Raghuram Rajan
This is a collection of articles archived for the excellence of their content. |
Contents |
A profile
As the RBI Governor
Through tight monetary measures, he contained inflation, with consumer price inflation falling to an all-time low of 6.46 per cent and the wholesale price index easing to a five-year low of 2.38 per cent in September 2014.
He successfully tackled India's currency crisis, rescuing the rupee from its historic low of 68.83 against the dollar in August 2013 to 61.7 as on November 7, 2014.
He won the Director's Gold Medal at IIT-Delhi and was a gold medallist at IIM-Ahmedabad. He was given the Central Bank Governor of the Year 2014 award by Euromoney magazine for stabilising the rupee.
Seeking support : “I seek the blessings of all citizens of India.May they give me the courage and highest stride.”
Bouncing back : He said, “I think over the course of this year, we will be solidly in the 5 per cent growth range and by next year we should be in the 6 per cent range.”
As Governor, RBI
Contributions as the Governor, RBI
The Times of India, Aug 21 2016
Mayur Shetty
Raghuram Rajan described himself as “fundamentally an academic“ with the governorship of RBI being a “side job“. Perhaps true considering that his threeyear term at the RBI was the shortest for any governor after liberalization in 1991 and might be just a blip in Rajan's career.Tenure notwithstanding, the youngest governor at the RBI will leave behind a legacy disproportionate to his tenure. Most of the headlines that Rajan drew were because of his standing as a public intellectual.He broke the mould of a technocrat as someone who does not make public pronouncements on issues outside his domain. Some saw this as ambition to play a larger role, but his explanation was that these issues like intolerance and crony capitalism were endemic to growth. Rajan was not just a free thinker but with such a personality that it was impossible for him not to air his thoughts.
Rajan wanted the governorship to execute his ideas. The job gave him an opportunity to implement reforms that he had suggested as a consultant to the Indian government in 2008. Most of the banking reforms being implemented today can be traced to a report A Hundred Small Steps submitted by Rajan when he was a 45-year-old professor from University of Chicago after he was appointed consultant by the United Progressive Alliance government. The report pitched for steps like inflation-targeting, broadening bond markets and stronger boards for government banks. For central bank watchers, the success of an incumbent in stabilizing the exchange rate, taming inflation and cleaning up banks would be considered a fair measure of success. But Rajan's legacy goes beyond these issues of macro stability .
He is likely to be remembered for a number of things that he has institutionalized. Since his appointment in 2013 was for a threeyear tenure, Rajan set a three-year time-frame to achieve his agenda which included bringing competition and innovation in banking, cleaning up bank balance sheets, creating a new monetary policy framework, and developing a structure for faster transmission of interest rates to borrowers.
The end of Rajan's tenure coincides with the end of monetary decision-making by the office of the governor. Rajan has successfully pushed for a new monetary policy framework, where interest rates will be decided by a committee rather than a governor. If the new framework functions along expected lines, markets can look forward to seeing a more predictable and stable rate policy which will help develop bond markets.
Monthly Rate Revision: Borrowers can thank Rajan as interest rates on their loans begin to come down every month and not only when banks revise rates.This is possible because of Rajan's decision in December 2015 to take away from banks the freedom to decide when to revise rates. As of now most borrowers have their loans pegged to the earlier benchmark the base rate. According to the RBI, rates will have to be decided based on the “marginal cost of funds“. In other words, banks have to routinely calculate their cost of funds and any change has to be passed on to borrowers by revising their benchmark. This new formula-based benchmark is called the marginal cost of lending rate (MCLR). Once most borrowers migrate to the MCLR regime, rates would begin to come down every month.
Let A Thousand Flowers Bloom: Rajan's most understated achievement has been the big jump in innovation in financial services. Before Rajan took charge, a private bank had put up a proposal to the RBI to allow cardless withdrawal from ATMs based on an SMS code generated on the request of the cardholder.The RBI was wary of the service fearing that it would be misused.Rajan, however, was excited about the new solution which he saw as a remittance tool. According to Rajan, a “cash out“ facility was crucial for remittances because there is a large recipient population in the country without access to formal banking. “The system will take care of necessary safeguards of customer identification, transaction validation, and velocity checks. We need more such innovative products, some of which mobile companies are providing,“ Rajan said in a Nasscom speech in 2014.
Payments Bank Licence: For years banks had been struggling to use the last-mile connectivity that mobile telecom companies had built. Banks were keen to use the mobile company's recharge networks in rural areas as banking correspondents. They also wanted to reach out to unbanked customers of mobile companies.But mobile companies wanted to be in the game themselves. Regulators were, however, wary of granting full banking licences to telcos as they were either owned by foreigners or part of conglomerates. Rajan's proposals allowed telcos to set up payments banks which could provide transactional facilities like remittances and payments but could not extend loans. This addressed RBI's concerns of corporate banks engaging in self-serving. It also enabled existing banks to partner payment banks to sell their products.
Small Finance Bank Licences: Likewise in the case of microfinance companies, the RBI addressed the issue of microfinance regulation by allowing some of them to convert into banks. While announcing the guidelines, Rajan clarified that the “small“ in the title referred to the size of the loans and not to the size of the banks. He said that these small finance banks could grow into giant institutions. This was the key difference between the earlier approach to small business lending and the one taken by Rajan. Earlier local area banks and regional rural banks could not make a dent as their mandate was regional and successful players could not grow beyond a point. After taking charge, Rajan did not waste any time in initiating the reform process.
2016: Quits after 1st term
The Times of India, Jun 19 2016
Surojit Gupta
His name was Rajan and he left India shaken & stirred
He steadied the country's choppy financial markets, pulled no punches when he delivered his speeches and endeared himself to even those who have nothing to do with the staid world of monetary policy. Raghuram Govind Rajan, engineer-turned economist, will go down as perhaps the most flamboyant and outspoken Reserve Bank governors that India has ever seen.
In the nearly three years that he has occupied the 18th floor of fice of the RBI building on Mint Street in Mumbai, Rajan has taken several steps to modernize the country's central bank.
Along the way he has earned several nicknames “Rockstar“, “the Guv“ and his speeches and press conferences have been tracked like the twists and turns of a T-20 cricket match.
Such was his charm that young girls chased him for selfies and columnists penned articles titled `The Unbearable Hotness of Being Raghuram Rajan'.Even the Financial Times waxed on about his squash and tennis honed physique while Shobhaa De pointed out that “it's not often that one gets an RBI Guv who makes hearts (not just female ones) go dhak dhak each time he strides into a room.“ He took office at a time when the foreign exchange market was caught in the storm sweeping the globe. But he quickly steadied the ship which prompted some to compare him with the legendary spymaster James Bond. After all, he did famously declare, “My name is Rajan and I do what I do“.
The former International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief economist was also vocal about the need for tolerance after the Dadri incident, the government's Make in India initiative and the scorching growth rate which the government has been showcasing as one its key achievements. His statement comparing the Indian economy with `a one-eyed king in a blind world' made headlines.
Rajan, who figured in the Time magazine's list of 100 most influential people in the world, attracted criticism from sections of the Narendra Modi government for his reluctance to cut interest rates. For him economic logic was above populism as he pointed to the lurking inflationary pressures.
Reams of newsprint were devoted to his reappointment, and thousands went on to sign online petitions demanding a second term for him.
As an economist
2017: On the Nobel shortlist
October 7, 2017: The Times of India
HIGHLIGHTS
Rajan among six economists on the list of probable winners compiled by Clarivate Analytics
Rajan is considered a candidate for his "contributions illuminating the dimensions of decisions in corporate finance"
Former RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan features in the list of probables for this year's Nobel Prize in Economics, The Wall Street Journal has reported.
He is one of the six economists on the list of probable winners compiled by Clarivate Analytics, a company that does academic and scientific research and maintains a list of dozens of possible Nobel Prize winners based on research citations.
The entry to the list does not guarantee that Rajan is a front-runner but he is a probable who stands a chance to win. Rajan, whose three year term as Reserve Bank Governor ended on September 4, 2016+ , is considered a candidate for his "contributions illuminating the dimensions of decisions in corporate finance", Clarivate said.
According to Clarivate Analytics, the list of possible Nobel Prize winners based on research citations include Colin Camerer of the California Institute of Technology and George Loewenstein of Carnegie Mellon University (for pioneering research in behavioural economics and in neuroeconomics); Robert Hall of Stanford University (for his analysis of worker productivity and studies of recessions and unemployment); and Michael Jensen of Harvard, Stewart Myers of MIT and Raghuram Rajan of the University of Chicago (for their contributions illuminating the dimensions of decisions in corporate finance).
Rajan, who at 40 was the first non-western and the youngest to become the chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, shot to big fame three years after he predicted a financial crisis at an annual gathering of economists and bankers in the US in 2005.
He was appointed RBI Governor by the UPA government in 2013 and although he wanted a second term he was not offered an extension, which most of his predecessors got, by the NDA regime.
He is currently the Katherine Dusak Miller Distinguished Service Professor of Finance at the Booth School of Business, University of Chicago.
Legacy
See graphics:
Raghuram Rajan: Legacy
Raghuram Rajan: achievements and criticism
RBI and the government
The Times of India, Jun 20 2016
Sense of unease lurked below surface The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the government may not have gone public with their differences in recent months, but there were several issues which divided them and finally resulted in Raghuram Rajan's decision to rule himself out for a second term. During the initial months of the NDA regime, there had been occasions when government functionaries had spoken about the need to cut interest rates to prod the central bank. This made way for several exchanges on key issues -ranging from a monetary policy panel and the inflation target to managing government borrowings -where some strong words were used.
While things seemed to have settled down, at least on the surface, the government was not completely at ease with the way the RBI under Rajan had dealt with several issues and remained dissatisfied with the pace of interest rate reduction, slow growth in lending and stress in the small and medium scale sector.
There is a strong view in the government that the RBI has been “behind the curve“ in reducing interest rates and this has hurt the SME sector and higher rates were more beneficial to foreign institutional investors rather than the domestic market.
The sluggish growth in lending has been a serious concern for the government as it frets over inadequate private investment and is trying to get the economy moving through higher public spending to make up for low capital expenditure by India Inc.
Rajan's frequent pronouncements on a range of issues from the intolerance debate to the comments on India being a “one-eyed king in the land of the blind“ did get the government's goat though it chose to hold its breath on most provocations.
A former RBI governor felt Rajan's comments on issues not related to his remit were a transgression of norms that guide the office. Others, however, felt that while he has pushed the limits, his standing made him eligible to speak on domestic and international developments. His stature helped India, rather than impede it.
What did bother Rajan, it would seem, was the lack of outright condemnation of Rajya Sabha MP Subramanian Swamy's diatribes, accusing the RBI governor of extraterritorial loyalities and of leaking official communication.
The decision that a cabi secretary-headed committee will shortlist candidates for the RBI governor's post and will examine possible choices, including the incumbent, went down poorly at the central bank. In the past, such a decision was essentially taken by Prime Ministers, sometimes in consultation with finance ministers.
Earlier, the process for the selection of the RBI deputy governor was also changed.Previously , the RBI governor headed the selection process, but this time around he was a member of the committee headed by the cabinet secretary .The government maintains the financial sector regulatory appointment search committee (FSRASC) was set up some time back in accordance with the recommendation of previous panels.
There is also an impression that the governor's “star status“ did not find adequate resonance in the government. The tendency in the government has been to see the RBI as part of the team that is involved in the management of the economy .
