Rajasthan: Assembly elections

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Contents

History

1951-2018: The performance of independent candidates

Harikishan Sharma, Sep 4, 2023: The Indian Express

Performance of independent candidates in Rajasthan Assembly elections, 1951- 2018
From: Harikishan Sharma, Sep 4, 2023: The Indian Express

In the past three decades, the Assembly elections in Rajasthan have seen a bipolar fight between the Congress and the BJP, and the Independents have emerged as the third-biggest political force. In the 15 Assembly elections held from 1951 to 2018, Independents have been the third-biggest group nine times in terms of seats won while in terms of vote share, they have come third on 10 occasions in this period. Non-Congress and non-BJP parties such as the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), CPI(M), Rashtriya Loktantrik Party (RLTP), Bhartiya Tribal Party (BTP), and Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) have not been able to make inroads in the state.

Election Commission (EC) data shows that Independents were the second-biggest group in seats won in the first two elections of the Rajasthan Assembly. In 1951, their tally stood at 35 in the 160-member Assembly while in 1957 it was 32 in the 176-member House. In these elections, the Congress won the maximum number of seats — 82 in 1951 and 119 in 1957.


The Independents, however, slipped to third place in 1962 when their tally came down to 22. Apart from the Congress (88), the other party that was ahead of the Independents was the Swatantra Party (SWA), which won 36 constituencies. In the following elections, held in 1967, the Independents slipped to fourth with 16 seats in the House of 184 members. This time, the three parties that were ahead of the Independents were the Congress (89), the SWA (48), and the Bharatiya Jan Sangh (22).

In 1972, Congress won in a landslide (145 seats in the 184-member Assembly), decimating the SWA and the Jan Sangh, which were reduced to 11 and eight seats respectively. The number of Independents too came down to 11 seats. In 1977, the Janata Party (JNP) swept the Assembly elections winning 152 seats in the House of 200, reducing the Congress seat count to 41 while only five Independents won.

The Assembly elections of 1980 saw the entry of the BJP. The Congress made a strong comeback by winning 133 seats in the now 200-member Assembly. The BJP, which was contesting its first election after its foundation that same year, bagged 32 seats to come second. The Independents managed to win 12 seats and remained third.

In 1985, the Congress retained power but with a reduced number of seats (113) as the BJP and the Lok Dal (LKD) posed a challenge by winning 39 and 27 seats respectively, as the Independents slipped to fourth with 10 constituencies.

In 1990, the Congress lost the election. The BJP with 85 seats emerged as the single-largest party but fell short of the majority mark of 101 in the House of 200. It was followed by the Janata Dal (55) and the Congress (50). The Independents, with a tally of nine, remained fourth.

Since 1993, the BJP and the Congress have won the Rajasthan Assembly elections alternatively — in 1993 BJP won 95 and Congress 76; in 1998, Congress 153 and BJP 33; in 2003, BJP 120 and Congress 56; in 2008, Congress 96 and BJP 78; in 2013, BJP 163 and Congress 21; and in 2018, Congress 100 and BJP 73. In all these six polls, the Independents have stood third by winning 21 seats in 1993, seven in 1998, 13 in 2003, 14 in 2008, seven in 2013, and 13 in 2018.

In the 15 Assembly elections held in the state to date, the combined vote share of the Independent candidates has ranged between 8.21% and 27.49%.

Not only have the Independents been a major factor in deciding the outcome of several seats in the state in terms of seats won but also in vote share. For instance, they were the runners-up across eight Assembly seats in 2013 and 11 seats in 2018.

2013, 2018

The results

The results of the elections to the Legislature Assembly in Rajasthan in 2013, 2018
From: [From the archives, Oct 10, 2023: The Times of India]

See graphic:

The results of the elections to the Legislature Assembly in Rajasthan in 2013, 2018

2018

The results

The results of the Rajasthan assembly elections, 2018
Comparisons with the 2013 assembly elections
From: December 12, 2018: The Times of India

See graphic:

The results of the Rajasthan assembly elections, 2018
Comparisons with the 2013 assembly elections


BJP falls from 9 to 2 seats in gauraksha hub, Alwar

Dishank Purohit, December 13, 2018: The Times of India


In a district that has witnessed several violent episodes of vigilantism tied to protection of cows, BJP’s tally has come down from nine seats (out of 11) in 2013 to two this time.

The BJP only retained the Alwar (urban) and Mundawar seats in Alwar district. It lost Tijara, Kishangarh Bas, Behror, Bansur, Thangazi, Alwar (rural), Kathumar, and Rajgarh-Laxmangarh seats.

Alwar shares a border with Haryana; the region is home to a large number of dairy farmers. A farmer said due to the fear of vigiliante attacks — especially after the lynching of Mewat resident Pehlu Khan in 2017 and Rakbar Khan earlier this year — transportation of cows had virtually stopped, affecting livelihoods.

Stray cattle wandering into farms had become another major concern. “At night, farmers would sit in their fields with a torch and stick to ensure stray cattle did not enter. BJP, however, paid no heed to these problems,” said Rahul Meena, a farmer in Ramgarh.

Caste politics played a big part in the result as well. In Tijara, BSP’s Sandeep Kumar Yadav made major inroads into the BJP vote bank by stitching together Yadav votes and BSP’s Dalit votes. In Kishangarh-Bas, BSP’s Deep Chand secured votes of Gujjars and Jats to defeat BJP’s Ramhet Singh Yadav. The consolidation of the SC, ST and Muslim vote — the area, along with Mewat, is home to a huge population of Meo Muslims — worked against BJP.

BJP fared worse in Bharatpur, from where it returned a nil, down from five assembly seats (out of 6) in 2013. The SC and ST votes went to BSP candidates in Nadbai and Nagar. In Nagar, the BSP candidate Wajib Ali secured Muslims, Jat and Dalit votes, sending BJP to third position.

The Congress wins: just about

December 12, 2018: The Times of India

What worked for Congress and what didn't work for BJP
From: December 12, 2018: The Times of India


Seen As Favourite, Just Manages Halfway Mark With Ally’s Seat

The only state where Congress was seen as the favourite before counting of votes began on Tuesday was Rajasthan. Yet, it was here that the numbers sprang a surprise. Though Congress maintained a lead, BJP at times drew too close for comfort.

Congress finally ended the day winning 99 seats, and its pre-poll ally Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) won another, giving the alliance the minimum 100 seats required to stake claim for government formation. Contrary to exit poll predictions, the Vasundhara Rajeled BJP was not decimated — it won a respectable 73 seats.

Of the 200 assembly seats in the state, 199 went to polls on December 7. Polling at Ramgarh seat in Alwar was cancelled due to the death of the BSP candidate. The BSP has won six seats — double the number it won in 2013. The party might ally with Congress, which has already started looking for post-poll alliances in the state.

The Congress leaders still called it a big victory for their party, which had won just 21 seats in Rajasthan in 2013. “This is a grand victory. We are forming the government in three states. The way Congress president Rahul Gandhi tackled PM Narendra Modi and BJP chief Amit Shah in Gujarat, the graph of Congress is going up and the graph of Modi is constantly going down,” said party general secretary and former CM Ashok Gehlot.

At the same time, Gehlot talked about forging post-poll alliances with other parties to keep BJP out of power in the states. “We will get the required majority, still we will take along other candidates or parties, except BJP, to form governments,” Gehlot said.

“Anybody who has fought against the BJP ideology in these elections, anyone who wants to form a secular, hardworking people’s government will certainly come forward and support Congress,” said Pilot. “I am in touch with most of these people who have won.”

Outgoing chief minister Raje won from Jhalrapatan, defeating Congress’ Manvendra Singh with a comfortable margin of nearly 35,000 votes. Congress’ potential CM candidates Gehlot and Sachin Pilot also won easily, defeating their BJP rivals Shambhu Singh Khetasar and Yoonus Khan, respectively.

Raje conceded defeat and tendered her resignation to governor Kalyan Singh late Tuesday night. “I accept the people’s mandate. I am proud of the work done by BJP workers in the state and am hopeful the new government will take it forward,” she later told reporters. Of the 13 Independent candidates who won, six are ex-MLAs of Congress, three are Congress rebels and two who did not get Congress tickets. Just two Independents — Om Prakash Hudla (Mahuwa, Dausa) and Suresh Tak (Kishangarh, Ajmer) — are BJP rebels.

CPM managed to win two seats — Dungargarh (Bikaner) and Bhadra (Hanumangarh). But its stalwart Amra Ram, who led the farmers’ agitation in Shekhawati region, lost to Congress’ Virendra Chaudhary, son of former PCC chief Narayan Singh.

Newly launched Rashtriya Loktantrik Party (RLP), led by Hanuman Beniwal, won three seats. Beniwal retained his Khinvsar seat, while Indra Devi won from Merta (Nagaur) and Pukhraj won from Bhopalgarh (Jodhpur). The Gujaratbased Bharatiya Tribal Party, which has contested for the first time in Rajasthan, pocketed two ST seats — Chorasi and Sagwara — in Dungarpur district. Of the five seats that Congress left for its allies, just one seat was won by the alliance — Subhash Garg of Rashtriya Lok Dal won from Bharatpur.

“People have suffered a lot in the last five years, and despite all the pressures and misuse of resources by BJP, the people have given a mandate against it,” Pilot said. “BJP got 163 seats in 2013 and the Congress had 21 seats, but today we crossed the halfway mark. It is a victory of the people. For us, the most important thing now is to form a government that is not just a Congress government but a people’s government.”

Left gets 2 seats

Swati Mathur, 2 Raj seats give Left a boost, December 13, 2018: The Times of India


On the face of it, victory in two seats in a 200-member assembly may not appear significant. But for the beleaguered Left, an ideology that faces questions over its political relevance, the victories in the unchartered territories of Bikaner and Hanumangarh in Rajasthan serve both as a much-needed booster shot as well as a reminder that some serious strategising is in order.

The victories, which the party attributed to growing discontent and anger against the Modi government’s policies, also saw party insiders dwell on alternative ‘pro-people’ policies. The sticking point, though, may boil down to the divisions within the Left with even CPI and CPM, while acknowledging the common cause of defeating the communal forces, remain divided on their working relations with principal opposition Congress.

2023

Dec 4, 2023: The Indian Express

The elections in Rajasthan, ahead of the Assembly polls being billed as a semi-final for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, saw a direct contest between the ruling Congress and the opposition BJP. The BJP trounced the Congress winning 115 of the total 199 seats in the state Assembly. The big question now remains is: will Vasundhara Raje — BJP’s tallest leader in the state — become the Chief Minister again?

Approximately 74.13 per cent voter turnout was recorded in Rajasthan on November 25. It was slightly above the 74.06 percent voter turnout recorded in the 2018 assembly polls. In the 2018 assembly polls, the Congress — which won 100 seats — had wrested power from the BJP and formed the government with Ashok Gehlot as chief minister for a third time.


Here’s the list of winners from each constituency of Rajasthan:

Serial No. Constituency Winner Party
1. AJMER NORTH VASUDEV DEVNANI BJP
2. AJMER SOUTH (SC) ANITA BHADEL BJP
3. BEAWAR SHANKERSINGH RAWAT BJP
4. KEKRI SHATRUGHAN GAUTAM BJP
5. KISHANGARH VIKASH CHOUDHARY INC
6. MASUDA VIRENDRA SINGH BJP
7. NASIRABAD RAMSWAROOP LAMBA BJP
8. PUSHKAR SURESH SINGH RAWAT BJP
9. ALWAR RURAL (SC) TIKARAM JULLY INC
10. ALWAR URBAN SANJAY SHARMA BJP
11. BANSUR DEVI SINGH SHEKHAWAT BJP
12. BEHROR DR. JASWANT SINGH YADAV BJP
13. KATHUMAR (SC) RAMESH KHINCHI BJP
14. KISHANGARH BAS DEEPCHAND KHAIRIYA INC
15. MUNDAWAR
LALIT YADAV INC
16. RAJGARH LAXMANGARH (ST) MANGELAL MEENA INC
17. RAMGARH ZUBAIR KHAN INC
18. THANAGAZI KANTI PRASAD INC
19. TIJARA MAHANT BALAK NATH BJP
20. BAGIDORA (ST) MAHENDRA JEET SINGH MALVIYA INC
21. BANSWARA (ST) ARJUN SINGH BAMANIYA INC
22. GARHI (ST) KAILASH CHANDRA MEENA BJP
23. GHATOL (ST)
NANALAL NINAMA INC
24. KUSHALGARH (ST) RAMILA KHADIYA INC
25. ANTA
KANWARLAL BJP
26. BARAN-ATRU (SC)
RADHEYSHYAM BAIRWA BJP
27. CHHABRA
PRATAP SINGH SINGHVI BJP
28. KISHANGANJ (ST)
LALIT MEENA BJP
29. BARMER
DR. PRIYANKA CHOWDHARY Independent
30. BAYTOO HARISH CHAUDHARY INC
31. CHOHTAN (SC)
ADU RAM MEGHWAL BJP
32. GUDAMALANI
KRISHAN KUMAR K.K. VISHNOI BJP
33. PACHPADRA
ARUN CHOUDHARY BJP
34. SHEO
RAVINDRA SINGH BHATI Independent
35. SIWANA
HAMEER SINGH BHAYAL BJP
36. BAYANA (SC)
DR. RITU BANAWAT Independent
37. BHARATPUR
DR. SUBHASH GARG RASHTRIYA LOK DAL
38. DEEG KUMHER
DR. SHAILESH SINGH BJP
39. KAMAN
NAUKSHAM BJP
40. NADBAI
JAGAT SINGH BJP
41. NAGAR
JAWAHARSINGH BEDHAM BJP
42. WEIR (SC)
BAHADUR SINGH BJP
43. ASIND
JABBAR SINGH SANKHALA BJP
44. BHILWARA
ASHOK KUMAR KOTHARI Independent
45. JAHAZPUR
GOPICHAND MEENA BJP
46. MANDAL
UDAI LAL BHADANA BJP
47. MANDALGARH
GOPAL LAL SHARMA BJP
48. SAHARA
LADU LAL PITLIYA BJP
49. SHAHPURA
LALARAM BAIRWA BJP
50. BIKANER EAST
SIDDHI KUMARI BJP
51. BIKANER WEST
JETHANAND VYAS BJP
52. KHAJUWALA (SC)
DR VISHWANATH MEGHWAL BJP
53. KOLAYAT ANSHUMAN SINGH BHATI BJP
54. LUNKARANSAR
SUMIT GODARA BJP
55. NOKHA
SUSHILA RAMESHWAR DUDI INC
56. SHREE DUNGARGARH
TARACHAND BJP
57. BUNDI
HARIMOHAN SHARMA INC
58. HINDOLI
ASHOK INC
59. KESHORAIPATAN (SC)
CHUNNILAL C.L. PREMI BAIRWA INC
60. BARI SADRI
GAUTAM KUMAR BJP
61. BEGUN
DR. SURESH DHAKAR BJP
62. CHITTORGARH
CHANDRABHAN SINGH CHOUHAN Independent
63. KAPASAN (SC)
ARJUN LAL JINGAR BJP
64. NIMBAHERA
SHRICHAND KRIPLANI BJP
65. CHURU
HARLAL SAHARAN BJP
66. RATANGARH
POOSARAM GODARA INC
67. SADULPUR
MANOJ KUMAR S/o SWAI SINGH Bahujan Samaj Party
68. SARDARSHAHAR
ANIL KUMAR SHARMA INC
69. SUJANGARH (SC)
MANOJ KUMAR INC
70. TARANAGAR
NARENDRA BUDANIA INC
71. BANDIKUI
BHAGCHAND TANKDA BJP
72. DAUSA
MURARI LAL MEENA INC
73. LALSOT (ST)
RAMBILAS BJP
74. MAHUWA
RAJENDRA BJP
75. SIKRAI (SC)
VIKRAM BANSIWAL BJP
76. BARI
JASWANT SINGH GURJAR BSP
77. BASERI (SC)
SANJAY KUMAR INC
78. DHOLPUR
SHOBHARANI KUSHWAH INC
79. RAJAKHERA
ROHIT BOHRA INC
80. ASPUR (ST)
UMESH MEENA Bharat Adivasi Party
81. CHORASI (ST)
RAJKUMAR ROAT Bharat Adivasi Party
82. DUNGARPUR (ST)
GANESH GHOGRA INC
83. SAGWARA (ST)
SHANKARLAL DECHA BJP
84. ANUPGARH (SC)
SHIMLA DEVI INC
85. GANGANAGAR
JAYDEEP BIHANI BJP
86. RAISINGHNAGAR (SC)
SOHAN LAL NAYAK INC
87. SADULSHAHAR
GURVEER SINGH BJP
88. SURATGARH
DUNGARRAM GEDAR INC
89. BHADRA
SANJEEV KUMAR BJP
90. HANUMANGARH
GANESHRAJ BANSAL Independent
91. NOHAR
AMIT CHACHAN INC
92. PILIBANGA (SC)
VINOD KUMAR INC
93. SANGARIA
ABHIMANYU INC
94. ADARSH NAGAR
RAFEEK KHAN INC
95. AMBER
PRASHANT SHARMA INC
96. BAGRU (SC)
KAILASH CHAND VERMA BJP
97. BASSI (ST)
LAXMAN INC
98. CHAKSU (SC)
RAMAVTAR BAIRWA BJP
99. CHOMU
DR. SHIKHA MEEL BARALA INC
100. CIVIL LINES
GOPAL SHARMA BJP
101. DUDU (SC)
DR. PREM CHAND BAIRWA BJP
102. HAWAMAHAL
BALMUKUNDACHARY BJP
103. JAMWA RAMGARH (ST)
MAHENDRA PAL MEENA BJP
104. JHOTWARA
COL. RAJYAVARDHAN RATHORE BJP
105. KISHANPOLE
AMIN KAGZI INC
106. KOTPUTLI
HANSRAJ PATEL BJP
107. MALVIYA NAGAR
KALICHARAN SARAF BJP
108. PHULERA
VIDHYADHAR SINGH INC
109. SANGANER
BHAJAN LAL SHARMA BJP
110. SHAHPURA
MANISH YADAV INC
111. VIDHYADHAR NAGAR
DIYA KUMARI BJP
112. VIRATNAGAR
KULDEEP BJP
113. JAISALMER
CHHOTUSINGH BJP
114. POKARAN
PRATAP PURI BJP
115. AHORE
CHHAGAN SINGH RAJPUROHIT BJP
116. BHINMAL
SAMARJIT SINGH INC
117. JALORE (SC)
JOGESHWAR GARG BJP
118. RANIWARA
RATAN DEVASI INC
119. SANCHORE
JIVA RAM CHOUDHARY Independent
120. DAG (SC)
KALURAM BJP
121. JHALRAPATAN
VASUNDHARA RAJE BJP
122. KHANPUR
SURESH GURJAR INC
123. MANOHAR THANA
GOVIND PRASAD BJP
124. JHUNJHUNU
BRIJENDRA SINGH OLA INC
125. KHETRI
DHARMPAL BJP
126. MANDAWA
KUMARI RITA CHAUDHARY INC
127. NAWALGARH
VIKRAM SINGH JAKHAL BJP
128. PILANI (SC)
PITRAM SINGH KALA INC
129. SURAJGARH
SHARWAN KUMAR S/o GOKAL RAM INC
130. UDAIPURWATI
BHAGAWANA RAM SAINI INC
131. BHOPALGARH (SC)
GEETA BARWAR INC
132. BILARA (SC)
ARJUN LAL BJP
133. JODHPUR
ATUL BHANSALI BJP
134. LOHAWAT
GAJENDRA SINGH BJP
135. LUNI
JOGARAM PATEL BJP
136. OSIAN
BHERA RAM CHOUDHARY (SIYOL) BJP
137. PHALODI
PABBA RAM BISHNOI BJP
138. SARDARPURA
ASHOK GEHLOT INC
139. SHERGARH
BABU SINGH RATHOR BJP
140. SOORSAGAR
DEVENDRA JOSHI BJP
141. HINDAUN (SC)
ANITA JATAV INC
142. KARAULI
DARSHAN SINGH BJP
143. SAPOTRA (ST)
HANSRAJ MEENA BJP
144. TODABHIM (ST)
GHANSHYAM INC
145. KOTA NORTH
SHANTI DHARIWAL INC
146. KOTA SOUTH
SANDEEP SHARMA BJP
147. LADPURA
KALPANA DEVI BJP
148. PIPALDA
CHETAN PATEL KOLANA INC
149. RAMGANJ MANDI (SC)
MADAN DILAWAR BJP
150. SANGOD
HEERALAL NAGAR BJP
151. DEEDWANA
YOONUS KHAN Independent
152. DEGANA
AJAY SINGH BJP
153. JAYAL (SC)
DR. MANJU BAGHMAR BJP
154. KHINVSAR
HANUMAN BENIWAL Rashtriya Loktantrik Party
155. LADNUN
MUKESH BHAKAR INC
156. MAKRANA
JAKIR HUSSAIN GESAWAT INC
157. MERTA (SC)
LAXMAN RAM BJP
158. NAGAUR
HARENDRA MIRDHA INC
159. NAWAN
VIJAY SINGH BJP
160. PARBATSAR
RAMNIWAS GAWRIYA INC
161. BALI
PUSHPENDRA SINGH BJP
162. JAITARAN
AVINASH GEHLOT BJP
163. MARWAR JUNCTION
KESARAM CHOUDHARY BJP
164. PALI
BHEEM RAJ BHATI INC
165. SOJAT (SC)
SHOBHA CHAUHAN BJP
166. SUMERPUR
JORARAM KUMAWAT BJP
167. DHARIAWAD
THAVAR CHAND Bharat Adivasi Party
168. PRATAPGARH
HEMANT MEENA BJP
169. BHIM
HARISINGH RAWAT S/o PANNA SINGH BJP
170. KUMBHALGARH
SURENDRA SINGH RATHORE BJP
171. NATHDWARA
VISHVARAJ SINGH MEWAR BJP
172. RAJSAMAND
DEEPTI KIRAN MAHESHWARI BJP
173. KHANDAR (SC)
JITENDRA KUMAR GOTHWAL BJP
174. BAMANWAS (ST)
INDRA INC
175. GANGAPUR
RAMKESH INC
176. SAWAI MADHOPUR
KIRODI LAL BJP
177. DANTA RAMGARH
VIRENDRA SINGH INC
178. DHOD (SC)
GORDHAN BJP
179. KHANDELA
SUBHASH MEEL BJP
180. LACHHMANGARH
GOVIND SINGH DOTASRA INC
181. NEEM KA THANA
SURESH MODI INC
182. SIKAR
RAJENDRA PAREEK INC
183. SRIMADHOPUR
JHABAR SINGH KHARRA BJP
184. PINDWARA ABU (ST)
SAMARAM BJP
185. REODAR (SC)
MOTIRAM INC
186. SIROHI
OTA RAM DEWASI BJP
187. DEOLI-UNIARA
HARISH CHANDRA MEENA INC
188. MALPURA KANHAIYALAL BJP
189. NIWAI (SC) RAM SAHAY VARMA (REGAR) BJP
190. TONK
SACHIN PILOT INC
191. GOGUNDA (ST)
PRATAP LAL BHEEL BJP
192. JHADOL (ST)
BABULAL KHARADI BJP
193. KHERWARA (ST)
DR. DAYARAM PARMAR INC
194. MAVLI
PUSHKAR LAL DANGI INC
195. SALUMBER (ST)
AMRITLAL MEENA BJP
196. UDAIPUR RURAL (ST)
PHOOL SINGH MEENA BJP
197. FATEHPUR HAKAM ALI KHAN INC
198. VALLABHNAGAR
iUDAILAL DANGI BJP


Details

Some brief details, assembly elections, Rajasthan, 2023
From: [From the archives, Dec 4, 2023: The Times of India]

Modi Guarantee In, Gehlot Warr anty Out

BJP’s Sharp Messaging Trumps Cong’s Flagship Schemes

TIMES NEWS NETWORK

It was ‘Modi ki guarantee’ and not Congress’s welfare promises that resonated with the electorate as BJP returned to office in Rajasthan, winning 115 of the state’s 200 seats.
The party emerged triumphant, weaving a compelling narrative intertwining diverse elements — youth concerns, crime, corruption — that were skillfully communicated to voters. While BJP capitalised on its sharp messaging, Congress faced challenges that proved insurmountable.


The results on Sunday solidified Modi’s position as the party’s winning mascot. Congress’s attempt to break the anti-incumbency trend faltered against Modi’s guarantees and BJP’s relentless focus on Congress’s failures.


Modi, unity, resonance: Modi stood as the pivotal figure for BJP, dispelling any concern about ‘sidelining’ party stalwarts. The PM’s connect trumped the Congress manifesto that was loaded with welfare schemes.


The acknowledgment of Modi’s leadership by ‘sidelined’ former CM Vasundhara Raje also cemented that there was no dispute on who the face of the campaign was.


Meanwhile, Congress faced internal strife, notably the unresolved differences between chief minister Ashok Gehlot and his former deputy Sachin Pilot, despite attempts to project unity. The failure to address this internal discord led to disgruntlement among the Gujjar community and disillusioned a significant section of the youth demography. In a post on X, Raje said, “This victory is of the victory of the PM Modi’s mantra of ‘sabka saath, sabka vikas, sabka vishwas, and sabka prayaas’... It is a victory that will ensure that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is reelected in 2024...”


Anti-incumbency factor: Congress faced an uphill battle against the longstanding anti-incumbency trend in Rajasthan, with voters traditionally ousting the ruling party every five years. The grand old party also struggled to counter perceptions of bureaucratic influence hindering ministerial responsiveness to public grievances.


The ‘Chiranjeevi Bhav’ health insurance scheme and a Rs 10,000 dole to women heads of families failed to resonate with voters. Congress’s flagship schemes could not stand against Modi’s ‘guarantees’ and BJP’s narrative.
 Messaging and strategy: BJP effectively communicated the mantra of ‘sabka saath, sabka vishwas, and sabka prayaas’, emphasising Modi’s inclusive governance approach. The party’s focus on issues like law and order, corruption, and the failures of the Congress government during campaigning struck a chord with voters. In sharp contrast, Congress leadership admitted its failure in effectively communicating its plans, schemes and innovations to the masses.
 Beheading and crime: The beheading of Kanhaiya Lal by two Muslim radicals
became a gamechanger for BJP. Modi, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, and Himanta Biswa Sarma strategically emphasised such incidents. Meanwhile, Congress grappled with rising crime rate. High-profile incidents, such as the death of a woman during a purse-snatching bid and a fatal altercation over parking space, tarnished the party’s image. BJP hammered away at Congress’s in ability to maintain law and order and the allegations swayed voters. CM Gehlot said on X, “...Modi and Amit Shah incited people in the name of religion... I had expected the people of the state would take revenge on BJP leaders, but it did not happen…”


Paper leaks and youth: The question paper leaks affecting 14 recruitment exams attempted by more than 70 lakh youngsters became a focal point of the saffron party’s campaign. BJP leveraged the issue to showcase Congress’s ‘incompetence and mishandling’. The party’s narrative of a ‘state-sponsored’ paper mafia resonated, and fielding Upen Yadav, the poster boy of the paper leak protests, as a candidate also reaffirmed BJP’s alignment with youth concerns.
 i, unity, resonance: The discovery of cash and gold in the Rajasthan secretariat exposed corruption within the Gehlot government. Graft allegations against top officials fuelled discontent, making corruption a central issue in the elections. While BJP made the most out of the issue and kept hammering its ‘vikaas’ agenda at rallies, Congress overlooked resentment against its legislators embroiled in graft cases and their alleged connections to mafias.


The party’s failure to address these complaints eroded its standing among voters. In a post on scial media, BJP’s Gajendra Singh Shekhawats aid, “The magician’s ‘magic’ has ended and Rajasthan has come out from under his spell. People voted for the honour of women and for the welfare of the poor... They have voted to throw the corrupt Congress out.”

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