk=8AB5D966&mode=text  Dust & soot from West Asia affect monsoon in India, November 16, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
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They were issued in compliance with an assurance given to the Bombay high court by state government while dropping sedition charge against cartoonist Aseem Trivedi, arrested in 2012 for drawing cartoons that allegedly insulted the national emblem and Parliament. The guidelines were issued on August 27 in accordance with assurance in the HC that the government would come out with a circular indicating limitations and parameters of 124-A of IPC, additional chief secretary (home) K P Bakshi said.
  
Dust and soot transported from the deserts of the Middle East settle on the snow cover of the Himalaya mountain range and affect the intensity of the summer monsoon in India, a study has found.
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“Powers to invoke different sections of IPC are with the station officer. Government can issue guidelines, hence, we have done so to avoid confusion among different police stations,“ he said.
  
Using a powerful Nasadeveloped atmospheric model, researchers from University of Maryland in the US found that large quantities of dark aerosols — airborne particles such as dust and soot that absorb sunlight — settle on top of the Tibetan Plateau’s snowpack in spring before the monsoons begin.
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The circular drew flak from the opposition parties.Leader of opposition in legislative council Dhananjay Munde of NCP said the move indicated an “Emergency like” situation.
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==Time for new laws to shield free speech?==
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[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=COMMENT-Sedition-Time-for-new-laws-to-shield-17022016016023 ''The Times of India''], Feb 17 2016
  
These dark aerosols cause the snow to absorb more sunlight and melt more quickly. The findings suggest that, among these dark aerosols, windblown dust from the Middle East has the most powerful snow-darkening effect.
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N S Nappinai
  
In years with heavy springtime dust deposition, the end result is reduced snow cover across the Tibetan Plateau, which leads to warmer temperatures on the ground and in the air above it.
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The polarised views ranging from the politically correct positions on free speech, including from politicians who did nothing to remedy excesses whilst in office, to the inexplicable support for this uncalled for police action against students, with misconceived notions and you get a picture more confusing than Picasso's Guernica.The voice of reason cautioning against coercive restraints on free speech or the populist Bajirao Singham V .2's deep-toned perorations against turning students into criminals are lost in the cacophony of self-righteous indignation supporting labelling of slogan -shouting students as seditionists and criminals.
  
Hundreds of studies have supported this relationship since British meteorologist Henry Blanford noted a connection between springtime Himalaya snow cover and the intensity of Indian monsoons. However, they have struggled to explain the reason for the same.
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''' Seditious Dissensions '''
  
Researchers used the Goddard Earth Observing System Model to simulate 100 years’ worth of springtime snow cover and its influence on the yearly summer monsoon cycle. To test the effect of dust blown in from the Middle East, the researchers ran the same simulations again, with an added software package that incorporates the snowdarkening effects of dark aerosols deposited atop the Tibetan Plateau.
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S.124A IPC militates against inciting hatred or contempt or creating disaffection (i.e., disloyalty feelings of enmity) towards the “government established by law“ in India. Despite the patent infirmities in the provision, sedition, as a criminal offence, continues in our statute books, owing to political whim and politics at play . The constitution bench of the Supreme Court in Kedarnath's case set the threshold for applying “sedition“ at actual violence or incitement to violence (“spark to a powder keg“) or subverting government, by violent means, through words written or spoken.
  
Adding dark aerosol deposition to the model substantially increased the amount of sunlight absorbed by the snow, accelerating the rate of melting. This is because when snow melts, it begins to expose the darker ground underneath, which absorbs even more sunlight and intensifies the rate of melting.
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This threshold definitely did not extend to punishing slogan-shouting. In Balwant Singh's case, where slogans including “Khalistan Zindabad“ were raised, the SC struck down the prosecution case and came down heavily on what it termed as immature and insensitive police actions, which could have created a law and or der situation. Whilst the JNU incident could be termed obnoxious or offensive, it is still insufficient, as decided in Shreya Singhal's case (striking down S.66A of the Information Technology Act) to scuttle free speech on these grounds and definitely does not warrant tagging students as criminals.
  
Researchers also found that the strongest effect in cycles when a large amount of dust settled on the snowpack in April, May and June.
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The Article 19 (2) of the Indian Constitution argument warranting reasonable restrictions was insufficient to save S.66A. Whilst so, the more draconian S.124A IPC has continued, probably as it is pitched at protecting the State as opposed to individuals.
  
===Details===
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''' Nation Vs Government '''  
[https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/11/181114120132.htm  November 14, 2018: ''Science Daily'']
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'''Source: University of Maryland'''
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The genealogy of the colonial hand-me-down, as a tool of suppression, is clearly contrary to even remote concepts of democracy and ought to have been discarded with the empire. Substitution of “Her Majesty“ with “government established by law“ did not take away the oppressive flavour but has in fact lent itself to further abuse. “Government“ and “Nation“ neither mean the same nor are they interchangeable. A nation is distinct from the persons administering it i.e., the government, vested with powers and duties to ensure cohesive functioning of the nation.
  
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Referencing “sedition“ to the “government established by law“ instead of a much narrower application of “national security“ was and continues to be a recipe for disaster. The SC stopped short of holding the provision unconstitutional by interpreting “government established by law“ to mean the visible symbol of the State.
  
''Middle Eastern desert dust on the Tibetan plateau could affect the Indian summer monsoon: New atmospheric modeling study could explain the mechanism behind a century-old hypothesis''
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Given the propensity for abuse, S.124A IPC could be relooked to narrow its applica tion to protecting “national interests“, if it cannot be done away with completely . After all, aren't controversial or offensive ideas and their expression as much a part of democratic freedoms as being politically correct? And are we not otherwise relegating the people, who have surren dered some freedoms in the hope of protection of those recognised as fundamental to their existence being punished by the very representatives they have elected?
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Criminal provisions have to also be explicit and should certainly not be left in the hands of police to interpret and apply . Neither can a person raising his voice in anger nor the police trying to pre vent violence, pause to ponder the fine balance between freedoms and social order. Judicial review also cannot be the remedy for correcting the imbalance between guaranteed freedoms and police excesses. Dissensions to protect the rights of dissenters after police action are essential reminders of our freedoms but have proven to be futile diatribes.
  
New research led by William Lau, a research scientist at the University of Maryland's Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), provides a plausible mechanism to explain Blanford's observations. Surprisingly, the explanation involves dust transported from the deserts of the Middle East, more than a thousand miles away.
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''' Make in India '''
  
Using a powerful NASA-developed atmospheric model, Lau found that large quantities of dark aerosols -- airborne particles such as dust and soot that absorb sunlight -- settle on top of the Tibetan Plateau's snowpack in spring before the monsoons begin. These dark aerosols cause the snow to absorb more sunlight and melt more quickly. The model findings suggest that, among these dark aerosols, windblown dust from the Middle East has the most powerful snow-darkening effect.
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The US appeals court held in Garcia vs Google that suppression of speech, however offensive or obnoxious, merely to avoid violence was an intolerable fetter on free speech.
  
In years with heavy springtime dust deposition, the end result is reduced snow cover across the Tibetan Plateau, which leads to warmer temperatures on the ground and in the air above it. This in turn sets off a series of interconnected feedback loops that intensify India's summer monsoon. A paper describing the research, co-authored by Kyu-Myung Kim of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, was published online November 12, 2018 in the journal Atmosphere.
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India has consistently drawn inspiration from existing laws in formulating its legal framework. It may now be time for India to make its own laws in India to suit Indian socio-legal requirements and in particular to protect the bastions of democracy-free speech and expression. Indian democracy craves and is entitled to the culture of open dialogue and free flow of opinions and meaningful governance.
  
"Blanford knew that snow cover on the Tibetan Plateau wasn't the only phenomenon that influenced the monsoon, but he knew it was important," Lau said. "The relationship between snow cover and the monsoon is useful enough that the India Meteorological Department still uses it to develop its annual summer monsoon forecast. By adding knowledge of the physical mechanism responsible for this relationship, our study may help to develop more accurate monsoon forecasts."
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Until such affirmative action is taken, the Supreme Court's words of restraint in Rangarajan vs Jagjivan Ram, that remote, conjectural or far-fetched anticipated danger, is not used as an excuse to scuttle free expression ought to guide and protect our paths to free speech.
  
Lau and Kim used the Goddard Earth Observing System Model, Version 5 (GEOS-5) to simulate 100 years' worth of springtime snow cover and its influence on the yearly summer monsoon cycle. To test the effect of dust blown in from the Middle East, the researchers ran the same simulations again, with an added software package that incorporates the snow-darkening effects of dust, soot and other dark aerosols deposited atop the Tibetan Plateau.
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[[Category:India|ISEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIA
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SEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIA]]
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[[Category:Law,Constitution,Judiciary|ISEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIA
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SEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIA]]
  
Adding dark aerosol deposition to the model substantially increased the amount of sunlight absorbed by the snow, accelerating the rate of melting. This is because when snow melts, it begins to expose the darker ground underneath, which absorbs even more sunlight and intensifies the rate of melting.
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=History=
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==1951, Nehru’s dilemma To repeal the law or not==
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[https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/nation/to-repeal-or-not-nehruvian-dilemma-on-sedition-law/650444.html  Satya Prakash, To repeal or not: Nehruvian dilemma on sedition law, September 10, 2018: ''The Tribune'']
  
In addition to darkening the snow early in the season, the dust also strongly enhanced atmospheric warming of the Tibetan Plateau, leading to changes in wind patterns that intensify the peak monsoon. Notably, this series of feedbacks also strengthened the same winds that transport dust from the Middle Eastern deserts, bringing more dust and further enhancing the feedback loop.
 
  
According to Lau, many researchers contend that heavy monsoon rains should wash any airborne dust particles from the air, canceling out the dust's atmospheric heating effects and shutting down the feedback loop. But Lau and Kim's results suggest that enhanced winds transport enough dust to overwhelm this washout effect, leading to a net accumulation of dust on the Tibetan Plateau.
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''Even 71 years of Independence, India continues to struggle to get rid of sedition that was widely used to crush freedom struggle''
  
The timing of the dust's arrival was also important. Lau and Kim found the strongest effect in cycles when a large amount of dust settled on the snowpack in April, May and June.
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WHILE introducing the First Amendment to the Constitution in Parliament in 1951, Jawaharlal Nehru had famously said, “Now so far as I am concerned that particular Section (124A IPC) is highly objectionable and obnoxious and it should have no place both for practical and historical reasons, if you like, in any body of laws that we might pass. The sooner we get rid of it the better.
  
"Every year was different in the model results. When dust arrived early in the season, it set up the initial conditions needed to change the monsoon dynamics," Lau said. "But in some years, late-season snowstorms at high altitudes covered the dust and shut down the feedback loop. It's very clear that there is a relationship between snow darkening by aerosols -- particularly Middle Eastern desert dust -- and the Indian monsoon season."
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However, the often-quoted statement is only the first part of what he had said. Here is the second part of what he said on sedition: “We might deal with that matter in other ways, in more limited ways, as every other country does but that particular thing, as it is, should have no place, because all of us have had enough experience of it in variety of ways and apart from the logic of the situation, our urges are against it.
  
Lau and Kim acknowledge the need to move beyond modeling and investigate the connections between dark aerosols, heating and the monsoon cycle using other methods and new observations. But they are confident that their results -- which used real-world data to seed the GEOS-5 model -- could help inform monsoon prediction efforts now.
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Nehru dithered on the issue and his government went ahead with the First Amendment that strengthened Article 19(2) of the Constitution by adding two expressions — “friendly relations with foreign state” and “public order” – as grounds for imposing “reasonable restrictions” on free speech.
  
"This could be extremely important for agriculture. Farmers have to plan around the monsoon season to decide when to plant and when to harvest," Lau said. "In order to understand how human influences like climate change and land use affect the monsoon, we have to understand the basics -- including the effects of light-absorbing aerosols in darkening the snow on the Tibetan Plateau and in modulating the Asian summer monsoon. Such effects are so important that in the end, we may have to rewrite the curriculum for 'Monsoon 101.'"
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The result: Even 71 years of Independence, India continues to struggle to get rid of sedition that was widely used to crush freedom struggle. A ‘Consultation Paper on Sedition’ released by the Law Commission of India late last month has only highlighted the dilemma of a democratic polity where the quality of relationship between the state and society is often determined by the degree of violence unleashed by non-state actors and the use of force by the state to counter it.
  
Materials provided by University of Maryland. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.
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Sedition was not there in the original IPC drafted by Lord Macaulay that came into force in 1862 and was added in 1870. Its ambit was expanded in 1898.
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Section 124A says a person commits the crime of sedition if he/she brings or attempts to bring in hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards, the government established by law in India. It can be by words, either spoken or written, or by signs, or by visible representation, or otherwise. It prescribes the maximum punishment of life imprisonment.
  
=Criteria used in deciding whether monsoon has arrived =
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It clarified that criticism of public measures or comments on government action, however strongly worded, would be within reasonable limits and would be consistent with the fundamental right of freedom of speech and expression.
[[File: The criteria that IMD adopts to decide whether monsoon has arrived or not. The dates on which the monsoon normally reaches various parts of India.jpg| <br/> i) The criteria that IMD adopts to decide whether monsoon has arrived or not. <br/> ii)The dates on which the monsoon normally reaches various parts of India. From [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/# '' The Times of India ''] |frame|500px]]
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See graphic, '  i) The criteria that IMD adopts to decide whether monsoon has arrived or not. <br/> ii)The dates on which the monsoon normally reaches various parts of India. ',
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=The amount of rainfall=
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==1901-2013: Monsoons that crossed the 100% mark==
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Interestingly, the Punjab High Court in Tara Singh Gopi Chand v. The State (1951) had declared Section 124A IPC unconstitutional.
[[File: Monsoon 1901 onwards, 1901-2013.jpg| Years of excessive rain and most deficient rain in monsoon season, 1901-1945; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=STATOISTICS-MONSOON-TRAIL-30052015008020 ''The Times of India''], May 30 2015|frame|500px]]
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[[File: Monsoon 1901 onwards, 1901-2013b.jpg| Years of excessive rain and most deficient rain in monsoon season, 1946-2013; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=STATOISTICS-MONSOON-TRAIL-30052015008020 ''The Times of India''], May 30 2015|frame|500px]]
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See graphics, '| Years of excessive rain and most deficient rain in monsoon season, 1901-2013  '
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Since 1901, there have been 59 years when the monsoon has crossed 100% of the LPA. Since 2000, there have been only four years when monsoon crossed the 100% mark. These are 2003, 2007, 2010 and 2011. The projection is welcome news for the government as a stuttering monsoon can cast a long shadow on its political fortunes with growth slipping below 5% and high food inflation — prices for consumers rose 11.84% in June — proving a sizeable thorn in the side for UPA-2.  
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In 1962, it was on the basis of “public order” in Article 19(2) that SC in Kedarnath Singh’s case upheld the validity of Section 124A. But it restricted its scope.
  
The government hopes the farm sector significantly improves on 2012’s 1.8% growth with R Rangarajan, chairman of the PM’s economic advisory council, saying a normal monsoon could even yield a 3.4% growth.
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In Balwant Singh’s case (1995), the SC let off two men accused of raising anti-India slogans hours after Indira Gandhi’s assassination in 1984, saying raising of slogans a couple of times – which neither evoked any response nor any reaction from the public – couldn’t attract sedition.
  
==India: Back-to-back, ‘above normal’ monsoon after 1958-59==
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According to the National Crime Records Bureau, 35 persons were arrested on sedition charges in 2016 in the country. The number may not be too high. But there are legitimate concerns as often activists are at the receiving end of sedition law.
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2020%2F10%2F02&entity=Ar00110&sk=1682525F&mode=text  After 61 yrs, India gets back-to-back ‘above normal’ monsoon seasons, October 2, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
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[[File: Salient features of Monsoon 2020.jpg|Salient features of Monsoon 2020 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2020%2F10%2F02&entity=Ar00110&sk=1682525F&mode=text  After 61 yrs, India gets back-to-back ‘above normal’ monsoon seasons, October 2, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
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Many countries, including the UK and Australia, have abolished sedition. Given the challenges it faces on the internal security front, the state needs a legal tool to protect its sovereignty. But in a democratic society, free speech is equally important.
  
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Sedition law can be repealed as there are many other penal provisions to deal with such acts. Its scope can be restricted and punishment can be rationalised. Also, there can be safeguards installed to check its misuse.
  
For the first time in 61 years, India recorded back-to-back “above normal” monsoon years, with this year’s season ending with countrywide rainfall at 9% above the long period average (LPA). Monsoon rains this year were also the second highest in 26 years after 2019, when rainfall across the country was 10% above the LPA.
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Political thinker Thomas Paine once said, “Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one.” This statement sums up the dilemma of a democratic society.
The last time India had two consecutive years of above normal monsoon was in 1958 (110% of LPA) and 1959 (114% of LPA). This year, an average of 95.8cm of rain was recorded in the country as against the LPA of 88cm.
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''' Surplus rains in June, Aug & Sept '''
 
  
However, the distribution of seasonal rainfall during the June-September period was not uniform. The country recorded the highest 127% of LPA rainfall in August while July was a deficit month with 90% of LPA. The monsoon rainfall has to be between 96%-104% of LPA to be considered “normal” and between 104-110% of the LPA to be described as “above normal”. Anything more is termed “excess” rainfall.
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==1986 (EPW), 2001 (students with leaflets)==
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[http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/jnu-kanhaiya-kumar-two-tales-of-sedition/ ''The Indian Express''], Feb 20, 2016
  
In its first stage forecast for the seasonal rainfall issued in April, the IMD had predicted rains to be 100% of LPA (normal) with a model error of ± 5%. The forecast was upgraded to 102% of LPA, with a model error of ± 4%, in IMD’s update in May end. IMD also predicted a probability of 65% of monsoon rainfall to be “normal” to “above normal”. The actual seasonal rainfall for the country as a whole was 109% of LPA, which is more than the predicted value and thus turned out to be positive for the kharif (summer) crops.
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Written by Deepak Nayyar
  
Though India had recorded deficit rainfall in July, the surplus rains in June, August and September helped in the country recording an all-time high acreage. Based on it, the agriculture ministry has set a record target of 301 million tonnes of foodgrains for the 2020-21 crop year. The monsoon started retreating from western parts of north-west India on September 28 against the normal withdrawal date of September 17. As on Thursday, the south-west monsoon had withdrawn from Punjab, western Himalayan region, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi and parts of Rajasthan and some parts of Uttar Pradesh.
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''' It is instructive to remember the fate of the sedition charges pressed by two governments, run by two parties, in the past. Both had happy endings. '''
  
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The dictionary meaning of sedition is conduct or speech inciting people to rebel against the state. Its legal meaning is inciting violence towards insurrection of established order and lawful authority, including subversion of the Constitution. Section 124A of the Indian Penal Code, which does not use the word sedition, defines it as any action, by words, signs or visible representation, which “brings or attempts to bring into hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards a government established by law”. It is a draconian law from the colonial era making such an act punishable with imprisonment for life.
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Though its application is also not feasible in the turbulent politics of the Republic of India, which is a strong, vibrant and participative democracy, it still remains one of the used, if not most, provisions of the Indian Penal Code. What is more, it seeks to negate the very idea of freedom, inquiry, questions, dissent and debate constitute the essential foundations of learning that make for good citizens in a democracy.
  
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Yet, it is not the first time that the sedition law has been used in independent India. And it will not be the last time. It is neither rare nor frequent. But it happens often enough when it serves a political purpose. Governments invoke the law and the opposition cries foul. The irony of double standards is striking. The same political parties when in government cite the national interest and when in opposition wax eloquent about rights or freedoms.
  
== Driest, wettest cities of India: Jun-Aug==
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In 1986, Krishna Raj, the then editor of the Economic and Political Weekly (EPW), had been charged for sedition by Bombay Police. The reason cited in the charge was a signed article by a contributor in the EPW who had alleged atrocities on civilians in Amritsar, by the army, in the aftermath of Operation Bluestar.
[[File: The driest and wettest cities of India during the monsoons.jpg| The driest and wettest cities of India during the monsoons ; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=STATOISTICS-MONSOON-BLUES-SOME-CITIES-GET-FLOODED-OTHERS-10062016009038 ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
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See graphic, ' The driest and wettest cities of India during the monsoons '
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[[Category:Climate/Meteorology|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
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In a meeting with Rajiv Gandhi for a brief 15 minutes, as a concerned citizen, I said that the EPW was an independent, credible voice on economy, polity and society in India and an important, indeed unique, institution in our vibrant democracy. I argued that charging its editor with sedition was totally inappropriate and unjustified. Instead, the government could consider legal action against the author, not the editor, under any other law of the land. He heard me out and asked just one question: “If I agree to what you are suggesting, the army will be unhappy but what will people think?” My answer was simple: “People will admire your sagacity and wisdom in preserving the essential values of democracy.” He smiled. And our meeting was over.
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
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The PM had spoken to the CM of Maharashtra communicating the PM’s decision to drop sedition charges against the editor of the EPW.
[[Category:India|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
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MONSOONS: INDIA]]
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[[Category:S&T|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
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MONSOONS: INDIA]]
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=Dates when monsoons reach different regions=
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The second experience was in October 2001. Following 9/11, the United States started its bombing of Afghanistan. At a demonstration in Seelampur, five of our students were arrested for distributing leaflets and shouting slogans. To my dismay, I learnt that they were charged with sedition. I requested an appointment with the deputy PM, who was also the home minister.
==In typical years==
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[[File: moonsoon1.png| The dates on which the monsoon normally reaches various parts of India.|frame|500px]]
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See graphic, ' The dates on which the monsoon normally reaches various parts of India. '
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== Years in which the monsoon arrived early ==
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[[File: years in which the monsoon arrived early.jpg|Years in which the monsoon arrived early: 2011-2014; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Gallery.aspx?id=15_05_2015_009_024_009&type=P&artUrl=Monsoon-may-be-early-but-El-Nino-fear-15052015009024&eid=31808 ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
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See graphic, '  Years in which the monsoon arrived early: 2011-2014'
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== Kerala, 2005-2017: actual dates==
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[[File: The date when the monsoon arrived in Kerala, 2005-2017.jpg| i) The date when the monsoon arrived in Kerala, 2005-2017: and the date when forecasters had said it would  <br/> ii) Actual rainfall vis-à-vis official forecasts, 1990-2015; <br/> iii) The dates on which the monsoon normally reaches various parts of India. [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=ITS-OFFICIAL-MONSOON-TO-HIT-KERALA-MAY-30-17052017032006 The Times of India], May 17, 2017|frame|500px]]
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I met L.K. Advani and told him that five University of Delhi students had been arrested and charged with sedition. There were protests against the US bombing of Afghanistan everywhere in the world. Our students also had the same democratic right to protest. The charge of sedition was totally inappropriate and unjustified. If they had disturbed the peace, they could be charged for that. As vice chancellor, however, it was my duty to ensure that no injustice was done to my students. The DPM listened to me patiently for 15 minutes and said he would let me know.
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Advani said that he had considered the matter and decided that the sedition charges against the five students would be dropped.
  
==Delhi: 2007-12==
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There are some obvious conclusions. First, the sedition charges must be dropped. Second, the colonial law on sedition must be repealed. Third, governments and parties must stop playing politics in universities. Fourth, the time has come for universities to reclaim their freedom and space from intervening governments and intrusive politics: Autonomy is as autonomy does.
[[File: Delhimonsoon.jpg| The arrival of the monsoon in Delhi: 2007-12|frame|500px]]
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See accompanying chart for Delhi '' The arrival of the monsoon in Delhi: 2007-12 ''
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==Kerala: 2008-15, onset vs performance ==
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[[File: Monsoons onset vs performance 2008-15.jpg|Date of onset of Monsoons in Kerala, 2008-15, vis-à-vis its all- India performance. There is no correlation between early or late arrival in Kerala and good or bad all- India performance <br/>  Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Monsoon-hits-Kerala-but-may-lose-its-mojo-06062015021003 ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
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See graphic, ' Date of onset of Monsoons in Kerala, 2008-15, vis-à-vis its all- India performance. There is no correlation between early or late arrival in Kerala and good or bad all- India performance'
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==2011-15: actual and forecast dates==
 
[[File: Onset date for Monsoons, actual and forecast, 2011-15, year-wise.jpg|Onset date for Monsoons, actual and forecast, 2011-15, year-wise; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Gallery.aspx?id=16_05_2016_008_034_009&type=P&artUrl=6-days-of-delay-in-date-with-monsoon-16052016008034&eid=31808 ''The Times of India''], May 16, 2016|frame|500px]]
 
See graphic, ' Onset date for Monsoons, actual and forecast, 2011-15, year-wise  '
 
  
==2012-20: Date of Monsoon covering entire country==
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==2015: Sedition charge on FM Arun Jaitley for criticising SC’s NJAC ruling==
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2020%2F06%2F27&entity=Ar00314&sk=5A09FF3A&mode=text  Monsoon covers India 12 days in advance, fastest since 2013, June 27, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
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[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Sedition-charge-on-finance-minister-Arun-Jaitley-for-slamming-SCs-NJAC-ruling/articleshow/49488057.cms October 22, 2015: ''The Times of India'']
  
[[File: Date of Monsoon covering entire country, 2012-20.jpg|Date of Monsoon covering entire country, 2012-20 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2020%2F06%2F27&entity=Ar00314&sk=5A09FF3A&mode=text  Monsoon covers India 12 days in advance, fastest since 2013, June 27, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
  
22% Rain Surplus In June, Good Sign For Sowing
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A UP court has slapped sedition charges on finance minister Arun Jaitley for criticizing the Supreme Court’s recent decision striking down the National Judicial Appointments Commission (NJAC) for selection of judges to the higher judiciary.
  
Pune/New Delhi:
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Taking suo motu cognizance of Jaitley’s criticism of the verdict, civil judge of Mahoba in Jhansi district Ankit Goel summoned him to be present before him on November 19. Goel had earlier issued summons against SP chief Mulayam Singh Yadav for his purported comment that allegations of gang rape could often be fabricated.
  
In a swift and smooth advance through the country, the monsoon covered the whole of India, 12 days before the normal date of July 8, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.
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The judge in his order said the finance minister’s blog ‘Indian democracy cannot be a tyranny of the unelected’ prima facie amounted to sedition under Section 124A as well as causing public mischief under Section 505 of Indian Penal Code. The court said under Section 190 of Criminal Procedure Code, it was entitled to take cognizance of the statements which were published in various newspapers.  
  
Along with 2015, when the monsoon had raced through the country on the same date, this was the fastest progression of the rain-bearing system since 2013.
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Section 124A says “whoever, by words, either spoken or written, or by signs, or by visible representation, or otherwise, brings or attempts to bring into hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards the government established by law shall be punished under the section”.  
  
In the past 13 years, the monsoon has covered the entire country before June 26 only once — in 2013, when a freak convergence of several weather systems had caused the catastrophic Kedarnath deluge while advancing the monsoon by an all-time record date of June 16.
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Several people, including constitutional experts, have criticized the verdict of the apex court which on October 16 quashed the NJAC Act and revived the two-decade-old collegium system for appointment of judges. The finance minister, writing in his personal capacity, had held that the SC’s verdict striking down the 99th constitutional amendment to turn the appointment of judges into an exclusive prerogative of judiciary was tantamount to rewriting the Constitution.  
  
IMD said the monsoon marched into the remaining parts of Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan to cover the entire country, 26 days after hitting the Kerala coast. This sets the stage for timely sowing of kharif crops across the country.
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Saying that the SC was acting like a third chamber of the legislature, he suggested that the verdict was biased against the political class and was a prescription for “tyranny of the unelected”.  
  
“This was one of the smoothest advances of the monsoon in recent years. Usually the monsoon progresses in fits and starts, but this year it did not stall for long at any stage,” said D Sivananda Pai, IMD’s lead monsoon forecaster.
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Noted criminal lawyer Amarendra Saran termed the civil judge’s order “atrocious”. “Just and fair criticism of the court’s verdict is allowed in our country and it is a part and parcel of evolution of law. We do criticize the order every day in court proceedings and that is why appeal is filed,” he said.  
  
==2020:  2 weeks early==
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Saran said there was no ingredient of offence in the statement made by the finance minister and he did not commit any crime. “The order passed by the judge is without application of mind and it must be recalled,” he said.  
[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/monsoon-covers-entire-country-nearly-two-weeks-early-imd/articleshow/76641734.cms  Monsoon covers entire country nearly two weeks early: IMD, June 26, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
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NEW DELHI: The Southwest Monsoon has covered the entire country nearly two weeks ahead of its schedule, the India Meteorological Department said.  
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Senior advocate Sanjay Hegde said the judge had gone overboard in passing the order. “Criticism of SC is not even contempt of court, then how can sedition charges be slapped for criticizing an SC verdict?” he asked.
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Download The Times of India News App for Latest India News.
  
The monsoon usually sets over Kerala on June 1 and it takes 45 days to reach Sriganganagar in west Rajasthan, its last outpost in the country.  
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==Use, abuse over the years==
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[https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-37182206  Soutik Biswas, Why India needs to get rid of its sedition law: 29 August 2016: ''BBC'']
  
From this year however, the IMD has advanced the onset date over Sriganganagar by a week and the new normal date for monsoon to cover the entire country is July 8.
 
 
"The Southwest Monsoon has further advanced into the remaining parts of Rajasthan, Haryana and Punjab and thus it has covered the entire country today, June 26," the IMD said.
 
 
A low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal, which moved west-northwestwards, and another cyclonic circulation over central India helped in advance of the monsoon.
 
 
In 2013, the monsoon had covered the entire country on June 16. This had also coincided with the deadly Uttarakhand flash floods.
 
 
"After 2013, monsoon has covered the country so rapidly this year," IMD Director General Mrutunjay Mohapatra said.
 
 
==Monsoon cycle==
 
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=STATOISTICS-02062015008045 ''The Times of India''] , Jun 02 2015
 
[[File: Monsoon cycle.jpg| Monsoon cycle: India; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=STATOISTICS-02062015008045 ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
If after May 10, 60% of 14 stations -Minicoy, Amini, Thiruvananthapuram, Punalur, Kollam, Allapuzha, Kottayam, Kochi, Thrissur, Kozhikode, Thalassery, Kannur, Kudulu and Mangalore -report rainfall of 2.5 mm or more for two consecutive days, the onset of the monsoon is declared on the second day. Normally, the monsoon sets in over Kerala around June 1 and then advances northwards. By June 5, it goes past half of Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh and crosses Maharashtra by the 10th.It covers significant portions of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh by June 15 and the entire country by June-end.
 
 
[[Category:Climate/Meteorology|MMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
[[Category:India|MMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
[[Category:S&T|MMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
 
=The El Niño effect=
 
==1951-2017: El Niño Vs. IOD ==
 
[[File: Impact of the El-Nino on Indian monsoons, 1951-2017.jpg|Impact of the El-Nino on Indian monsoons, 1951-2017; [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Gallery.aspx?id=20_04_2017_010_040_010&type=P&artUrl=IMD-tracks-changes-in-Indian-Ocean-for-monsoon-20042017010040&eid=31808 The Times of India], April 20, 2017|frame|500px]]
 
 
'''See graphic''':
 
 
''Impact of the El-Nino on Indian monsoons, 1951-2017''
 
 
==1970-2015==
 
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2019%2F04%2F17&entity=Ar01316&sk=2D3A7300&mode=text  Amit Bhattacharya, Does IMD forecast signal monsoon acing El Nino in ’19?, April 17, 2019: ''The Times of India'']
 
 
[[File: How monsoon rains have fared during El Nino years, 1987-2015..jpg|How monsoon rains have fared during El Nino years, 1987-2015. <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2019%2F04%2F17&entity=Ar01316&sk=2D3A7300&mode=text  Amit Bhattacharya, Does IMD forecast signal monsoon acing El Nino in ’19?, April 17, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
 
IMD has forecast a “near normal” monsoon this year while also indicating that a weak El Nino is likely to persist through the rainy season. If both forecasts hold true, it would be only the second time in nearly 50 years that India will have a normal monsoon in an El Nino year.
 
 
There have been nine El Nino years since 1970, and only once has the Indian summer monsoon remained unscathed from its influence. That was in 1997, when despite one of the strongest El Ninos, the monsoon ended 2% above normal.
 
 
In the other eight instances, the June-September rains in India were hit irrespective of El Nino’s strength — weak, moderate or strong — indicating a strong link between the weather anomaly in the Pacific and monsoon’s performance in India.
 
 
El Nino is an abnormal warming of ocean waters in east and central equatorial Pacific that drives changes in wind currents which, in turn, have weather impact around the world.
 
 
Apart from 1997, other instances of good monsoons during El Nino years are all from the 1950s and 60s. “There are two years when the monsoon was normal or above normal during a weak El Nino, 1953 and 1969. This year’s El Nino is also predicted to be weak,” said D Sivananda Pai, IMD’s lead monsoon forcaster. The monsoon also defied El Nino in 1957 and 1963, IMD records show.
 
 
However, the link between El Nino and poor monsoon appears to have strengthened in recent decades. All four El Ninos since year 2000 have adversely impacted rainfall in India. This includes a weak episode in 2004, which led to a drought year with the monsoon ending at 14% below normal.
 
 
In recent years, just a warming in the Pacific, which didn’t result in an El Nino, is believed to have impacted the monsoon in 2012 and 2014. However, every El Nino is unique with its own peculiarities. How it plays out, and whether large-scale features that depress the monsoon actually develop, remains to be seen.
 
 
=How the monsoons control our destiny=
 
==1950-2010: India’s growth rate in drought years==
 
[[File: growth rate during droughts in india.jpg|Growth rate in drought years in India and monsoon departure from normal: 1950-2010 <br/>  Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Gallery.aspx?id=04_06_2015_008_009_003&type=P&artUrl=STATOISTICS-ECONOMYS-DRY-RUN-04062015008009&eid=31808 ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
See graphic ‘Growth rate in drought years in India and monsoon departure from normal’
 
 
==Why Monsoon Matters Beyond The Farm==
 
===1965-2010===
 
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F06%2F11&entity=Ar01514&sk=DD68288E&mode=text  June 11, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
 
 
[[File: Monsoon rain departure from normal, GDP growth rate, Change from previous year's growth rate, 1965-2010.jpg|Monsoon rain departure from normal; <br/>  GDP growth rate; <br/> Change from previous year's growth rate' <br/> 1965-2010 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F06%2F11&entity=Ar01514&sk=DD68288E&mode=text  June 11, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: Growth of Kharif and Rabi crop during monsoon and winter- 2003-16, year-wise; annual rainfall, state-wise.jpg|Growth of Kharif and Rabi crop during monsoon and winter- 2003-16, year-wise; <br/> annual rainfall, state-wise <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F06%2F11&entity=Ar01514&sk=DD68288E&mode=text  June 11, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
''Amid hopes that the projected 97% monsoon will fuel growth, here’s a look at monsoon’s role in India’s economy''
 
 
 
'''How does the monsoon affect India’s economy?'''
 
 
The monsoon’s failure is often linked to the economy’s overall performance. It is not the agricultural sector alone that is affected by a bad monsoon — industry too suffers as lower farm output decreases demand from this sector, which employs half the country’s workforce. Contrasting GDP growth rates with drought years since 1951-52 reveals growth is sluggish in drought years. In recent years this correlation has become weaker, which may be linked to the fact that agriculture’s share in GDP has also fallen. But it continues to employ half of India’s workforce.
 
 
'''Is there a major difference between agricultural output in Kharif and Rabi seasons?'''
 
 
Over the past decade, the share of Kharif (monsoon) crops in the national output have fallen, while Rabi (winter) crops are on the rise. Crops like rice and maize, which grow in monsoon and winter, have seen a marked decline in Kharif output, while the share of their Rabi output has risen. Exclusively Rabi crops, such as wheat, remain unaffected by monsoons.
 
 
'''What is the Indian monsoon?'''
 
 
The southwest monsoon is a summertime reversal in wind direction that provides nearly 70% of the Indian subcontinent’s annual rainfall. Monsoon winds originate from the southern Indian Ocean. They get deflected southwestwards towards India after crossing the equator. These winds are driven by air pressure differences caused by the more rapid heating up of the land in summers compared to the ocean. The land heats up the air over it, causing it to rise and create a low-pressure zone, which attracts winds from the highpressure regions over the ocean. In south Asia, the effect is enhanced by the Tibetan plateau, which heats up more than the atmosphere would at its height. Monsoon has a set pattern of advance and withdrawal. It arrives in southern India in May or June, and advances northwards and westwards, reaching Pakistan by July. It retreats from Pakistan by September, finally withdrawing from southern India by December. The season doesn’t see a continuous deluge, but has alternate wet and dry phases, the timing and duration of which account for much of the year-to-year variation in monsoon rains.
 
 
'''What are the country’s wettest and driest states?'''
 
 
Mawsynram, a village in Meghalaya is the world’s wettest place. Meghalaya receives the country’s highest rainfall followed by Goa and Sikkim. The national capital on the other hand was among the driest states in 2016.
 
 
===2008-19===
 
[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-the-monsoon-affects-your-life/articleshow/68736569.cms  April 6, 2019: ''The Times of India'']
 
 
 
[[File: How monsoon affects our lives in India, 2008-19.jpg|How monsoon affects our lives in India, 2008-19 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2019%2F04%2F05&entity=Ar00400&sk=2BD8ED9F&mode=image  April 5, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
 
'''See graphic''':
 
 
''How monsoon affects our lives in India, 2008-19''
 
 
 
Skymet, a private weather forecaster, has predicted the likelihood of below-normal rains this year, particularly in the central and eastern regions. The forecaster pegged rainfall in the country during the 2019 monsoon (June-September) at 93% of the long-period average (LPA) of 887 mm. LPA is defined as the average annual rainfall over a 50-year period. There is a a 55% probability that the total rainfall will be below normal and a 15% probability of drought.
 
What is a normal monsoon
 
 
India defines average, or normal rainfall as between 96-104% of a 50-year average of 89 cm for the entire four-month season beginning June until September. Anything less than 90% is a 'deficient' monsoon, while 90-96% is considered 'below normal'. An average between 104-110% is 'above normal' and anything above 110% is 'excess'. Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), the country's official weather forecaster, will issue its monsoon outlook later this month.
 
A good monsoon which waters more than half of the country's farmland is essential to boost consumption and economy. Even though farming output makes up just less than 14% of India's economy, the sector employs more than half of the country's 1.3 billion population. Here's a look at how the adequacy of monsoons has affected key indicators of the economy in the past 10 years.
 
 
 
'''1. RAINFALL'''
 
 
[[File: IMD forecast as % of LPA; Actual rainfall as % of LPA, 2009-18.jpg|IMD forecast as % of LPA; Actual rainfall as % of LPA, 2009-18 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-the-monsoon-affects-your-life/articleshow/68736569.cms  April 6, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
The country narrowly escaped a drought in 2018, following two successive years of normal rains. Skymet's forecast of a below normal monsoon in 2019 is on account of a developing El Nino phenomenon, when warm waters in the Pacific Ocean impact summer rains in India. "The Pacific Ocean has become strongly warmer than average. This means, it is going to be a devolving El Nino year," said Jatin Singh, Skymet's managing director. "But even if it is a mild El Nino, it will have its impact on rainfall," added GP Sharma, Skymet's president of meteorology.
 
 
 
'''2. AGRICULTURE PRODUCTION'''
 
 
[[File: YoY % change in foodgrain production, 2008-19.jpg|YoY % change in foodgrain production, 2008-19 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-the-monsoon-affects-your-life/articleshow/68736569.cms  April 6, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
The monsoon delivers about 70% of India's annual rainfall and is key to the success of the agriculture sector, There is a 75% probability of below normal rainfall this June, which could decrease to 55% in July, the two months when rains are critical for the sowing of kharif (summer) crops. The monsoon is then likely to pick up pace in August and September, during which El Nino will begin to decay.
 
Every year of below-normal monsoon badly affects foodgrain output. Farm output suffers majorly in a drought year, when rainfall is more than 10% below normal, like in 2014-15 and 2015-16. Both years -- the first two of PM Narendra Modi's tenure -- saw negative growth in farm production, but recovered substantially in the 2016-17.
 
 
 
'''3. AGRICULTURE GDP'''
 
 
[[File: YoY % change in GVA of agriculture, forestry, fishing, 2008-19.jpg|YoY % change in GVA of agriculture, forestry, fishing, 2008-19 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-the-monsoon-affects-your-life/articleshow/68736569.cms  April 6, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
Thanks to price support, the Gross Value Added (GVA) of agriculture output is less adversely affected by poor rainfall than farm output is.
 
 
 
'''4. FOOD INFLATION'''
 
 
[[File: % change in consumer price index of food, 2011-19.jpg|% change in consumer price index of food, 2011-19 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-the-monsoon-affects-your-life/articleshow/68736569.cms  April 6, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
Food prices are less affected by monsoon due to buffer stocks and import. Other factors that drive food inflation in India -- rural wages, minimum support prices (MSP), agriculture input costs and global food prices.
 
 
 
First, rural wages are important because human labour accounts for 25-20% of the total cost of cultivation of crops such as rice and wheat. Second, MSP directly feeds into food inflation by forming a floor for wholesale food prices. Third, agriculture input costs such as electricity, diesel, pesticides and machinery also impact food inflation. Fourth, global food prices are important because of their influence on products that India imports and because international prices are one of the factors used to determine the MSPs of crops.
 
 
 
'''5. RURAL WAGES'''
 
 
[[File: YoY % change in rural wage for men, 2008-18.jpg|YoY % change in rural wage for men, 2008-18 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-the-monsoon-affects-your-life/articleshow/68736569.cms  April 6, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
Since food inflation and rural wages are correlated, with a fall in inflation, rural wage growth too has slowed down.
 
 
 
'''6. GDP'''
 
 
[[File: YoY % change in GDP at constant prices, 2008-19.jpg|YoY % change in GDP at constant prices, 2008-19 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-the-monsoon-affects-your-life/articleshow/68736569.cms  April 6, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
Largely due to the shrinking share (about 17-18%) of agriculture in India's GDP, the monsoon's direct impact on the GDP has weakened over the years.
 
 
==Monsoon and agriculture==
 
===1986-2015===
 
[[File: Monsoons in India.jpg|Monsoons in India: Geographical spread, monsoon and foodgrains, monsoon and vegetables, monsoon and fruits, monsoon and food prices and monsoon and farm GDP: 1986-2015 <br/>  Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=HOW-MONSOON-CONTROLS-OUR-DESTINY-18042016012015 ''The Times of India''], April 18, 2016|frame|500px]]
 
See graphic, ' Monsoons in India: Geographical spread, monsoon and foodgrains, monsoon and vegetables, monsoon and fruits, monsoon and food prices and monsoon and farm GDP: 1986-2015'
 
 
===2004-09===
 
[[File: moonsoon.png|Rain and grain: 2004-09; [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=STATOISTICS-02062015008045 ''The Times of India''] , Jun 02 2015|frame|500px]]
 
See graphic, ' Rain and grain: 2004-09  '
 
===2006-16===
 
See the graphic 'How monsoon affects farming, 2006-16'
 
 
 
[[File: How monsoon affects farming, 2006-16.jpg|How monsoon affects farming, 2006-16; [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Gallery.aspx?id=19_04_2017_019_026_006&type=P&artUrl=Agriculture-growth-rate-estimated-at-42-in-2016-19042017019026&eid=31808 The Times of India], April 19, 2017|frame|500px]]
 
 
= Monsoon break=
 
==Definition==
 
A monsoon break — a period when rain activity comes to a stop in most of central India, the region where the monsoon trough is formed — is a common occurrence during the season. “The monsoon has been active without a break since mid-June. This does not happen often and is a reason why the rains were higher than the predicted 101% of LPA for July,” said D Sivananda Pai, IMD’s lead monsoon forecaster. (By Amit Bhattacharya)
 
== Monsoons without a break ==
 
===2003-2010===
 
''' Non-stop monsoon marches on '''
 
 
Amit Bhattacharya TNN
 
 
[[File: monsoons1.jpg| Monsoons without a break, 2003-2010 |frame|500px]]
 
[http://epaper.timesofindia.com/Default/Scripting/ArticleWin.asp?From=Archive&Source=Page&Skin=TOINEW&BaseHref=CAP/2013/08/16&PageLabel=7&EntityId=Ar00702&ViewMode=HTML The Times of India] 2013/08/16
 
 
One or two periods of a break in monsoon — defined as three straight days of very low rain activity across central India — are common during the rainy season. Since 2000, there have only been three years when there was no monsoon break. And all three years coincided with plentiful rains.
 
 
“Two months of monsoon activity without a break is rather rare. It’s an indication of agood monsoon,” said M Rajeevan, senior weather scientist at the earth sciences ministry.
 
 
At least four factors have worked in favour of the monsoon in 2013. The first good sign was an absence of El Nino — an anomalous rise in ocean surface temperatures in the east Pacific that is linked to monsoon failure in India.
 
 
Currently, weak La Nina conditions exist in the Pacific, which is the opposite of El Nino and is known to help the monsoon here.
 
 
“Then, typhoons breaking out over the south Pacific this season have also helped because these have generally moved in a direction that reinforces the Indian monsoon. This is consistent with the weak La Nina conditions,” said Rajeevan.
 
 
More importantly, what has helped sustain the rains — and distribute it more or less evenly across the region — has been a series of low pressure formations over the Bay of Bengal that have travelled westwards at regular intervals.
 
 
“There have been an unusually high number of low pressure systems, along with cyclonic circulation over land. These have nurtured the monsoon this year, especially in the interior regions of south and central India,” said Pai.
 
 
Lastly, Pai said a strong Arabian Sea branch of the monsoon first helped accelerate the rain coverage over the country, and also brought good rains over the west coast.
 
 
=Monsoons in Punjab, Haryana=
 
==1980- 2010==
 
[[File: mosoon HP2.jpg| Monsoons in Punjab, Haryana: 1980- 2010    |frame|500px]]
 
See graphic, ' Monsoons in Punjab, Haryana: 1980- 2010  '
 
==1999-2014==
 
[[File: mosoon HP.jpg| Monsoons in Punjab, Haryana: 1999-2014 |frame|500px]]
 
See graphic, ' Monsoons in Punjab, Haryana: 1999-2014  '
 
 
''' 16-year trend of poor monsoon in Punjab, Haryana '''
 
 
Amit Bhattacharya
 
New Delhi
 
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=16-year-trend-of-poor-monsoon-in-Punjab-22092014001068 The Times of India ] Sep 22 2014
 
 
India's bread basket states of Punjab and Haryana received just around half the normal rainfall this monsoon season. But more worryingly , this year's rain deficit is not an isolated event. The two key agricultural states have been getting below par rainfall for the past 16 years.
 
 
Met department figures reveal Punjab has seen above normal monsoon rainfall in just two years since 1999. The last time that happened was seven monsoons ago, in 2008.The stats are similar for Haryana, where rains have been above normal in just four of the last 16 monsoons.
 
 
Experts are divided over why rains have been consistently failing in the region but the trend has dire implications for agriculture, which relies heavily on groundwater. The two states are among the most exploited regions in the world for groundwater.
 
 
Deficient rains add another dimension to the crisis.Groundwater mainly de pends on rainfall for recharge. So, less rain means less groundwater availability .A failed monsoon also means farmers draw more ground water to irrigate their crops, particularly paddy , accelerating the fall of the water table.
 
 
At TOI's request, Prof Krishna AchutaRao from IIT Delhi's Centre for Atmospheric Sciences plotted the annual and seasonal rainfall in the two states since 1980.The rain stats were obtained from the India Meteorological Department. A linear graph reveals a disturbing trend of decreasing rains in the bread basket of India. It shows average annual rainfall in Punjab falling during this period from just over 800mm in 1980 to less than 600mm in 2014 — a drop of roughly 200mm. Haryana’s annual average shows a similar drop, from around 780mm in 1980 to less than 580mm at present.
 
 
For monsoon season rainfall, Punjab has seen a drop of nearly 120mm, from an average of around 600mm in 1980 to roughly 480mm this year.
 
 
In Haryana, it’s down from more than 600mm to around 470mm during the same 35year period.
 
 
“The long term decrease in rainfall is apparent from the graph,” says AchutaRao, “although the rain statistics for the 1980s show very high variation.” But what’s not so apparent is the cause of the decline.
 
 
D Sivananda Pai, head of long range forecasting at IMD Pune, believes the drop is part of natural variability which will get reversed in time.
 
 
“Indian monsoon is passing through a low rainfall epoch since the 1990s. The drop in rainfall in this region could be part of that phenom enon,“ says Pai.
 
 
The story may not be that straightforward, says AchutaRao, who is coordinating multi-agency research into the Indian monsoon.
 
=Monsoon/ water cycle=
 
 
Let’s respect the water cycle
 
 
Amit Bhattacharya | TNN  2010
 
 
Think of water and chances are you wouldn’t picture a farmer digging a tubewell. Most urban Indians can’t think beyond their own water woes — dry taps; waking up at odd hours to tank up for the day. Yet, 80% of all the water India uses goes into agriculture. But even so, 60% of our farmlands remain dependent on the rains. Just as water evaporates, it seems, so do the resources that go into water management in the countryside.
 
 
The scale of this ‘evaporation’ is so massive it is surprising the issue hasn’t generated more public debate. Nothing illustrates this better than the money spent on canals. In the 15 year-period from 1991-92 to 2006-07, the government spent Rs 1.3 lakh crore on major and medium irrigation projects without achieving any net increase in the irrigated area!
 
 
If anything, India’s total canalirrigated area has decreased from 17,791,000 hectares in 1991-91, to 16,531,000 hectares in 2007-08, according to provisional figures released by the agriculture ministry. The story behind this dubious feat encapsulates almost everything that’s wrong with water planning and use in agriculture.
 
 
Himanshu Thakkar, coordinator for South Asia Network on Dams, Rivers and People, should know. Last year, he co-authored a paper that contained exactly those startling statistics. He says it’s not about too few new canals but about “many old ones have stopped functioning, at least partially, due to siltation, lack of maintenance and faulty assumptions of water use. Then there are water management and sharing issues. Often there’s intensive water use in upstream areas which leaves no water at the tail-ends.”
 
 
Thakkar says it boils down to bad investment decisions. “The government keeps pushing for big irrigation projects without taking care of the existing ones, which in itself is a huge task. According to a 2005 World Bank report, the annual maintenance bill for India’s canal network comes to around Rs 17,000 crore. Less than 10% of that money is available,” he says.
 
 
Experts lament that new irrigation projects often fail to take into account the larger hydrological processes they would affect. They also pay little attention to water-use patterns. This has led to river basins such as the Krishna becoming over-irrigated.
 
 
Planning Commission member Mihir Shah calls such policy practices “hydroschizophrenia (or) a schizophrenic view of an indivisible resource like water, failing to recognize the unity and integrity of the hydrologic cycle.”
 
 
Shah elaborates: “It’s a strange situation. Water management in villages comes under two ministries — rural development ministry and ministry of water resources. Often the left hand doesn’t know what the right hand is doing.”
 
 
Both Shah and Thakkar say the first step in dealing with the crisis is accepting ground realities. “While huge amounts are spent on canal systems, groundwater has emerged as the dominant method of irrigation,” says Thakkar. The latest official figures show that more than 60% of India’s 62 million irrigated hectares is fed by groundwater.
 
 
With no regulation, this has obvious perils. In August, two independent studies used satellite data from GRACE or the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment to show that northern India was losing more groundwater than anywhere else in the world except for the Arctic ice sheets. One of the studies put the annual net groundwater loss in Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan at 109 cubic km, which is roughly equivalent to 109 billion tonnes. The water table has dropped dramatically in many areas and this is one of main problems Indian agriculture faces today.
 
 
Thakkar identifies four urgent policy measures: “Ensure that our old water recharge systems are sustained and enhanced, develop new recharge systems and harvest water where it falls, regulate groundwater use and, lastly, massively promote conservation methods like drip irrigation and rice intensification.”
 
 
Shah, who has been asked by the Prime Minister to write a paper for the National Development Council on a holistic water policy, says it's possible for agriculture to grow even as water use falls. “In Australia, water consumption in agriculture has reduced by 30% in the past 20 years. If they can do it, so can we,” he says.
 
 
But for that to happen, water policy has to become participatory. “The irrigation department, which is managed by civil engineers, needs to recruit people managers who understand local needs and sentiments,” concludes Shah.
 
 
It will make all the difference to a thirsty nation and parched fields.
 
 
TOTAL AREA IRRIGATED BY CANALS 1991-92: 17.8 mn hectares 2006-07: 16.8 mn hectares Amount spent on irrigation projects from 1991-92 to 2006-07: Rs 1.3 lakh crore
 
 
INFLATION IN IRRIGATION Nagarjunasagar project (AP) Original cost (pre-fifth Plan):
 
 
Rs 91.12cr Latest estimates*: Rs 1,184cr Increase: 1299%
 
 
Western Kosi canal (Bihar) Original cost: Rs 13.49cr Latest estimates: Rs 904cr Increase: 6701%
 
 
Barnar (Bihar) Original cost (in seventh Plan): Rs 8.03cr Latest estimates*: Rs 216.23cr Increase: 2689%
 
 
* All ‘latest estimates’ as on 2003, according to Planning Commission document
 
==Monsoon: floods==
 
 
''' Every monsoon means flood of bad news ''' 
 
 
Shobhan Saxena | TNN  2010
 
 
In the great plains of India, there is nothing romantic about the monsoon. People’s fate depends on the monsoon’s mood swings. If it fails to keep its date with the country, there is drought. If it’s over generous, the floods cause death and destruction. Even when it’s “normal”, some river somewhere exceeds the danger mark and kills a few hundred people. After the skies clear and the water recedes, armies of mosquitoes and bugs launch attacks. Millions fall prey with chills, cramps, fever. In this part of the world, drought, deluge and death are as much an annual phenomenon as the monsoon.
 
 
Bangladesh may be famous for its notorious floods, but India is not far behind. Every year, the monsoon floods leave a trail of destruction in India. Roughly 20% of deaths caused by flooding worldwide occur here; some 30 million people are evacuated every year. Every year witnesses an “unprecedented flood”. Every other year the “worst flood in living memory” leaves scores dead. Is India becoming ever more vulnerable to monsoon fury?
 
 
No, say Vinod K Sharma and A D Kaushik of the National Centre for Disaster Management in a recent paper on floods in India. They argue that states did not appear quite as vulnerable as before because there was less developmental activity and population pressure. “However, in the present time, unabated population and high rate of developmental activities forced on the occupation of flood plains has made the society highly vulnerable to flood losses,” they wrote.
 
 
In 2009, the monsoon was weak and deficient but it caused floods, deaths and displacement in Orissa, Kerala, Karnataka, Gujarat and the north-eastern states. In 2008, the monsoon was normal, but Bihar faced the worst flood crisis ever as the Kosi breached its embankment, changed course and deluged several districts, leaving hundreds dead and three million homeless.
 
 
= ‘Normal’ monsoons=
 
==2009-18: normalcy is a myth==
 
[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
 
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2009.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2009 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2010.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2010 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2011.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2011 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2012.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2012 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2013.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2013 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2014.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2014 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2015.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2015 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2016.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2016 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2017.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2017 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: The monsoon in India in 2018.jpg|The monsoon in India in 2018 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: Sub-divisions where the monsoon failed in at least five years during the period 2009-18.jpg|Sub-divisions where the monsoon failed in at least five years during the period 2009-18 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
[[File: Sub-divisions where rainfall exceeded the ‘norm’ in at least five years during the period 2009-18.jpg|Sub-divisions where rainfall exceeded the ‘norm’ in at least five years during the period 2009-18 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/why-normal-monsoon-is-a-myth/articleshow/68900585.cms  February 12, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
 
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said the country is likely to have a ‘near normal’ monsoon this year at 96% of the Long Period Average (LPA) -- an encouraging signal for farmers and the overall economy.
 
 
A normal monsoon is considered to be 96-104% of the LPA of 89 cm for the entire four-month season beginning June to September. Above-normal is 104-110%, below-normal is 90-96% and deficient (drought) is below 90%. LPA is defined as the average annual rainfall over a 50-year period between 1951 and 2000.
 
 
Of the past 10 years, India's crucial monsoon rain has been below normal in six years. IMD divides the country into 36 meteorological sub-divisions, mostly corresponding with state boundaries, with bigger states being divided into 2 or 3 sub-divisions, based on climatological uniformity. In poor monsoon years, some 6-7 sub-divisions suffer more than others, the data shows. On the brighter side, two of India’s driest regions have received relatively good rains during this period.
 
 
'''A look at the monsoon pattern from 2009-2018:'''
 
 
2009
 
 
An El Nino year that saw the weakest monsoon and the worst drought in 37 years, in which 23 sub-divisions received deficient rains.
 
 
2010
 
 
2010 was a vast improvement from the previous year; 14 subdivisions (in blue) had excess rainfall.
 
 
2011
 
 
Probably the best monsoon year of this period with the most well-distributed rainfall. No subdivision apart from the northeast (in red) had deficient rains.
 
 
2012
 
 
Monsoon came under the shadow of a warming Pacific although El Nino did not develop. Thirteen sub-divisions received deficient rains in 2012 and only Andaman & Nicobar Islands saw a surplus.
 
2013
 
 
The strongest monsoon of the period, with the earliest onset in decades over north India. Cloudbursts caused the deluge in Kedarnath, Uttarakhand. Swathes of blue across the country meant 14 regions received more rain than initially expected.
 
 
 
2014
 
 
A drought year with monsoon hit by evolving El Nino conditions that didn't eventually form. After several years of poor monsoon, the northeast received normal rains, but 11 regions saw a deficit.
 
 
 
2015
 
 
An El Nino year that lead to the second straight drought year. Agriculture output dipped and water shortages abounded. Poor rains struck 17 sub-divisions, this included the west coast. Rajasthan, in blue, was the only area that got excess rains.
 
2016
 
First normal monsoon in three years saw good rains in central India. Agriculture output grew after a two-year lows . Four regions saw excess rainfall.
 
2017
 
 
It was a below-normal monsoon year with most of the north and parts of central India in rain shadow. Five sub-divisions saw excess rains, while more than two-thirds of India, or 25 sub-divisions, had normal rains.
 
 
2018
 
 
2018 was the second below-normal monsoon year in a row. However, rains were better distributed than in 2017, with north India, for once, getting satisfactory rainfall. Twelve regions saw deficits. Kerala, however, saw excess rainfall which led to devastating floods.
 
 
'''Haryana, Punjab among worst-hit regions '''
 
 
Vidarbha makes news for farmer suicides but rains have failed in the sub-division in just 2 years over the past decade. The story is much bleaker in neighbouring Marathwada.
 
 
 
Most subdivisions in the above list are invariably the hardest hit during weak monsoon years.
 
Regions that received excess rains
 
 
Konkan and Goa, India’s second wettest sub-division had excess rains in four of the past 10 years, increasing the threat of floods, particularly in Mumbai.
 
 
Surprisingly, two of India’s driest regions have clocked excess rainfall on most years since 2009. Average rainfall in West Rajasthan is just 263.2mm during June-Sept, making it the driest sub-division of India. Saurashtra and Kutch is at No. 4 (average rainfall 477.5mm).
 
 
'''How accurate are weather forecasters? '''
 
 
IMD's forecast for 2019 directly challenges the prediction of India's only private sector weather forecaster, Skymet, which is slightly more pessimistic with a forecast of 93%. Both the IMD and Skymet have hit the bull's eye an equal number of times in the last six years. IMD was off the mark in 2014, 2015 (which turned out to be drought years) and 2018, which narrowly escaped a drought.
 
 
[[Category:Climate/Meteorology|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
[[Category:India|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
[[Category:S&T|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
 
[[Category:Climate/Meteorology|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
[[Category:India|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
[[Category:S&T|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
 
=Number of rainy days…=
 
==…in a typical June, July or August==
 
 
[[File: Average monsoon rainfall and number of rainy days in major Indian cities, and towns with the highest rainfall in India..jpg|Average monsoon rainfall and number of rainy days in major Indian cities, and towns with the highest rainfall in India, in June, July, August  <br/>  Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Gallery.aspx?id=15_07_2015_011_049_002&type=P&artUrl=RAINY-DAYS-15072015011049&eid=31808 ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
See graphic, ' Average monsoon rainfall and number of rainy days in major Indian cities, and towns with the highest rainfall in India, in June, July, August  '
 
==…in June, July and August, 2015==
 
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=STATOISTICS-MONSOON-TRAIL-30052015008020 ''The Times of India''], May 30 2015
 
 
 
[[File: Share of monsoon rains, month-wise and daily mean rainfall across India in June, 2015.jpg|Share of monsoon rains, month-wise and daily mean rainfall across India in June, 2015; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Gallery.aspx?id=01_07_2015_012_029_002&type=P&artUrl=MONSOON-16-SURPLUS-IN-JUNE-01072015012029&eid=31808 ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
India receives most of the rainfall in four monsoonal months-June, July, August and September. The Met department defines normal monsoon to be 96 to 104% of the long period average, usually the average monsoon over 30 years. If the rainfall deficiency is more than 10%, it would typically be called a drought year. Last year's monsoon was deficient by 12%. This year's monsoon rainfall is predicted to be 93% of the average. If this year's monsoon deficiency crosses 10%, it will be one more year of drought, making it two successive years of drought, an event that has happened only three times in the past 113 years (1904-05, 1965-66 and 1986-87). In 1917, monsoon exceeded normal by the highest percentage (22.9) in 113 years. In 1918, monsoon was deficient by 24.9%, the highest deficiency for this period
 
 
= ‘Neutral’ years=
 
==1997-2017: vis-à-vis El Nino, La Nina years==
 
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F04%2F17&entity=Ar01416&sk=ED216F54&mode=text  Amit Bhattacharya, In ‘neutral’ years, monsoon isn’t always normal, April 17, 2018: ''The Times of India’']
 
 
[[File: Monsoon rainfall in India during El Nino, La Nina and ‘neutral’ years, 1997-2017.jpg|Monsoon rainfall in India during El Nino, La Nina and ‘neutral’ years, 1997-2017 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F04%2F17&entity=Ar01416&sk=ED216F54&mode=text  Amit Bhattacharya, In ‘neutral’ years, monsoon isn’t always normal, April 17, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
Neither El Nino nor La Nina is expected to impact the monsoon this year, the met department said on Monday. While such ‘neutral’ years are generally associated with normal rainfall, a look at the past 21-year record shows a wide variation in monsoon’s performance.
 
 
From 1997 to 2017, there were 10 neutral years during which the monsoon varied between 88% of average (drought) to 106% (above normal). On the whole, the mean monsoon performance during these neutral years was 97.5% of the long period average (LPA), which is in the lower end of the normal range (96%- 104%) — indicating that monsoons have been generally depressed in the current era.
 
 
The mean monsoon output in the neutral years, however, is way above that of El Nino years (86%) and below the mean for La Nina years (99%). These differences highlight the strong connection of the Indian monsoon with El Nino and La Nina, which are opposite conditions in the Pacific Ocean.
 
 
El Nino is an abnormal warming of surface waters in the east and central equatorial Pacific which negatively impacts the monsoon. La Nina is the opposite — an abnormal cooling of waters that aids the monsoon. As the 21-year data shows, there are years when this relationship doesn’t hold.
 
 
However, the monsoon’s performance varies significantly during the neutral years as well. These variations are a result of many other local and large-scale factors. Among the large scale factors is the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), which is expected to be weakly negative during the second half of this year’s monsoon. A positive Indian Ocean Dipole phase is seen to generally aid the monsoon while a negative phase could depress rains.
 
 
Another highly unpredictable condition with sharp, although short, impacts on rainfall is the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), a periodic eastward moving weather disturbance close to the equator. MJOs can depress or enhance rainfall for a week or two, depending on their position and strength. Slow-moving or stationary MJOs can have longer impacts. A well-positioned MJO can invigorate the monsoon while its absence tends to prolong breaks in monsoon rains. MJOs, however, are very hard to predict.
 
 
Finally, the distribution and intensity of monsoon rains comes down to the number of low-pressure systems and depressions coming inland from the Bay of Bengal. During active monsoon periods, the frequency of these systems are usually high. On some occasions, even winds from the northwest (western disturbances) affect rainfall.
 
 
The interplay of all these factors make monsoon forecasting a highly hazardous profession.
 
 
===In 2015===
 
[[File: Rainfall, June1-August 16, 2015.jpg|Rainfall, June 1-August 16, 2015; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Gallery.aspx?id=17_08_2015_011_016_007&type=P&artUrl=Kharif-sowing-better-this-yr-17082015011016&eid=31808 ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
'''See graphic''':
 
 
''Rainfall, June 1-August 16, 2015''
 
 
=Withdrawl of monsoons=
 
==Delhi==
 
===2010- 2020===
 
[[File: The withdrawal date of Monsoons in India, 2010- 2020.jpg|The withdrawal date of Monsoons in India, 2010- 2020 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2020%2F10%2F01&entity=Ar00403&sk=17C75D11&mode=text  Priyangi Agarwal, October 1, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
'''See graphic''':
 
 
''The withdrawal date of Monsoons in India, 2010- 2020''
 
 
==2020: 13 days late==
 
[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/southwest-monsoon-withdraws-13-days-after-normal-schedule/articleshow/78922163.cms  October 28, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
 
 
Southwest monsoon withdraws, 13 days after normal schedule
 
 
NEW DELHI: The southwest monsoon finally withdrew from the entire country on Wednesday, 13 days after its normal date of final withdrawal. With the final withdrawal, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said the northeast monsoon, a phenomenon that brings rainfall in extreme south peninsular India, has commenced. Analysis of withdrawal dates of southwest monsoon from the entire country during 1975-2020 period shows that the 2010 had seen the most delayed withdrawal on October 29.
 
 
Like this year, the withdrawal date in 2016 was also October 28 while 2000 and 2017 had seen it on October 25. Predicting weather conditions during next few days, the IMD said, “Scattered rainfall with moderate thunderstorm and lightning is very likely over Kerala, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry during next five days with isolated heavy falls over south Tamil Nadu on October 29.”
 
 
[[Category:Climate/Meteorology|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
[[Category:India|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
[[Category:S&T|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
 
MONSOONS: INDIA]]
 
 
=YEAR-WISE DATA=
 
=1901-2013=
 
1901-2013: There are two detailed, year-wise graphics elsewhere on this page.
 
 
'''Years of excessive rain and most deficient rain in monsoon season, 1901-1945'''
 
 
and
 
 
'''Years of excessive rain and most deficient rain in monsoon season, 1946-2013'''
 
 
=2009-18=
 
[[File: Years of excessive rain and deficient rain during the monsoon season, 2009-18.jpg|Years of excessive rain and deficient rain during the monsoon season, 2009-18 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2019%2F04%2F16&entity=Ar00400&sk=119E135C&mode=image  April 16, 2019: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
 
'''See graphic''':
 
 
''Years of excessive rain and deficient rain during the monsoon season, 2009-18''
 
 
=2012, 2014-17: deficit monsoons=
 
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F06%2F01&entity=Ar01712&sk=2445DE7A&mode=text  Amit Bhattacharya, After 4 bad years, IMD says north India to get good rains, June 1, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
 
 
[[File: Monsoon performance in northwest India, 2013-17.jpg|Monsoon performance in northwest India, 2013-17 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F06%2F01&entity=Ar01712&sk=2445DE7A&mode=text  Amit Bhattacharya, After 4 bad years, IMD says north India to get good rains, June 1, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
 
 
The India Meteorological Department’s forecast of a normal monsoon in northwest India will bring cheer to the crucial agricultural region, where rainfall has been below-par for four years in a row. If the forecast holds, northwest India is in for its first no-deficit monsoon since 2013.
 
 
In its region-wise monsoon forecast released on Wednesday, IMD predicted 100% seasonal rainfall in northwest India, a region comprising J&K, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh. In meteorological terms, 100% corresponds to rains that are exactly normal.
 
 
Being farthest from the seas, northwest India is at the tail end of the monsoon system, which arrives here after traversing the rest of the sub-continent. That’s why the normal monsoon season rainfall here is 615mm, way lower than the country’s normal of 887mm for the June-September period.
 
 
In recent years, however, monsoon in the northwest has been mostly below normal. Since 2012, the region received an above-normal monsoon only in 2013, a year that brought disasters of a different kind — cloudbursts and flash-floods in parts of Uttarakhand.
 
 
It is said, when monsoon fails in India, it fails spectacularly in the northwest. The drought years of 2014 and 2015 saw gaping monsoon deficits of 21% and 17%, respectively, in the region. Even last year, when the country had a near-normal monsoon, northwest India ended up with a rain shortfall of 10%.
 
 
The failing rainfall in recent years has not seriously impacted agricultural output in the region. That’s because farmers still have access to water due to perennial rivers, a good irrigation network and groundwater. However, deficient rainfall takes a big toll on the region’s scarce groundwater resources, which have anyway been depleting at an alarming rate.
 
 
Large parts of northwest India fall in the zone that has among the highest rates of groundwater extraction in the world. A bad monsoon puts further stress on this resource while adding to the inputs costs of farmers.
 
 
Further, poor winter rainfall in the region this year, particularly in the western Himalayas, has led to reduced levels in north India’s perennial rivers and other water sources. Timely arrival of monsoon and good rains will thereafter will go a long way in alleviating water stress on all fronts.
 
 
=2013=
 
Monsoon going strong, hopes soar
 
 
Rains Set To Cross 100% Of Long-Period Average, Record Rice Output Likely
 
 
Neha Lalchandani TNN
 
 
[http://epaper.timesofindia.com/Default/Scripting/ArticleWin.asp?From=Archive&Source=Page&Skin=TOINEW&BaseHref=CAP/2013/08/02&PageLabel=14&EntityId=Ar01400&ViewMode=HTML The Times of India] 2013/08/02
 
 
 
A bountiful monsoon normally benefit the kharif crop and augurs good rice production with the area under sowing touching 196 lakh hectares in 2013, a 16 lakh hectare increase over 2012.
 
 
=2015=
 
==17% rain deficit in July 2015==
 
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Dry-days-17-rain-deficit-in-July-02082015018030 ''The Times of India''], Aug 02 2015
 
 
   
 
   
Amit Bhattacharya, Vishwa Mohan & Neha Madaan
+
Indian college lecturers, teachers and political activists hold placards as they shout anti-government slogans in New Delhi on February 12, 2011 during a protest against the life sentence handed down to doctor and social activist, Binayak Sen, on charges of sedition in India's Chhattisgarh state. Amnesty International has described Binayak Sen as a 'prisoner of conscience' but the court insisted the doctor helped outlawed Maoist guerrillas in the insurgency-riven state. An Indian court on February 10 refused bail for Sen sentenced to life in prison on charges of helping Maoist insurgents, in a case that has drawn international condemnation.
  
''' Dry days: 17% rain deficit in July '''
 
  
After a wet June, when other systems had countered the adverse effects of El Nino, monsoon took a drier turn in July and the month ended with a countrywide rain deficit of 17%. However, kharif sowing remained robust, boost ed by good rain spells in sev eral parts of the country .
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'''India's colonial era sedition law was introduced in the 1870s'''
With the dip in rains monsoon's performance in the first half of the season -June 1 to July 31 -was 5% below the long term average June had a monsoon surplus of 16%.
+
  
Heavy rains in Gujarat Rajasthan, West Bengal Jharkhand and parts of cen tral India masked the fact that July this year was the driest since 2002 in terms of average rainfall across the country . The month started on a weak note and rains re mained below par till July 19, except for a brief four day period from the 9th.
+
In India, you could be charged with sedition for liking a Facebook post, criticising a yoga guru, cheering a rival cricket team, drawing cartoons, asking a provocative question in a university exam, or not standing up in a cinema when the national anthem is being played.
  
But there were several redeeming features. “The rainfall, although weak, has been fairly well distributed across most parts of the country ,“ said D Sivananda Pai, head of India Meteoro logical Department's long range forecasting section.
+
So when actress-politician Divya Spandana, better known by her screen name Ramya, made some remarks last week praising Pakistan, a lawyer filed a private case in a local court, seeking to get her charged with sedition for "appreciating the people of Pakistan", India's neighbour and rival.
  
However, some distress zones of low rainfall have started emerging. Rains were consistently weak through July in south India as well as subdivisions such as Marath wada and Madhya Maharash tra. From July 1 till 29, the southern peninsula recorded the highest rainfall deficien cy in the country , at 46%.
+
Ramya had returned from a trip to Islamabad and found Pakistan was "not hell" - a riposte to the Indian Defence Minister, Manohar Parrikar, who recently remarked that going to Pakistan was the "same as going to hell".
  
“We had forecast an 8% rainfall deficit for July , but it has turned out to be more. A typical feature this year has been that most rain-causing disturbances have been com ing from the east. Indian Ocean's monsoon circulation has been weak, which means that the monsoon pulses are not progressing from the south, which has caused a significant rainfall deficiency in the southern parts,“ a Met department official said.
 
  
However, rains in the north, most parts of central India and many regions of the east were close to normal.This is reflected in the kharif crop sowing figures. The overall sown area has, so far, been far ahead of the corresponding figures last year, which was a bad monsoon year.
+
''' 'Anti-national' '''
  
The area under kharif as on Friday (July 31) was still less than what was reported at this time in 2013, when rains were plentiful in the monsoon months. As compared to 819.99 lakh hectares as on August 2, 2013, the kharif sown area this year was 764.28 lakh hectares as on July 31.
+
Lawyer K Vittal Gowda was clearly not impressed.
  
The monsoon is predicted to be active through the first week of August, raising hopes that the net sown area would grow in the coming days.
+
"By saying that people in Pakistan are good, she has committed sedition. This is an anti-national statement," he told my colleague Imran Qureshi in Bangalore, after filing his complaint. India's info-tech capital is no stranger to such allegedly seditious activities: earlier this month, city police slapped a sedition case against Amnesty International India after some people allegedly raised "anti-India slogans at its event".
  
Several agencies, howev er, have predicted a relatively dry period in the country after the first week of August when the monsoon could go into a break, increasing the overall rain deficit.
+
For decades, successive governments have used a colonial-era sedition law - the dreaded section 124a of the antiquated Indian Penal Code - against students, journalists, intellectuals, social activists, and those critical of the government.
  
In its monsoon update in June, IMD had forecast a 10% rain deficit in August. The department will issue another update for the second half of the season in a day or two. It had in June predicted a drought year, with overall seasonal rains at 12% below normal. Meanwhile, private forecaster Skymet downgraded its prediction for the season from 102% to 98%, still staying within the normal range.
+
''' ''India's sedition law'' '''
  
''' PM explores ways on sugar exports '''
 
  
M Modi called for renewed P efforts to raise ethanol blending of fuel and exploring all possibilities for sugar exports as he brainstormed with key ministers and officials to resolve the problems faced by the sector.He reviewed the progress with regard to the Rs 6000 crore incentive package approved by the Centre in June and emphasized that the farmers' interest be kept foremost at all times.
+
'''Section 124a in The Indian Penal Code.'''
=2016=
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[[File: Advance of southwest monsoon, 2016.jpg|Advance of southwest monsoon, 2016; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Gallery.aspx?id=11_06_2016_010_038_002&type=P&artUrl=STATOISTICS-PROGRESS-OF-THE-MONSOON-11062016010038&eid=31808 The Times of India]|frame|500px]]
+
==June 2016: 11% Monsoon deficit==
+
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=11-monsoon-deficit-in-June-01072016019026 The Times of India], July 01, 2016
+
Amit Bhattacharya
+
  
'''11% monsoon deficit in June'''
+
- The law makes "words, either spoken or written, or by signs, or by visible representation, or otherwise, brings or attempts to bring into hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards the government" punishable by law, a fine and a maximum punishment of life imprisonment.
  
Monsoon remained slightly below expectations in the first month of the rainy season as June ended with a countrywide deficit of 11%, mainly on account of a delayed onset.
+
- Drafted by Thomas Macaulay, it was introduced in the 1870s, originally to deal with "increasing Wahabi activities between 1863 and 1870 that posed a challenge to the colonial government".
Despite the deficit, however, rains have been in the normal to excess range in around two-thirds of India's 36 meteorological subdivisions. “The deficit in June was mainly due to the eight-day delay in monsoon's onset. It progressed well after that but did not perform as expected in central India.But the shortfall should be made up in July ,“ said D Sivananda Pai, lead monsoon forecaster at the India Meteorological Department.
+
  
The Met department expects rains to pick up in July , the most crucial month of the season for kharif sowing.Monsoon's performance in July is also important for water recharge as it accounts for almost a third of the total seasonal rainfall. By contrast, June normally gets only around 18% of the total monsoon rains.
+
- In the 19th and early 20th Centuries, the law was mainly used against Indian political leaders seeking independence from British rule.
  
“The monsoon hit the country only on June 8. So, we have got just about three weeks of monsoon rains so far. By that measure, an 11% shortfall is well within range,“ said B P Yadav, director, IMD. Among the meteorological regions of the country , south India received the best rain bounty , with 22% excess rains in June.Although the monsoon is yet to arrive in many parts of northwest India, the region had just a2.4% rain shortfall because of fairly good pre-monsoon showers in states such as Punjab.
+
- Mahatma Gandhi, who was charged with sedition, famously said the law was "designed to suppress the liberty of the citizen".
  
The highest shortfall was in east and northeast India, where June ended with a 27.3% deficit. The performance wasn't totally unexpected because the region is predicted to receive less rains this year.
+
- In the decades after independence in 1947, the law was used against people accusing the ruling Congress government of corruption and tyranny, and little-known Communist leaders who exhorted people to "overthrow the government and capitalists".
  
The region where monsoon has been more or less disappointing is central India, which had an 18.2% deficit in June. Except for Konkan and Goa, Marathwada and west Madhya Pradesh, rainfall has been less than average in all subdivisions of the region.
+
- In 1951, prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru described the law as "highly objectionable and obnoxious".
  
While Odisha and east MP are expected to get rains in the next days, other subdivisions in the region where the deficit is high -Gujarat and Madhya Maharashtra -may have to wait a few more days for good rainfall, Met officials said.These areas too would get good monsoon showers in July , they added. “In the next few days, monsoon activity is likely to be concentrated in northwest India and adjoining parts of central India. We expect monsoon to hit Delhi, Haryana, Punjab and more parts of UP and Rajasthan in the next two-three days,“ said Yadav.
+
- In 1962, the Supreme Court imposed limits on the use of the law, making incitement to violence a necessary condition.
  
===Deficit hampers kharif sowing===
+
- More than half-a-century after the top court imposed restrictions on using the law, authorities appear to be flouting it with impunity.
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Deficit-rainfall-hampers-kharif-sowing-in-June-02072016018051 The Times of India], Jul 02 2016
+
  
[[File: Sown area under Kharif crop in 2015-16, 2016-17.jpg|Sown area under Kharif crop in 2015-16, 2016-17; Graphic courtesy: [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Deficit-rainfall-hampers-kharif-sowing-in-June-02072016018051 The Times of India], July 2, 2016|frame|500px]]
+
- As many as 47 sedition cases were reported in 2014 alone, across nine states, according to the National Crime Records Bureau. Many of these cases did not involve any violence or incitement to violence. A total of 58 people were arrested in connection with the cases. The government has only managed one conviction.
  
Vishwa Mohan
+
Indian police clash with protestors on the beach at Idinathakarai village near the Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant in southern Tamil Nadu on September 10, 2012. Police in a southern Indian state shot dead a fisherman and clashed with with activists who were protesting the start of work at a nuclear power plant, officials said.
  
'''Deficit rainfall hampers kharif sowing in June 2016'''
 
  
 +
'''Consider this:'''
  
Deficit monsoon rains in June has affected the overall kharif sowing operation in the month, keeping the sown area low as compared to the corresponding period last year but the area under paddy has shown improvement for the first time this season as compared to 2015-16.
 
Kharif sown area data, released by the agriculture ministry on Friday , put the total area at 215.87 lakh hectare as on July 1 as compared to 279.27 lakh hectare at this time last year. However, the paddy recorded marginal increase by covering 47.77 lakh hectare so far this year as compared to 47.62 lakh hectare in 2015-16.
 
  
Sowing operations, which remained sluggish during the first three weeks after the onset of monsoon, picked up pace in the past one week due to good rains in south India -covering over 90 lakh hectare under various crops in the past seven days.
+
- In September 2001, cartoonist Aseem Trivedi was arrested after a complaint that his cartoons mocked the constitution and national emblem. The charges were dropped a month later following widespread criticism and public protests.
  
“Though the area under kharif crops, including pulses, oilseeds and cotton, is still less than the area during the corresponding period last year due to 11% of deficit rainfall in June, the sowing operation will further pick up in July and hopefully cross the last year's sown area by the end of this month“, said an official.
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- In March 2014, 60 Kashmiri students in Uttar Pradesh were charged with sedition for cheering for Pakistan in a cricket match against India. Authorities dropped the charges following legal advice from the law ministry.
  
Areas under pulses and oilseeds will, however, continue to be a major concern.Sown area under oilseeds stands at merely 28.71 lakh hectare as on Friday as compared to 54.24 lakh hectare at this time last year. Similarly, cotton too recorded poor sowing as its sown area stands at 30.59 lakh hectare as compared to 60.16 lakh hectare in the 2015-16.
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- In August 2014, authorities in Kerala charged seven young men, including students, with sedition after a complaint that they had refused to stand up during the national anthem in a cinema.
  
The availability of water in the country's 91 major reservoirs has marginally increased from 23.20 billion cubic meter (BCM) on June 23 to 23.94 BCM as on June 30 despite constant withdrawal of water from them.
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- In October 2015, folk singer S Kovan was held in Tamil Nadu for two songs criticising the state government for allegedly profiting from state-owned liquor shops at the expense of the poor.
  
According to the Central Water Commission, Rajasthan, Tripura and Andhra Pradesh have better storage in 2016 than the corresponding period in 2015.
+
- In February 2016, student leader Kanhaiya Kumar was arrested and charged with sedition for allegedly shouting anti-India slogans. He was later freed on bail.
  
=2017=
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- In 2012 and 2013, an astonishing number of 23,000 men and women who protested against a nuclear power plant in Tamil Nadu were held for "waging war against the state" and sedition - 9,000 of them for sedition alone. "Police would name a few accused and then add 2,000 others without naming them while booking them for sedition. That's how arbitrary it is," anti-nuclear activist SP Udayakumar tells me.
== Despite floods, 5% rain deficit==
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[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=DOUBLE-WHAMMY-Despite-floods-India-faces-5-rain-19082017017018  Amit Bhattacharya, Despite floods, India faces 5% rain deficit, August 19, 2017: The Times of India]
+
  
[[File: All-India average daily rainfall, and the deviation from this average in 2017, at the all-India level and in India’s four geographical zones.jpg|All-India average daily rainfall, and the deviation from this average in 2017, at the all-India level and in India’s four geographical zones; [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=DOUBLE-WHAMMY-Despite-floods-India-faces-5-rain-19082017017018  Amit Bhattacharya, Despite floods, India faces 5% rain deficit, August 19, 2017: The Times of India]|frame|500px]]
 
  
'''Large Parts Receive Poor Rain In August'''
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''' 'Instilling fear' '''
  
The flood fury in Assam, Bihar, Bengal and Uttar Pradesh has taken attention away from poor monsoon rains in large parts of the country in August. The month has so far seen a 24% rain deficit (till August 18), with central India in particular reeling under a prolonged break in the monsoon.
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Some 140 cases, half of them related to sedition, against the protesters are being heard in the courts today. "The law is purely used now to instil fear and intimidate people who protest against authority," says Mr Udayakumar.
  
The lull in rains has opened up a huge 58% shortfall in central India, and 37% in the northwest, for the month of August, pulling down monsoon's performance since June 1 to belownormal zone. The overall deficit now stands at 5% of the long period average.
+
Things seem to be getting worse.
  
However, the good news is that the monsoon is set to revive, the India Meteorological Department officials said. “By the weekend, the monsoon will become more active as a low pressure system is forming in the Bay of Bengal. We expect the situation in central India, west coast and the peninsula to improve,“ said D Sivananda Pai, head of IMD's longrange forecasting division.
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Media watchdog The Hoot says it is "raining sedition charges in an otherwise normal monsoon season" this year. It has listed 18 cases involving sedition charges against 19 people in the first eight months of 2016.
  
The monsoon went into a break in the last week of July, when a weather disturbance, called Madden Julian Oscillation, appeared in the eastern Indian Ocean and depressed rains over the subcontinent.
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India's slow moving judicial system ensures prolonged delays in disposing cases. Meanwhile, people charged with sedition have to surrender their passports, are not eligible for government jobs, must produce themselves in the court as and when required, and spend money on legal fees. "The charges have rarely stuck in most of the cases, but the process itself becomes the punishment," says Jayshree Bajoria , co-writer of a Human Rights Watch report on "stifling dissent" in India.
  
“Since then, no low pressure systems formed in the Bay of Bengal. Neither did any storm system move west from the Pacific to aid the monsoon here. There were no impulses from the Indian Ocean either,“ Pai said.
+
In August 2016, a non-profit group also mounted a fresh legal challenge against the "misuse" of the law in the Supreme Court.
  
“Now, there's some activity in the Indian Ocean which should progress northward towards India,“ he added.
+
Common Cause urges the top court to make it compulsory for the authorities to "produce a reasoned order" from the local chief of police certifying that the seditious act could either lead to incitement of violence or could lead to public disorder, before any police complaint or arrest can be made.
  
While central and south are expected to get wet spells in the coming days, northwest India will have to wait to more conducive conditions.
+
Most believe India should simply get rid of the law along with a raft of vaguely-worded, draconian laws - the criminal defamation laws and laws to curb hate speech and silence dissent, for example. "Sedition itself needs to enter the dustbin of oppressive legal history," says lawyer Karuna Nundy.
  
“Northwest may not improve a lot unless there's an interaction of a western disturbance with the monsoon system,“ Pai said.
+
Clearly, scrapping the law would be a good beginning. "The sooner we get rid of it the better," Nehru had said. That was more than half-a-century ago.
  
The three-week monsoon break has led to several meteorological subdivisions becoming rain “deficient“, showing a deficit of at least 20%. These include Haryana, west Uttar Pradesh, east and west Madhya Pradesh, Marathwada, Vidarbha, entire Karnataka and Kerala.In most other parts of India, comprising 26 of the 36 subdivision, rainfall has been normal or excess.
+
=Fundamental rights and sedition=
 +
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Sedition-law-should-stay-but-its-interpretation-must-19022016022027 ''The Times of India''], Feb 19 2016
  
As is usually the case during a break in the monsoon, northeast India and the Himalayan regions continued to get rain in the first half of August, causing rivers to swell and flood the Gangetic plains. East and northeast India region has a 48% rain surplus so far in August, which IMD expects to decrease slightly in the second half. South India, which was the country's driest region in July with a 36% deficit, has had better rains in August. It still has an overall deficit of 16%.
+
Soli J Sorabjee
  
== Deficient rainfall brings down kharif sowing==
+
'''Sedition law should stay, but its interpretation must be specific and not wide-ranging as in British era'''
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Deficient-rainfall-brings-down-kharif-sowing-19082017017020  Vishwa Mohan, Deficient rainfall brings down kharif sowing, August 19, 2017: The Times of India]
+

  
 +
No fundamental right in our Constitution is absolute. Free dom of speech and expression guaranteed by Article 19(1)(a) can be reasonably restricted on the grounds specified in Article 19(2). It is significant that during the debates in the Constituent Assembly the founding fathers, in view of their bitter experience of the application of the sedition law by the British colonial regime, deliberately omitted `sedition' as one of the permissible grounds of restriction under Article 19(2) on freedom of speech and expression.
 +
However sedition as a criminal offence remains in the IPC and provides for inter alia sentence of life imprisonment and fine upon conviction. Section 124A was challenged in the Supreme Court as violative of the fundamental rights of free speech guaranteed by Article 19 (1)(a) of the Constitution.
  
Sending worry ing signals to the farm sector, deficient rains in central and peninsular India have taken toll on the ongoing Kharif (summer crop) sowing operation, bringing down the total acreage as on Friday, as compared to the sown area during the corresponding period last year.
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The Federal Court of (British) India presided over by the distinguished Chief Justice, Maurice Gwyer, ruled that sedition law is not to be invoked “to minister to the wounded vanity of government ... The acts or words complained of must either incite to disorder or must be such as to satisfy reasonable men that that is their intention or tendency“.The Privy Council did not approve of the Federal Court judgment and placed a wide and literal interpretation of the section.
  
Oilseeds and pulses are the worst hit. It will increase the country's import bill if sowing does not pick up in next two-three weeks. India, in any case, has to depend on imports to meet its domestic demand for these crops.
+
According to the Privy Council any speech or writing which evinced disloyalty or ill feelings towards the government could be regarded as sedition and persons guilty of such acts could be prosecuted and punished for committing the offence of sedition. Our Supreme Court in its landmark decision in 1962, in Kedarnath versus state of Bihar, dissented from the view of the Privy Council and preferred the view of the Federal Court.
  
Latest crop-wise figures, released by the agriculture ministry on Friday , show that the total Kharif sown ar ea as on Friday stand at 976.34 lakh hectares as compared to 984.57 lakh hectares at this time last year -a clear indication that the current crop year (2017-18) may not be as good as 2016-17 in terms of production despite normal monsoon in many parts of the country .
+
According to the Supreme Court, mere criticism of the government or comments on the administration, however vigorous or pungent or even ill-informed, does not constitute sedition. The Supreme Court limited the application of Section 124A (sedition) to acts involving intention or tendency to create disorder, or disturbance of law and order, or incitement to violence.
  
Though the total sown area has dipped below last year's corresponding period level for the first time on Friday this monsoon season, sown area under oilseeds has consistently been declin ing for the past four weeks.
+
Incitement to violence is the essential ingredient of the offence of sedition. That is our law, that is how Section 124A was interpreted and upheld as constitutional by a Constitution Bench. Therefore the question whether certain speech or acts constitute sedi tion are essentially questions of fact which have to be determined by a court of law keeping in mind the principles enunciated by the Supreme Court in Kedarnath's case.
  
Similarly , pulses too has shown declining trend in past two weeks with sown area under pigeon pea (arhar), moong and soyabean declining by 18%, 6% and 9% respectively as compared to their acreage at this time last year. Sown area under oilseeds stand at 157.36 lakh hectares (LH) as compared to 175.10 LH at this time last year -the highest dip in terms of acreage so far this season.
+
Thus shouting slogans like Pakistan zindabad, however deplorable, per se would not attract Section 124A. Criticism of judgment of the Supreme Court upholding the conviction of Afzal Guru on the ground that he did not have a fair trial, is untenable because in my opinion Afzal Guru had a fair trial at all stages of the proceedings.
  
Less rainfall means poor storage of water and lower acreage in the Kharif season and also during Rabi (winter crop) sowing operation, beginning October. Less moisture content in soil also affects Rabi crops. If low rainfall phase continues in these areas, its effect will be felt on overall production.
+
Nonetheless criticism of the Supreme Court judgment, is again per se not sedition unless there is speech or acts which call for avenging the `injustice' done to Afzal Guru by commission of acts against the government or advocate its overthrow by violent means. If, and i repeat if, a person has said Hindustan murdabad, that the state is tyrannical and it is better to do away with it, necessary to overthrow it, that would constitute sedition.
  
==235 districts were deficit; after floods came drought==
+
But these facts have to be established in a court of law by following proper procedure. It is not for lawyers or political workers to prejudge the issue. An accused cannot be denied his or her fundamental right to fair trial by assaulting him or her or their supporters or their lawyers, as that would militate against the rule of law and also disrupt administration of justice by regular courts of the land.
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=235-of-The-Countrys-630-Districts-Face-Monsoon-14092017009022  Amit Bhattacharya, 235 of The Country's 630 Districts Face Monsoon Deficit Of 20% Or More - After floods, Comes drought, Sep 14 2017: The Times of India]
+
  
[[File: Monsoon performance, district-wise, month-wise.jpg|Monsoon performance, district-wise, month-wise, 2017; [http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=235-of-The-Countrys-630-Districts-Face-Monsoon-14092017009022  Amit Bhattacharya, 235 of The Country's 630 Districts Face Monsoon Deficit Of 20% Or More - After floods, Comes drought, Sep 14 2017: The Times of India]|frame|500px]]
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These basic principles must be kept in mind in all cases. Mob rule and mob justice cannot be permitted however strongly one may dislike the accused and his alleged statements. If that happens the very basis of a civil society is undermined and there is no vibrant democracy prevalent in our country .
  
Around 235 districts across the country face the prospect of drought this year as the monsoon appears headed for a below-normal performance, with the season's deficit currently at 6.2% of normal.
+
In my view Section 124A `Sedition' as interpreted by the Supreme Court is necessary . Its misuse is no ground for its deletion.
  
These districts, accounting for 37% of the country's 630 districts for which rain data is available, have monsoon shortfall of at least 20%, with nine show acute deficits of 60% or more, data from the India Meteorological Department reveals.
 
  
A majority of the distress districts lie in the hinterland, in a swathe running through Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha. Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and MP are the hardest hit states, showing rain deficits of 31%, 28% and 25%, respectively .
 
  
The deficits have grown gradually since the end of July, when the monsoon started failing in central and north India. The first two months of the season, June and July , ended with a countrywide rain surplus of 2.5%. Monsoon's performance since August 1 has been a dismal 17% below normal (till September 12), with good rainfall being mainly restricted to south and northeast India.
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[[Category:India|ISEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIA
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“A number of factors worked against the monsoon since July-end. There have hardly been low-pressure circulations since then and conditions in the Indian and Pacific oceans have been unfavourable,“ said D Sivananda Pai, head of IMD's long range monsoon forecasts.
 
  
IMD had forecast normal monsoon this year at 96% of long period average, which it updated to 98% in June.
 
  
Poor distribution of rainfall has added to the distress.As many as 110 districts have had excess or `large excess' (over 60% of normal) rainfall. In addition, heavy rain spells in Gujarat, Rajasthan and catchment areas in the Himalayas (particularly in Nepal) caused the worst floods in the country in 10 years.
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Ironically , states such as UP have seen both flood fury as well as the prospect of drought. The monsoon deficit in west UP stands at 37%, highest for any subdivision in the country . Of the state's 72 districts, rainfall has been deficient in 48. Of these, five districts -Agra, Hamirpur, Mahamayanagar, Amethi and Kushinagar -face acute shortfall of 60% or more.
+
=Court judgments=
 +
==Criticism of government is not sedition==
 +
=== Bombay HC, 2015===
 +
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com//Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Trivedi-toons-lacked-wit-but-not-seditious-18032015009014 ''The Times of India''], Mar 18 2015
  
This combination of poor rains and floods is likely to hit kharif output, although data till September 8 reveals that the sowing area this year is only marginally less than last year's, with the biggest drops seen in oilseeds, pulses and jute. Several state governments have reported ly started drought exercises.
+
Swati Deshpande
  
Poor rains have affected water storage levels, important for winter crops. According to the Central Water Commission data, live storage at 91 important reservoirs in the country was at 58% of capacity on September 8, lowest in five years for which data was available. It was lower than the corresponding period during drought years of 2014 (74%) and 2015 (59%), and significantly below the 10-year average of 69%.
+
''' `Trivedi toons lacked wit, but not seditious' '''
  
IMD believes the second half of September could bring better rains in central India. “While the situation in northwest is not likely to change too much, there are indications that central India may get some rain in the next couple of weeks. Monsoon isn't likely to start withdrawing in the next few days,“ Pai said.
+
A citizen can say or write anything critical about the government, or its measures, as long it does not incite violence or is intended to dis rupt public peace and create disorder, the Bombay HC said while holding that cartoons by Aseem Trivedi in 2011 lacked wit but were not seditious as charged by the police.
 +
The HC also directed the police to “scrupulously implement'' new guidelines issued by the Maharashtra government that place checks on filing frivolous sedition cases.
  
==Monsoon ends 5% below normal==
+
“Cartoons or caricatures are visual representations, words or signs which are supposed to have an element of wit, humour or sarcasm. Having seen the seven cartoons in question, it is difficult to find wit, humour or sarcasm. The cartoons at a meeting on November 27, 2011, in Mumbai, as part of a movement by Anna Hazare against corruption in India, were full of anger and disgust against corruption in the political system and had no wit, humour or sarcasm,'' the HC said on Tuesday , holding that the sedition charge was not attracted against Trivedi.
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Monsoon-to-end-below-par-as-rains-begin-28092017009024  Amit Bhattacharya, Monsoon to end below-par as rains begin to withdraw, September 28, 2017: The Times of India]
+
  
 +
“But for that reason, the freedom of speech and expression available to Trivedi to express indignation against corruption in the political system in strong terms or visual representations could not have been encroached upon when there is no allegation of incitement to violence or tendency or intention to create public disorder,'' the HC bench of Chief Justice Mohit Shah and Jus tice Nitin Jamdar said.
  
The southwest monsoon has begun to withdraw from the country , some two weeks later than normal.With just three days to go for the official end of India's rainy season, it is now fairly certain that this year's monsoon will end in the below-normal zone.
+
Trivedi's arrest was for serious criminal life imprisonment attracting charge of sedition, among other offences. But the HC ordered his bail three days after his arrest on September 11 following a plea by a city lawyer, and then state advocategeneral Darius Khambata found the invocation excessive. The Bandra-Kurla Complex then dropped the sedition charge.
  
The India Meteorological Department announced on Wednesday that the monsoon had retreated from the western parts of Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan, as well as the northwestern tip of Gujarat.
 
  
“We expect the monsoon to withdraw completely from northwest India and adjoining parts of central India in the next two-three days. Dry weather is forecast in the region and there's a substantial drop in moisture levels, making conditions favourable for the retreat,“ said M Mohapatra, head of services at IMD.
 
  
He said south India, eastern coast and the northeast will continue to get rain over the next few days. The monsoon's performance so far has been below normal, with the countrywide rain deficit currently at 5.5%. The figure is unlikely to change much in the next three days, when the monsoon season (June to September) ends. This means that the monsoon is most likely to finish in the below-normal range (90-96% of long period average).
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[[Category:India|I
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=== SC, 2016===
 +
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Mere-criticism-of-govt-or-policies-not-sedition-06092016001102 ''The Times of India''], Sep 06 2016
  
That would be a rather disappointing end to the season that had begun with expectations of normal rains. In April, IMD had forecast monsoon to be 96% of normal. It had subsequently updated the prediction to 98% of normal in June. Both forecasts had 4% error margin.
+
AmitAnand Choudhary
  
==One-third of districts under rain deficit==
+
The Supreme Court clarified that sedition charges cannot be brought against a person merely for raising a voice against the government or its policies.
[http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/monsoon-signs-off-with-one-third-of-districts-under-rain-deficit/articleshow/60896827.cms  Amit Bhattacharya, Monsoon signs off with one-third of districts under rain deficit, Oct 1, 2017: The Times of India]
+
The clarification became necessary in view of the controversy generated after sedition charges were slapped in a number of cases recently , sparking demands for the colonial-era law to be scrapped.
  
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=Monsoon-to-end-below-par-as-rains-begin-28092017009024  Amit Bhattacharya, September 30, 2017: The Times of India]
+
A bench of Justices Dipak Misra and U U Lalit said that the apex court had settled the controversy on sedition law way back in 1962 and had clarified under what circumstances the penal provi sion could be used.
  
 +
“We are of the opinion that the authorities, while dealing with offences under Section 124A of the Indian Penal Code, shall be guided by the principles laid down by the Constitution Bench in Kedar Nath Singh vs State of Bihar,“ the bench said. Refusing to re-examine the issue afresh, the bench said the guidelines framed by the Constitution bench 54 years ago were good enough in the present circumstances.
  
'''HIGHLIGHTS'''
+
The SC clarified in its 1962 verdict that a “citizen has a right to say or write whatever he likes about the government, or its measures, by way of criticism or comment, so long as he does not incite people to violence against the government established by law or with the intention of creating public disorder“.
  
The overall monsoon shortfall is also showing in water storage levels.
+
The court had pointed out two essential ingredients required to establish the crime of sedition -the acts must be intended to have the “effect of subverting the government“ by violent means, and the acts must be intended to create disorder or disturbance of public peace and order by re sort to violence and must incite violence. It had clarified that comments, however strongly worded, expressing disapproval of government actions, without exciting those feelings which generate the inclination to cause public disorder by acts of violence was not sedition.
  
In 2016, too, the monsoon went into a longish break in August.
+
Seeking the court's intervention to stop misuse of IPC Section 124A, advocate Prashant Bhushan, appearing for NGO Common Cause, contended that it was high time the court examined the issue as the law was misused de spite the apex court's order.He said police personnel were not aware of the 1962 verdict.
  
A normal monsoon in 2016 had led to record foodgrain production.
+
The law has not been amended after the Kedar Nath Singh judgment by the apex court and a constable does not understand the judgment, what he understands is the section in the IPC, he said.
  
India received below-normal monsoon this year, with the season ending on a 5.2% deficit on Saturday. While 50% of the country's districts have had normal rains, more than a third — 215 districts — are left with deficient rainfall, which could impact the kharif crop to an extent.
+
Referring to an NCRB report, the plea said 47 cases of sedition were filed in 2014 alone and 58 people arrested in connection with these cases. The bench, however, was not convinced and refused to pass any direction.
  
A 'below-normal monsoon', according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), is when countrywide rains in the season are 90-96% of the long period average (LPA). It is a category above 'deficient monsoon', when rains are below 90% of LPA (as in the drought years of 2014 and 2015).
+
==="Sedition, defamation cannot be invoked for criticism": SC===
 +
[http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/sedition-defamation-cannot-be-invoked-for-criticism-sc/article9075381.ece ''The Hindu''], September 6, 2016
  
The majority of the districts in rain distress this year are in Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Vidarbha and surrounding areas, which were the hardest hit by an unexpected dip in rainfall in the second half of the season.
+
Sedition or defamation cases cannot be slapped on anyone criticising the government, the Supreme Court said on Monday. “Someone making a statement to criticise the government does not invoke an offence under sedition or defamation law. We have made it clear that invoking of section 124(A) of IPC (sedition) requires certain guidelines to be followed as per the earlier judgement of the apex court,” a bench of Justices Dipak Misra and U.U. Lalit said.
  
While the first half (June-July) posted a 2.5% rain surplus, August and September had a combined deficit of 12.5%. The Met department attributes the monsoon's failure in these months to a combination of factors that came into play together.
+
The observation came as advocate Prashant Bhushan, appearing for an NGO, said sedition was a serious offence and the law on it was being grossly misused for stifling dissent. He cited the examples of sedition charges being slapped on agitators protesting against Kudankulam Nuclear Power Project and cartoonist Aseem Trivedi, among others.
  
"A number of storms originated in the northwest Pacific in August, which reduced rain activity over the Indian subcontinent. Conditions in the Indian Ocean too did not boost rainfall during this period," said D Sivananda Pai, head of long range forecasting at IMD. In terms of India's four regions, the northwest had the maximum rain deficit of 10%, followed by central with 6%, and east and northeast with 4%. Rains were normal in south India.
+
To this, the bench said, “We don’t have to explain the sedition law. It’s already there in the five-judge constitution bench judgment in Kedar Nath Singh vs state of Bihar of 1962.
  
The government's first advance estimate of this year's kharif crop reflects the monsoon's below-par performance, with the estimated production pegged 2.8% below last year's. A normal monsoon in 2016 had led to record foodgrain production.
+
The court, while disposing of a petition filed by NGO Common Cause alleging misuse of the sedition law, refused to pass a direction on the plea that a copy of this order be sent to all Chief Secretaries of states and the Directors General of Police.
  
The comparison with last year, when overall rains were better by just over two percentage points, is interesting. While 10 out of the 36 subdivisions in the country had deficient rains in 2016 — as compared to six this year — there were fewer districts with large rain shortfall. The number of districts with deficient or very deficient rain stood at 199 last year, while this year the number is 215.
+
“You have to file separate plea highlighting if any misuse of sedition law is there. In criminal jurisprudence, allegations and cognisance have to be case specific, otherwise it will go haywire. There can’t be any generalisation,the bench said.
  
In 2016, too, the monsoon went into a longish break in August. However, crucially, the break came later and lasted for a shorter time. This year, the break in the monsoon — when rainfall dips sharply in central India — began around July 26 and continued till the third week of August, a period crucial for kharif sowing.
+
Mr. Bhushan said law has not been amended after the Kedar Nath Singh judgment by the apex court and that a constable does not understand the judgment, but what he understands is the section in the IPC.
  
"There were too many lulls in the monsoon during the second half. Also, the distribution of rainfall was rather poor, with some areas getting too much rain, which led to floods," said Pai. On the brighter side, south India got good rains during August and September, which wiped out the deficits of the previous months.
+
“Constables don’t need to understand. It is the magistrate who needs to understand and follow the guidelines as laid down by the apex court while invoking sedition charges,” the apex court said. The court was hearing a plea seeking the apex court’s intervention to address the “misuse” of section 124(A) of the IPC contending that such a charge was being framed with a view to “instil fear and scuttle dissent.
  
Some of these subdivisions, such as south interior Karnataka, had seen drought last year. The northeast, too, got good spells of rain in the second half.
+
The NGO’s plea said “there has been an increase in the number of cases of sedition against intellectuals, activists, students, with the latest being the sedition charge on Amnesty India for organising a debate on Kashmir.
The overall monsoon shortfall is also showing in water storage levels. According to the Central Water Commission, 91 major reservoirs in the country were at 66% of capacity on September 28. This is just about 89% of the levels in the corresponding period last year, and 87% of the 10-year average.
+
  
 +
“In this regard, a petition has been filed to address the misuse and misapplication of Section 124A (sedition law) by the Centre and various State Governments leading to routine persecution of students, journalists and intellectuals engaged in social activism. It is submitted that these charges are framed with a view to instill fear and to scuttle dissent.”
  
'''Monsoon to end below-par as rains begin to withdraw'''
+
Acting on a complaint by the ABVP on Saturday, Bengaluru police had slapped sedition charges against Amnesty International India after an event it had organised on allegations of human rights violations and denial of justice in Jammu and Kashmir.
  
 +
Referring to a National Crime Records Bureau report, the plea said that 47 cases of sedition were filed in 2014 alone and 58 persons arrested in connection with these cases, but the government has managed only one conviction so far.
  
The southwest monsoon has begun to withdraw from the country , some two weeks later than normal.With just three days to go for the official end of India's rainy season, it is now fairly certain that this year's monsoon will end in the below-normal zone.
+
It cited a series of recent examples of activists being slapped with sedition charges, including Arundhati Roy in 2010 for alleged anti-India remarks at an event in Kashmir, cartoonist Aseem Trivedi in 2012 for allegedly insulting the country through his cartoons, doctor and human rights activist Binayak Sen, JNUSU President Kanhaiya Kumar and DU professor S.A.R. Geelani.
  
The India Meteorological Department announced on Wednesday that the monsoon had retreated from the western parts of Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan, as well as the northwestern tip of Gujarat.
+
The plea sought a direction that either Director General of Police or Commissioner of Police be asked to give a report before registration of an FIR for the offence of sedition that the act has led to violence or there was an intent on the part of the accused to create public disorder.
  
“We expect the monsoon to withdraw completely from northwest India and adjoining parts of central India in the next two-three days. Dry weather is forecast in the region and there's a substantial drop in moisture levels, making conditions favourable for the retreat,“ said M Mohapatra, head of services at IMD.
+
It also sought a direction that the investigations and prosecutions be dropped in cases where such a reasoned order was not provided and the act in question involved peaceful expression or assembly.
  
He said south India, eastern coast and the northeast will continue to get rain over the next few days. The monsoon's performance so far has been below normal, with the countrywide rain deficit currently at 5.5%. The figure is unlikely to change much in the next three days, when the monsoon season (June to September) ends. This means that the monsoon is most likely to finish in the below-normal range (90-96% of long period average).
+
The constitutional validity of section 124(A) rests upon either an intention to create public disorder or incitement of violence, it had said.
  
That would be a rather disappointing end to the season that had begun with expectations of normal rains. In April, IMD had forecast monsoon to be 96% of normal. It had subsequently updated the prediction to 98% of normal in June. Both forecasts had 4% error margin.
+
==== Uttarakhand HC, 2020 ====
 +
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2020%2F10%2F29&entity=Ar01602&sk=53599FA7&mode=text  Kautilya Singh & Prashant Jha, October 29, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
  
=2018=
+
Criticising govt not sedition, says HC
==13 Jun- 11 Sept==
+
[[File: 2018- The progress of the Monsoon in India, 13 June- 11 September, 2018.jpg|2018- The progress of the Monsoon in India, 13 June- 11 September, 2018 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F09%2F12&entity=Ar00401&sk=89E7F1AA&mode=image  September 12, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
+
  
'''See graphic''':
+
Dehradun:
  
''2018- The progress of the Monsoon in India, 13 June- 11 September, 2018''
+
In its order in which the Uttarakhand HC directed a CBI probe to be conducted into corruption charges levelled against CM Trivendra Singh Rawat, the court also called for quashing of an FIR in which Section 124-A of the IPC (pertaining to sedition) was slapped on journalist Umesh Kumar Sharma, the man who had made the allegations against the CM.
  
==2018: a district-wise map ==
+
“There is no material to show what criminal conspiracy was done, and prima-facie, no offence under Section 120-B IPC is made out,” the single bench of Justice Ravindra Maithani said, adding, “Unless public functionaries are criticised, democracy cannot be strengthened...if dissent is suppressed under the sedition law, it would make democracy weak. Criticising the government can never be sedition.
[[File: Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon- A district-wise map; 2018 vis-à-vis 2015, 16, 17; There was a 9.4% deficit.jpg|Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon <br/> A district-wise map; <br/> 2018 vis-à-vis 2015, 16, 17 <br/> There was a 9.4% deficit <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F10%2F01&entity=Ar00302&sk=DB7C233F&mode=text  October 1, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
+
  
'''See graphic''':
+
Sharma had alleged that bribe money was deposited into the bank accounts of the CM’s close relatives and associates during demonetisation in 2016. The allegation was that the money was paid by a Ranchi-based individual Amratesh Chauhan as part of a deal with Rawat to facilitate his appointment as chairman of Gau Seva Aayog of Jharkhand. CM Rawat said he is “open to investigation”.
  
''Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon <br/> A district-wise map; <br/> 2018 vis-à-vis 2015, 16, 17 <br/> There was a 9.4% deficit''
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[[Category:India|ISEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIA
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[[Category:Law,Constitution,Judiciary|ISEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIASEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIA
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SEDITION AND THE LAW: INDIA]]
  
==2018: Sub division-wise actuals==
+
= Sedition cases/ Offences against the state registered in=
[[File: Rainfall in the 36 ‘sub divisions’ of India during the 2018 Monsoon, till 29 September 2018.jpg|Rainfall in the 36 ‘sub divisions’ of India during the 2018 Monsoon, till 29 September 2018 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F10%2F01&entity=Ar01605&sk=550DDEB9&mode=text  October 1, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
+
==2015==
 +
[http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31808&articlexml=30-sedition-cases-registered-in-2015-17-less-31082016020030  30 sedition cases registered in 2015; 17 less than in 2014, By Neeraj Chauhan Aug 31 2016 : The Times of India (Delhi)]
  
'''See graphic''':
+
At a time when a polarising debate on the use of sedition laws was being played out, a total of 30 sedition cases were registered in 2015 with nine being registered in Bihar, followed by three each in Haryana, Karnataka and Kerala. Nationally , there were 17 less such cases in 2015 compared to that in 2014.
  
''Rainfall in the 36 ‘sub divisions’ of India during the 2018 Monsoon, till 29 September 2018''
+
Data released by National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) also say that 571 cases of `offence against the state' were registered all over the country in 2015 with Uttar Pradesh topping the list with 60 such cases, followed by southern states of Telangana (54, Karnataka (49) and Kerala (45).
  
===June to Sept: Day-wise statistics===
+
While the use of the sedition law against JNU students' union president Kanhaiya Kumar for a meeting that allegedly eulogised Parliament attack convict Afzal Guru became a heated political controversy , the number of cases registered have been limited. In Jammu & Kashmir, only one case of sedition was reported despite incidents of unrest and anti-India demonstrations.
[[File: Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon- Day-wise rainfall, June to July 31.jpg|Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon- Day-wise rainfall, June to July 31 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F10%2F01&entity=Ar01612&sk=324FD134&mode=text  October 1, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
+
  
[[File: Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon- Day-wise rainfall, July 25 to September 29.jpg|Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon- Day-wise rainfall, July 25 to September 29 <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F10%2F01&entity=Ar01612&sk=324FD134&mode=text  October 1, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
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`Offences against the state', which was listed by NCRB for the first time last year, include waging or attempting to wage war or abetting waging of war against the government (Section 121of IPC), conspiracy to commit offences punishable by Section 121 (Section 121A) and collecting arms with intention of waging war against the government (Section 122), among others.
  
 +
== 2016 ==
  
'''See graphics''':
+
[[File: People charged with sedition charges , India Today , September 8,2016a.jpg| People charged with sedition, India Today , September 8,2016 |frame|500px]]
 +
[[File: People charged with sedition charges , India Today , September 8,2016b.jpg| People charged with sedition, India Today , September 8,2016 |frame|500px]]
  
''Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon- Day-wise rainfall, June to July 31''
+
See the graphics 'People charged with sedition'
  
''Rainfall in India during the 2018 Monsoon- Day-wise rainfall, July 25 to September 29''
+
[http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/sedition-law-india-government-offence/1/759345.html Damayanti Datta , A joke called sedition “India Today” 8/9/2016]
  
===2018: variations in IMD’s Sept figures===
+
==2016-2019 Jan: Assam==
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F10%2F01&entity=Ar01610&sk=36C99E79&mode=text  October 1, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
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[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2019%2F02%2F05&entity=Ar01004&sk=325BB09E&mode=text  245 sedition cases since BJP came to power in Assam, February 5, 2019: ''The Times of India'']
  
  
A discrepancy in the rainfall data for September 30 has created ambiguity over the final figure of 804mm monsoon rainfall across the country. The IMD website shows 1.1mm mean countrywide rain on Sunday but credits 3.6mm to the consolidated monsoon figure.
+
The Assam government said as many as 245 sedition cases were registered across 17 districts since the BJP-led alliance came to power in the state in 2016.
  
As on September 29, seasonal rainfall in the country was 800.4mm, as per IMD data released on the department’s website on Saturday. An addition of 1.1mm rain on Sunday would make the final monsoon figure 801.5mm. This translates to a deficit of 9.7% from the LPA of 887.5mm, which is usually rounded off to 10%.
+
In a written reply in the Assam assembly, parliamentary affairs minister Chandra Mohan Patowary said 245 sedition cases were filed against various individuals and banned organisations since May 26, 2016, when the present coalition government took charge. Excluding these two districts, the actual number of sedition cases filed in the state during this period stood at 245 in 17 districts. Replying to a query by the leader of Opposition Debabrata Saikia of Congress, the minister said sedition cases have been filed against militant groups such as ULFA(I), NDFB (S), NDFB(B), KLO, NSLA, NSLA(AT), UPLFS, NSCN, DHD, DHNA, NSCN(IM), ZUF and ATF, among others.
 
+
IMD’s final figure for this year’s monsoon shows rainfall of 804mm across the country and a shortfall of 9.4%. This implies that Sunday’s rainfall was 3.6mm and not 1.1mm, as shown in the daily rainfall data. IMD officials weren’t available for comment.
+
 
+
==2018: 9% deficit/ below-normal==
+
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F09%2F30&entity=Ar01014&sk=04CA43ED&mode=text  Vishwa Mohan and Amit Bhattacharya, With over 9% deficit, monsoon may end in below-normal zone, September 30, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
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[[File: All-India rainfall (June 1- September 29- 2018).jpg|All-India rainfall (June 1- September 29- 2018) <br/> From: [https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F09%2F30&entity=Ar01014&sk=04CA43ED&mode=text  Vishwa Mohan and Amit Bhattacharya, With over 9% deficit, monsoon may end in below-normal zone, September 30, 2018: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
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+
''Withdrawal Begins; Oct-Dec Rains In South To Be Normal: IMD''
+
 
+
The southwest monsoon which began to withdraw from the country on 29 September, starting from west Rajasthan, is likely to end in the ‘below-normal’ zone this year with a deficit of 9.4% so far.
+
 
+
While the monsoon season rainfall was below expectations, sowing of kharif crops was not majorly affected because of fairly good rain distribution. The acreage under kharif this year is 1.9% less than last year’s and around 0.7% lower than normal.
+
 
+
He told TOI that IMD has in association with IIT Gandhinagar come out with a map, showing soil moisture content across the country as a result of this year’s rains. “The map shows that the soil moisture content in most parts of the country is extremely good. It’s a good sign for rabi (winter sown) crops and the overall farm sector,” said Ramesh.
+
 
+
IMD declared the beginning of monsoon’s withdrawal, nearly a month later than the normal date of September 1. Monsoon wind patterns have receded from some west Rajasthan areas.
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==2018, monsoon months: 21% of India dry, worse than in last two monsoons==
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[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2018%2F10%2F06&entity=Ar02104&sk=145DB7B2&mode=text  Neha Madaan, 21% of India dry, worse than in last two monsoons: IMD data, October 6, 2018: ''The Times of India'']
+
 
+
 
+
The monsoon in 2018 has left 21.38% area of the country moderately to extremely dry, India Meteorological Department (IMD) data at the end of the fourmonth season shows.
+
 
+
The department’s Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI), an index to monitor drought, showed that the dry conditions this monsoon have been worse than in 2016 and 2017.
+
 
+
This year, 134 districts , the maximum, reported moderately to extremely dry conditions.
+
 
+
This index, negative for drought and positive for wet conditions, showed that 229 districts reported “mildly dry” conditions, a staggering 43.51% this monsoon.
+
 
+
Around 17.78% area of the country reported moderately to extremely dry conditions last year, while 12.28% area reported such conditions in 2016, Pulak Guhathakurta, head of Climate Data Management and Services at IMD, Pune, told TOI.
+
 
+
“This monsoon, the percentage area showing dry conditions has gone up to over 21%, with more than 5.45% area witnessing severely dry conditions and 2.08% reporting extremely dry conditions during the season,” Guhathakurta said.
+
 
+
The latest SPI report released by IMD said the monsoon showed extremely, severely and moderately dry conditions over most districts of Lakshadweep, many districts of Arunachal Pradesh, sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Jharkhand, Bihar, Rayalseema and north interior Karnataka.
+
 
+
One or two districts of Maharashtra, Marathwada and Vidarbha also experienced similar dry conditions this season. Moderately to severely dry districts in Maharashtra included Satara, Solapur, Aurangabad, Jalna and Buldhana. September seemed worse for Maharashtra as extremely to moderately dry conditions prevailed over most districts of Konkan, Maharashtra, Marathwada and other regions of the country.
+
 
+
Maharashtra reported a -1.42 on the index in September this year which is “severely dry”.
+
 
+
Among the other states, the worst performer this monsoon was Lakshadweep with extremely dry conditions, followed by states such as Arunachal Pradesh, Bihar, Meghalaya, Tripura and Jharkhand where moderately dry conditions prevailed.
+
 
+
Guhathakurta said the most affected regions this season were from the northeast, some districts in Marathwada, Maharashtra, Vidarbha, Gujarat, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, south interior Karnataka and Kerala.
+
 
+
Around 17.8% of the country’s area reported moderate to extremely dry conditions last year, while 12.3% of area reported such conditions in 2016
+
 
+
=2020=
+
==June- Aug==
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[https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/august-set-for-highest-rain-surplus-in-44-years/articleshow/77813821.cms  Amit Bhattacharya, August set for highest rain surplus in 44 years, August 29, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
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[[File: Monsoon rainfall, June- Aug 28, 2020.jpg|Monsoon rainfall, June- Aug 28, 2020 <br/> From: [https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/august-set-for-highest-rain-surplus-in-44-years/articleshow/77813821.cms  Amit Bhattacharya, August set for highest rain surplus in 44 years, August 29, 2020: ''The Times of India'']|frame|500px]]
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NEW DELHI: While the monsoon in July was 10% below normal in the country, August is set to be one of the wettest in decades. Rainfall during the month has been 25% surplus so far (till August 28), the highest deviation from normal in 44 years, with monsoon rains pounding central and south India in recent weeks.
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India last witnessed a higher monsoon surplus in the month of August in 1976, when 28.4% higher than normal rainfall was recorded, according to India Meteorological Department data. Met officials said active monsoon conditions are expected in the remaining three days of the month, which means the rain surplus of 25% may not change much.
+
 
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Across the country, an average of 296.2mm of rain has been recorded so far this month, against a normal of 237.1mm. In absolute terms, rainfall for the whole month could be the highest for August since 1988, when 329.6mm was recorded.
+
 
+
Monsoon was most active over central India, which received relentless rains during the month, adding up to a huge surplus of 57% in August. South India too has had over 42% excess rains, on top of the 16% surplus it received in July.
+
 
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Between the two months, July and August, what made the difference in monsoon conditions were the number of low-pressure systems forming in the Bay of Bengal. While there were none in July, August has had five so far against a normal of three-four in each of the two months.
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“In July, one low-pressure system had formed in the first week but quickly dissipated. So it wouldn’t be counted as a proper system. In August, we had a number of low-pressure circulations that had long life periods, bringing copious rain, particularly over central India. The region had a 22% rain deficit in July, while in August it had a 57% surplus,” said D Sivananda Pai, IMD’s lead monsoon forecaster.
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The rain bounty in August has led to an overall monsoon surplus of 9% for the season (June 1-August 28) so far. If September turns out to be even slightly wetter than normal, the 2020 monsoon season could end with excess rainfall (over 10% above normal).
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However, IMD officials said September could see slightly below normal rainfall although La Nina conditions are developing in the Pacific Ocean which favour good monsoon rainfall over India.
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“We expect northwest India to get rain over the next week. After that, around September 5, monsoon activity is likely to shift to northeast India, which hasn’t had good rainfall in August. The risk of floods could increase in that region following this rain spell,” said Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, head of IMD.
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While northwest India received normal rainfall in August, several parts of the region, particularly the subdivision of west Uttar Pradesh, have had deficient rains. For the season as a whole, northwest India has a rain deficit of 11%.
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+
==Delhi: 20% rain deficit==
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[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2020%2F10%2F01&entity=Ar00403&sk=17C75D11&mode=text  Priyangi Agarwal, October 1, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
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Delhi recorded 467.7mm of rainfall this season against the normal level of 585.8mm of rainfall. “There has been an overall deficit of 118.1mm rainfall this monsoon season,” said Kuldeep Srivastava, a scientist at IMD.
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Despite prolonged monsoon, the month witnessed only three rainy days on September 5, 6 and 8. Only “trace” rainfall was recorded on September 4, while 0.8mm of rainfall was recorded on September 5. Safdarjung — Delhi’s base station — recorded no rainfall since September 9 even after the extended monsoon. However, the city saw two “heavy” and a “very heavy” rainy day in August.
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Though the Safdarjung observatory observed excess rainfall in both June and July, it recorded 11 per cent deficit this season after less rain in August and September. The observatory recorded 81.8mm rainfall in June, which was 25% excess than normal 60.5mm rainfall. With 236.9mm rainfall in July, Safdarjung observed 12 per cent excess rainfall. However, in August, Safdarjung received 237mm rainfall against 247.7mm normal rainfall, while it recorded only 20.8mm rainfall in September.
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This monsoon season, no district in Delhi recorded “excess” rainfall. However, three districts, including New Delhi with 12 per cent deficit, North Delhi with 5 per cent excess rain and South West Delhi with 3 per cent deficit, made it to “normal” category of rainfall. The IMD classifies a rain deficit when it is above -19 per cent.
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East Delhi, North East Delhi, North West Delhi and South Delhi districts were in “deficit” category. Central Delhi, which has only received 250.2mm of rainfall against 674.9mm normal rainfall this season, fared the worst with a “large deficit” rainfall of 63 per cent.
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== Marathwada: record rainfall==
+
[https://epaper.timesgroup.com/Olive/ODN/TimesOfIndia/shared/ShowArticle.aspx?doc=TOIDEL%2F2020%2F10%2F25&entity=Ar01818&sk=9EFD865C&mode=text  Prasad Joshi, October 25, 2020: ''The Times of India'']
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All the 11 major dams in Marathwada, including the Manjra dam that is prone to dry storage and supplies water to Latur, Sina Kolegaon and Lower Dudhna in Osmanabad district, are almost filled to the designed storage capacity, thanks to record rainfall.
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Jaisingh Hire, assistant engineer with Command Area Development Authority (CADA), Aurangabad, on Saturday said the cumulative storage in these major reservoirs was the highest in the last decade and a half.
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+
Marathwada has faced droughts twice in the last six years and the threat of water scarcity looms over the region every year, especially in Latur, Osmanabad and Beed districts due to relatively poorer storages in major dams that supply water to them.
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+
The overflowing dams have now addressed issues of the water-scarcity prone areas of the region at least till the end of December next year.
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+
Notably, Latur had grabbed national and international attention when it was forced to supply water through special trains during the summer of 2016 owing to scanty rainfall. “The storage in the Sina Kolegaon dam was very poor in the last 15 years due to low rainfall in catchment areas. Similar was the case with Manjra for around 10 years. Overall, the collective storage in all the dams in the region is exceptional this year due to the good run of monsoon,” said Hire.
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+
Four of the major irrigation projects — Sina Kolegaon (-80%), Majalgaon (-18%) and Manjra (-17%) in Beed district and Lower Dudhna (-15%) in Parbhani district — were in dead storage during the corresponding period last year.
+
 
+
Hire said that the available water stock is expected to produce a bumper season of rabi crops ahead even if kharif crops have taken a hit in many areas due to excessive rainfall.
+
 
+
“The meetings of canal advisory committees for every major irrigation project, to be convened shortly, will decide on allocation of water for drinking, irrigation and industrial among other needs. There is sufficient water to cater to all possible demands,” he said.
+
 
+
The total 11 major dams were showing 180 TMC live storage (99%), which is more than twice the average stock that has been held by them in the last five years.
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+
The 75 medium dams in the region were showing 31 TMC live storage (92%), whereas 752 minor dams were holding 47 TMC water (80%). A total of 38 barrages on different major rivers from Marathwada were showing 11 TMC water in total (94%).
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[[Category:Climate/Meteorology|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
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MONSOONS: INDIA]]
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[[Category:India|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
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MONSOONS: INDIA]]
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[[Category:S&T|MMONSOONS: INDIAMONSOONS: INDIA
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MONSOONS: INDIA]]
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=See also=
 
=See also=
[[Agriculture: India]]
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[[Freedom of speech: India]]  
 
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[[India Meteorological Department]]
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[[Mumbai: local rains]]
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[[Rainfall: India and Burma, 1907-12]]
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[[Rainfall: India]]
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[[Weather forecasts: India]] 
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[[Winter rains: India]]
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[[January weather in India]] <>[[ February weather in India]] <> [[March weather in India]] <> [[April weather in India]] <> [[May weather in India]] <> [[June weather in India]] <> [[Summers: India]]<> [[July weather in India]] <> [[August weather in India]] <> [[September weather in India]] <> [[Monsoons: India]]<> [[October weather in India]] <> [[November weather in India]] <> [[December weather in India]] <> [[Winter rains: India]] <> [[Winters: India]]
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[[Information Technology, India: I]]

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Contents

What is India’s sedition law?

Indian Sedition Law: What is it and what does it say, February 16, 2016: India Today


What is Sedition law and what does it say in the Indian Penal Code:

Section 124-A in the Indian Penal Code, named 'Sedition', explains sedition in wide and magnanimous terms

It says 'Whoever, by words, either spoken or written, or by signs, or by visible representation, or otherwise, brings or attempts to bring into hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards the Government established by law in India' shall be punished with life imprisonment

The explanations which the Indian Penal Code gives are that 'the expression 'disaffection' includes disloyalty and all feelings of hate

It also says that comments that express strong disapproval of 'the measures of the Government, with a view to obtain their desired modifications by lawful means, without exciting or attempting to excite hatred, contempt or disaffection, do not constitute an offense under this section.'

According to the section 124-A, comments expressing strong disapproval of the 'administrative or other action of the Government without exciting or attempting to excite hatred, contempt or disaffection, do not constitute an offense under this section.'

The law was originally drafted by Thomas Macaulay

It was not a part of IPC in the 1860s and was even dropped from the law. It was introduced in the IPC in the year 1870

Many Indian freedom fighters, including Mahatma Gandhi and Bal Gangadhar Tilak, were charged with sedition during freedom struggle

When the first amendment was introduced, which also included detailed limitations on free speech, the then Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru was categorical in his belief that the offence of sedition was fundamentally unconstitutional. He had said 'now so far as I am concerned [Section 124-A] is highly objectionable and obnoxious and it should have no place both for practical and historical reasons. The sooner we get rid of it the better.'

Sedition and the law (S.124-A IPC)

Maharasthra circular of 2015

The Times of India, Sep 05 2015

Maharashtra issues fresh norms on sedition, draws oppn's ire

People trying to bring change in government through legal means will not face sedition charge in Maharashtra, but those attempting to bring into “hatred or contempt, dissatisfaction and provoking violence“ against the central or state government will be slapped with sedition charges. These provisions are part of a fresh set of guidelines issued to police by the Maharashtra government with regard to invocation of the IPC Section (124-A) pertaining to sedition.

The circular containing these guidelines says sedition clause can be invoked against “whoever, by words, either spoken or written, or by signs or by visible representation, is critical of politicians, elected representatives belonging to the government“.

They were issued in compliance with an assurance given to the Bombay high court by state government while dropping sedition charge against cartoonist Aseem Trivedi, arrested in 2012 for drawing cartoons that allegedly insulted the national emblem and Parliament. The guidelines were issued on August 27 in accordance with assurance in the HC that the government would come out with a circular indicating limitations and parameters of 124-A of IPC, additional chief secretary (home) K P Bakshi said.

“Powers to invoke different sections of IPC are with the station officer. Government can issue guidelines, hence, we have done so to avoid confusion among different police stations,“ he said.

The circular drew flak from the opposition parties.Leader of opposition in legislative council Dhananjay Munde of NCP said the move indicated an “Emergency like” situation.

Time for new laws to shield free speech?

The Times of India, Feb 17 2016

N S Nappinai

The polarised views ranging from the politically correct positions on free speech, including from politicians who did nothing to remedy excesses whilst in office, to the inexplicable support for this uncalled for police action against students, with misconceived notions and you get a picture more confusing than Picasso's Guernica.The voice of reason cautioning against coercive restraints on free speech or the populist Bajirao Singham V .2's deep-toned perorations against turning students into criminals are lost in the cacophony of self-righteous indignation supporting labelling of slogan -shouting students as seditionists and criminals.

Seditious Dissensions

S.124A IPC militates against inciting hatred or contempt or creating disaffection (i.e., disloyalty feelings of enmity) towards the “government established by law“ in India. Despite the patent infirmities in the provision, sedition, as a criminal offence, continues in our statute books, owing to political whim and politics at play . The constitution bench of the Supreme Court in Kedarnath's case set the threshold for applying “sedition“ at actual violence or incitement to violence (“spark to a powder keg“) or subverting government, by violent means, through words written or spoken.

This threshold definitely did not extend to punishing slogan-shouting. In Balwant Singh's case, where slogans including “Khalistan Zindabad“ were raised, the SC struck down the prosecution case and came down heavily on what it termed as immature and insensitive police actions, which could have created a law and or der situation. Whilst the JNU incident could be termed obnoxious or offensive, it is still insufficient, as decided in Shreya Singhal's case (striking down S.66A of the Information Technology Act) to scuttle free speech on these grounds and definitely does not warrant tagging students as criminals.

The Article 19 (2) of the Indian Constitution argument warranting reasonable restrictions was insufficient to save S.66A. Whilst so, the more draconian S.124A IPC has continued, probably as it is pitched at protecting the State as opposed to individuals.

Nation Vs Government

The genealogy of the colonial hand-me-down, as a tool of suppression, is clearly contrary to even remote concepts of democracy and ought to have been discarded with the empire. Substitution of “Her Majesty“ with “government established by law“ did not take away the oppressive flavour but has in fact lent itself to further abuse. “Government“ and “Nation“ neither mean the same nor are they interchangeable. A nation is distinct from the persons administering it i.e., the government, vested with powers and duties to ensure cohesive functioning of the nation.

Referencing “sedition“ to the “government established by law“ instead of a much narrower application of “national security“ was and continues to be a recipe for disaster. The SC stopped short of holding the provision unconstitutional by interpreting “government established by law“ to mean the visible symbol of the State.

Given the propensity for abuse, S.124A IPC could be relooked to narrow its applica tion to protecting “national interests“, if it cannot be done away with completely . After all, aren't controversial or offensive ideas and their expression as much a part of democratic freedoms as being politically correct? And are we not otherwise relegating the people, who have surren dered some freedoms in the hope of protection of those recognised as fundamental to their existence being punished by the very representatives they have elected? Criminal provisions have to also be explicit and should certainly not be left in the hands of police to interpret and apply . Neither can a person raising his voice in anger nor the police trying to pre vent violence, pause to ponder the fine balance between freedoms and social order. Judicial review also cannot be the remedy for correcting the imbalance between guaranteed freedoms and police excesses. Dissensions to protect the rights of dissenters after police action are essential reminders of our freedoms but have proven to be futile diatribes.

Make in India

The US appeals court held in Garcia vs Google that suppression of speech, however offensive or obnoxious, merely to avoid violence was an intolerable fetter on free speech.

India has consistently drawn inspiration from existing laws in formulating its legal framework. It may now be time for India to make its own laws in India to suit Indian socio-legal requirements and in particular to protect the bastions of democracy-free speech and expression. Indian democracy craves and is entitled to the culture of open dialogue and free flow of opinions and meaningful governance.

Until such affirmative action is taken, the Supreme Court's words of restraint in Rangarajan vs Jagjivan Ram, that remote, conjectural or far-fetched anticipated danger, is not used as an excuse to scuttle free expression ought to guide and protect our paths to free speech.

History

1951, Nehru’s dilemma To repeal the law or not

Satya Prakash, To repeal or not: Nehruvian dilemma on sedition law, September 10, 2018: The Tribune


Even 71 years of Independence, India continues to struggle to get rid of sedition that was widely used to crush freedom struggle

WHILE introducing the First Amendment to the Constitution in Parliament in 1951, Jawaharlal Nehru had famously said, “Now so far as I am concerned that particular Section (124A IPC) is highly objectionable and obnoxious and it should have no place both for practical and historical reasons, if you like, in any body of laws that we might pass. The sooner we get rid of it the better.”

However, the often-quoted statement is only the first part of what he had said. Here is the second part of what he said on sedition: “We might deal with that matter in other ways, in more limited ways, as every other country does but that particular thing, as it is, should have no place, because all of us have had enough experience of it in variety of ways and apart from the logic of the situation, our urges are against it.”

Nehru dithered on the issue and his government went ahead with the First Amendment that strengthened Article 19(2) of the Constitution by adding two expressions — “friendly relations with foreign state” and “public order” – as grounds for imposing “reasonable restrictions” on free speech.

The result: Even 71 years of Independence, India continues to struggle to get rid of sedition that was widely used to crush freedom struggle. A ‘Consultation Paper on Sedition’ released by the Law Commission of India late last month has only highlighted the dilemma of a democratic polity where the quality of relationship between the state and society is often determined by the degree of violence unleashed by non-state actors and the use of force by the state to counter it.

Sedition was not there in the original IPC drafted by Lord Macaulay that came into force in 1862 and was added in 1870. Its ambit was expanded in 1898. Section 124A says a person commits the crime of sedition if he/she brings or attempts to bring in hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards, the government established by law in India. It can be by words, either spoken or written, or by signs, or by visible representation, or otherwise. It prescribes the maximum punishment of life imprisonment.

It clarified that criticism of public measures or comments on government action, however strongly worded, would be within reasonable limits and would be consistent with the fundamental right of freedom of speech and expression.

Interestingly, the Punjab High Court in Tara Singh Gopi Chand v. The State (1951) had declared Section 124A IPC unconstitutional.

In 1962, it was on the basis of “public order” in Article 19(2) that SC in Kedarnath Singh’s case upheld the validity of Section 124A. But it restricted its scope.

In Balwant Singh’s case (1995), the SC let off two men accused of raising anti-India slogans hours after Indira Gandhi’s assassination in 1984, saying raising of slogans a couple of times – which neither evoked any response nor any reaction from the public – couldn’t attract sedition.

According to the National Crime Records Bureau, 35 persons were arrested on sedition charges in 2016 in the country. The number may not be too high. But there are legitimate concerns as often activists are at the receiving end of sedition law.

Many countries, including the UK and Australia, have abolished sedition. Given the challenges it faces on the internal security front, the state needs a legal tool to protect its sovereignty. But in a democratic society, free speech is equally important.

Sedition law can be repealed as there are many other penal provisions to deal with such acts. Its scope can be restricted and punishment can be rationalised. Also, there can be safeguards installed to check its misuse.

Political thinker Thomas Paine once said, “Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one.” This statement sums up the dilemma of a democratic society.


1986 (EPW), 2001 (students with leaflets)

The Indian Express, Feb 20, 2016

Written by Deepak Nayyar

It is instructive to remember the fate of the sedition charges pressed by two governments, run by two parties, in the past. Both had happy endings.

The dictionary meaning of sedition is conduct or speech inciting people to rebel against the state. Its legal meaning is inciting violence towards insurrection of established order and lawful authority, including subversion of the Constitution. Section 124A of the Indian Penal Code, which does not use the word sedition, defines it as any action, by words, signs or visible representation, which “brings or attempts to bring into hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards a government established by law”. It is a draconian law from the colonial era making such an act punishable with imprisonment for life. Though its application is also not feasible in the turbulent politics of the Republic of India, which is a strong, vibrant and participative democracy, it still remains one of the used, if not most, provisions of the Indian Penal Code. What is more, it seeks to negate the very idea of freedom, inquiry, questions, dissent and debate constitute the essential foundations of learning that make for good citizens in a democracy.

Yet, it is not the first time that the sedition law has been used in independent India. And it will not be the last time. It is neither rare nor frequent. But it happens often enough when it serves a political purpose. Governments invoke the law and the opposition cries foul. The irony of double standards is striking. The same political parties when in government cite the national interest and when in opposition wax eloquent about rights or freedoms.

In 1986, Krishna Raj, the then editor of the Economic and Political Weekly (EPW), had been charged for sedition by Bombay Police. The reason cited in the charge was a signed article by a contributor in the EPW who had alleged atrocities on civilians in Amritsar, by the army, in the aftermath of Operation Bluestar.

In a meeting with Rajiv Gandhi for a brief 15 minutes, as a concerned citizen, I said that the EPW was an independent, credible voice on economy, polity and society in India and an important, indeed unique, institution in our vibrant democracy. I argued that charging its editor with sedition was totally inappropriate and unjustified. Instead, the government could consider legal action against the author, not the editor, under any other law of the land. He heard me out and asked just one question: “If I agree to what you are suggesting, the army will be unhappy but what will people think?” My answer was simple: “People will admire your sagacity and wisdom in preserving the essential values of democracy.” He smiled. And our meeting was over. The PM had spoken to the CM of Maharashtra communicating the PM’s decision to drop sedition charges against the editor of the EPW.

The second experience was in October 2001. Following 9/11, the United States started its bombing of Afghanistan. At a demonstration in Seelampur, five of our students were arrested for distributing leaflets and shouting slogans. To my dismay, I learnt that they were charged with sedition. I requested an appointment with the deputy PM, who was also the home minister.

I met L.K. Advani and told him that five University of Delhi students had been arrested and charged with sedition. There were protests against the US bombing of Afghanistan everywhere in the world. Our students also had the same democratic right to protest. The charge of sedition was totally inappropriate and unjustified. If they had disturbed the peace, they could be charged for that. As vice chancellor, however, it was my duty to ensure that no injustice was done to my students. The DPM listened to me patiently for 15 minutes and said he would let me know. Advani said that he had considered the matter and decided that the sedition charges against the five students would be dropped.

There are some obvious conclusions. First, the sedition charges must be dropped. Second, the colonial law on sedition must be repealed. Third, governments and parties must stop playing politics in universities. Fourth, the time has come for universities to reclaim their freedom and space from intervening governments and intrusive politics: Autonomy is as autonomy does.


2015: Sedition charge on FM Arun Jaitley for criticising SC’s NJAC ruling

October 22, 2015: The Times of India


A UP court has slapped sedition charges on finance minister Arun Jaitley for criticizing the Supreme Court’s recent decision striking down the National Judicial Appointments Commission (NJAC) for selection of judges to the higher judiciary.

Taking suo motu cognizance of Jaitley’s criticism of the verdict, civil judge of Mahoba in Jhansi district Ankit Goel summoned him to be present before him on November 19. Goel had earlier issued summons against SP chief Mulayam Singh Yadav for his purported comment that allegations of gang rape could often be fabricated.

The judge in his order said the finance minister’s blog ‘Indian democracy cannot be a tyranny of the unelected’ prima facie amounted to sedition under Section 124A as well as causing public mischief under Section 505 of Indian Penal Code. The court said under Section 190 of Criminal Procedure Code, it was entitled to take cognizance of the statements which were published in various newspapers.

Section 124A says “whoever, by words, either spoken or written, or by signs, or by visible representation, or otherwise, brings or attempts to bring into hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards the government established by law shall be punished under the section”.

Several people, including constitutional experts, have criticized the verdict of the apex court which on October 16 quashed the NJAC Act and revived the two-decade-old collegium system for appointment of judges. The finance minister, writing in his personal capacity, had held that the SC’s verdict striking down the 99th constitutional amendment to turn the appointment of judges into an exclusive prerogative of judiciary was tantamount to rewriting the Constitution.

Saying that the SC was acting like a third chamber of the legislature, he suggested that the verdict was biased against the political class and was a prescription for “tyranny of the unelected”.

Noted criminal lawyer Amarendra Saran termed the civil judge’s order “atrocious”. “Just and fair criticism of the court’s verdict is allowed in our country and it is a part and parcel of evolution of law. We do criticize the order every day in court proceedings and that is why appeal is filed,” he said.

Saran said there was no ingredient of offence in the statement made by the finance minister and he did not commit any crime. “The order passed by the judge is without application of mind and it must be recalled,” he said.

Senior advocate Sanjay Hegde said the judge had gone overboard in passing the order. “Criticism of SC is not even contempt of court, then how can sedition charges be slapped for criticizing an SC verdict?” he asked. Download The Times of India News App for Latest India News.

Use, abuse over the years

Soutik Biswas, Why India needs to get rid of its sedition law: 29 August 2016: BBC


Indian college lecturers, teachers and political activists hold placards as they shout anti-government slogans in New Delhi on February 12, 2011 during a protest against the life sentence handed down to doctor and social activist, Binayak Sen, on charges of sedition in India's Chhattisgarh state. Amnesty International has described Binayak Sen as a 'prisoner of conscience' but the court insisted the doctor helped outlawed Maoist guerrillas in the insurgency-riven state. An Indian court on February 10 refused bail for Sen sentenced to life in prison on charges of helping Maoist insurgents, in a case that has drawn international condemnation.


India's colonial era sedition law was introduced in the 1870s

In India, you could be charged with sedition for liking a Facebook post, criticising a yoga guru, cheering a rival cricket team, drawing cartoons, asking a provocative question in a university exam, or not standing up in a cinema when the national anthem is being played.

So when actress-politician Divya Spandana, better known by her screen name Ramya, made some remarks last week praising Pakistan, a lawyer filed a private case in a local court, seeking to get her charged with sedition for "appreciating the people of Pakistan", India's neighbour and rival.

Ramya had returned from a trip to Islamabad and found Pakistan was "not hell" - a riposte to the Indian Defence Minister, Manohar Parrikar, who recently remarked that going to Pakistan was the "same as going to hell".


'Anti-national'

Lawyer K Vittal Gowda was clearly not impressed.

"By saying that people in Pakistan are good, she has committed sedition. This is an anti-national statement," he told my colleague Imran Qureshi in Bangalore, after filing his complaint. India's info-tech capital is no stranger to such allegedly seditious activities: earlier this month, city police slapped a sedition case against Amnesty International India after some people allegedly raised "anti-India slogans at its event".

For decades, successive governments have used a colonial-era sedition law - the dreaded section 124a of the antiquated Indian Penal Code - against students, journalists, intellectuals, social activists, and those critical of the government.

India's sedition law


Section 124a in The Indian Penal Code.

- The law makes "words, either spoken or written, or by signs, or by visible representation, or otherwise, brings or attempts to bring into hatred or contempt, or excites or attempts to excite disaffection towards the government" punishable by law, a fine and a maximum punishment of life imprisonment.

- Drafted by Thomas Macaulay, it was introduced in the 1870s, originally to deal with "increasing Wahabi activities between 1863 and 1870 that posed a challenge to the colonial government".

- In the 19th and early 20th Centuries, the law was mainly used against Indian political leaders seeking independence from British rule.

- Mahatma Gandhi, who was charged with sedition, famously said the law was "designed to suppress the liberty of the citizen".

- In the decades after independence in 1947, the law was used against people accusing the ruling Congress government of corruption and tyranny, and little-known Communist leaders who exhorted people to "overthrow the government and capitalists".

- In 1951, prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru described the law as "highly objectionable and obnoxious".

- In 1962, the Supreme Court imposed limits on the use of the law, making incitement to violence a necessary condition.

- More than half-a-century after the top court imposed restrictions on using the law, authorities appear to be flouting it with impunity.

- As many as 47 sedition cases were reported in 2014 alone, across nine states, according to the National Crime Records Bureau. Many of these cases did not involve any violence or incitement to violence. A total of 58 people were arrested in connection with the cases. The government has only managed one conviction.

Indian police clash with protestors on the beach at Idinathakarai village near the Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant in southern Tamil Nadu on September 10, 2012. Police in a southern Indian state shot dead a fisherman and clashed with with activists who were protesting the start of work at a nuclear power plant, officials said.


Consider this:


- In September 2001, cartoonist Aseem Trivedi was arrested after a complaint that his cartoons mocked the constitution and national emblem. The charges were dropped a month later following widespread criticism and public protests.

- In March 2014, 60 Kashmiri students in Uttar Pradesh were charged with sedition for cheering for Pakistan in a cricket match against India. Authorities dropped the charges following legal advice from the law ministry.

- In August 2014, authorities in Kerala charged seven young men, including students, with sedition after a complaint that they had refused to stand up during the national anthem in a cinema.

- In October 2015, folk singer S Kovan was held in Tamil Nadu for two songs criticising the state government for allegedly profiting from state-owned liquor shops at the expense of the poor.

- In February 2016, student leader Kanhaiya Kumar was arrested and charged with sedition for allegedly shouting anti-India slogans. He was later freed on bail.

- In 2012 and 2013, an astonishing number of 23,000 men and women who protested against a nuclear power plant in Tamil Nadu were held for "waging war against the state" and sedition - 9,000 of them for sedition alone. "Police would name a few accused and then add 2,000 others without naming them while booking them for sedition. That's how arbitrary it is," anti-nuclear activist SP Udayakumar tells me.


'Instilling fear'

Some 140 cases, half of them related to sedition, against the protesters are being heard in the courts today. "The law is purely used now to instil fear and intimidate people who protest against authority," says Mr Udayakumar.

Things seem to be getting worse.

Media watchdog The Hoot says it is "raining sedition charges in an otherwise normal monsoon season" this year. It has listed 18 cases involving sedition charges against 19 people in the first eight months of 2016.

India's slow moving judicial system ensures prolonged delays in disposing cases. Meanwhile, people charged with sedition have to surrender their passports, are not eligible for government jobs, must produce themselves in the court as and when required, and spend money on legal fees. "The charges have rarely stuck in most of the cases, but the process itself becomes the punishment," says Jayshree Bajoria , co-writer of a Human Rights Watch report on "stifling dissent" in India.

In August 2016, a non-profit group also mounted a fresh legal challenge against the "misuse" of the law in the Supreme Court.

Common Cause urges the top court to make it compulsory for the authorities to "produce a reasoned order" from the local chief of police certifying that the seditious act could either lead to incitement of violence or could lead to public disorder, before any police complaint or arrest can be made.

Most believe India should simply get rid of the law along with a raft of vaguely-worded, draconian laws - the criminal defamation laws and laws to curb hate speech and silence dissent, for example. "Sedition itself needs to enter the dustbin of oppressive legal history," says lawyer Karuna Nundy.

Clearly, scrapping the law would be a good beginning. "The sooner we get rid of it the better," Nehru had said. That was more than half-a-century ago.

Fundamental rights and sedition

The Times of India, Feb 19 2016

Soli J Sorabjee

Sedition law should stay, but its interpretation must be specific and not wide-ranging as in British era 

No fundamental right in our Constitution is absolute. Free dom of speech and expression guaranteed by Article 19(1)(a) can be reasonably restricted on the grounds specified in Article 19(2). It is significant that during the debates in the Constituent Assembly the founding fathers, in view of their bitter experience of the application of the sedition law by the British colonial regime, deliberately omitted `sedition' as one of the permissible grounds of restriction under Article 19(2) on freedom of speech and expression. However sedition as a criminal offence remains in the IPC and provides for inter alia sentence of life imprisonment and fine upon conviction. Section 124A was challenged in the Supreme Court as violative of the fundamental rights of free speech guaranteed by Article 19 (1)(a) of the Constitution.

The Federal Court of (British) India presided over by the distinguished Chief Justice, Maurice Gwyer, ruled that sedition law is not to be invoked “to minister to the wounded vanity of government ... The acts or words complained of must either incite to disorder or must be such as to satisfy reasonable men that that is their intention or tendency“.The Privy Council did not approve of the Federal Court judgment and placed a wide and literal interpretation of the section.

According to the Privy Council any speech or writing which evinced disloyalty or ill feelings towards the government could be regarded as sedition and persons guilty of such acts could be prosecuted and punished for committing the offence of sedition. Our Supreme Court in its landmark decision in 1962, in Kedarnath versus state of Bihar, dissented from the view of the Privy Council and preferred the view of the Federal Court.

According to the Supreme Court, mere criticism of the government or comments on the administration, however vigorous or pungent or even ill-informed, does not constitute sedition. The Supreme Court limited the application of Section 124A (sedition) to acts involving intention or tendency to create disorder, or disturbance of law and order, or incitement to violence.

Incitement to violence is the essential ingredient of the offence of sedition. That is our law, that is how Section 124A was interpreted and upheld as constitutional by a Constitution Bench. Therefore the question whether certain speech or acts constitute sedi tion are essentially questions of fact which have to be determined by a court of law keeping in mind the principles enunciated by the Supreme Court in Kedarnath's case.

Thus shouting slogans like Pakistan zindabad, however deplorable, per se would not attract Section 124A. Criticism of judgment of the Supreme Court upholding the conviction of Afzal Guru on the ground that he did not have a fair trial, is untenable because in my opinion Afzal Guru had a fair trial at all stages of the proceedings.

Nonetheless criticism of the Supreme Court judgment, is again per se not sedition unless there is speech or acts which call for avenging the `injustice' done to Afzal Guru by commission of acts against the government or advocate its overthrow by violent means. If, and i repeat if, a person has said Hindustan murdabad, that the state is tyrannical and it is better to do away with it, necessary to overthrow it, that would constitute sedition.

But these facts have to be established in a court of law by following proper procedure. It is not for lawyers or political workers to prejudge the issue. An accused cannot be denied his or her fundamental right to fair trial by assaulting him or her or their supporters or their lawyers, as that would militate against the rule of law and also disrupt administration of justice by regular courts of the land.

These basic principles must be kept in mind in all cases. Mob rule and mob justice cannot be permitted however strongly one may dislike the accused and his alleged statements. If that happens the very basis of a civil society is undermined and there is no vibrant democracy prevalent in our country .

In my view Section 124A `Sedition' as interpreted by the Supreme Court is necessary . Its misuse is no ground for its deletion.

Court judgments

Criticism of government is not sedition

Bombay HC, 2015

The Times of India, Mar 18 2015

Swati Deshpande

`Trivedi toons lacked wit, but not seditious'

A citizen can say or write anything critical about the government, or its measures, as long it does not incite violence or is intended to dis rupt public peace and create disorder, the Bombay HC said while holding that cartoons by Aseem Trivedi in 2011 lacked wit but were not seditious as charged by the police. The HC also directed the police to “scrupulously implement new guidelines issued by the Maharashtra government that place checks on filing frivolous sedition cases.

“Cartoons or caricatures are visual representations, words or signs which are supposed to have an element of wit, humour or sarcasm. Having seen the seven cartoons in question, it is difficult to find wit, humour or sarcasm. The cartoons at a meeting on November 27, 2011, in Mumbai, as part of a movement by Anna Hazare against corruption in India, were full of anger and disgust against corruption in the political system and had no wit, humour or sarcasm, the HC said on Tuesday , holding that the sedition charge was not attracted against Trivedi.

“But for that reason, the freedom of speech and expression available to Trivedi to express indignation against corruption in the political system in strong terms or visual representations could not have been encroached upon when there is no allegation of incitement to violence or tendency or intention to create public disorder, the HC bench of Chief Justice Mohit Shah and Jus tice Nitin Jamdar said.

Trivedi's arrest was for serious criminal life imprisonment attracting charge of sedition, among other offences. But the HC ordered his bail three days after his arrest on September 11 following a plea by a city lawyer, and then state advocategeneral Darius Khambata found the invocation excessive. The Bandra-Kurla Complex then dropped the sedition charge.

SC, 2016

The Times of India, Sep 06 2016

AmitAnand Choudhary

The Supreme Court clarified that sedition charges cannot be brought against a person merely for raising a voice against the government or its policies. The clarification became necessary in view of the controversy generated after sedition charges were slapped in a number of cases recently , sparking demands for the colonial-era law to be scrapped.

A bench of Justices Dipak Misra and U U Lalit said that the apex court had settled the controversy on sedition law way back in 1962 and had clarified under what circumstances the penal provi sion could be used.

“We are of the opinion that the authorities, while dealing with offences under Section 124A of the Indian Penal Code, shall be guided by the principles laid down by the Constitution Bench in Kedar Nath Singh vs State of Bihar,“ the bench said. Refusing to re-examine the issue afresh, the bench said the guidelines framed by the Constitution bench 54 years ago were good enough in the present circumstances.

The SC clarified in its 1962 verdict that a “citizen has a right to say or write whatever he likes about the government, or its measures, by way of criticism or comment, so long as he does not incite people to violence against the government established by law or with the intention of creating public disorder“.

The court had pointed out two essential ingredients required to establish the crime of sedition -the acts must be intended to have the “effect of subverting the government“ by violent means, and the acts must be intended to create disorder or disturbance of public peace and order by re sort to violence and must incite violence. It had clarified that comments, however strongly worded, expressing disapproval of government actions, without exciting those feelings which generate the inclination to cause public disorder by acts of violence was not sedition.

Seeking the court's intervention to stop misuse of IPC Section 124A, advocate Prashant Bhushan, appearing for NGO Common Cause, contended that it was high time the court examined the issue as the law was misused de spite the apex court's order.He said police personnel were not aware of the 1962 verdict.

The law has not been amended after the Kedar Nath Singh judgment by the apex court and a constable does not understand the judgment, what he understands is the section in the IPC, he said.

Referring to an NCRB report, the plea said 47 cases of sedition were filed in 2014 alone and 58 people arrested in connection with these cases. The bench, however, was not convinced and refused to pass any direction.

"Sedition, defamation cannot be invoked for criticism": SC

The Hindu, September 6, 2016

Sedition or defamation cases cannot be slapped on anyone criticising the government, the Supreme Court said on Monday. “Someone making a statement to criticise the government does not invoke an offence under sedition or defamation law. We have made it clear that invoking of section 124(A) of IPC (sedition) requires certain guidelines to be followed as per the earlier judgement of the apex court,” a bench of Justices Dipak Misra and U.U. Lalit said.

The observation came as advocate Prashant Bhushan, appearing for an NGO, said sedition was a serious offence and the law on it was being grossly misused for stifling dissent. He cited the examples of sedition charges being slapped on agitators protesting against Kudankulam Nuclear Power Project and cartoonist Aseem Trivedi, among others.

To this, the bench said, “We don’t have to explain the sedition law. It’s already there in the five-judge constitution bench judgment in Kedar Nath Singh vs state of Bihar of 1962.”

The court, while disposing of a petition filed by NGO Common Cause alleging misuse of the sedition law, refused to pass a direction on the plea that a copy of this order be sent to all Chief Secretaries of states and the Directors General of Police.

“You have to file separate plea highlighting if any misuse of sedition law is there. In criminal jurisprudence, allegations and cognisance have to be case specific, otherwise it will go haywire. There can’t be any generalisation,” the bench said.

Mr. Bhushan said law has not been amended after the Kedar Nath Singh judgment by the apex court and that a constable does not understand the judgment, but what he understands is the section in the IPC.

“Constables don’t need to understand. It is the magistrate who needs to understand and follow the guidelines as laid down by the apex court while invoking sedition charges,” the apex court said. The court was hearing a plea seeking the apex court’s intervention to address the “misuse” of section 124(A) of the IPC contending that such a charge was being framed with a view to “instil fear and scuttle dissent.”

The NGO’s plea said “there has been an increase in the number of cases of sedition against intellectuals, activists, students, with the latest being the sedition charge on Amnesty India for organising a debate on Kashmir.”

“In this regard, a petition has been filed to address the misuse and misapplication of Section 124A (sedition law) by the Centre and various State Governments leading to routine persecution of students, journalists and intellectuals engaged in social activism. It is submitted that these charges are framed with a view to instill fear and to scuttle dissent.”

Acting on a complaint by the ABVP on Saturday, Bengaluru police had slapped sedition charges against Amnesty International India after an event it had organised on allegations of human rights violations and denial of justice in Jammu and Kashmir.

Referring to a National Crime Records Bureau report, the plea said that 47 cases of sedition were filed in 2014 alone and 58 persons arrested in connection with these cases, but the government has managed only one conviction so far.

It cited a series of recent examples of activists being slapped with sedition charges, including Arundhati Roy in 2010 for alleged anti-India remarks at an event in Kashmir, cartoonist Aseem Trivedi in 2012 for allegedly insulting the country through his cartoons, doctor and human rights activist Binayak Sen, JNUSU President Kanhaiya Kumar and DU professor S.A.R. Geelani.

The plea sought a direction that either Director General of Police or Commissioner of Police be asked to give a report before registration of an FIR for the offence of sedition that the act has led to violence or there was an intent on the part of the accused to create public disorder.

It also sought a direction that the investigations and prosecutions be dropped in cases where such a reasoned order was not provided and the act in question involved peaceful expression or assembly.

The constitutional validity of section 124(A) rests upon either an intention to create public disorder or incitement of violence, it had said.

Uttarakhand HC, 2020

Kautilya Singh & Prashant Jha, October 29, 2020: The Times of India

Criticising govt not sedition, says HC

Dehradun:

In its order in which the Uttarakhand HC directed a CBI probe to be conducted into corruption charges levelled against CM Trivendra Singh Rawat, the court also called for quashing of an FIR in which Section 124-A of the IPC (pertaining to sedition) was slapped on journalist Umesh Kumar Sharma, the man who had made the allegations against the CM.

“There is no material to show what criminal conspiracy was done, and prima-facie, no offence under Section 120-B IPC is made out,” the single bench of Justice Ravindra Maithani said, adding, “Unless public functionaries are criticised, democracy cannot be strengthened...if dissent is suppressed under the sedition law, it would make democracy weak. Criticising the government can never be sedition.”

Sharma had alleged that bribe money was deposited into the bank accounts of the CM’s close relatives and associates during demonetisation in 2016. The allegation was that the money was paid by a Ranchi-based individual Amratesh Chauhan as part of a deal with Rawat to facilitate his appointment as chairman of Gau Seva Aayog of Jharkhand. CM Rawat said he is “open to investigation”.

Sedition cases/ Offences against the state registered in

2015

30 sedition cases registered in 2015; 17 less than in 2014, By Neeraj Chauhan Aug 31 2016 : The Times of India (Delhi)

At a time when a polarising debate on the use of sedition laws was being played out, a total of 30 sedition cases were registered in 2015 with nine being registered in Bihar, followed by three each in Haryana, Karnataka and Kerala. Nationally , there were 17 less such cases in 2015 compared to that in 2014.

Data released by National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) also say that 571 cases of `offence against the state' were registered all over the country in 2015 with Uttar Pradesh topping the list with 60 such cases, followed by southern states of Telangana (54, Karnataka (49) and Kerala (45).

While the use of the sedition law against JNU students' union president Kanhaiya Kumar for a meeting that allegedly eulogised Parliament attack convict Afzal Guru became a heated political controversy , the number of cases registered have been limited. In Jammu & Kashmir, only one case of sedition was reported despite incidents of unrest and anti-India demonstrations.

`Offences against the state', which was listed by NCRB for the first time last year, include waging or attempting to wage war or abetting waging of war against the government (Section 121of IPC), conspiracy to commit offences punishable by Section 121 (Section 121A) and collecting arms with intention of waging war against the government (Section 122), among others.

2016

People charged with sedition, India Today , September 8,2016
People charged with sedition, India Today , September 8,2016

See the graphics 'People charged with sedition'

Damayanti Datta , A joke called sedition “India Today” 8/9/2016

2016-2019 Jan: Assam

245 sedition cases since BJP came to power in Assam, February 5, 2019: The Times of India


The Assam government said as many as 245 sedition cases were registered across 17 districts since the BJP-led alliance came to power in the state in 2016.

In a written reply in the Assam assembly, parliamentary affairs minister Chandra Mohan Patowary said 245 sedition cases were filed against various individuals and banned organisations since May 26, 2016, when the present coalition government took charge. Excluding these two districts, the actual number of sedition cases filed in the state during this period stood at 245 in 17 districts. Replying to a query by the leader of Opposition Debabrata Saikia of Congress, the minister said sedition cases have been filed against militant groups such as ULFA(I), NDFB (S), NDFB(B), KLO, NSLA, NSLA(AT), UPLFS, NSCN, DHD, DHNA, NSCN(IM), ZUF and ATF, among others.

See also

Freedom of speech: India

Information Technology, India: I

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