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Old page wikitext, before the edit `(old_wikitext)`	{\| class="wikitable" \|- \|colspan="0"\|<div style="font-size:100%"> This article has been sourced from an authoritative, official <br/>publication. Therefore, it has been ‘locked’ and will never be <br/> thrown open to readers to edit or comment on.<br/> After the formal launch of their online archival encyclopædia, <br/> readers who wish to update or add further details can do so on <br/> a ‘Part II’ of this article. </div> \|} [[Category:India\|N]] [[Category:Government\|N]] [[Category: Economy-Industry-Resources \|N]] [[Category: Development \|N]] ==The source of this article== ''' Draft Revised Regional Plan 2021: National Capital Region ''' July, 2013 National Capital Region Planning Board, Ministry of Urban Development, Govt. of India, Core-4B, First Floor, India Habitat Centre, Lodhi Road, New Delhi-110003 [http://www.ncrpb.nic.in/ National Capital Region Planning Board] =Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern= == BACKGROUND== As per Census 2011, India’s population is 1210 million, of which the urban population is 377 million. The level of urbanization has gone up from 27.8% in 2001 to 31.2% in 2011. As much as 42.6% of urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. The four major metropolitan cities in India, namely, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai and Delhi together account for 15.4% of the total urban population of India (Fig 4.1). The NCR contains about 7.6% of India’s urban population and 2.1% of the total rural population of India (Fig 4.2). About 4.4 % of the India’s urban population resides in NCT Delhi alone. [[File: xxx.jpg\|\|frame\|500px]] == DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE== 4.2.1 Distribution and Density of Population The NCT-Delhi has the largest share of population (36.4%) followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region (31.7%) and Haryana sub-region (24.0%). Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest share of 8.0%. In 2011, NCR had a total population of 460.5 Lakh. Since 1981, share of population in Haryana and Rajasthan sub-regions has almost remained constant; however it increased from 31.4% in 1981 to 36.4% in 2011 in NCT-Delhi and in U.P sub-region it declined from 35% to 31.6% during the same period. Box 4.1 As much as 42.6% of the country’s urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. Delhi alone accounts for 4.4 % of the total urban population. Mumbai 4.9% Kolkata 3.8% Chennai 2.3% NCT Delhi 4.4% Other Metropolitan cities 27.2% Remaining towns/ cities 57.4% India- U 31.2% NCR-U India- R 7.6% 68.8% NCR-R 2.1% 22 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.5: Growth Rate of Population in NCR Source- Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.3: Distribution of Population in Sub-Regions of NCR-2011 Figure 4.4: Distribution of Area in Sub-Regions of NCR-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.1: Sub-Region Wise Distribution of Population in NCR (1981-2011) Sub-region Population Share of Population (%) 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 NCT-Delhi 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 31.4 34.4 37.3 36.4 Haryana 49,38,541 66,43,604 86,87,050 1,10,37,548 24.8 24.3 23.4 24.0 Rajasthan 17,55,575 22,96,580 29,92,592 36,71,999 8.8 8.4 8.1 8.0 U.P 69,68,646 90,01,704 1,15,70,117 1,45,84,234 35.0 32.9 31.2 31.6 NCR 1,98,83,168 2,73,62,532 3,71,00,266 4,60,49,032 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Census of India- 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) The growth rate of population in NCR has declined from 37.6% in 1981-91 to 24.1% in 2001-11(Table 4.2). During the last 3 decades, trends show that the growth rate of population in all the sub-regions has been declining (Fig 4.5.) Table 4.2: Population Growth Rate in NCR (1981-2011) Sub-regions 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 NCT-Delhi 51.4% 47.0% 21.0% Haryana 34.5% 30.8% 27.1% Rajasthan 30.8% 30.3% 22.7% Uttar Pradesh 29.2% 28.5% 26.1% NCR 37.6% 35.6% 24.1% Source: Census of India- 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Although the growth rate is declining, there has been a substantial increase in absolute numbers in all the sub-regions. During the last decade (2001-11) as much as 29 Lakh persons were added in Delhi’s population. Uttar Pradesh and Haryana sub-region added 30.1 Lakh and 23.5 Lakh population respectively during the same period. Rajasthan sub-region also added 6.8 Lakh persons (Table 4.3). NCT-Delhi 4.3% Haryana 39.3% Rajasthan 24.5% Uttar Pradesh 31.8% NCT-Delhi 36.4% Haryana 24.0% Rajasthan 8.0% Uttar Pradesh 31.7% Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 23 Figure 4.7: Level of Urbanisation in Sub-Regions of NCR, 2011 Figure 4.6: Urban and Rural Components of Population in NCR (1991-2001) Source- Census of India, 1991- 2011* (Provisional) 50.2% 56.4% 62.5% 49.8% 43.6% 37.5% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 1991 2001 2011 Rural NCR Urban NCR Urban Growth rate Rural Growth rate 273.6 Lakhs 371.0 Lakhs 460.5 Lakhs 97.5% 43.1% 17.8% 48.3% - 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 NCT Haryana S.R Rajasthan SR U.P SR Population-2011 (Lakh) Sub-Region pop-2011 Level of Urbanisation Share of urban population in NCR has however been rising from 50.2% in 1991 to 62.5% in 2011 and the rural population declined in the same proportion (Fig 4.6). In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban population has increased from 16.9% in 1981 to 27.0% in 2011. Table 4.3: Decadal Increase in Population in NCR Sub-regions Increase in Population (in lakhs) 1991-01 2001-11 NCT- Delhi S.R 44.3 29.0 Haryana S.R 20.4 23.5 Rajasthan S.R 6.9 6.8 Uttar Pradesh S.R 25.7 30.1 NCR 97.3 89.4 Source: Census of India, 1991 - 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.4: Urban- Rural composition of population in NCR (1981-2011) Urban-Rural Component/Year Percent share (%) 1981 1991 2001 2011 Urban NCR 45.9 50.2 56.4 62.5 Rural NCR 54.1 49.8 43.6 37.5 Urban NCR excluding NCT-Delhi-U 16.9 19.3 21.6 27.0 Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) At district level, Faridabad and Gurgaon have urbanization level of more than 50%. Panipat, Sonepat and Rohtak districts have 30 and 50 percent urbanization, while other districts have low level of urbanization in Haryana Sub-Region (Below 30 %). Similarly, in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Meerut, Ghaziabad (incl. Hapur) and Gautam Budh Nagar districts are highly urbanized (more than 50%) while other districts are less urbanized. Alwar district in Rajasthan is less urbanized at 17.8%. (Map 4.1). Urbanisation level of all districts in NCR is given in Annexure 4/II. Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) 24 Regional Plan 2021 657 475 216 904 624 274 1,104 724 324 1,349 912 382 0 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2,100 2,400 2,700 3,000 3,300 3,600 3,900 4,200 NCR Region outside Delhi India Density ( perons/ sq.km) 2001-11 1991-01 1981-91 1971-81 1,349 11,297 823 469 1,344 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) Map 4.1: Level of Urbanisation in NCR (2011) Map 4.2- Population Density of NCR (2011) Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Density of population in NCR has more than doubled from 657 Persons per sq.km in 1981 to 1349 persons per sq.km in 2011 in the last three decades (Fig 4.8). The density of population in rest of NCR excluding NCT Delhi is 912 persons per sq km. Density of population is 1349 persons per sq km in NCR as against the All India average of 382 persons per sq km in 2011. The Sub-region wise density of population is shown in Fig 4.9. Figure 4.8: Decadal Density Growth of NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.9: Density of Sub-Regions of NCR in 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) 1,349 11,297 822 438 1,344 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 25 Figure 4.10: Population Distribution in NCT-Delhi, 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.5: Sub-Region wise Density of population in NCR (2011) Area (Sq.km) Population (in Lakh) Density (Persons/sq.km) 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 NCT Delhi 1,483 1,483 1,483 1,483 62.2 94.2 138.5 167.5 4,194 6,352 9,340 11,297 Haryana 13,413 13,413 13,413 13,428 49.4 66.4 86.9 110.4 368 495 648 822 Rajasthan * 4,493 4,493 7,829 8380 17.6 23.0 29.9 36.7 391 511 382 438 Uttar Pradesh 10,853 10,853 10,853 10,853 69.7 90.0 115.7 145.8 642 829 1,066 1,344 NCR 30,242 30,242 33,578 34,144 198.8 273.6 371.0 460.5 657 905 1,105 1,349 Source: Census of India 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011 (Provisional) Note: Corresponds to Rajasthan Sub-region comprising part of Alwar district in 1981 and the entire district in 2001 NCT- Delhi has the highest density of population of 11,297 persons per sq.km followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 1344 persons per sq.km. Haryana sub-region has a relatively lesser density of 822 persons per sq.km whereas Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest density of population of 438 persons per sq. km. in the Region. (Map 4.2) Over the years, density of population has been increasing every decade in all the sub-regions (Table 4.5). At district level, Ghaziabad has the highest density of population of 3967 persons per sq.km followed by Faridabad (2421), Meerut (1326), Gautam- Budh Nagar (1187) and Gurgaon (1207). Other districts have relatively lesser densities below 1000 person / sq.km. (Annex 4/III) 4.2.2 Sub-region wise Growth of Population A. NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi is highly urbanized with 97.5% of its population living in urban areas as against the national average of 31.2% in 2011 (Fig 4.10). The decadal growth of population in the National Capital Territory of Delhi during the period 1951-1991 has been consistently above 50%, but in the last two decades, it has steadily declined from 47.0 % in 1991-2001 to 21.0 % in 2001-2011. (Table 4.6) In absolute terms, the population increase was 29.0 lakh during 2001-11, as against 44.3 lakh in the previous decade. Table 4.6: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1951-2011) Year Total Urban Rural Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1951 17,44,072 90.0 14,37,134 106.6 3,06,938 38.1 1961 26,58,612 52.4 23,59,408 64.2 2,99,204 -2.5 1971 40,65,698 52.9 36,47,023 54.6 4,18,675 39.9 1981 62,20,406 53.0 57,68,200 58.2 4,52,206 8.0 1991 94,20,644 51.4 84,71,625 46.9 9,49,019 109.9 2001 1,38,50,507 47.0 1,29,05,780 52.3 9,44,727 -0.5 2011 1,67,53,235 21.0 1,63,33,916 26.6 4,19,319 -55.6 Source: Census of India, 1951- 2011* (Provisional) Box 4.2 Density of population in NCR as well as in its Sub-regions has more than doubled during the last three decades. It is 1371 person/sq.km in NCR as against 382 person/sq.km at national level. Urban 97.5% Rural 2.5% 26 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.12: Component of Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi, 1971-2001 (in Lakh) Figure 4.11: Decadal Growth Rate of NCT-Delhi (1901-2011) Source- Census of India, 1901- 2011* (Provisional) The percentage of urban population in NCT-Delhi has been consistently increasing except in 1991 (Table- 4.7). The share of urban population has gone up from 82.4 % in 1951 to 97.5% in 2011. In absolute terms urban Delhi has increased by more than 11 times in the last six decades from 1951-2011. Table 4.7: Trends of Urbanization in NCT-Delhi Year 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 % Urban Pop 82.4 88.8 89.7 92.7 89.9 93.2 97.5 Source: Census of India, 1951 - 2011* (Provisional) The total population of NCT-Delhi as well as the urban population is growing but with declining rates. During 2001-11, the total population of NCT-Delhi grew by 21% while urban population grew by 26.6%. (Table 4.6) The rapid decline in rural population during 2001-2011 is due to the fact that most of NCT Delhi has now been earmarked as ‘Urbanisable’ area as per Master Plan for Delhi-2021. The number of villages have declined from 209 in 1991 to 158 in 2001, probably due to their inclusion in the urban agglomeration and through re-classification or up gradation as urban or census town. (Census data for rural areas for 2011 is still awaited from Census of India.) Components of Growth in NCT-Delhi The main components of the population growth are natural growth and in-migration. The share of natural growth during the last four decade during 1961-2001 has been from 50-60 percent. Over the years component of natural growth has increased and share of net migration has declined. On an average 1.2 to 1.5 Lakh migrants were added per annum in the net growth of Delhi’s population during last 30 years from 1971- 2001 (Fig 4.12). The share of out-migration from Delhi has also increased from 2.42 Lakh in 1961-1971 to 4.58 Lakh during 1991-2001. Delhi has been witnessing a high rate of in-migration, although there was a decline in the percentage share of net migrants in the decadal growth of population in NCT Delhi from 45.1% in 1961-71 to 39.8% in 1991-01. However, in absolute terms, the number of migrants continuously increased. The percentage share of migration from NCR States viz. Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh to NCT Delhi consistently declined in the last three decades. Total share of migrants from the above three states declined from 70.65% in 1971-81, to 65.76% in 1981-91 and further declined to 57.09% during 1991-2001 (including Uttarakhand:5.11%) (Annexure 4/IV). Box 4.3 The rural population of NCTDelhi has declined by 55.6% from 9.5 Lakh in 2001 to 4.20 Lakh in 2011. -60.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% Urban Rural Total Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 27 Figure 4.14: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Haryana Sub- Region-2011 Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.13: Reasons for Migration to NCTDelhi in 1991-2001 Source: Census of India, 1991- 2001 Work/emp loyment 37.6% Moved with household 36.8% Buisness 0.5% Education 2.7% Marriage 13.8% Moved after birth 2.4% Others 6.3% Urban 39.4% Rural 60.6% Table 4.8: Growth of Population and Migrants component-NCT Delhi (1961-2001) Year 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 Population (in Lakh) 26.59 40.7 62.2 94.2 138.5 Growth Rate (%) 52.4 52.9 53.0 51.4 47.0 Net Growth of Population (Lakh) 14.1 21.5 32.0 44.3 Migrants Component (Lakh) a) In-migrants 8.8 12.3 15.9 22.2 b) Out-migrants 2.4 2.8 2.8 4.6 Net-migrants (a-b) 6.3 9.5 13.1 17.6 Component of migrants in growth of population (%) 45.1 44.2 40.8 39.8 Net natural increase 7.7 12.0 18.9 26.7 Component of natural increase in growth of population (%) 54.9 55.8 59.2 60.2 Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991and 2001 (Migration Data not available for 2001-11) According to Census 2001, the main reasons for migration to Delhi are better employment opportunities and shifting of residence (Fig 4.13). Both these factors account for 74.4 % of the total migrants to Delhi during the decade 1991-2001 as shown in Fig 4.13 and Table 4.9. Table 4.9: Reasons of Migration to Delhi Reasons of Migration Migrants (1981-1991) Migrants (1991-2001) Total % Total % Employment/work 4,96,731 31.3 8,16,174 37.6 Business 64,678 4.1 11,818 0.5 Education 36,192 2.3 58,146 2.7 Marriage 2,47,903 15.6 2,99,856 13.8 Moved with household 6,58,041 41.5 7,99,231 36.8 Others 83,947 5.3 1,87,535 8.6 Total migrants 15,87,492 100.0 21,72,760 100.0 Source: Census of India 1981, 1991 and 2001 B. Haryana Sub-region: The share of urban and rural population in Haryana sub-region is 39.4% and 60.6% respectively in 2011. Although growth rate is declining, there is substantial increase in the absolute number. The absolute increase in population of the Haryana sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 23.5 Lakh, as against 20.43 Lakh in the previous decade. Table 4.10: Growth of Population in Haryana Sub-Region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population DGR (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 28,93,365 -- 24,32,155 -- 4,61,210 -- 1971 37,98,228 31.3 31,20,856 28.3 6,77,372 46.9 1981 49,38,541 30.0 37,31,837 19.6 12,06,704 78.1 1991 66,43,604 34.5 48,08,344 28.9 18,35,260 52.1 2001 86,87,050 30.8 57,22,372 19.0 29,64,678 61.5 2011 11037548 27.1 62,82,939 9.8 47,54,609 60.4 Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) 28 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.16: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.15: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Haryana Sub-Region Source: Census of India, 1971- 2011* (Provisional) 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decadal Growth rate Urban Rural Total (Haryana SR) Figure 4.17: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Urban 17.8% Rural 82.2% The growth rate of Haryana sub-region has declined during the last three decades (Table 4.10). During 1981-91, decadal growth rate of population was 34.5%, which declined to 30.8% during 1991-2001 and further dropped to 27.1% during the last decade 2001-2011. There has been a steep decline in growth rate in rural population. During 1981-91, rural population registered a growth rate of 28.9% that fell down to 19.0% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 9.8% during 2001-11. The growth of urban population was phenomenal at a rate of 78.1%, which declined to 52.1% during 1981-91. Further, it increased to 61.5% during the decade 1991-2001 and remained almost constant at 60.4% during the last decade 2001-11. C. Rajasthan Sub-region- The share of urban and rural population in Rajasthan sub-region is 17.8% and 82.2% respectively. In 2011 (Fig. 4.16), growth of population of Rajasthan Sub-region has been steady, ranging between 25 and 30 percent since 1971. However, during the last decade, the growth of population declined from 30.3% in 1991-2001 to 22.7% in 2001-11 (Table 4.11). Table 4.11: Growth of Population in Rajasthan Sub-region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 11,00,372 -- 10,12,480 -- 87,892 -- 1971 14,03,787 27.6 12,76,905 26.1 1,26,882 44.4 1981 17,71,173 26.2 15,74,972 23.3 1,96,201 54.6 1991 22,96,580 29.7 19,76,293 25.5 3,20,287 63.2 2001 29,92,592 30.3 25,57,653 29.4 4,34,939 35.8 2011* 36,71,999 22.7 30,17,711 18.0 6,54,288 50.4 Source: Census of India-1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) The absolute increase of population in the Rajasthan Sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 6.8 Lakh, as against 6.9 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population however depicts a different trend. During the period from 1971 to 1991 growth rate of urban population increased from 44.4% in 1971 to 63.2 % in 1991. There was a drastic slip in growth rate of urban population during 1991-2001 registering at 35.8% but further it picked up at 50.4% during 2001-11. Growth of rural population showed an upward trend during 1981- 2001, but declined sharply at 18.0 % during the last decade 2001-11 (Fig. 4.17). 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decedal Growth Rate Urban Rural Total (Rajasthan SR) Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 29 Figure 4.19: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region-2011 Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.18: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region- 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Urban 48.3% Rural 51.7% D. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region The share of urban and rural population in Uttar Pradesh sub-region is 48.3 % and 51.7% respectively in 2011 and the decadal growth rate increased from 22.20% in 1961-71 to 29.2 % in 1981-1991 (Table 4.12). Table 4.12: Growth of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 44,50,172 -- 36,71,496 -- 7,78,676 -- 1971 54,4p0,296 22.2 43,51,826 18.5 10,88,470 39.8 1981 69,68,646 28.1 50,19,579 15.3 19,49,067 79.1 1991 90,01,704 29.2 58,84,092 17.2 31,17,612 60.0 2001 1,15,70,117 28.5 69,55,440 18.2 46,14,677 48.0 2011 1,45,84,234 26.1 75,37,517 8.4 70,46,483 52.7 Source: Census of India 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Thereafter it marginally declined to 28.5% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 26.1% during 2001- 2011. In spite of declining trends in growth rate there has been an absolute increase of population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region during 2001-2011, it increased by 30.1 Lakh, as against 25.7 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population was very high at 79.1% during 1971-1981 but it declined to 60% during the decade 1981-1991 and further declined to 48% during 1991-2001. After that it increased to 52.7% during 2001-2011. The growth of rural population in U.P Sub region has however sharply declined from 18.2% during 1991-2001 to 8.4% during 2001-2011 (Fig. 4.19). 4.2.3 Sex Ratio Sex Ratio in NCR is 869 females per 1000 males (2011), which is much below the national average of 940. In 2011, at sub-regional level sex-ratio is lowest in NCT-Delhi at 866 followed by Haryana subregion at 870, UP sub-region at 878. Rajasthan sub-region has a sex-ratio of 894, which is the highest in the region but still below the national average. The lower sex ratio may be attributed to in migration of male population to the region. In urban area of NCR the sex ratio is 870, which is higher than the rural area. However at sub-regional level the urban sex ratio is the lowest in Haryana Sub-region having 866, closely followed by NCT-Delhi with 867, Rajasthan sub-region with 871 and Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 898. In respect of NCR rural the situation is not better. The Sex ratio varies from 847 in NCT-Delhi to 899 in Rajasthan sub-region. In Haryana and UP sub-regions it is 873 and 879 respectively. Mewat is the only district in NCR where sexratio is 906, while in all other districts it is below 900. 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decedal Growth Rate Urban Rural Total (Uttar pradesh SR) 30 Regional Plan 2021 4.3 Population Projections for 2021 A comparative analysis of the Census 2011* population figures with the proposed population in notified RP-2021 was done to review the trends of population growth in NCR. The analysis indicates that the population of NCR as per Census 2011* is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021 for 2011. (Table 4.13) The population of NCT-Delhi and 18 Metro & Regional centres have as much as 92.7 % of the urban population of NCR and the remaining urban settlements/ towns only contribute the remaining 7.3% in 2011. Table 4.13: Actual & Proposed Population 2011 for NCT-Delhi, Metro & Regional Centres and NCR Name of Town Population(in Lakh) Decadal Growth Rate 2001- 11 (%) Proposed Pop. 2011 (R.P. 2021) Census Population as % of Proposed Population in 2011, as in R.P- 2001 2011* 2021 NCT-Delhi 138.50 167.53 21.0 193.00 86.8 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 28.8 2.00 85.0 Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex 10.56 14.05 33.0 16.00 87.8 Gurgaon-Manesar complex 2.29 9.02 293.9 4.50 200.4 Ghaziabad-Loni complex 10.89 21.48 97.2 19.00 113.1 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 110.5 6.00 107.0 Sonepat-Kundli complex 2.34 3.07 31.2 3.50 87.7 Sub-total 30.45 55.74 83.1 51.00 109.3 Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR Panipat 3.54 4.42 24.9 5.00 88.4 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 26.9 4.20 88.8 Palwal 1.00 1.31 31.0 1.70 77.1 Rewari 1.31 1.43 9.2 2.00 71.5 Meerut 11.62 14.25 22.6 15.00 95.0 Hapur-Pilkhua complex 2.79 3.58 28.3 3.00 119.3 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 260.0 7.00 15.4 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex 2.74 3.78 38.0 3.70 102.2 Baghpat-Baraut complex 1.22 1.46 19.7 1.60 91.3 Alwar 2.66 3.41 28.2 3.40 100.3 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 208.8 1.00 105.0 SNB-complex 0.36 4.30 1094.4 1.00 430.0 Sub-total 30.82 43.80 42.1 48.60 90.1 Population of 18 metros & RCs excluding NCT 61.27 99.54 62.5 99.60 99.9 Total (NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs) 199.77 266.95 33.6 292.60 91.2 Remaining Urban Towns ( < 1 Lakh pop) 9.43 20.93 122.0 - - NCR Urban population 209.20 287.88 37.6 - - NCR Rural population 161.80 172.58 6.7 - - Total NCR population 371.00 460.46 24.1 486.19 94.7 Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR Note: Population of cities with more than 1 Lakh population is available from Census of India for 2011. Population for cities less than 1 Lakh population have been projected based on urban growth rate in the respective Districts. The analysis also reveals that the census population varies from the proposed population of 2011 (RP- 2021) in the range of 85% to 113% for CNCR towns except in Gurgaon (Table 4.13). In Gurgaon the actual population in 2011 was 200% of the proposed population for 2011 in the Regional Plan-2021. The Census population figures for Manesar, Shahjanpur and Neemrana towns for the year 2011 are still awaited. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 31 Figure 4.22: Revised Population Projections for NCR -2021 Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 Population ( in Lakhs) NCR ( population as per R.P-2021) NCR ( Revised Pop Projection) Revised population for 2021 Proposed Population as per RP-2021 actual census population in 2011 The scenario for Metro and Regional Centres, excluding NCT-Delhi, within CNCR and outside CNCR differs slightly. Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR grew to 55.74 Lakh as per Census 2011, which is 109.3% of the proposed population (51 Lakh) for 2011 as per the Regional Plan -2021. For Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, the actual population is 43.80 Lakh as per Census 2011 as against the proposed population of 48.60 Lakh which is 90.1 % of the proposed population. However, the cumulative Census population of all 18 Metro and Regional Centres is almost 100% of the proposed population of 2011. The difference between the proposed population of both NCR and NCT-Delhi vis-à-vis the actual Census population of 2011 (provisional) is about 25.5 Lakh. It may be attributed to the fact that NCT-Delhi grew at a slower rate than anticipated. Figure 4.20 and 4.21 given below depict growth trends of population in NCR and NCT-Delhi. Figure 4.20: Growth of Population in NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.21: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1981-2011) 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCT-Delhi Pop 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 1,93,00,000 NCT-Delhi -DGR 51.45% 47.02% 20.96% 39.35% 0 50,00,000 1,00,00,000 1,50,00,000 2,00,00,000 2,50,00,000 Population of NCT Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) The population projections of 617.25 Lakh for the year 2021 were finalized by the Study Group and subsequent discussions with the participating states (Fig 4.22). The breakup of projected population at sub-regional level include 202.6 Lakh for Delhi subregion, 168.28 Lakh for Haryana Sub-Region, 46.87 Lakh for Rajasthan sub-region and 199.46 Lakh for U.P. sub-region. The proposed population is in the range of ±2.5% (Table 4.14). 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCR- Population 1,90,18,909 2,64,46,180 3,71,00,266 4,60,47,016 4,86,19,000 NCR-DGR 39.05% 40.29% 24.12% 31.05% 0 1,00,00,000 2,00,00,000 3,00,00,000 4,00,00,000 5,00,00,000 6,00,00,000 Population of NCR Box 4.4 Earlier population projections in the Regional Plan -2021 were given in fixed numbers, however now proposed population has been given in the range of ±2.5% also. 32 Regional Plan 2021 Table 4.14: Projected Population for NCR-2021 (In Lakh) S. No Name of Town Sub- Region Pop-2011 * Proposed Pop -2021 Proposed Population Range – 2021 (±2.5%) 1 NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi 167.53 202.60 197.54 – 207.67 METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES WITHIN CNCR 2 Bahadurgarh Haryana 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 3 Faridabad-Ballabhgarh complex Haryana 14.05 25.00 24.38 – 25.63 4 Gurgaon-Manesar complex Haryana 9.02 21.00 20.48 – 21.53 5 Ghaziabad-Loni complex U.P 21.48 30.19 40.85 – 42.95 6 Noida U.P 6.42 17.40 16.97 – 17.84 7 Sonepat-Kundli complex Haryana 3.07 10.00 9.75 – 10.25 Sub- Total 55.74 106.59 103.93 – 109.25 METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES OUTSIDE CNCR 8 Panipat Haryana 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 9 Rohtak Haryana 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 10 Palwal Haryana 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 11 Rewari Haryana 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 12 Meerut- Daurala U.P 14.25 26.5 25.84 – 27.16 13 Hapur-Pilkhua U.P 3.58 7.5 7.31 – 7.69 14 Greater Noida U.P 1.08 12.00 11.70 – 12.30 15 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex U.P 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 16 Baghpat-Baraut U.P 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 17 Alwar Rajasthan 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 18 Greater Bhiwadi Rajasthan 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 19 SNB complex Rajasthan 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 Sub- Total 43.68 95.23 92.85 – 97.61 NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs 266.95 404.46 394.35 – 414.57 Remaining Urban Towns (< 1 Lakh Pop.) 20.93 48.10 46.90 – 49.30 NCR Urban population 287.88 452.56 441.25 – 463.87 NCR Rural population 172.58 164.70 160.58 – 168.82 NCR 460.46 617.26 601.83 – 632.69 Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR *Note: These Metro/Regional centres could not attain proposed population of Regional Plan-2021 because some large infrastructure projects such as RRTS, Metro Rail, Western/ Eastern Peripheral Expressway, etc. are still in the process of implementation. As such, proposed population for these towns in the Regional Plan-2021 has been retained. The Sub-Region wise break-up of proposed urban & rural population is given in Table 4.15. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 33 Table 4.15: Sub-Region Wise Projected Urban and Rural Population (In Lakh) Sl. No. Sub-regions Pop- 2011 Proposed Pop- 2021 Proposed DGR 2011-21 (%) Population range (± 2.5%) I Delhi 167.53 202.64 21.0 197.57 – 207.71 II Haryana-U 47.55 106.48 123.9 103.82 – 109.15 Haryana-R 62.83 61.80 -1.6 60.26 – 63.35 Haryana 110.38 168.28 52.5 164.08 – 172.49 III Raj-U 6.54 20.04 206.4 19.54 – 20.54 Raj-R 30.18 26.83 -11.1 24.43 – 24.16 Raj 36.72 46.87 27.6 45.70 – 48.04 IV UP-U 70.46 123.39 75.1 120.31 – 126.47 UP-R 75.38 76.07 0.9 74.17 – 77.97 UP 145.84 199.46 36.8 194.47 – 204.44 V Urban 287.89 452.55 57.2 441.24 – 463.87 Rural 172.58 164.70 -4.6 160.58 – 168.81 NCR 460.47 617.25 34.0 601.82 – 632.68 Source- Census 2011* (Provisional) and analysis by NCRPB 4.3.1 Policy Issues The review of the Regional Plan-2021 as well as the results of the Census 2011 reveals that the actual population in 2011 is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021. The proposed population for Metro and Regional Centres within Central NCR towns was 51 Lakh, while the Census population reached 56 Lakh in 2011 which is 109% of the proposed population. In the case of Metro and Regional Centres outside Central NCR, proposed population was 48.6 Lakh, while Census population is 43.68 Lakh which is 90.1% of the proposed population. The analysis shows that the Metro and Regional centres within CNCR have grown much faster than proposed while the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR could not grow as anticipated to achieve the target population of RP-2021. The emphasis therefore should be on developing the Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR by providing fast and efficient connectivity, boost to economic activities and development of infrastructure. 4.4 SETTLEMENT PATTERN 4.4.1 Urban Settlements Number of urban settlements in the region has increased from 94 in 1981 to 108 in 2001. Composition of urban centres included 17 UA/Class-I cities, 9 Class-II towns, 27 Class-III, 38 Class-IV, 15 Class-V and 2 Class-VI towns in 2001 (Table 4.16). However as per census 2011, there are 20 UA/ Class I towns. In 2011, the Class-I cities accommodated more than 92.7% of the total urban population of the region and the remaining 7.3% is distributed in 88 towns of Class-II to Class-VI size. The details of urban settlements below 1 lakh population as per Census 2011 are awaited. Table 4.16: Urban Settlements in NCR (2001) Urban Settlement/ Sub Region Class -I (1 Lakh plus) Class-II (50,000- 99,999) Class-III (20,000- 49,999) Class-IV (10,000- 19,999) Class-V (5,000- 9,999) Class-VI (Below 5,000) Total Year 2001 2011* 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 Haryana 8 8 0 7 13 6 1 35 Rajasthan 1 2 0 4 3 1 0 9 Uttar Pradesh 7 9 9 16 22 8 1 63 NCT-Delhi 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 NCR 17 20 9 27 38 15 2 108 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011 (Provisional) * Note: For Census 2011 only the population for cities with more than 1 Lakh is available. The analysis/picture of settlement pattern will change after the census data on all urban settlements in NCR is made available for 2011. 34 Regional Plan 2021 There are 35 urban settlements in Haryana Sub-region, 9 in Rajasthan Sub-region and 63 in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region. Outside NCT-Delhi, there are 8 Class-I urban centres in Haryana Sub-region, one Class-I urban centre in Rajasthan Sub-region and 7 Class-I urban centres in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (refer Map 4.3). (Detailed Census 2011 data is awaited.) The number of metropolitan cities (more than 10 Lakh) in the region increased from three cities in 2001 to four cities in 2011. 4.4.2 Rural Settlements According to the Census 2001, there were 7,528 rural settlements of various sizes in the National Capital Region. Of these, 158 were in NCT of Delhi, 2,471 in Haryana, 1,954 in Rajasthan and 3,185 in Uttar Pradesh subregions. The rural population of NCR which was 44 % of the total population, increased from 162 Lakh in 2001 to 172.60 Lakh (Provisional) in 2011. The proportion of rural population to total population has however declined. It was 44% in 2001 which has gone down to 37.5% in 2011. Census data for Rural Settlements for 2011 is awaited. 4.4.3 Proposed Hierarchy of Settlements Regional Plan-2021 proposed a six-tier settlement system i.e., Metro Centre, Regional Centres, Subregional Centres, Service Centres, Central Village and Basic Villages. The same settlement pattern is proposed to be continued and is represented in Table 4.17. Table 4.17: Proposed Six-Tier Hierarchy of Settlements S. No. Hierarchical Level Population Range 1. Metro Centre 10 Lakh and above 2. Regional Centre 3 to 10 Lakh 3. Sub-regional Centre 0.5 to 3 Lakh 4. Service Centre 10,000 to 50,000 5. Central Village 5,000 to 10,000 6. Basic Village Below 5,000 A. Metro Centre As per the Census 2011, in NCR outside Delhi already three towns/complexes namely Ghaziabad-Loni complex, Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex and Meerut have crossed the one million population mark. Additionally, the participating States have planned urban centres with million plus population in their respective sub-regions. Towns envisaged/planned with million plus population by 2021 are listed in Table 4.18. Table 4.18: Proposed Metro Centres -2021 (Population in Lakh) S. No City/Complex Population (in Lakh) Proposed Pop-2021 Proposed Population Range - 2001 2011* 2021 1 Faridabad-Ballabgarh 10.56 14.05 25.00 24.38 - 25.63 2 Gurgaon-Manesar 2.28 9.02 21.00 20.48 - 21.53 3 Ghaziabad-Loni 10.89 21.48 30.19 29.44 - 30.94 4 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 17.40 16.97 - 17.84 5 Sonepat-Kundli 2.25 3.07 10.00 9.75 - 10.25 6 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 12.00 11.70 - 12.30 7 Meerut 11.62 14.24 26.50 25.84 - 27.16 Total 41.04 69.37 142.09 138.54 - 145.6 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Note - UP Sub-regional Plan -2021 has proposed a new township YEIDA under the provision of para 4.3.5 (I) of the RP-2021 as a Green Field Township. These settlements can, however, act as powerful growth nodes to attract capital functions and activities and help in population dispersal from the national Capital. Given their special functional status and size, a Box 4.5 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR have grown much faster than the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, which could not grow as anticipated in the Regional Plan 2021. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 35 high level of physical, social and economic infrastructure better than that in the Capital is required to be developed in these towns/complexes. This would include efficient intra-urban mass transportation system as well as strong transport and communication linkages with Delhi, other Metro centres and NCR towns. The respective participating States and their agencies would be required to create the necessary infrastructure themselves in these Metro Centres and also be required to facilitate the private sector investment therein. B. Regional Centre Being second tier settlement it is the well-established urban centre in the region, marked by highly specialized secondary and tertiary sector activities and providing job opportunities, which normally cannot be performed by other lower order centres. These centres will be developed for advanced industrial and other economic activities and will have concentration of administrative and higher order service functions, which are expected to exert an increasingly dynamic influence on attraction of investment and creation of conducive living and working environment. The Regional Centres proposed in the Plan are as under (Table 4.19). Table 4.19: Proposed Regional Centres-2021 (in Lakh) S. No City/Complex Population (in Lakh) Proposed pop-2021 Proposed Population 2001 2011* Range – 2021 1 Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 2 Panipat 3.54 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 3 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 4 Palwal 1.00 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 5 Rewari 1.31 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 6 Hapur-Pilkhua 2.79 3.58 7.50 7.31 – 7.69 7 Bulandshahr-Khurja 2.74 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 8 Baghpat-Baraut 1.22 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 9 Alwar 2.66 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 10 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 11 SNB Complex 2.32 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 Total 20.22 30.17 59.73 58.24 – 61.22 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) There are 6 Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR, whereas there are 12 Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR (Map 4.4) which are as follows: Sl. Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR Sl. No Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR ( within NCR) 1. Bahadurgarh 1. Panipat 2. Faridabad- Ballabgarh Complex 2. Rohtak 3. Gurgaon - Manesar Complex 3. Palwal 4. Ghaziabad - Loni Complex 4. Rewari 5. Noida 5. Meerut 6. Sonepat - Kundli Complex 6. Hapur – Pilkhua Complex 7. Greater Noida 8. Bulandshahr- Khurja Complex 9. Bhagpat - Baraut Complex 10. Alwar 11. Greater Bhiwadi 12. Shahjanpur- Neemrana- Behror Complex. The functions of other lower order centres in the hierarchy of settlement are touched briefly in the Regional Plan. Identification of these centres and their role would be spelt out in the Sub-regional Plan in detail. 36 Regional Plan 2021 C. Sub-Regional Centre The Sub-regional Centre shall generally be medium sized towns or intermediate city performing a variety of roles, particularly in promoting and supporting a more balanced distribution of urban population and in providing functional linkages between the smaller towns and Regional/Metro Centres. The Sub-regional Centres are proposed to undertake the urban economic and service functions and will have sound infrastructure like transport, power, water, credit banking, marketing, managerial services etc. D. Service Centre The Service Centre shall be a small town or a large village having linkages with immediate rural hinterlands. These centres would cater to the rural hinterland as agro-service centre in collection and distribution of agricultural goods and services with processing, marketing, warehousing and storage facilities. E. Central Village The Central Village is the higher order village having central location and potential for development within its catchment area, with relatively better services and facilities in terms of education, health, communication, accessibility and has the capacity to serve a group of Basic Villages. This centre is proposed to provide basic social facilities for population engaged in agriculture and other primary activities. F. Basic Village All other Census villages with a population of less than 5,000 have been classified as Basic Villages and would be provided with basic facilities like link roads, water supply and electricity, paved streets and lowcost common sanitary facilities as well as the minimum required social infrastructure as per planning norms. 4.4.4 Strategies for Development of Settlement System Strategies for the development of settlement system would be to harness the growth impulses of Delhi and adjoining towns and to integrate the urban and rural settlements in the region. This could be attained by developing balanced settlement structure and mutually reinforcing system of urban and rural centres. Strategies to achieve these objectives would be as under: A. Development of a well-knit regional settlement system wherein Delhi and other towns in the region would be allowed to grow as per their carrying capacity so as to harness the development potential within the broad frame of the Regional Plan. B. In order to make a significant impact of the large growing centres to act as catalyst for development in the National Capital Region, it is proposed to identify new ‘Metro Centres/ Regional Centres/ Investment Regions/ other New Townships’ for intensive development for attracting investment, generation of employment, creation of high-quality infrastructure, robust transport and communication linkages, development of high-quality residential areas, industrial and commercial complexes. The proposed new townships would be growth nodes along the key transport corridors, proposed expressways, orbital rail corridors and other suitable locations either on virgin land or as extension of existing settlement. C. Development of small and medium towns in the region as Sub-regional centres or service centres. These towns would play an important role in supporting the socio-economic development in their rural hinterland by providing access to education and health facilities, agricultural extension services and agro-based industries depending on local resources. D. Rural development would be encouraged by providing facilities and services in appropriate hierarchy of service centres, to help stimulate production and increase the income of the rural population. This will help facilitate diversification of the economy. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 37 38 Regional Plan 2021 MAP 4.4 Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 39 Annexure 4/I: Growth of Population in four Mega Cities in India (1951-2011) City/Year Greater Mumbai UA Kolkata UA Chennai UA NCT-Delhi Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) 1,951 29,66,902 -- 46,69,559 -- 15,42,333 -- 17,44,072 -- 1,961 41,52,056 40.0 59,83,669 28.1 19,44,502 26.08 26,58,612 52.4 1,971 59,70,575 43.8 74,20,300 24.0 31,69,930 63.02 40,65,698 52.9 1,981 82,43,405 38.1 91,94,018 23.9 42,89,347 35.31 62,20,406 53.0 1,991 1,25,96,243 52.8 1,10,21,918 19.9 54,21,985 26.41 94,20,644 51.5 2,001 1,63,68,084 29.9 1,32,16,546 19.9 65,60,242 20.99 1,38,50,50 47.0 2,011 1,84,14,288 12.5 1,41,42,536 7.0 86,96,010 32.56 1,67,53,23 21.0 Source: Census of India 1951, 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Annexure 4/II: District wise level of Urbanization in NCR (2011) Sl. No District/ Sub-Region Total Population Urban Level of Urbanisation (%) 1 NCT-Delhi 1,67,53,235 1,63,33,916 97.5 Haryana- Sub-region 1 Panipat 12,02,811 5,52,945 46.0 2 Sonepat 14,80,080 4,51,687 30.5 3 Rohtak 10,58,683 4,44,819 42.0 4 Jhajjar 9,56,907 2,42,974 25.4 5 Rewari 8,96,129 2,31,411 25.8 6 Gurgaon 15,14,085 10,42,000 68.8 7 Mewat 10,89,406 1,24,017 11.4 8 Faridabad 17,98,954 14,29,093 79.4 9 Palwal 10,40,493 2,35,663 22.6 Total 1,10,37,548 47,54,609 43.1 Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region 1 Meerut 34,47,405 17,62,573 51.1 2 Baghpat 13,02,156 2,74,135 21.1 3 Ghaziabad 46,61,452 31,44,574 67.5 4 Hapur 5 Gautam Budh Nagar 16,74,714 9,97,410 59.6 6 Bulandshahr 34,98,507 8,67,791 24.8 Total 1,45,84,234 70,46,483 48.3 Rajasthan Sub-Region 1 Alwar 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 Total 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional) 40 Regional Plan 2021 Annexure 4/III: Sub-Region wise Area and Density of Population in NCR (2011) Sl. No District Area ( Sq. Km) Pop - 2011 Density (Person/ Sq.km) NCT Delhi 1 NCT- Delhi 1,483 1,67,53,235 11297 Haryana- Sub-region 1 Panipat 1,268 12,02,811 949 2 Sonepat 2,122 14,80,080 697 3 Rohtak 1,745 10,58,683 607 4 Jhajjar 1834 9,56,907 522 5 Rewari 1594 8,96,129 562 6 Gurgaon 1254 15,14,085 1207 7 Mewat 1500 10,89,406 726 8 Faridabad 743 17,98,954 2421 9 Palwal 1,368 10,40,493 761 Total 13,428 1,10,37,548 822 Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region 1 Meerut 2,601 34,47,405 1325 2 Baghpat 1,307 13,02,156 986 3 Ghaziabad 2001 46,61,452 2330 4 Hapur 5 Gautam Budh Nagar 1,411 16,74,714 1187 6 Bulandshahr 3532 34,98,507 991 Total 10,852 1,45,84,234 1344 Rajasthan Sub-Region 1 Alwar 8380 36,71,999 438 Total 8380 36,71,999 438 Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional), Statistical Abstract of Haryana Annexure 4/ IV: Migrants to NCT-Delhi by Place of Last Residence Place of last residence 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 No. of migrants % No. of migrants % No. of migrants % Uttar Pradesh 616021 50.1 765151 48.3 889857 40.0 Haryana 159028 12.9 182507 11.5 174889 7.9 Bihar 70904 5.8 169445 10.7 424093 19.1 Uttaranchal - - - - 113519 5.1 Rajasthan 93836 7.6 95198 6.0 90317 4.1 Punjab 78671 6.4 83684 5.3 47984 2.2 West Bengal 33154 2.7 43096 2.7 86249 3.9 Madhya Pradesh 37709 3.1 41815 2.6 40442 1.8 Others 140422 11.4 110727 7.0 354691 16.0 Total 1229745 100.0 1585770 100.0 2222041 100.0 Source: Census of India - 1971, 1981, 1991& 2001 Figure 5.1: Share of NCR’s GDP to India’s GDP Source: CSO (National Account Statistics); Economic Survey of Delhi, 2012-13; Department of Economic and Statistical Analysis, Haryana; Directorate of Economics and Statistics, Rajasthan; updes.up.nic.in 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Fig 5.1: Share of NCR GDP to India’s GDP
New page wikitext, after the edit `(new_wikitext)`	{\| class="wikitable" \|- \|colspan="0"\|<div style="font-size:100%"> This article has been sourced from an authoritative, official <br/>publication. Therefore, it has been ‘locked’ and will never be <br/> thrown open to readers to edit or comment on.<br/> After the formal launch of their online archival encyclopædia, <br/> readers who wish to update or add further details can do so on <br/> a ‘Part II’ of this article. </div> \|} [[Category:India\|N]] [[Category:Government\|N]] [[Category: Economy-Industry-Resources \|N]] [[Category: Development \|N]] ==The source of this article== ''' Draft Revised Regional Plan 2021: National Capital Region ''' July, 2013 National Capital Region Planning Board, Ministry of Urban Development, Govt. of India, Core-4B, First Floor, India Habitat Centre, Lodhi Road, New Delhi-110003 [http://www.ncrpb.nic.in/ National Capital Region Planning Board] =Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern= == BACKGROUND== As per Census 2011, India’s population is 1210 million, of which the urban population is 377 million. The level of urbanization has gone up from 27.8% in 2001 to 31.2% in 2011. As much as 42.6% of urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. The four major metropolitan cities in India, namely, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai and Delhi together account for 15.4% of the total urban population of India (Fig 4.1). The NCR contains about 7.6% of India’s urban population and 2.1% of the total rural population of India (Fig 4.2). About 4.4 % of the India’s urban population resides in NCT Delhi alone. [[File: demographic.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic1.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic2.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] == DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE== 4.2.1 Distribution and Density of Population The NCT-Delhi has the largest share of population (36.4%) followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region (31.7%) and Haryana sub-region (24.0%). Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest share of 8.0%. In 2011, NCR had a total population of 460.5 Lakh. Since 1981, share of population in Haryana and Rajasthan sub-regions has almost remained constant; however it increased from 31.4% in 1981 to 36.4% in 2011 in NCT-Delhi and in U.P sub-region it declined from 35% to 31.6% during the same period. 22 Regional Plan 2021 [[File: demographic7.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic5.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] The growth rate of population in NCR has declined from 37.6% in 1981-91 to 24.1% in 2001-11(Table 4.2). During the last 3 decades, trends show that the growth rate of population in all the sub-regions has been declining (Fig 4.5.) [[File: demographic6.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] Although the growth rate is declining, there has been a substantial increase in absolute numbers in all the sub-regions. During the last decade (2001-11) as much as 29 Lakh persons were added in Delhi’s population. Uttar Pradesh and Haryana sub-region added 30.1 Lakh and 23.5 Lakh population respectively during the same period. Rajasthan sub-region also added 6.8 Lakh persons (Table 4.3). [[File: demographic8.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic9.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] Share of urban population in NCR has however been rising from 50.2% in 1991 to 62.5% in 2011 and the rural population declined in the same proportion (Fig 4.6). In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban population has increased from 16.9% in 1981 to 27.0% in 2011. [[File: demographic10.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic11.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic11.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic12.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] At district level, Faridabad and Gurgaon have urbanization level of more than 50%. Panipat, Sonepat and Rohtak districts have 30 and 50 percent urbanization, while other districts have low level of urbanization in Haryana Sub-Region (Below 30 %). Similarly, in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Meerut, Ghaziabad (incl. Hapur) and Gautam Budh Nagar districts are highly urbanized (more than 50%) while other districts are less urbanized. Density of population in NCR has more than doubled from 657 Persons per sq.km in 1981 to 1349 persons per sq.km in 2011 in the last three decades (Fig 4.8). The density of population in rest of NCR excluding NCT Delhi is 912 persons per sq km. Density of population is 1349 persons per sq km in NCR as against the All India average of 382 persons per sq km in 2011. The Sub-region wise density of population is shown in Fig 4.9. [[File: demographic13.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic15.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] NCT- Delhi has the highest density of population of 11,297 persons per sq.km followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 1344 persons per sq.km. Haryana sub-region has a relatively lesser density of 822 persons per sq.km whereas Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest density of population of 438 persons per sq. km. in the Region. (Map 4.2) Over the years, density of population has been increasing every decade in all the sub-regions (Table 4.5). At district level, Ghaziabad has the highest density of population of 3967 persons per sq.km followed by Faridabad (2421), Meerut (1326), Gautam- Budh Nagar (1187) and Gurgaon (1207). Other districts have relatively lesser densities below 1000 person / sq.km. (Annex 4/III) 4.2.2 Sub-region wise Growth of Population A. NCT-Delhi B. NCT-Delhi is highly urbanized with 97.5% of its population living in urban areas as against the national average of 31.2% in 2011 (Fig 4.10). The decadal growth of population in the National Capital Territory of Delhi during the period 1951-1991 has been consistently above 50%, but in the last two decades, it has steadily declined from 47.0 % in 1991-2001 to 21.0 % in 2001-2011. (Table 4.6) In absolute terms, the population increase was 29.0 lakh during 2001-11, as against 44.3 lakh in the previous decade. [[File: demographic18.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] Density of population in NCR as well as in its Sub-regions has more than doubled during the last three decades. It is 1371 person/sq.km in NCR as against 382 person/sq.km at national level. Urban 97.5% Rural 2.5% 26 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.12: Component of Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi, 1971-2001 (in Lakh) Figure 4.11: Decadal Growth Rate of NCT-Delhi (1901-2011) Source- Census of India, 1901- 2011* (Provisional) The percentage of urban population in NCT-Delhi has been consistently increasing except in 1991 (Table- 4.7). The share of urban population has gone up from 82.4 % in 1951 to 97.5% in 2011. In absolute terms urban Delhi has increased by more than 11 times in the last six decades from 1951-2011. [[File: demographic19.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] The total population of NCT-Delhi as well as the urban population is growing but with declining rates. During 2001-11, the total population of NCT-Delhi grew by 21% while urban population grew by 26.6%. (Table 4.6) The rapid decline in rural population during 2001-2011 is due to the fact that most of NCT Delhi has now been earmarked as ‘Urbanisable’ area as per Master Plan for Delhi-2021. The number of villages have declined from 209 in 1991 to 158 in 2001, probably due to their inclusion in the urban agglomeration and through re-classification or up gradation as urban or census town. (Census data for rural areas for 2011 is still awaited from Census of India.) Components of Growth in NCT-Delhi The main components of the population growth are natural growth and in-migration. The share of natural growth during the last four decade during 1961-2001 has been from 50-60 percent. Over the years component of natural growth has increased and share of net migration has declined. On an average 1.2 to 1.5 Lakh migrants were added per annum in the net growth of Delhi’s population during last 30 years from 1971- 2001 (Fig 4.12). The share of out-migration from Delhi has also increased from 2.42 Lakh in 1961-1971 to 4.58 Lakh during 1991-2001. Delhi has been witnessing a high rate of in-migration, although there was a decline in the percentage share of net migrants in the decadal growth of population in NCT Delhi from 45.1% in 1961-71 to 39.8% in 1991-01. However, in absolute terms, the number of migrants continuously increased. The percentage share of migration from NCR States viz. Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh to NCT Delhi consistently declined in the last three decades. Total share of migrants from the above three states declined from 70.65% in 1971-81, to 65.76% in 1981-91 and further declined to 57.09% during 1991-2001 (including Uttarakhand:5.11%) (Annexure 4/IV). Box 4.3 The rural population of NCTDelhi has declined by 55.6% from 9.5 Lakh in 2001 to 4.20 Lakh in 2011. [[File: demographic22.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic25.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic21.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] According to Census 2001, the main reasons for migration to Delhi are better employment opportunities and shifting of residence (Fig 4.13). Both these factors account for 74.4 % of the total migrants to Delhi during the decade 1991-2001 as shown in Fig 4.13 and Table 4.9. [[File: demographic23.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] B. Haryana Sub-region: The share of urban and rural population in Haryana sub-region is 39.4% and 60.6% respectively in 2011. Although growth rate is declining, there is substantial increase in the absolute number. The absolute increase in population of the Haryana sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 23.5 Lakh, as against 20.43 Lakh in the previous decade. [[File: demographic24.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic27.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] The growth rate of Haryana sub-region has declined during the last three decades (Table 4.10). During 1981-91, decadal growth rate of population was 34.5%, which declined to 30.8% during 1991-2001 and further dropped to 27.1% during the last decade 2001-2011. There has been a steep decline in growth rate in rural population. During 1981-91, rural population registered a growth rate of 28.9% that fell down to 19.0% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 9.8% during 2001-11. The growth of urban population was phenomenal at a rate of 78.1%, which declined to 52.1% during 1981-91. Further, it increased to 61.5% during the decade 1991-2001 and remained almost constant at 60.4% during the last decade 2001-11. C. Rajasthan Sub-region- The share of urban and rural population in Rajasthan sub-region is 17.8% and 82.2% respectively. In 2011 (Fig. 4.16), growth of population of Rajasthan Sub-region has been steady, ranging between 25 and 30 percent since 1971. However, during the last decade, the growth of population declined from 30.3% in 1991-2001 to 22.7% in 2001-11 (Table 4.11). [[File: demographic25.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] The absolute increase of population in the Rajasthan Sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 6.8 Lakh, as against 6.9 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population however depicts a different trend. During the period from 1971 to 1991 growth rate of urban population increased from 44.4% in 1971 to 63.2 % in 1991. There was a drastic slip in growth rate of urban population during 1991-2001 registering at 35.8% but further it picked up at 50.4% during 2001-11. Growth of rural population showed an upward trend during 1981- 2001, but declined sharply at 18.0 % during the last decade 2001-11 (Fig. 4.17). Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 29 [[File: demographic34.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic33.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] C. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region The share of urban and rural population in Uttar Pradesh sub-region is 48.3 % and 51.7% respectively in 2011 and the decadal growth rate increased from 22.20% in 1961-71 to 29.2 % in 1981-1991 (Table 4.12). Thereafter it marginally declined to 28.5% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 26.1% during 2001- 2011. In spite of declining trends in growth rate there has been an absolute increase of population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region during 2001-2011, it increased by 30.1 Lakh, as against 25.7 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population was very high at 79.1% during 1971-1981 but it declined to 60% during the decade 1981-1991 and further declined to 48% during 1991-2001. After that it increased to 52.7% during 2001-2011. The growth of rural population in U.P Sub region has however sharply declined from 18.2% during 1991-2001 to 8.4% during 2001-2011 (Fig. 4.19). 4.2.3 Sex Ratio Sex Ratio in NCR is 869 females per 1000 males (2011), which is much below the national average of 940. In 2011, at sub-regional level sex-ratio is lowest in NCT-Delhi at 866 followed by Haryana subregion at 870, UP sub-region at 878. Rajasthan sub-region has a sex-ratio of 894, which is the highest in the region but still below the national average. The lower sex ratio may be attributed to in migration of male population to the region. In urban area of NCR the sex ratio is 870, which is higher than the rural area. However at sub-regional level the urban sex ratio is the lowest in Haryana Sub-region having 866, closely followed by NCT-Delhi with 867, Rajasthan sub-region with 871 and Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 898. In respect of NCR rural the situation is not better. The Sex ratio varies from 847 in NCT-Delhi to 899 in Rajasthan sub-region. In Haryana and UP sub-regions it is 873 and 879 respectively. Mewat is the only district in NCR where sexratio is 906, while in all other districts it is below 900. [[File: demographic28.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] ) 4.3 Population Projections for 2021 A comparative analysis of the Census 2011* population figures with the proposed population in notified RP-2021 was done to review the trends of population growth in NCR. The analysis indicates that the population of NCR as per Census 2011* is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021 for 2011. (Table 4.13) The population of NCT-Delhi and 18 Metro & Regional centres have as much as 92.7 % of the urban population of NCR and the remaining urban settlements/ towns only contribute the remaining 7.3% in 2011. [[File: demographic35.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] Note: Population of cities with more than 1 Lakh population is available from Census of India for 2011. Population for cities less than 1 Lakh population have been projected based on urban growth rate in the respective Districts. The analysis also reveals that the census population varies from the proposed population of 2011 (RP- 2021) in the range of 85% to 113% for CNCR towns except in Gurgaon (Table 4.13). In Gurgaon the actual population in 2011 was 200% of the proposed population for 2011 in the Regional Plan-2021. The Census population figures for Manesar, Shahjanpur and Neemrana towns for the year 2011 are still awaited. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 31 [[File: demographic38.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] The scenario for Metro and Regional Centres, excluding NCT-Delhi, within CNCR and outside CNCR differs slightly. Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR grew to 55.74 Lakh as per Census 2011, which is 109.3% of the proposed population (51 Lakh) for 2011 as per the Regional Plan -2021. For Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, the actual population is 43.80 Lakh as per Census 2011 as against the proposed population of 48.60 Lakh which is 90.1 % of the proposed population. However, the cumulative Census population of all 18 Metro and Regional Centres is almost 100% of the proposed population of 2011. The difference between the proposed population of both NCR and NCT-Delhi vis-à-vis the actual Census population of 2011 (provisional) is about 25.5 Lakh. It may be attributed to the fact that NCT-Delhi grew at a slower rate than anticipated. Figure 4.20 and 4.21 given below depict growth trends of population in NCR and NCT-Delhi. [[File: demographic36.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] The population projections of 617.25 Lakh for the year 2021 were finalized by the Study Group and subsequent discussions with the participating states (Fig 4.22). The breakup of projected population at sub-regional level include 202.6 Lakh for Delhi subregion, 168.28 Lakh for Haryana Sub-Region, 46.87 Lakh for Rajasthan sub-region and 199.46 Lakh for U.P. sub-region. The proposed population is in the range of ±2.5% (Table 4.14). 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCR- Population 1,90,18,909 2,64,46,180 3,71,00,266 4,60,47,016 4,86,19,000 NCR-DGR 39.05% 40.29% 24.12% 31.05% 0 1,00,00,000 2,00,00,000 3,00,00,000 4,00,00,000 5,00,00,000 6,00,00,000 Population of NCR Box 4.4 Earlier population projections in the Regional Plan -2021 were given in fixed numbers, however now proposed population has been given in the range of ±2.5% also. 32 Regional Plan 2021 [[File: demographic41.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] *Note: These Metro/Regional centres could not attain proposed population of Regional Plan-2021 because some large infrastructure projects such as RRTS, Metro Rail, Western/ Eastern Peripheral Expressway, etc. are still in the process of implementation. As such, proposed population for these towns in the Regional Plan-2021 has been retained. The Sub-Region wise break-up of proposed urban & rural population is given in Table 4.15. [[File: demographic42.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] 4.3.1 Policy Issues The review of the Regional Plan-2021 as well as the results of the Census 2011 reveals that the actual population in 2011 is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021. The proposed population for Metro and Regional Centres within Central NCR towns was 51 Lakh, while the Census population reached 56 Lakh in 2011 which is 109% of the proposed population. In the case of Metro and Regional Centres outside Central NCR, proposed population was 48.6 Lakh, while Census population is 43.68 Lakh which is 90.1% of the proposed population. The analysis shows that the Metro and Regional centres within CNCR have grown much faster than proposed while the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR could not grow as anticipated to achieve the target population of RP-2021. The emphasis therefore should be on developing the Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR by providing fast and efficient connectivity, boost to economic activities and development of infrastructure. 4.4 SETTLEMENT PATTERN 4.4.1 Urban Settlements Number of urban settlements in the region has increased from 94 in 1981 to 108 in 2001. Composition of urban centres included 17 UA/Class-I cities, 9 Class-II towns, 27 Class-III, 38 Class-IV, 15 Class-V and 2 Class-VI towns in 2001 (Table 4.16). However as per census 2011, there are 20 UA/ Class I towns. In 2011, the Class-I cities accommodated more than 92.7% of the total urban population of the region and the remaining 7.3% is distributed in 88 towns of Class-II to Class-VI size. The details of urban settlements below 1 lakh population as per Census 2011 are awaited. Note: For Census 2011 only the population for cities with more than 1 Lakh is available. The analysis/picture of settlement pattern will change after the census data on all urban settlements in NCR is made available for 2011. 34 Regional Plan 2021 There are 35 urban settlements in Haryana Sub-region, 9 in Rajasthan Sub-region and 63 in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region. Outside NCT-Delhi, there are 8 Class-I urban centres in Haryana Sub-region, one Class-I urban centre in Rajasthan Sub-region and 7 Class-I urban centres in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (refer Map 4.3). (Detailed Census 2011 data is awaited.) The number of metropolitan cities (more than 10 Lakh) in the region increased from three cities in 2001 to four cities in 2011. 4.4.2 Rural Settlements According to the Census 2001, there were 7,528 rural settlements of various sizes in the National Capital Region. Of these, 158 were in NCT of Delhi, 2,471 in Haryana, 1,954 in Rajasthan and 3,185 in Uttar Pradesh subregions. The rural population of NCR which was 44 % of the total population, increased from 162 Lakh in 2001 to 172.60 Lakh (Provisional) in 2011. The proportion of rural population to total population has however declined. It was 44% in 2001 which has gone down to 37.5% in 2011. Census data for Rural Settlements for 2011 is awaited. 4.4.3 Proposed Hierarchy of Settlements Regional Plan-2021 proposed a six-tier settlement system i.e., Metro Centre, Regional Centres, Subregional Centres, Service Centres, Central Village and Basic Villages. The same settlement pattern is proposed to be continued and is represented in Table 4.17. [[File: demographic45.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] A. Metro Centre As per the Census 2011, in NCR outside Delhi already three towns/complexes namely Ghaziabad-Loni complex, Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex and Meerut have crossed the one million population mark. Additionally, the participating States have planned urban centres with million plus population in their respective sub-regions. Towns envisaged/planned with million plus population by 2021 are listed in Table 4.18. [[File: demographic46.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] Note - UP Sub-regional Plan -2021 has proposed a new township YEIDA under the provision of para 4.3.5 (I) of the RP-2021 as a Green Field Township. These settlements can, however, act as powerful growth nodes to attract capital functions and activities and help in population dispersal from the national Capital. Given their special functional status and size, a Box 4.5 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR have grown much faster than the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, which could not grow as anticipated in the Regional Plan 2021. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 35 high level of physical, social and economic infrastructure better than that in the Capital is required to be developed in these towns/complexes. This would include efficient intra-urban mass transportation system as well as strong transport and communication linkages with Delhi, other Metro centres and NCR towns. The respective participating States and their agencies would be required to create the necessary infrastructure themselves in these Metro Centres and also be required to facilitate the private sector investment therein. B. Regional Centre Being second tier settlement it is the well-established urban centre in the region, marked by highly specialized secondary and tertiary sector activities and providing job opportunities, which normally cannot be performed by other lower order centres. These centres will be developed for advanced industrial and other economic activities and will have concentration of administrative and higher order service functions, which are expected to exert an increasingly dynamic influence on attraction of investment and creation of conducive living and working environment. The Regional Centres proposed in the Plan are as under (Table 4.19). [[File: demographic47.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] There are 6 Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR, whereas there are 12 Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR (Map 4.4) which are as follows: Sl. Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR Sl. No Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR ( within NCR) 1. Bahadurgarh 1. Panipat 2. Faridabad- Ballabgarh Complex 2. Rohtak 3. Gurgaon - Manesar Complex 3. Palwal 4. Ghaziabad - Loni Complex 4. Rewari 5. Noida 5. Meerut 6. Sonepat - Kundli Complex 6. Hapur – Pilkhua Complex 7. Greater Noida 8. Bulandshahr- Khurja Complex 9. Bhagpat - Baraut Complex 10. Alwar 11. Greater Bhiwadi 12. Shahjanpur- Neemrana- Behror Complex. The functions of other lower order centres in the hierarchy of settlement are touched briefly in the Regional Plan. Identification of these centres and their role would be spelt out in the Sub-regional Plan in detail. 36 Regional Plan 2021 C. Sub-Regional Centre The Sub-regional Centre shall generally be medium sized towns or intermediate city performing a variety of roles, particularly in promoting and supporting a more balanced distribution of urban population and in providing functional linkages between the smaller towns and Regional/Metro Centres. The Sub-regional Centres are proposed to undertake the urban economic and service functions and will have sound infrastructure like transport, power, water, credit banking, marketing, managerial services etc. D. Service Centre The Service Centre shall be a small town or a large village having linkages with immediate rural hinterlands. These centres would cater to the rural hinterland as agro-service centre in collection and distribution of agricultural goods and services with processing, marketing, warehousing and storage facilities. E. Central Village The Central Village is the higher order village having central location and potential for development within its catchment area, with relatively better services and facilities in terms of education, health, communication, accessibility and has the capacity to serve a group of Basic Villages. This centre is proposed to provide basic social facilities for population engaged in agriculture and other primary activities. F. Basic Village All other Census villages with a population of less than 5,000 have been classified as Basic Villages and would be provided with basic facilities like link roads, water supply and electricity, paved streets and lowcost common sanitary facilities as well as the minimum required social infrastructure as per planning norms. 4.4.4 Strategies for Development of Settlement System Strategies for the development of settlement system would be to harness the growth impulses of Delhi and adjoining towns and to integrate the urban and rural settlements in the region. This could be attained by developing balanced settlement structure and mutually reinforcing system of urban and rural centres. Strategies to achieve these objectives would be as under: A. Development of a well-knit regional settlement system wherein Delhi and other towns in the region would be allowed to grow as per their carrying capacity so as to harness the development potential within the broad frame of the Regional Plan. B. In order to make a significant impact of the large growing centres to act as catalyst for development in the National Capital Region, it is proposed to identify new ‘Metro Centres/ Regional Centres/ Investment Regions/ other New Townships’ for intensive development for attracting investment, generation of employment, creation of high-quality infrastructure, robust transport and communication linkages, development of high-quality residential areas, industrial and commercial complexes. The proposed new townships would be growth nodes along the key transport corridors, proposed expressways, orbital rail corridors and other suitable locations either on virgin land or as extension of existing settlement. C. Development of small and medium towns in the region as Sub-regional centres or service centres. These towns would play an important role in supporting the socio-economic development in their rural hinterland by providing access to education and health facilities, agricultural extension services and agro-based industries depending on local resources. D. Rural development would be encouraged by providing facilities and services in appropriate hierarchy of service centres, to help stimulate production and increase the income of the rural population. This will help facilitate diversification of the economy. [[File: demographic49.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic50.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic51.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic52.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]]
Unified diff of changes made by edit `(edit_diff)`	@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@ - {\| class="wikitable" +{\| class="wikitable" \|- \|colspan="0"\|<div style="font-size:100%"> This article has been sourced from an authoritative, official <br/>publication. Therefore, it has been ‘locked’ and will never be <br/> thrown open to readers to edit or comment on.<br/> @@ -37,7 +37,18 @@ and 2.1% of the total rural population of India (Fig 4.2). About 4.4 % of the India’s urban population resides in NCT Delhi alone. - [[File: xxx.jpg\|\|frame\|500px]] +[[File: demographic.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] +[[File: demographic1.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +[[File: demographic2.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + + + + + + == DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE== @@ -49,253 +60,92 @@ sub-regions has almost remained constant; however it increased from 31.4% in 1981 to 36.4% in 2011 in NCT-Delhi and in U.P sub-region it declined from 35% to 31.6% during the same period. -Box 4.1 -As much as 42.6% of the -country’s urban population -is concentrated in 53 -metropolitan cities. Delhi -alone accounts for 4.4 % of -the total urban population. -Mumbai -4.9% -Kolkata -3.8% Chennai -2.3% NCT Delhi -4.4% -Other -Metropolitan -cities -27.2% -Remaining -towns/ cities -57.4% -India- U -31.2% -NCR-U -India- R 7.6% -68.8% -NCR-R -2.1% + + 22 Regional Plan 2021 -Figure 4.5: Growth Rate of Population in NCR -Source- Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) -Figure 4.3: Distribution of Population in Sub-Regions of -NCR-2011 -Figure 4.4: Distribution of Area in Sub-Regions of -NCR-2011 -Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -Table 4.1: Sub-Region Wise Distribution of Population in NCR (1981-2011) -Sub-region -Population Share of Population (%) -1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 -NCT-Delhi 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 31.4 34.4 37.3 36.4 -Haryana 49,38,541 66,43,604 86,87,050 1,10,37,548 24.8 24.3 23.4 24.0 -Rajasthan 17,55,575 22,96,580 29,92,592 36,71,999 8.8 8.4 8.1 8.0 -U.P 69,68,646 90,01,704 1,15,70,117 1,45,84,234 35.0 32.9 31.2 31.6 -NCR 1,98,83,168 2,73,62,532 3,71,00,266 4,60,49,032 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 -Source: Census of India- 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) + + [[File: demographic7.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + [[File: demographic5.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + The growth rate of population in NCR has declined from 37.6% in 1981-91 to 24.1% in 2001-11(Table 4.2). During the last 3 decades, trends show that the growth rate of population in all the sub-regions has been declining (Fig 4.5.) -Table 4.2: Population Growth Rate in NCR (1981-2011) -Sub-regions 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 -NCT-Delhi 51.4% 47.0% 21.0% -Haryana 34.5% 30.8% 27.1% -Rajasthan 30.8% 30.3% 22.7% -Uttar Pradesh 29.2% 28.5% 26.1% -NCR 37.6% 35.6% 24.1% -Source: Census of India- 1981- 2011* (Provisional) + + [[File: demographic6.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + Although the growth rate is declining, there has been a substantial increase in absolute numbers in all the sub-regions. During the last decade (2001-11) as much as 29 Lakh persons were added in Delhi’s population. Uttar Pradesh and Haryana sub-region added 30.1 Lakh and 23.5 Lakh population respectively during the same period. Rajasthan sub-region also added 6.8 Lakh persons (Table 4.3). -NCT-Delhi -4.3% -Haryana -39.3% -Rajasthan -24.5% -Uttar -Pradesh -31.8% -NCT-Delhi -36.4% -Haryana -24.0% -Rajasthan -8.0% -Uttar -Pradesh -31.7% -Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 23 -Figure 4.7: Level of Urbanisation in Sub-Regions of NCR, -2011 -Figure 4.6: Urban and Rural Components of Population -in NCR (1991-2001) -Source- Census of India, 1991- 2011* (Provisional) -50.2% -56.4% -62.5% -49.8% -43.6% -37.5% -0.0% -10.0% -20.0% -30.0% -40.0% -50.0% -1991 2001 2011 -Rural NCR Urban NCR -Urban Growth rate Rural Growth rate -273.6 Lakhs -371.0 Lakhs -460.5 Lakhs -97.5% -43.1% -17.8% -48.3% -- -20 -40 -60 -80 -100 -120 -140 -160 -180 -NCT Haryana S.R Rajasthan SR U.P SR -Population-2011 (Lakh) -Sub-Region pop-2011 Level of Urbanisation + + [[File: demographic8.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] +[[File: demographic9.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + + + + + Share of urban population in NCR has however been rising from 50.2% in 1991 to 62.5% in 2011 and the rural population declined in the same proportion (Fig 4.6). -In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban +In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban population has increased from 16.9% in 1981 to 27.0% in 2011. -Table 4.3: Decadal Increase in Population in NCR -Sub-regions -Increase in Population (in lakhs) -1991-01 2001-11 -NCT- Delhi S.R 44.3 29.0 -Haryana S.R 20.4 23.5 -Rajasthan S.R 6.9 6.8 -Uttar Pradesh S.R 25.7 30.1 -NCR 97.3 89.4 -Source: Census of India, 1991 - 2011* (Provisional) -Table 4.4: Urban- Rural composition of population in NCR (1981-2011) -Urban-Rural Component/Year -Percent share (%) -1981 1991 2001 2011 -Urban NCR 45.9 50.2 56.4 62.5 -Rural NCR 54.1 49.8 43.6 37.5 -Urban NCR excluding NCT-Delhi-U 16.9 19.3 21.6 27.0 -Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) + +[[File: demographic10.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +[[File: demographic11.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + + + [[File: demographic11.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +[[File: demographic12.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + + + At district level, Faridabad and Gurgaon have urbanization level of more than 50%. Panipat, Sonepat and Rohtak districts have 30 and 50 percent urbanization, while other districts have low level of urbanization in Haryana Sub-Region (Below 30 %). + Similarly, in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Meerut, Ghaziabad (incl. Hapur) and Gautam Budh Nagar districts are highly urbanized (more than 50%) while other districts are less urbanized. -Alwar district in Rajasthan is less urbanized at -17.8%. (Map 4.1). Urbanisation level of all -districts in NCR is given in Annexure 4/II. -Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -24 Regional Plan 2021 -657 475 -216 -904 -624 -274 -1,104 -724 -324 -1,349 -912 -382 -0 -300 -600 -900 -1,200 -1,500 -1,800 -2,100 -2,400 -2,700 -3,000 -3,300 -3,600 -3,900 -4,200 -NCR Region outside -Delhi -India -Density ( perons/ sq.km) -2001-11 -1991-01 -1981-91 -1971-81 -1,349 -11,297 -823 -469 -1,344 -- -2,000 -4,000 -6,000 -8,000 -10,000 -12,000 -NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P -Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) -Map 4.1: Level of Urbanisation in NCR (2011) Map 4.2- Population Density of NCR (2011) -Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) + + + Density of population in NCR has more than doubled from 657 Persons per sq.km in 1981 to 1349 persons per sq.km in 2011 in the last three decades (Fig 4.8). The density of population in rest of NCR excluding NCT Delhi is 912 persons per sq km. Density of population is 1349 persons per sq km in NCR as against the All India average of 382 persons per sq km in 2011. The Sub-region wise density of population is shown in Fig 4.9. -Figure 4.8: Decadal Density Growth of NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.9: Density of Sub-Regions of NCR in 2011 -Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -1,349 -11,297 -822 -438 -1,344 -- -2,000 -4,000 -6,000 -8,000 -10,000 -12,000 -NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P -Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) -Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 25 -Figure 4.10: Population -Distribution in NCT-Delhi, 2011 -Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -Table 4.5: Sub-Region wise Density of population in NCR (2011) -Area (Sq.km) Population (in Lakh) Density (Persons/sq.km) -1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 -NCT Delhi 1,483 1,483 1,483 1,483 62.2 94.2 138.5 167.5 4,194 6,352 9,340 11,297 -Haryana 13,413 13,413 13,413 13,428 49.4 66.4 86.9 110.4 368 495 648 822 -Rajasthan * 4,493 4,493 7,829 8380 17.6 23.0 29.9 36.7 391 511 382 438 -Uttar Pradesh 10,853 10,853 10,853 10,853 69.7 90.0 115.7 145.8 642 829 1,066 1,344 -NCR 30,242 30,242 33,578 34,144 198.8 273.6 371.0 460.5 657 905 1,105 1,349 -Source: Census of India 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011 (Provisional) -Note: Corresponds to Rajasthan Sub-region comprising part of Alwar district in 1981 and the entire district in 2001 + +[[File: demographic13.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +[[File: demographic15.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + + + + NCT- Delhi has the highest density of population of 11,297 persons per sq.km followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 1344 persons @@ -313,7 +163,8 @@ 4.2.2 Sub-region wise Growth of Population -A. NCT-Delhi +A. NCT-Delhi +B. NCT-Delhi is highly urbanized with 97.5% of its population living in urban areas as against the national average of 31.2% in 2011 (Fig 4.10). The decadal growth of population in the National @@ -323,22 +174,10 @@ 4.6) In absolute terms, the population increase was 29.0 lakh during 2001-11, as against 44.3 lakh in the previous decade. -Table 4.6: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1951-2011) -Year -Total Urban Rural -Population Decadal Growth -(%) Population Decadal Growth -(%) Population Decadal Growth -(%) -1951 17,44,072 90.0 14,37,134 106.6 3,06,938 38.1 -1961 26,58,612 52.4 23,59,408 64.2 2,99,204 -2.5 -1971 40,65,698 52.9 36,47,023 54.6 4,18,675 39.9 -1981 62,20,406 53.0 57,68,200 58.2 4,52,206 8.0 -1991 94,20,644 51.4 84,71,625 46.9 9,49,019 109.9 -2001 1,38,50,507 47.0 1,29,05,780 52.3 9,44,727 -0.5 -2011 1,67,53,235 21.0 1,63,33,916 26.6 4,19,319 -55.6 -Source: Census of India, 1951- 2011* (Provisional) -Box 4.2 + + [[File: demographic18.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + Density of population in NCR as well as in its Sub-regions has more than doubled during the @@ -351,29 +190,29 @@ Rural 2.5% 26 Regional Plan 2021 + Figure 4.12: Component of Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi, 1971-2001 (in Lakh) Figure 4.11: Decadal Growth Rate of NCT-Delhi (1901-2011) Source- Census of India, 1901- 2011* (Provisional) + The percentage of urban population in NCT-Delhi has been consistently increasing except in 1991 (Table- 4.7). The share of urban population has gone up from 82.4 % in 1951 to 97.5% in 2011. In absolute terms urban Delhi has increased by more than 11 times in the last six decades from 1951-2011. -Table 4.7: Trends of Urbanization in NCT-Delhi -Year 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 -% -Urban -Pop -82.4 88.8 89.7 92.7 89.9 93.2 97.5 -Source: Census of India, 1951 - 2011* (Provisional) + + [[File: demographic19.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + The total population of NCT-Delhi as well as the urban population is growing but with declining rates. During 2001-11, the total population of NCT-Delhi grew by 21% while urban population grew by 26.6%. (Table 4.6) + The rapid decline in rural population during 2001-2011 is due to the fact that most of NCT Delhi has now been earmarked as ‘Urbanisable’ area as per Master Plan for Delhi-2021. @@ -381,8 +220,11 @@ 2001, probably due to their inclusion in the urban agglomeration and through re-classification or up gradation as urban or census town. + (Census data for rural areas for 2011 is still awaited from Census of India.) + Components of Growth in NCT-Delhi + The main components of the population growth are natural growth and in-migration. The share of natural growth during the last @@ -394,12 +236,14 @@ added per annum in the net growth of Delhi’s population during last 30 years from 1971- 2001 (Fig 4.12). + The share of out-migration from Delhi has also increased from 2.42 Lakh in 1961-1971 to 4.58 Lakh during 1991-2001. Delhi has been witnessing a high rate of in-migration, although there was a decline in the percentage share of net migrants in the decadal growth of population in NCT Delhi from 45.1% in 1961-71 to 39.8% in 1991-01. However, in absolute terms, the number of migrants continuously increased. + The percentage share of migration from NCR States viz. Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh to NCT Delhi consistently declined in the last three decades. Total share of migrants from the above three states declined from 70.65% in 1971-81, to 65.76% in 1981-91 and further declined to 57.09% during @@ -409,126 +253,38 @@ has declined by 55.6% from 9.5 Lakh in 2001 to 4.20 Lakh in 2011. --60.0% --40.0% --20.0% -0.0% -20.0% -40.0% -60.0% -80.0% -100.0% -120.0% -Urban Rural Total -Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 27 -Figure 4.14: Share of Urban and -Rural Population in Haryana Sub- -Region-2011 -Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -Figure 4.13: Reasons for Migration to NCTDelhi -in 1991-2001 -Source: Census of India, 1991- 2001 -Work/emp -loyment -37.6% -Moved -with -household -36.8% -Buisness -0.5% -Education -2.7% -Marriage -13.8% -Moved -after birth -2.4% -Others -6.3% -Urban -39.4% -Rural -60.6% -Table 4.8: Growth of Population and Migrants component-NCT Delhi (1961-2001) -Year 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 -Population (in Lakh) 26.59 40.7 62.2 94.2 138.5 -Growth Rate (%) 52.4 52.9 53.0 51.4 47.0 -Net Growth of Population (Lakh) 14.1 21.5 32.0 44.3 -Migrants Component (Lakh) -a) In-migrants 8.8 12.3 15.9 22.2 -b) Out-migrants 2.4 2.8 2.8 4.6 -Net-migrants (a-b) 6.3 9.5 13.1 17.6 -Component of migrants in growth of population (%) 45.1 44.2 40.8 39.8 -Net natural increase 7.7 12.0 18.9 26.7 -Component of natural increase in growth of population (%) 54.9 55.8 59.2 60.2 -Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991and 2001 (Migration Data not available for 2001-11) + + [[File: demographic22.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + [[File: demographic25.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + + [[File: demographic21.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + + + According to Census 2001, the main reasons for migration to Delhi are better employment opportunities and shifting of residence (Fig 4.13). Both these factors account for 74.4 % of the total migrants to Delhi during the decade 1991-2001 as shown in Fig 4.13 and Table 4.9. -Table 4.9: Reasons of Migration to Delhi -Reasons of Migration Migrants (1981-1991) Migrants (1991-2001) -Total % Total % -Employment/work 4,96,731 31.3 8,16,174 37.6 -Business 64,678 4.1 11,818 0.5 -Education 36,192 2.3 58,146 2.7 -Marriage 2,47,903 15.6 2,99,856 13.8 -Moved with household 6,58,041 41.5 7,99,231 36.8 -Others 83,947 5.3 1,87,535 8.6 -Total migrants 15,87,492 100.0 21,72,760 100.0 -Source: Census of India 1981, 1991 and 2001 + + [[File: demographic23.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + B. Haryana Sub-region: The share of urban and rural population in Haryana sub-region is 39.4% and 60.6% respectively in 2011. Although growth rate is declining, there is substantial increase in the absolute number. The absolute increase in population of the Haryana sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 23.5 Lakh, as against 20.43 Lakh in the previous decade. -Table 4.10: Growth of Population in Haryana Sub-Region (1961-2011) -Year -Total Rural Urban -Population -DGR -(%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -(%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -(%) -1961 28,93,365 -- 24,32,155 -- 4,61,210 -- -1971 37,98,228 31.3 31,20,856 28.3 6,77,372 46.9 -1981 49,38,541 30.0 37,31,837 19.6 12,06,704 78.1 -1991 66,43,604 34.5 48,08,344 28.9 18,35,260 52.1 -2001 86,87,050 30.8 57,22,372 19.0 29,64,678 61.5 -2011 11037548 27.1 62,82,939 9.8 47,54,609 60.4 -Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) -28 Regional Plan 2021 -Figure 4.16: Share of Urban and Rural -Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 -Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -Figure 4.15: Decadal Growth Rate of Population -in Haryana Sub-Region -Source: Census of India, 1971- 2011* (Provisional) -0.0% -10.0% -20.0% -30.0% -40.0% -50.0% -60.0% -70.0% -80.0% -90.0% -1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 -Decadal Growth rate -Urban Rural Total (Haryana SR) -Figure 4.17: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in -Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 -Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -Urban -17.8% -Rural -82.2% + +[[File: demographic24.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +[[File: demographic27.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + + The growth rate of Haryana sub-region has declined during the last three decades (Table 4.10). During 1981-91, decadal growth rate of population was 34.5%, @@ -543,36 +299,19 @@ Further, it increased to 61.5% during the decade 1991-2001 and remained almost constant at 60.4% during the last decade 2001-11. + C. Rajasthan Sub-region- The share of urban and rural population in Rajasthan sub-region is 17.8% and 82.2% respectively. In 2011 (Fig. 4.16), growth of population of Rajasthan Sub-region has been steady, ranging between 25 and 30 percent since 1971. However, during the last decade, the growth of population declined from 30.3% in 1991-2001 to 22.7% in 2001-11 (Table 4.11). -Table 4.11: Growth of Population in Rajasthan Sub-region (1961-2011) -Year -Total Rural Urban -Population -Decadal -Growth -(%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -(%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -(%) -1961 11,00,372 -- 10,12,480 -- 87,892 -- -1971 14,03,787 27.6 12,76,905 26.1 1,26,882 44.4 -1981 17,71,173 26.2 15,74,972 23.3 1,96,201 54.6 -1991 22,96,580 29.7 19,76,293 25.5 3,20,287 63.2 -2001 29,92,592 30.3 25,57,653 29.4 4,34,939 35.8 -2011* 36,71,999 22.7 30,17,711 18.0 6,54,288 50.4 -Source: Census of India-1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) + + [[File: demographic25.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + The absolute increase of population in the Rajasthan Sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 6.8 Lakh, as against 6.9 Lakh in the previous decade. + The growth of urban population however depicts a different trend. During the period from 1971 to 1991 growth rate of urban population increased @@ -583,54 +322,20 @@ population showed an upward trend during 1981- 2001, but declined sharply at 18.0 % during the last decade 2001-11 (Fig. 4.17). -0.0% -10.0% -20.0% -30.0% -40.0% -50.0% -60.0% -70.0% -1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 -Decedal Growth Rate -Urban Rural Total (Rajasthan SR) + + Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 29 -Figure 4.19: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in -Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region-2011 -Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -Figure 4.18: Share of Urban and Rural -Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region- -2011 -Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) -Urban -48.3% -Rural -51.7% -D. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region + [[File: demographic34.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + + [[File: demographic33.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + + +C. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region + The share of urban and rural population in Uttar Pradesh sub-region is 48.3 % and 51.7% respectively in 2011 and the decadal growth rate increased from 22.20% in 1961-71 to 29.2 % in 1981-1991 (Table 4.12). -Table 4.12: Growth of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (1961-2011) -Year -Total Rural Urban -Population -Decadal -Growth -(%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -(%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -(%) -1961 44,50,172 -- 36,71,496 -- 7,78,676 -- -1971 54,4p0,296 22.2 43,51,826 18.5 10,88,470 39.8 -1981 69,68,646 28.1 50,19,579 15.3 19,49,067 79.1 -1991 90,01,704 29.2 58,84,092 17.2 31,17,612 60.0 -2001 1,15,70,117 28.5 69,55,440 18.2 46,14,677 48.0 -2011 1,45,84,234 26.1 75,37,517 8.4 70,46,483 52.7 -Source: Census of India 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) + Thereafter it marginally declined to 28.5% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 26.1% during 2001- 2011. In spite of declining trends in growth rate there @@ -638,6 +343,7 @@ Pradesh Sub-region during 2001-2011, it increased by 30.1 Lakh, as against 25.7 Lakh in the previous decade. + The growth of urban population was very high at 79.1% during 1971-1981 but it declined to 60% during the decade 1981-1991 and further declined to 48% @@ -646,120 +352,49 @@ U.P Sub region has however sharply declined from 18.2% during 1991-2001 to 8.4% during 2001-2011 (Fig. 4.19). + 4.2.3 Sex Ratio + Sex Ratio in NCR is 869 females per 1000 males (2011), which is much below the national average of 940. In 2011, at sub-regional level sex-ratio is lowest in NCT-Delhi at 866 followed by Haryana subregion at 870, UP sub-region at 878. Rajasthan sub-region has a sex-ratio of 894, which is the highest in the region but still below the national average. The lower sex ratio may be attributed to in migration of male population to the region. + In urban area of NCR the sex ratio is 870, which is higher than the rural area. However at sub-regional level the urban sex ratio is the lowest in Haryana Sub-region having 866, closely followed by NCT-Delhi with 867, Rajasthan sub-region with 871 and Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 898. In respect of NCR rural the situation is not better. The Sex ratio varies from 847 in NCT-Delhi to 899 in Rajasthan sub-region. In Haryana and UP sub-regions it is 873 and 879 respectively. Mewat is the only district in NCR where sexratio is 906, while in all other districts it is below 900. -0.0% -10.0% -20.0% -30.0% -40.0% -50.0% -60.0% -70.0% -80.0% -90.0% -1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 -Decedal Growth Rate -Urban Rural Total (Uttar pradesh SR) -30 Regional Plan 2021 + + [[File: demographic28.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + ) + 4.3 Population Projections for 2021 + A comparative analysis of the Census 2011* population figures with the proposed population in notified RP-2021 was done to review the trends of population growth in NCR. The analysis indicates that the population of NCR as per Census 2011* is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021 for 2011. (Table 4.13) The population of NCT-Delhi and 18 Metro & Regional centres have as much as 92.7 % of the urban population of NCR and the remaining urban settlements/ towns only contribute the remaining 7.3% in 2011. -Table 4.13: Actual & Proposed Population 2011 for NCT-Delhi, Metro & Regional Centres and NCR -Name of Town -Population(in -Lakh) -Decadal -Growth -Rate 2001- -11 (%) -Proposed -Pop. 2011 -(R.P. -2021) -Census Population -as % of Proposed -Population in -2011, as in R.P- -2001 2011* 2021 -NCT-Delhi 138.50 167.53 21.0 193.00 86.8 -Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR -Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 28.8 2.00 85.0 -Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex 10.56 14.05 33.0 16.00 87.8 -Gurgaon-Manesar complex 2.29 9.02 293.9 4.50 200.4 -Ghaziabad-Loni complex 10.89 21.48 97.2 19.00 113.1 -NOIDA 3.05 6.42 110.5 6.00 107.0 -Sonepat-Kundli complex 2.34 3.07 31.2 3.50 87.7 -Sub-total 30.45 55.74 83.1 51.00 109.3 -Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR -Panipat 3.54 4.42 24.9 5.00 88.4 -Rohtak 2.94 3.73 26.9 4.20 88.8 -Palwal 1.00 1.31 31.0 1.70 77.1 -Rewari 1.31 1.43 9.2 2.00 71.5 -Meerut 11.62 14.25 22.6 15.00 95.0 -Hapur-Pilkhua complex 2.79 3.58 28.3 3.00 119.3 -Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 260.0 7.00 15.4 -Bulandshahr-Khurja complex 2.74 3.78 38.0 3.70 102.2 -Baghpat-Baraut complex 1.22 1.46 19.7 1.60 91.3 -Alwar 2.66 3.41 28.2 3.40 100.3 -Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 208.8 1.00 105.0 -SNB-complex 0.36 4.30 1094.4 1.00 430.0 -Sub-total 30.82 43.80 42.1 48.60 90.1 -Population of 18 metros & RCs excluding NCT 61.27 99.54 62.5 99.60 99.9 -Total (NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs) 199.77 266.95 33.6 292.60 91.2 -Remaining Urban Towns ( < 1 Lakh pop) 9.43 20.93 122.0 - - -NCR Urban population 209.20 287.88 37.6 - - -NCR Rural population 161.80 172.58 6.7 - - -Total NCR population 371.00 460.46 24.1 486.19 94.7 -Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR + + [[File: demographic35.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + Note: Population of cities with more than 1 Lakh population is available from Census of India for 2011. Population for cities less than 1 Lakh population have been projected based on urban growth rate in the respective Districts. + The analysis also reveals that the census population varies from the proposed population of 2011 (RP- 2021) in the range of 85% to 113% for CNCR towns except in Gurgaon (Table 4.13). In Gurgaon the actual population in 2011 was 200% of the proposed population for 2011 in the Regional Plan-2021. The Census population figures for Manesar, Shahjanpur and Neemrana towns for the year 2011 are still awaited. + Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 31 -Figure 4.22: Revised Population Projections for -NCR -2021 -Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) -150 -200 -250 -300 -350 -400 -450 -500 -550 -600 -650 -1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 -Population ( in Lakhs) -NCR ( population as per R.P-2021) NCR ( Revised Pop Projection) -Revised -population -for 2021 -Proposed -Population as -per RP-2021 -actual census -population in -2011 + + [[File: demographic38.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + The scenario for Metro and Regional Centres, excluding NCT-Delhi, within CNCR and outside CNCR differs slightly. Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR grew to 55.74 Lakh as per Census 2011, which is 109.3% of the proposed population (51 Lakh) for 2011 as per the Regional Plan -2021. For Metro and Regional @@ -770,22 +405,9 @@ population of 2011 (provisional) is about 25.5 Lakh. It may be attributed to the fact that NCT-Delhi grew at a slower rate than anticipated. Figure 4.20 and 4.21 given below depict growth trends of population in NCR and NCT-Delhi. -Figure 4.20: Growth of Population in NCR -(1981-2011) -Figure 4.21: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi -(1981-2011) -1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as -per R.P) -NCT-Delhi Pop 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 1,93,00,000 -NCT-Delhi -DGR 51.45% 47.02% 20.96% 39.35% -0 -50,00,000 -1,00,00,000 -1,50,00,000 -2,00,00,000 -2,50,00,000 -Population of NCT -Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) + + [[File: demographic36.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + The population projections of 617.25 Lakh for the year 2021 were finalized by the Study Group and subsequent discussions with the participating states (Fig 4.22). The breakup of projected population at @@ -794,6 +416,7 @@ Lakh for Rajasthan sub-region and 199.46 Lakh for U.P. sub-region. The proposed population is in the range of ±2.5% (Table 4.14). + 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCR- Population 1,90,18,909 2,64,46,180 3,71,00,266 4,60,47,016 4,86,19,000 @@ -806,74 +429,27 @@ 5,00,00,000 6,00,00,000 Population of NCR + + Box 4.4 Earlier population projections in the Regional Plan -2021 were given in fixed numbers, however now proposed population has been given in the range of ±2.5% also. 32 Regional Plan 2021 -Table 4.14: Projected Population for NCR-2021 (In Lakh) -S. No Name of Town Sub- -Region Pop-2011 * Proposed -Pop -2021 -Proposed Population -Range – 2021 -(±2.5%) -1 NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi 167.53 202.60 197.54 – 207.67 -METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES WITHIN CNCR -2 Bahadurgarh Haryana 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 -3 Faridabad-Ballabhgarh complex Haryana 14.05 25.00 24.38 – 25.63 -4 Gurgaon-Manesar complex Haryana 9.02 21.00 20.48 – 21.53 -5 Ghaziabad-Loni complex U.P 21.48 30.19 40.85 – 42.95 -6 Noida U.P 6.42 17.40 16.97 – 17.84 -7 Sonepat-Kundli complex Haryana 3.07 10.00 9.75 – 10.25 -Sub- Total 55.74 106.59 103.93 – 109.25 -METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES OUTSIDE CNCR -8 Panipat Haryana 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 -9 Rohtak Haryana 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 -10 Palwal Haryana 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 -11 Rewari Haryana 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 -12 Meerut- Daurala U.P 14.25 26.5 25.84 – 27.16 -13 Hapur-Pilkhua U.P 3.58 7.5 7.31 – 7.69 -14 Greater Noida U.P 1.08 12.00 11.70 – 12.30 -15 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex U.P 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 -16 Baghpat-Baraut U.P 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 -17 Alwar Rajasthan 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 -18 Greater Bhiwadi Rajasthan 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 -19 SNB complex Rajasthan 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 -Sub- Total 43.68 95.23 92.85 – 97.61 -NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs 266.95 404.46 394.35 – 414.57 -Remaining Urban Towns (< 1 Lakh Pop.) 20.93 48.10 46.90 – 49.30 -NCR Urban population 287.88 452.56 441.25 – 463.87 -NCR Rural population 172.58 164.70 160.58 – 168.82 -NCR 460.46 617.26 601.83 – 632.69 -Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR + + [[File: demographic41.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + *Note: These Metro/Regional centres could not attain proposed population of Regional Plan-2021 because some large infrastructure projects such as RRTS, Metro Rail, Western/ Eastern Peripheral Expressway, etc. are still in the process of implementation. As such, proposed population for these towns in the Regional Plan-2021 has been retained. + The Sub-Region wise break-up of proposed urban & rural population is given in Table 4.15. -Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 33 -Table 4.15: Sub-Region Wise Projected Urban and Rural Population (In Lakh) -Sl. -No. Sub-regions Pop- 2011 Proposed Pop- 2021 Proposed -DGR 2011-21 (%) -Population range -(± 2.5%) -I Delhi 167.53 202.64 21.0 197.57 – 207.71 -II Haryana-U 47.55 106.48 123.9 103.82 – 109.15 -Haryana-R 62.83 61.80 -1.6 60.26 – 63.35 -Haryana 110.38 168.28 52.5 164.08 – 172.49 -III Raj-U 6.54 20.04 206.4 19.54 – 20.54 -Raj-R 30.18 26.83 -11.1 24.43 – 24.16 -Raj 36.72 46.87 27.6 45.70 – 48.04 -IV UP-U 70.46 123.39 75.1 120.31 – 126.47 -UP-R 75.38 76.07 0.9 74.17 – 77.97 -UP 145.84 199.46 36.8 194.47 – 204.44 -V Urban 287.89 452.55 57.2 441.24 – 463.87 -Rural 172.58 164.70 -4.6 160.58 – 168.81 -NCR 460.47 617.25 34.0 601.82 – 632.68 -Source- Census 2011* (Provisional) and analysis by NCRPB + + [[File: demographic42.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + 4.3.1 Policy Issues + The review of the Regional Plan-2021 as well as the results of the Census 2011 reveals that the actual population in 2011 is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021. The proposed population for Metro and Regional Centres within Central NCR towns was 51 Lakh, while the Census @@ -884,43 +460,23 @@ outside CNCR could not grow as anticipated to achieve the target population of RP-2021. The emphasis therefore should be on developing the Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR by providing fast and efficient connectivity, boost to economic activities and development of infrastructure. + 4.4 SETTLEMENT PATTERN + 4.4.1 Urban Settlements + Number of urban settlements in the region has increased from 94 in 1981 to 108 in 2001. Composition of urban centres included 17 UA/Class-I cities, 9 Class-II towns, 27 Class-III, 38 Class-IV, 15 Class-V and 2 Class-VI towns in 2001 (Table 4.16). However as per census 2011, there are 20 UA/ Class I towns. In 2011, the Class-I cities accommodated more than 92.7% of the total urban population of the region and the remaining 7.3% is distributed in 88 towns of Class-II to Class-VI size. The details of urban settlements below 1 lakh population as per Census 2011 are awaited. -Table 4.16: Urban Settlements in NCR (2001) -Urban Settlement/ -Sub Region Class -I (1 Lakh plus) -Class-II -(50,000- -99,999) -Class-III -(20,000- -49,999) -Class-IV -(10,000- -19,999) -Class-V -(5,000- -9,999) -Class-VI -(Below -5,000) -Total -Year 2001 2011* 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 -Haryana 8 8 0 7 13 6 1 35 -Rajasthan 1 2 0 4 3 1 0 9 -Uttar Pradesh 7 9 9 16 22 8 1 63 -NCT-Delhi 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -NCR 17 20 9 27 38 15 2 108 -Source: Census of India 2001, 2011 (Provisional) + * Note: For Census 2011 only the population for cities with more than 1 Lakh is available. The analysis/picture of settlement pattern will change after the census data on all urban settlements in NCR is made available for 2011. + 34 Regional Plan 2021 + There are 35 urban settlements in Haryana Sub-region, 9 in Rajasthan Sub-region and 63 in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region. Outside NCT-Delhi, there are 8 Class-I urban centres in Haryana Sub-region, one Class-I @@ -928,7 +484,9 @@ Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (refer Map 4.3). (Detailed Census 2011 data is awaited.) The number of metropolitan cities (more than 10 Lakh) in the region increased from three cities in 2001 to four cities in 2011. + 4.4.2 Rural Settlements + According to the Census 2001, there were 7,528 rural settlements of various sizes in the National Capital Region. Of these, 158 were in NCT of Delhi, 2,471 in Haryana, 1,954 in Rajasthan and 3,185 in Uttar Pradesh subregions. @@ -936,41 +494,27 @@ population, increased from 162 Lakh in 2001 to 172.60 Lakh (Provisional) in 2011. The proportion of rural population to total population has however declined. It was 44% in 2001 which has gone down to 37.5% in 2011. Census data for Rural Settlements for 2011 is awaited. + 4.4.3 Proposed Hierarchy of Settlements + Regional Plan-2021 proposed a six-tier settlement system i.e., Metro Centre, Regional Centres, Subregional Centres, Service Centres, Central Village and Basic Villages. The same settlement pattern is proposed to be continued and is represented in Table 4.17. -Table 4.17: Proposed Six-Tier Hierarchy of Settlements -S. No. Hierarchical Level Population Range -1. Metro Centre 10 Lakh and above -2. Regional Centre 3 to 10 Lakh -3. Sub-regional Centre 0.5 to 3 Lakh -4. Service Centre 10,000 to 50,000 -5. Central Village 5,000 to 10,000 -6. Basic Village Below 5,000 -A. Metro Centre + + [[File: demographic45.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +A. Metro Centre + As per the Census 2011, in NCR outside Delhi already three towns/complexes namely Ghaziabad-Loni complex, Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex and Meerut have crossed the one million population mark. Additionally, the participating States have planned urban centres with million plus population in their respective sub-regions. Towns envisaged/planned with million plus population by 2021 are listed in Table 4.18. -Table 4.18: Proposed Metro Centres -2021 (Population in Lakh) -S. No City/Complex -Population (in Lakh) Proposed -Pop-2021 -Proposed -Population Range - -2001 2011* 2021 -1 Faridabad-Ballabgarh 10.56 14.05 25.00 24.38 - 25.63 -2 Gurgaon-Manesar 2.28 9.02 21.00 20.48 - 21.53 -3 Ghaziabad-Loni 10.89 21.48 30.19 29.44 - 30.94 -4 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 17.40 16.97 - 17.84 -5 Sonepat-Kundli 2.25 3.07 10.00 9.75 - 10.25 -6 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 12.00 11.70 - 12.30 -7 Meerut 11.62 14.24 26.50 25.84 - 27.16 -Total 41.04 69.37 142.09 138.54 - 145.6 -Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) + + [[File: demographic46.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + Note - UP Sub-regional Plan -2021 has proposed a new township YEIDA under the provision of para 4.3.5 (I) of the RP-2021 as a Green Field Township. + These settlements can, however, act as powerful growth nodes to attract capital functions and activities and help in population dispersal from the national Capital. Given their special functional status and size, a Box 4.5 @@ -981,7 +525,9 @@ CNCR, which could not grow as anticipated in the Regional Plan 2021. + Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 35 + high level of physical, social and economic infrastructure better than that in the Capital is required to be developed in these towns/complexes. This would include efficient intra-urban mass transportation system as well as strong transport and communication linkages with Delhi, other Metro centres and NCR towns. @@ -996,26 +542,12 @@ service functions, which are expected to exert an increasingly dynamic influence on attraction of investment and creation of conducive living and working environment. The Regional Centres proposed in the Plan are as under (Table 4.19). -Table 4.19: Proposed Regional Centres-2021 (in Lakh) -S. No City/Complex -Population (in Lakh) -Proposed pop-2021 Proposed Population -2001 2011* Range – 2021 -1 Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 -2 Panipat 3.54 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 -3 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 -4 Palwal 1.00 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 -5 Rewari 1.31 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 -6 Hapur-Pilkhua 2.79 3.58 7.50 7.31 – 7.69 -7 Bulandshahr-Khurja 2.74 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 -8 Baghpat-Baraut 1.22 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 -9 Alwar 2.66 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 -10 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 -11 SNB Complex 2.32 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 -Total 20.22 30.17 59.73 58.24 – 61.22 -Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) + + [[File: demographic47.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + There are 6 Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR, whereas there are 12 Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR (Map 4.4) which are as follows: + Sl. Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR Sl. No Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR ( within NCR) 1. Bahadurgarh 1. Panipat 2. Faridabad- Ballabgarh Complex 2. Rohtak @@ -1033,6 +565,7 @@ Regional Plan. Identification of these centres and their role would be spelt out in the Sub-regional Plan in detail. 36 Regional Plan 2021 + C. Sub-Regional Centre The Sub-regional Centre shall generally be medium sized towns or intermediate city performing a variety of roles, particularly in promoting and supporting a more balanced distribution of urban population and in @@ -1055,14 +588,18 @@ would be provided with basic facilities like link roads, water supply and electricity, paved streets and lowcost common sanitary facilities as well as the minimum required social infrastructure as per planning norms. + 4.4.4 Strategies for Development of Settlement System + Strategies for the development of settlement system would be to harness the growth impulses of Delhi and adjoining towns and to integrate the urban and rural settlements in the region. This could be attained by developing balanced settlement structure and mutually reinforcing system of urban and rural centres. Strategies to achieve these objectives would be as under: + A. Development of a well-knit regional settlement system wherein Delhi and other towns in the region would be allowed to grow as per their carrying capacity so as to harness the development potential within the broad frame of the Regional Plan. + B. In order to make a significant impact of the large growing centres to act as catalyst for development in the National Capital Region, it is proposed to identify new ‘Metro Centres/ Regional Centres/ Investment Regions/ other New Townships’ for intensive development for attracting investment, @@ -1071,126 +608,22 @@ complexes. The proposed new townships would be growth nodes along the key transport corridors, proposed expressways, orbital rail corridors and other suitable locations either on virgin land or as extension of existing settlement. + C. Development of small and medium towns in the region as Sub-regional centres or service centres. These towns would play an important role in supporting the socio-economic development in their rural hinterland by providing access to education and health facilities, agricultural extension services and agro-based industries depending on local resources. + D. Rural development would be encouraged by providing facilities and services in appropriate hierarchy of service centres, to help stimulate production and increase the income of the rural population. This will help facilitate diversification of the economy. -Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 37 -38 Regional Plan 2021 -MAP 4.4 -Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 39 -Annexure 4/I: Growth of Population in four Mega Cities in India (1951-2011) -City/Year -Greater Mumbai UA Kolkata UA Chennai UA NCT-Delhi -Population -Decadal -Growth -Rate (%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -Rate (%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -Rate (%) -Population -Decadal -Growth -Rate (%) -1,951 29,66,902 -- 46,69,559 -- 15,42,333 -- 17,44,072 -- -1,961 41,52,056 40.0 59,83,669 28.1 19,44,502 26.08 26,58,612 52.4 -1,971 59,70,575 43.8 74,20,300 24.0 31,69,930 63.02 40,65,698 52.9 -1,981 82,43,405 38.1 91,94,018 23.9 42,89,347 35.31 62,20,406 53.0 -1,991 1,25,96,243 52.8 1,10,21,918 19.9 54,21,985 26.41 94,20,644 51.5 -2,001 1,63,68,084 29.9 1,32,16,546 19.9 65,60,242 20.99 1,38,50,50 47.0 -2,011 1,84,14,288 12.5 1,41,42,536 7.0 86,96,010 32.56 1,67,53,23 21.0 -Source: Census of India 1951, 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) -Annexure 4/II: District wise level of Urbanization in NCR (2011) -Sl. No District/ Sub-Region Total Population Urban Level of Urbanisation (%) -1 NCT-Delhi 1,67,53,235 1,63,33,916 97.5 -Haryana- Sub-region -1 Panipat 12,02,811 5,52,945 46.0 -2 Sonepat 14,80,080 4,51,687 30.5 -3 Rohtak 10,58,683 4,44,819 42.0 -4 Jhajjar 9,56,907 2,42,974 25.4 -5 Rewari 8,96,129 2,31,411 25.8 -6 Gurgaon 15,14,085 10,42,000 68.8 -7 Mewat 10,89,406 1,24,017 11.4 -8 Faridabad 17,98,954 14,29,093 79.4 -9 Palwal 10,40,493 2,35,663 22.6 -Total 1,10,37,548 47,54,609 43.1 -Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region -1 Meerut 34,47,405 17,62,573 51.1 -2 Baghpat 13,02,156 2,74,135 21.1 -3 Ghaziabad -46,61,452 31,44,574 67.5 -4 Hapur -5 Gautam Budh Nagar 16,74,714 9,97,410 59.6 -6 Bulandshahr 34,98,507 8,67,791 24.8 -Total 1,45,84,234 70,46,483 48.3 -Rajasthan Sub-Region -1 Alwar 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 -Total 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 -Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional) -40 Regional Plan 2021 -Annexure 4/III: Sub-Region wise Area and Density of Population in NCR (2011) -Sl. No District Area ( Sq. Km) Pop - 2011 Density (Person/ Sq.km) -NCT Delhi -1 NCT- Delhi 1,483 1,67,53,235 11297 -Haryana- Sub-region -1 Panipat 1,268 12,02,811 949 -2 Sonepat 2,122 14,80,080 697 -3 Rohtak 1,745 10,58,683 607 -4 Jhajjar 1834 9,56,907 522 -5 Rewari 1594 8,96,129 562 -6 Gurgaon 1254 15,14,085 1207 -7 Mewat 1500 10,89,406 726 -8 Faridabad 743 17,98,954 2421 -9 Palwal 1,368 10,40,493 761 -Total 13,428 1,10,37,548 822 -Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region -1 Meerut 2,601 34,47,405 1325 -2 Baghpat 1,307 13,02,156 986 -3 Ghaziabad -2001 46,61,452 2330 -4 Hapur -5 Gautam Budh Nagar 1,411 16,74,714 1187 -6 Bulandshahr 3532 34,98,507 991 -Total 10,852 1,45,84,234 1344 -Rajasthan Sub-Region -1 Alwar 8380 36,71,999 438 -Total 8380 36,71,999 438 -Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional), Statistical Abstract of Haryana -Annexure 4/ IV: Migrants to NCT-Delhi by Place of Last Residence -Place of last -residence -1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 -No. of migrants % No. of migrants % No. of migrants % -Uttar Pradesh 616021 50.1 765151 48.3 889857 40.0 -Haryana 159028 12.9 182507 11.5 174889 7.9 -Bihar 70904 5.8 169445 10.7 424093 19.1 -Uttaranchal - - - - 113519 5.1 -Rajasthan 93836 7.6 95198 6.0 90317 4.1 -Punjab 78671 6.4 83684 5.3 47984 2.2 -West Bengal 33154 2.7 43096 2.7 86249 3.9 -Madhya Pradesh 37709 3.1 41815 2.6 40442 1.8 -Others 140422 11.4 110727 7.0 354691 16.0 -Total 1229745 100.0 1585770 100.0 2222041 100.0 -Source: Census of India - 1971, 1981, 1991& 2001 -Figure 5.1: Share of NCR’s GDP to India’s GDP -Source: CSO (National Account Statistics); Economic Survey of Delhi, 2012-13; -Department of Economic and Statistical Analysis, Haryana; Directorate of -Economics and Statistics, Rajasthan; updes.up.nic.in -6.0% -6.2% -6.4% -6.6% -6.8% -7.0% -7.2% -2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 -Fig 5.1: Share of NCR GDP to India’s GDP + + + + [[File: demographic49.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +[[File: demographic50.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +[[File: demographic51.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] + +[[File: demographic52.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]]
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Lines added in edit `(added_lines)`	{\| class="wikitable" [[File: demographic.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic1.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic2.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic7.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic5.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic6.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic8.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic9.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban [[File: demographic10.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic11.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic11.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic12.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic13.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic15.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] A. NCT-Delhi B. [[File: demographic18.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic19.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic22.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic25.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic21.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic23.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic24.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic27.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic25.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic34.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic33.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] C. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region [[File: demographic28.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] ) [[File: demographic35.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic38.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic36.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic41.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic42.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic45.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] A. Metro Centre [[File: demographic46.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic47.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic49.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic50.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic51.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]] [[File: demographic52.PNG\|\|frame\|500px]]
Lines removed in edit `(removed_lines)`	{\| class="wikitable" [[File: xxx.jpg\|\|frame\|500px]] Box 4.1 As much as 42.6% of the country’s urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. Delhi alone accounts for 4.4 % of the total urban population. Mumbai 4.9% Kolkata 3.8% Chennai 2.3% NCT Delhi 4.4% Other Metropolitan cities 27.2% Remaining towns/ cities 57.4% India- U 31.2% NCR-U India- R 7.6% 68.8% NCR-R 2.1% Figure 4.5: Growth Rate of Population in NCR Source- Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.3: Distribution of Population in Sub-Regions of NCR-2011 Figure 4.4: Distribution of Area in Sub-Regions of NCR-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.1: Sub-Region Wise Distribution of Population in NCR (1981-2011) Sub-region Population Share of Population (%) 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 NCT-Delhi 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 31.4 34.4 37.3 36.4 Haryana 49,38,541 66,43,604 86,87,050 1,10,37,548 24.8 24.3 23.4 24.0 Rajasthan 17,55,575 22,96,580 29,92,592 36,71,999 8.8 8.4 8.1 8.0 U.P 69,68,646 90,01,704 1,15,70,117 1,45,84,234 35.0 32.9 31.2 31.6 NCR 1,98,83,168 2,73,62,532 3,71,00,266 4,60,49,032 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Census of India- 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.2: Population Growth Rate in NCR (1981-2011) Sub-regions 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 NCT-Delhi 51.4% 47.0% 21.0% Haryana 34.5% 30.8% 27.1% Rajasthan 30.8% 30.3% 22.7% Uttar Pradesh 29.2% 28.5% 26.1% NCR 37.6% 35.6% 24.1% Source: Census of India- 1981- 2011* (Provisional) NCT-Delhi 4.3% Haryana 39.3% Rajasthan 24.5% Uttar Pradesh 31.8% NCT-Delhi 36.4% Haryana 24.0% Rajasthan 8.0% Uttar Pradesh 31.7% Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 23 Figure 4.7: Level of Urbanisation in Sub-Regions of NCR, 2011 Figure 4.6: Urban and Rural Components of Population in NCR (1991-2001) Source- Census of India, 1991- 2011* (Provisional) 50.2% 56.4% 62.5% 49.8% 43.6% 37.5% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 1991 2001 2011 Rural NCR Urban NCR Urban Growth rate Rural Growth rate 273.6 Lakhs 371.0 Lakhs 460.5 Lakhs 97.5% 43.1% 17.8% 48.3% - 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 NCT Haryana S.R Rajasthan SR U.P SR Population-2011 (Lakh) Sub-Region pop-2011 Level of Urbanisation In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban Table 4.3: Decadal Increase in Population in NCR Sub-regions Increase in Population (in lakhs) 1991-01 2001-11 NCT- Delhi S.R 44.3 29.0 Haryana S.R 20.4 23.5 Rajasthan S.R 6.9 6.8 Uttar Pradesh S.R 25.7 30.1 NCR 97.3 89.4 Source: Census of India, 1991 - 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.4: Urban- Rural composition of population in NCR (1981-2011) Urban-Rural Component/Year Percent share (%) 1981 1991 2001 2011 Urban NCR 45.9 50.2 56.4 62.5 Rural NCR 54.1 49.8 43.6 37.5 Urban NCR excluding NCT-Delhi-U 16.9 19.3 21.6 27.0 Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Alwar district in Rajasthan is less urbanized at 17.8%. (Map 4.1). Urbanisation level of all districts in NCR is given in Annexure 4/II. Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) 24 Regional Plan 2021 657 475 216 904 624 274 1,104 724 324 1,349 912 382 0 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2,100 2,400 2,700 3,000 3,300 3,600 3,900 4,200 NCR Region outside Delhi India Density ( perons/ sq.km) 2001-11 1991-01 1981-91 1971-81 1,349 11,297 823 469 1,344 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) Map 4.1: Level of Urbanisation in NCR (2011) Map 4.2- Population Density of NCR (2011) Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.8: Decadal Density Growth of NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.9: Density of Sub-Regions of NCR in 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) 1,349 11,297 822 438 1,344 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 25 Figure 4.10: Population Distribution in NCT-Delhi, 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.5: Sub-Region wise Density of population in NCR (2011) Area (Sq.km) Population (in Lakh) Density (Persons/sq.km) 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 NCT Delhi 1,483 1,483 1,483 1,483 62.2 94.2 138.5 167.5 4,194 6,352 9,340 11,297 Haryana 13,413 13,413 13,413 13,428 49.4 66.4 86.9 110.4 368 495 648 822 Rajasthan * 4,493 4,493 7,829 8380 17.6 23.0 29.9 36.7 391 511 382 438 Uttar Pradesh 10,853 10,853 10,853 10,853 69.7 90.0 115.7 145.8 642 829 1,066 1,344 NCR 30,242 30,242 33,578 34,144 198.8 273.6 371.0 460.5 657 905 1,105 1,349 Source: Census of India 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011 (Provisional) Note: Corresponds to Rajasthan Sub-region comprising part of Alwar district in 1981 and the entire district in 2001 A. NCT-Delhi Table 4.6: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1951-2011) Year Total Urban Rural Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1951 17,44,072 90.0 14,37,134 106.6 3,06,938 38.1 1961 26,58,612 52.4 23,59,408 64.2 2,99,204 -2.5 1971 40,65,698 52.9 36,47,023 54.6 4,18,675 39.9 1981 62,20,406 53.0 57,68,200 58.2 4,52,206 8.0 1991 94,20,644 51.4 84,71,625 46.9 9,49,019 109.9 2001 1,38,50,507 47.0 1,29,05,780 52.3 9,44,727 -0.5 2011 1,67,53,235 21.0 1,63,33,916 26.6 4,19,319 -55.6 Source: Census of India, 1951- 2011* (Provisional) Box 4.2 Table 4.7: Trends of Urbanization in NCT-Delhi Year 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 % Urban Pop 82.4 88.8 89.7 92.7 89.9 93.2 97.5 Source: Census of India, 1951 - 2011* (Provisional) -60.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% Urban Rural Total Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 27 Figure 4.14: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Haryana Sub- Region-2011 Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.13: Reasons for Migration to NCTDelhi in 1991-2001 Source: Census of India, 1991- 2001 Work/emp loyment 37.6% Moved with household 36.8% Buisness 0.5% Education 2.7% Marriage 13.8% Moved after birth 2.4% Others 6.3% Urban 39.4% Rural 60.6% Table 4.8: Growth of Population and Migrants component-NCT Delhi (1961-2001) Year 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 Population (in Lakh) 26.59 40.7 62.2 94.2 138.5 Growth Rate (%) 52.4 52.9 53.0 51.4 47.0 Net Growth of Population (Lakh) 14.1 21.5 32.0 44.3 Migrants Component (Lakh) a) In-migrants 8.8 12.3 15.9 22.2 b) Out-migrants 2.4 2.8 2.8 4.6 Net-migrants (a-b) 6.3 9.5 13.1 17.6 Component of migrants in growth of population (%) 45.1 44.2 40.8 39.8 Net natural increase 7.7 12.0 18.9 26.7 Component of natural increase in growth of population (%) 54.9 55.8 59.2 60.2 Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991and 2001 (Migration Data not available for 2001-11) Table 4.9: Reasons of Migration to Delhi Reasons of Migration Migrants (1981-1991) Migrants (1991-2001) Total % Total % Employment/work 4,96,731 31.3 8,16,174 37.6 Business 64,678 4.1 11,818 0.5 Education 36,192 2.3 58,146 2.7 Marriage 2,47,903 15.6 2,99,856 13.8 Moved with household 6,58,041 41.5 7,99,231 36.8 Others 83,947 5.3 1,87,535 8.6 Total migrants 15,87,492 100.0 21,72,760 100.0 Source: Census of India 1981, 1991 and 2001 Table 4.10: Growth of Population in Haryana Sub-Region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population DGR (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 28,93,365 -- 24,32,155 -- 4,61,210 -- 1971 37,98,228 31.3 31,20,856 28.3 6,77,372 46.9 1981 49,38,541 30.0 37,31,837 19.6 12,06,704 78.1 1991 66,43,604 34.5 48,08,344 28.9 18,35,260 52.1 2001 86,87,050 30.8 57,22,372 19.0 29,64,678 61.5 2011 11037548 27.1 62,82,939 9.8 47,54,609 60.4 Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) 28 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.16: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.15: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Haryana Sub-Region Source: Census of India, 1971- 2011* (Provisional) 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decadal Growth rate Urban Rural Total (Haryana SR) Figure 4.17: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Urban 17.8% Rural 82.2% Table 4.11: Growth of Population in Rajasthan Sub-region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 11,00,372 -- 10,12,480 -- 87,892 -- 1971 14,03,787 27.6 12,76,905 26.1 1,26,882 44.4 1981 17,71,173 26.2 15,74,972 23.3 1,96,201 54.6 1991 22,96,580 29.7 19,76,293 25.5 3,20,287 63.2 2001 29,92,592 30.3 25,57,653 29.4 4,34,939 35.8 2011* 36,71,999 22.7 30,17,711 18.0 6,54,288 50.4 Source: Census of India-1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decedal Growth Rate Urban Rural Total (Rajasthan SR) Figure 4.19: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region-2011 Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.18: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region- 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Urban 48.3% Rural 51.7% D. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Table 4.12: Growth of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 44,50,172 -- 36,71,496 -- 7,78,676 -- 1971 54,4p0,296 22.2 43,51,826 18.5 10,88,470 39.8 1981 69,68,646 28.1 50,19,579 15.3 19,49,067 79.1 1991 90,01,704 29.2 58,84,092 17.2 31,17,612 60.0 2001 1,15,70,117 28.5 69,55,440 18.2 46,14,677 48.0 2011 1,45,84,234 26.1 75,37,517 8.4 70,46,483 52.7 Source: Census of India 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decedal Growth Rate Urban Rural Total (Uttar pradesh SR) 30 Regional Plan 2021 Table 4.13: Actual & Proposed Population 2011 for NCT-Delhi, Metro & Regional Centres and NCR Name of Town Population(in Lakh) Decadal Growth Rate 2001- 11 (%) Proposed Pop. 2011 (R.P. 2021) Census Population as % of Proposed Population in 2011, as in R.P- 2001 2011* 2021 NCT-Delhi 138.50 167.53 21.0 193.00 86.8 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 28.8 2.00 85.0 Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex 10.56 14.05 33.0 16.00 87.8 Gurgaon-Manesar complex 2.29 9.02 293.9 4.50 200.4 Ghaziabad-Loni complex 10.89 21.48 97.2 19.00 113.1 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 110.5 6.00 107.0 Sonepat-Kundli complex 2.34 3.07 31.2 3.50 87.7 Sub-total 30.45 55.74 83.1 51.00 109.3 Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR Panipat 3.54 4.42 24.9 5.00 88.4 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 26.9 4.20 88.8 Palwal 1.00 1.31 31.0 1.70 77.1 Rewari 1.31 1.43 9.2 2.00 71.5 Meerut 11.62 14.25 22.6 15.00 95.0 Hapur-Pilkhua complex 2.79 3.58 28.3 3.00 119.3 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 260.0 7.00 15.4 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex 2.74 3.78 38.0 3.70 102.2 Baghpat-Baraut complex 1.22 1.46 19.7 1.60 91.3 Alwar 2.66 3.41 28.2 3.40 100.3 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 208.8 1.00 105.0 SNB-complex 0.36 4.30 1094.4 1.00 430.0 Sub-total 30.82 43.80 42.1 48.60 90.1 Population of 18 metros & RCs excluding NCT 61.27 99.54 62.5 99.60 99.9 Total (NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs) 199.77 266.95 33.6 292.60 91.2 Remaining Urban Towns ( < 1 Lakh pop) 9.43 20.93 122.0 - - NCR Urban population 209.20 287.88 37.6 - - NCR Rural population 161.80 172.58 6.7 - - Total NCR population 371.00 460.46 24.1 486.19 94.7 Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR Figure 4.22: Revised Population Projections for NCR -2021 Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 Population ( in Lakhs) NCR ( population as per R.P-2021) NCR ( Revised Pop Projection) Revised population for 2021 Proposed Population as per RP-2021 actual census population in 2011 Figure 4.20: Growth of Population in NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.21: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1981-2011) 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCT-Delhi Pop 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 1,93,00,000 NCT-Delhi -DGR 51.45% 47.02% 20.96% 39.35% 0 50,00,000 1,00,00,000 1,50,00,000 2,00,00,000 2,50,00,000 Population of NCT Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.14: Projected Population for NCR-2021 (In Lakh) S. No Name of Town Sub- Region Pop-2011 * Proposed Pop -2021 Proposed Population Range – 2021 (±2.5%) 1 NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi 167.53 202.60 197.54 – 207.67 METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES WITHIN CNCR 2 Bahadurgarh Haryana 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 3 Faridabad-Ballabhgarh complex Haryana 14.05 25.00 24.38 – 25.63 4 Gurgaon-Manesar complex Haryana 9.02 21.00 20.48 – 21.53 5 Ghaziabad-Loni complex U.P 21.48 30.19 40.85 – 42.95 6 Noida U.P 6.42 17.40 16.97 – 17.84 7 Sonepat-Kundli complex Haryana 3.07 10.00 9.75 – 10.25 Sub- Total 55.74 106.59 103.93 – 109.25 METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES OUTSIDE CNCR 8 Panipat Haryana 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 9 Rohtak Haryana 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 10 Palwal Haryana 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 11 Rewari Haryana 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 12 Meerut- Daurala U.P 14.25 26.5 25.84 – 27.16 13 Hapur-Pilkhua U.P 3.58 7.5 7.31 – 7.69 14 Greater Noida U.P 1.08 12.00 11.70 – 12.30 15 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex U.P 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 16 Baghpat-Baraut U.P 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 17 Alwar Rajasthan 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 18 Greater Bhiwadi Rajasthan 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 19 SNB complex Rajasthan 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 Sub- Total 43.68 95.23 92.85 – 97.61 NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs 266.95 404.46 394.35 – 414.57 Remaining Urban Towns (< 1 Lakh Pop.) 20.93 48.10 46.90 – 49.30 NCR Urban population 287.88 452.56 441.25 – 463.87 NCR Rural population 172.58 164.70 160.58 – 168.82 NCR 460.46 617.26 601.83 – 632.69 Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 33 Table 4.15: Sub-Region Wise Projected Urban and Rural Population (In Lakh) Sl. No. Sub-regions Pop- 2011* Proposed Pop- 2021 Proposed DGR 2011-21 (%) Population range (± 2.5%) I Delhi 167.53 202.64 21.0 197.57 – 207.71 II Haryana-U 47.55 106.48 123.9 103.82 – 109.15 Haryana-R 62.83 61.80 -1.6 60.26 – 63.35 Haryana 110.38 168.28 52.5 164.08 – 172.49 III Raj-U 6.54 20.04 206.4 19.54 – 20.54 Raj-R 30.18 26.83 -11.1 24.43 – 24.16 Raj 36.72 46.87 27.6 45.70 – 48.04 IV UP-U 70.46 123.39 75.1 120.31 – 126.47 UP-R 75.38 76.07 0.9 74.17 – 77.97 UP 145.84 199.46 36.8 194.47 – 204.44 V Urban 287.89 452.55 57.2 441.24 – 463.87 Rural 172.58 164.70 -4.6 160.58 – 168.81 NCR 460.47 617.25 34.0 601.82 – 632.68 Source- Census 2011* (Provisional) and analysis by NCRPB Table 4.16: Urban Settlements in NCR (2001) Urban Settlement/ Sub Region Class -I (1 Lakh plus) Class-II (50,000- 99,999) Class-III (20,000- 49,999) Class-IV (10,000- 19,999) Class-V (5,000- 9,999) Class-VI (Below 5,000) Total Year 2001 2011* 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 Haryana 8 8 0 7 13 6 1 35 Rajasthan 1 2 0 4 3 1 0 9 Uttar Pradesh 7 9 9 16 22 8 1 63 NCT-Delhi 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 NCR 17 20 9 27 38 15 2 108 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011 (Provisional) Table 4.17: Proposed Six-Tier Hierarchy of Settlements S. No. Hierarchical Level Population Range 1. Metro Centre 10 Lakh and above 2. Regional Centre 3 to 10 Lakh 3. Sub-regional Centre 0.5 to 3 Lakh 4. Service Centre 10,000 to 50,000 5. Central Village 5,000 to 10,000 6. Basic Village Below 5,000 A. Metro Centre Table 4.18: Proposed Metro Centres -2021 (Population in Lakh) S. No City/Complex Population (in Lakh) Proposed Pop-2021 Proposed Population Range - 2001 2011* 2021 1 Faridabad-Ballabgarh 10.56 14.05 25.00 24.38 - 25.63 2 Gurgaon-Manesar 2.28 9.02 21.00 20.48 - 21.53 3 Ghaziabad-Loni 10.89 21.48 30.19 29.44 - 30.94 4 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 17.40 16.97 - 17.84 5 Sonepat-Kundli 2.25 3.07 10.00 9.75 - 10.25 6 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 12.00 11.70 - 12.30 7 Meerut 11.62 14.24 26.50 25.84 - 27.16 Total 41.04 69.37 142.09 138.54 - 145.6 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.19: Proposed Regional Centres-2021 (in Lakh) S. No City/Complex Population (in Lakh) Proposed pop-2021 Proposed Population 2001 2011* Range – 2021 1 Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 2 Panipat 3.54 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 3 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 4 Palwal 1.00 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 5 Rewari 1.31 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 6 Hapur-Pilkhua 2.79 3.58 7.50 7.31 – 7.69 7 Bulandshahr-Khurja 2.74 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 8 Baghpat-Baraut 1.22 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 9 Alwar 2.66 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 10 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 11 SNB Complex 2.32 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 Total 20.22 30.17 59.73 58.24 – 61.22 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 37 38 Regional Plan 2021 MAP 4.4 Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 39 Annexure 4/I: Growth of Population in four Mega Cities in India (1951-2011) City/Year Greater Mumbai UA Kolkata UA Chennai UA NCT-Delhi Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) 1,951 29,66,902 -- 46,69,559 -- 15,42,333 -- 17,44,072 -- 1,961 41,52,056 40.0 59,83,669 28.1 19,44,502 26.08 26,58,612 52.4 1,971 59,70,575 43.8 74,20,300 24.0 31,69,930 63.02 40,65,698 52.9 1,981 82,43,405 38.1 91,94,018 23.9 42,89,347 35.31 62,20,406 53.0 1,991 1,25,96,243 52.8 1,10,21,918 19.9 54,21,985 26.41 94,20,644 51.5 2,001 1,63,68,084 29.9 1,32,16,546 19.9 65,60,242 20.99 1,38,50,50 47.0 2,011 1,84,14,288 12.5 1,41,42,536 7.0 86,96,010 32.56 1,67,53,23 21.0 Source: Census of India 1951, 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Annexure 4/II: District wise level of Urbanization in NCR (2011) Sl. No District/ Sub-Region Total Population Urban Level of Urbanisation (%) 1 NCT-Delhi 1,67,53,235 1,63,33,916 97.5 Haryana- Sub-region 1 Panipat 12,02,811 5,52,945 46.0 2 Sonepat 14,80,080 4,51,687 30.5 3 Rohtak 10,58,683 4,44,819 42.0 4 Jhajjar 9,56,907 2,42,974 25.4 5 Rewari 8,96,129 2,31,411 25.8 6 Gurgaon 15,14,085 10,42,000 68.8 7 Mewat 10,89,406 1,24,017 11.4 8 Faridabad 17,98,954 14,29,093 79.4 9 Palwal 10,40,493 2,35,663 22.6 Total 1,10,37,548 47,54,609 43.1 Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region 1 Meerut 34,47,405 17,62,573 51.1 2 Baghpat 13,02,156 2,74,135 21.1 3 Ghaziabad 46,61,452 31,44,574 67.5 4 Hapur 5 Gautam Budh Nagar 16,74,714 9,97,410 59.6 6 Bulandshahr 34,98,507 8,67,791 24.8 Total 1,45,84,234 70,46,483 48.3 Rajasthan Sub-Region 1 Alwar 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 Total 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional) 40 Regional Plan 2021 Annexure 4/III: Sub-Region wise Area and Density of Population in NCR (2011) Sl. No District Area ( Sq. Km) Pop - 2011 Density (Person/ Sq.km) NCT Delhi 1 NCT- Delhi 1,483 1,67,53,235 11297 Haryana- Sub-region 1 Panipat 1,268 12,02,811 949 2 Sonepat 2,122 14,80,080 697 3 Rohtak 1,745 10,58,683 607 4 Jhajjar 1834 9,56,907 522 5 Rewari 1594 8,96,129 562 6 Gurgaon 1254 15,14,085 1207 7 Mewat 1500 10,89,406 726 8 Faridabad 743 17,98,954 2421 9 Palwal 1,368 10,40,493 761 Total 13,428 1,10,37,548 822 Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region 1 Meerut 2,601 34,47,405 1325 2 Baghpat 1,307 13,02,156 986 3 Ghaziabad 2001 46,61,452 2330 4 Hapur 5 Gautam Budh Nagar 1,411 16,74,714 1187 6 Bulandshahr 3532 34,98,507 991 Total 10,852 1,45,84,234 1344 Rajasthan Sub-Region 1 Alwar 8380 36,71,999 438 Total 8380 36,71,999 438 Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional), Statistical Abstract of Haryana Annexure 4/ IV: Migrants to NCT-Delhi by Place of Last Residence Place of last residence 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 No. of migrants % No. of migrants % No. of migrants % Uttar Pradesh 616021 50.1 765151 48.3 889857 40.0 Haryana 159028 12.9 182507 11.5 174889 7.9 Bihar 70904 5.8 169445 10.7 424093 19.1 Uttaranchal - - - - 113519 5.1 Rajasthan 93836 7.6 95198 6.0 90317 4.1 Punjab 78671 6.4 83684 5.3 47984 2.2 West Bengal 33154 2.7 43096 2.7 86249 3.9 Madhya Pradesh 37709 3.1 41815 2.6 40442 1.8 Others 140422 11.4 110727 7.0 354691 16.0 Total 1229745 100.0 1585770 100.0 2222041 100.0 Source: Census of India - 1971, 1981, 1991& 2001 Figure 5.1: Share of NCR’s GDP to India’s GDP Source: CSO (National Account Statistics); Economic Survey of Delhi, 2012-13; Department of Economic and Statistical Analysis, Haryana; Directorate of Economics and Statistics, Rajasthan; updes.up.nic.in 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Fig 5.1: Share of NCR GDP to India’s GDP
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Parsed HTML source of the new revision `(new_html)`	<table class="wikitable"> <tr> <td colspan="0"><div style="font-size:100%"> <p>This article has been sourced from an authoritative, official <br />publication. Therefore, it has been ‘locked’ and will never be <br /> thrown open to readers to edit or comment on.<br /> </p> After the formal launch of their online archival encyclopædia, <br /> readers who wish to update or add further details can do so on <br /> a ‘Part II’ of this article. </div> </td></tr></table> <h2><span class="editsection">[<a href="/ind/index.php?title=Demographic_Profile_and_Settlement_Pattern&action=edit&section=1" title="Edit section: The source of this article">edit</a>]</span> <span class="mw-headline" id="The_source_of_this_article">The source of this article</span></h2> <p><b> Draft Revised Regional Plan 2021: National Capital Region </b> </p><p>July, 2013 </p><p>National Capital Region Planning Board, Ministry of Urban Development, Govt. of India, Core-4B, First Floor, India Habitat Centre, Lodhi Road, New Delhi-110003 </p><p><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.ncrpb.nic.in/">National Capital Region Planning Board</a> </p><p><br /> =Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern= </p> <h2><span class="editsection">[<a href="/ind/index.php?title=Demographic_Profile_and_Settlement_Pattern&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section: BACKGROUND">edit</a>]</span> <span class="mw-headline" id="BACKGROUND"> BACKGROUND</span></h2> <p>As per Census 2011, India’s population is 1210 million, of which the urban population is 377 million. The level of urbanization has gone up from 27.8% in 2001 to 31.2% in 2011. As much as 42.6% of urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. The four major metropolitan cities in India, namely, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai and Delhi together account for 15.4% of the total urban population of India (Fig 4.1). The NCR contains about 7.6% of India’s urban population and 2.1% of the total rural population of India (Fig 4.2). About 4.4 % of the India’s urban population resides in NCT Delhi alone. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:463px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic.PNG" src="/ind/images/5/51/Demographic.PNG" width="461" height="420" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:463px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic1.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic1.PNG" src="/ind/images/b/bc/Demographic1.PNG" width="461" height="420" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:309px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic2.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic2.PNG" src="/ind/images/3/3d/Demographic2.PNG" width="307" height="215" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p> <h2><span class="editsection">[<a href="/ind/index.php?title=Demographic_Profile_and_Settlement_Pattern&action=edit&section=3" title="Edit section: DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE">edit</a>]</span> <span class="mw-headline" id="DEMOGRAPHIC_PROFILE"> DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE</span></h2> <p>4.2.1 Distribution and Density of Population </p><p>The NCT-Delhi has the largest share of population (36.4%) followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region (31.7%) and Haryana sub-region (24.0%). Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest share of 8.0%. In 2011, NCR had a total population of 460.5 Lakh. Since 1981, share of population in Haryana and Rajasthan sub-regions has almost remained constant; however it increased from 31.4% in 1981 to 36.4% in 2011 in NCT-Delhi and in U.P sub-region it declined from 35% to 31.6% during the same period. </p><p><br /> </p><p>22 Regional Plan 2021 </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:403px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic7.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic7.PNG" src="/ind/images/8/8f/Demographic7.PNG" width="401" height="377" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:866px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic5.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic5.PNG" src="/ind/images/e/eb/Demographic5.PNG" width="864" height="192" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> The growth rate of population in NCR has declined from 37.6% in 1981-91 to 24.1% in 2001-11(Table 4.2). During the last 3 decades, trends show that the growth rate of population in all the sub-regions has been declining (Fig 4.5.) </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:409px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic6.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic6.PNG" src="/ind/images/3/3a/Demographic6.PNG" width="407" height="220" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> Although the growth rate is declining, there has been a substantial increase in absolute numbers in all the sub-regions. During the last decade (2001-11) as much as 29 Lakh persons were added in Delhi’s population. Uttar Pradesh and Haryana sub-region added 30.1 Lakh and 23.5 Lakh population respectively during the same period. Rajasthan sub-region also added 6.8 Lakh persons (Table 4.3). </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:404px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic8.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic8.PNG" src="/ind/images/1/11/Demographic8.PNG" width="402" height="212" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:693px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic9.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic9.PNG" src="/ind/images/c/c0/Demographic9.PNG" width="691" height="129" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p><p>Share of urban population in NCR has however been rising from 50.2% in 1991 to 62.5% in 2011 and the rural population declined in the same proportion (Fig 4.6). In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban population has increased from 16.9% in 1981 to 27.0% in 2011. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:449px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic10.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic10.PNG" src="/ind/images/8/8c/Demographic10.PNG" width="447" height="319" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:415px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic11.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic11.PNG" src="/ind/images/1/1f/Demographic11.PNG" width="413" height="546" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:415px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic11.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic11.PNG" src="/ind/images/1/1f/Demographic11.PNG" width="413" height="546" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:393px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic12.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic12.PNG" src="/ind/images/1/15/Demographic12.PNG" width="391" height="528" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p><p>At district level, Faridabad and Gurgaon have urbanization level of more than 50%. Panipat, Sonepat and Rohtak districts have 30 and 50 percent urbanization, while other districts have low level of urbanization in Haryana Sub-Region (Below 30 %). </p><p>Similarly, in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Meerut, Ghaziabad (incl. Hapur) and Gautam Budh Nagar districts are highly urbanized (more than 50%) while other districts are less urbanized. </p><p><br /> </p><p>Density of population in NCR has more than doubled from 657 Persons per sq.km in 1981 to 1349 persons per sq.km in 2011 in the last three decades (Fig 4.8). The density of population in rest of NCR excluding NCT Delhi is 912 persons per sq km. Density of population is 1349 persons per sq km in NCR as against the All India average of 382 persons per sq km in 2011. The Sub-region wise density of population is shown in Fig 4.9. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:415px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic13.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic13.PNG" src="/ind/images/8/81/Demographic13.PNG" width="413" height="418" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:696px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic15.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic15.PNG" src="/ind/images/d/dc/Demographic15.PNG" width="694" height="180" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p><p>NCT- Delhi has the highest density of population of 11,297 persons per sq.km followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 1344 persons per sq.km. Haryana sub-region has a relatively lesser density of 822 persons per sq.km whereas Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest density of population of 438 persons per sq. km. in the Region. (Map 4.2) </p><p>Over the years, density of population has been increasing every decade in all the sub-regions (Table 4.5). At district level, Ghaziabad has the highest density of population of 3967 persons per sq.km followed by Faridabad (2421), Meerut (1326), Gautam- Budh Nagar (1187) and Gurgaon (1207). Other districts have relatively lesser densities below 1000 person / sq.km. (Annex 4/III) </p><p>4.2.2 Sub-region wise Growth of Population </p><p>A. NCT-Delhi B. NCT-Delhi is highly urbanized with 97.5% of its population living in urban areas as against the national average of 31.2% in 2011 (Fig 4.10). The decadal growth of population in the National Capital Territory of Delhi during the period 1951-1991 has been consistently above 50%, but in the last two decades, it has steadily declined from 47.0 % in 1991-2001 to 21.0 % in 2001-2011. (Table 4.6) In absolute terms, the population increase was 29.0 lakh during 2001-11, as against 44.3 lakh in the previous decade. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:699px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic18.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic18.PNG" src="/ind/images/2/22/Demographic18.PNG" width="697" height="225" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> Density of population in NCR as well as in its Sub-regions has more than doubled during the last three decades. It is 1371 person/sq.km in NCR as against 382 person/sq.km at national level. Urban 97.5% Rural 2.5% 26 Regional Plan 2021 </p><p>Figure 4.12: Component of Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi, 1971-2001 (in Lakh) Figure 4.11: Decadal Growth Rate of NCT-Delhi (1901-2011) Source- Census of India, 1901- 2011* (Provisional) </p><p>The percentage of urban population in NCT-Delhi has been consistently increasing except in 1991 (Table- 4.7). The share of urban population has gone up from 82.4 % in 1951 to 97.5% in 2011. In absolute terms urban Delhi has increased by more than 11 times in the last six decades from 1951-2011. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:353px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic19.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic19.PNG" src="/ind/images/d/d4/Demographic19.PNG" width="351" height="83" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> The total population of NCT-Delhi as well as the urban population is growing but with declining rates. During 2001-11, the total population of NCT-Delhi grew by 21% while urban population grew by 26.6%. (Table 4.6) </p><p>The rapid decline in rural population during 2001-2011 is due to the fact that most of NCT Delhi has now been earmarked as ‘Urbanisable’ area as per Master Plan for Delhi-2021. The number of villages have declined from 209 in 1991 to 158 in 2001, probably due to their inclusion in the urban agglomeration and through re-classification or up gradation as urban or census town. </p><p>(Census data for rural areas for 2011 is still awaited from Census of India.) </p><p>Components of Growth in NCT-Delhi </p><p>The main components of the population growth are natural growth and in-migration. The share of natural growth during the last four decade during 1961-2001 has been from 50-60 percent. Over the years component of natural growth has increased and share of net migration has declined. On an average 1.2 to 1.5 Lakh migrants were added per annum in the net growth of Delhi’s population during last 30 years from 1971- 2001 (Fig 4.12). </p><p>The share of out-migration from Delhi has also increased from 2.42 Lakh in 1961-1971 to 4.58 Lakh during 1991-2001. Delhi has been witnessing a high rate of in-migration, although there was a decline in the percentage share of net migrants in the decadal growth of population in NCT Delhi from 45.1% in 1961-71 to 39.8% in 1991-01. However, in absolute terms, the number of migrants continuously increased. </p><p>The percentage share of migration from NCR States viz. Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh to NCT Delhi consistently declined in the last three decades. Total share of migrants from the above three states declined from 70.65% in 1971-81, to 65.76% in 1981-91 and further declined to 57.09% during 1991-2001 (including Uttarakhand:5.11%) (Annexure 4/IV). Box 4.3 The rural population of NCTDelhi has declined by 55.6% from 9.5 Lakh in 2001 to 4.20 Lakh in 2011. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:350px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic22.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic22.PNG" src="/ind/images/7/70/Demographic22.PNG" width="348" height="262" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:261px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic25.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic25.PNG" src="/ind/images/f/fb/Demographic25.PNG" width="259" height="240" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:229px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic21.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic21.PNG" src="/ind/images/1/18/Demographic21.PNG" width="227" height="117" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p><p><br /> </p><p>According to Census 2001, the main reasons for migration to Delhi are better employment opportunities and shifting of residence (Fig 4.13). Both these factors account for 74.4 % of the total migrants to Delhi during the decade 1991-2001 as shown in Fig 4.13 and Table 4.9. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:703px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic23.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic23.PNG" src="/ind/images/3/39/Demographic23.PNG" width="701" height="259" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> B. Haryana Sub-region: The share of urban and rural population in Haryana sub-region is 39.4% and 60.6% respectively in 2011. Although growth rate is declining, there is substantial increase in the absolute number. The absolute increase in population of the Haryana sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 23.5 Lakh, as against 20.43 Lakh in the previous decade. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:407px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic24.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic24.PNG" src="/ind/images/e/e8/Demographic24.PNG" width="405" height="220" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:246px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic27.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic27.PNG" src="/ind/images/6/62/Demographic27.PNG" width="244" height="246" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p><p><br /> The growth rate of Haryana sub-region has declined during the last three decades (Table 4.10). During 1981-91, decadal growth rate of population was 34.5%, which declined to 30.8% during 1991-2001 and further dropped to 27.1% during the last decade 2001-2011. There has been a steep decline in growth rate in rural population. During 1981-91, rural population registered a growth rate of 28.9% that fell down to 19.0% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 9.8% during 2001-11. The growth of urban population was phenomenal at a rate of 78.1%, which declined to 52.1% during 1981-91. Further, it increased to 61.5% during the decade 1991-2001 and remained almost constant at 60.4% during the last decade 2001-11. </p><p>C. Rajasthan Sub-region- The share of urban and rural population in Rajasthan sub-region is 17.8% and 82.2% respectively. In 2011 (Fig. 4.16), growth of population of Rajasthan Sub-region has been steady, ranging between 25 and 30 percent since 1971. However, during the last decade, the growth of population declined from 30.3% in 1991-2001 to 22.7% in 2001-11 (Table 4.11). </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:261px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic25.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic25.PNG" src="/ind/images/f/fb/Demographic25.PNG" width="259" height="240" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p>The absolute increase of population in the Rajasthan Sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 6.8 Lakh, as against 6.9 Lakh in the previous decade. </p><p>The growth of urban population however depicts a different trend. During the period from 1971 to 1991 growth rate of urban population increased from 44.4% in 1971 to 63.2 % in 1991. There was a drastic slip in growth rate of urban population during 1991-2001 registering at 35.8% but further it picked up at 50.4% during 2001-11. Growth of rural population showed an upward trend during 1981- 2001, but declined sharply at 18.0 % during the last decade 2001-11 (Fig. 4.17). </p><p><br /> Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 29 </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:334px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic34.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic34.PNG" src="/ind/images/c/c7/Demographic34.PNG" width="332" height="279" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:239px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic33.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic33.PNG" src="/ind/images/4/48/Demographic33.PNG" width="237" height="233" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p><br /> C. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region </p><p>The share of urban and rural population in Uttar Pradesh sub-region is 48.3 % and 51.7% respectively in 2011 and the decadal growth rate increased from 22.20% in 1961-71 to 29.2 % in 1981-1991 (Table 4.12). </p><p>Thereafter it marginally declined to 28.5% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 26.1% during 2001- 2011. In spite of declining trends in growth rate there has been an absolute increase of population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region during 2001-2011, it increased by 30.1 Lakh, as against 25.7 Lakh in the previous decade. </p><p>The growth of urban population was very high at 79.1% during 1971-1981 but it declined to 60% during the decade 1981-1991 and further declined to 48% during 1991-2001. After that it increased to 52.7% during 2001-2011. The growth of rural population in U.P Sub region has however sharply declined from 18.2% during 1991-2001 to 8.4% during 2001-2011 (Fig. 4.19). </p><p>4.2.3 Sex Ratio </p><p>Sex Ratio in NCR is 869 females per 1000 males (2011), which is much below the national average of 940. In 2011, at sub-regional level sex-ratio is lowest in NCT-Delhi at 866 followed by Haryana subregion at 870, UP sub-region at 878. Rajasthan sub-region has a sex-ratio of 894, which is the highest in the region but still below the national average. The lower sex ratio may be attributed to in migration of male population to the region. </p><p>In urban area of NCR the sex ratio is 870, which is higher than the rural area. However at sub-regional level the urban sex ratio is the lowest in Haryana Sub-region having 866, closely followed by NCT-Delhi with 867, Rajasthan sub-region with 871 and Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 898. In respect of NCR rural the situation is not better. The Sex ratio varies from 847 in NCT-Delhi to 899 in Rajasthan sub-region. In Haryana and UP sub-regions it is 873 and 879 respectively. Mewat is the only district in NCR where sexratio is 906, while in all other districts it is below 900. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:288px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic28.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic28.PNG" src="/ind/images/1/15/Demographic28.PNG" width="286" height="282" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <pre>) </pre> <p>4.3 Population Projections for 2021 </p><p>A comparative analysis of the Census 2011* population figures with the proposed population in notified RP-2021 was done to review the trends of population growth in NCR. The analysis indicates that the population of NCR as per Census 2011* is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021 for 2011. (Table 4.13) The population of NCT-Delhi and 18 Metro & Regional centres have as much as 92.7 % of the urban population of NCR and the remaining urban settlements/ towns only contribute the remaining 7.3% in 2011. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:479px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic35.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic35.PNG" src="/ind/images/6/6c/Demographic35.PNG" width="477" height="525" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p>Note: Population of cities with more than 1 Lakh population is available from Census of India for 2011. Population for cities less than 1 Lakh population have been projected based on urban growth rate in the respective Districts. </p><p>The analysis also reveals that the census population varies from the proposed population of 2011 (RP- 2021) in the range of 85% to 113% for CNCR towns except in Gurgaon (Table 4.13). In Gurgaon the actual population in 2011 was 200% of the proposed population for 2011 in the Regional Plan-2021. The Census population figures for Manesar, Shahjanpur and Neemrana towns for the year 2011 are still awaited. </p><p>Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 31 </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:365px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic38.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic38.PNG" src="/ind/images/2/21/Demographic38.PNG" width="363" height="314" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p>The scenario for Metro and Regional Centres, excluding NCT-Delhi, within CNCR and outside CNCR differs slightly. Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR grew to 55.74 Lakh as per Census 2011, which is 109.3% of the proposed population (51 Lakh) for 2011 as per the Regional Plan -2021. For Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, the actual population is 43.80 Lakh as per Census 2011 as against the proposed population of 48.60 Lakh which is 90.1 % of the proposed population. However, the cumulative Census population of all 18 Metro and Regional Centres is almost 100% of the proposed population of 2011. The difference between the proposed population of both NCR and NCT-Delhi vis-à-vis the actual Census population of 2011 (provisional) is about 25.5 Lakh. It may be attributed to the fact that NCT-Delhi grew at a slower rate than anticipated. Figure 4.20 and 4.21 given below depict growth trends of population in NCR and NCT-Delhi. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:231px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic36.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic36.PNG" src="/ind/images/7/74/Demographic36.PNG" width="229" height="208" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p>The population projections of 617.25 Lakh for the year 2021 were finalized by the Study Group and subsequent discussions with the participating states (Fig 4.22). The breakup of projected population at sub-regional level include 202.6 Lakh for Delhi subregion, 168.28 Lakh for Haryana Sub-Region, 46.87 Lakh for Rajasthan sub-region and 199.46 Lakh for U.P. sub-region. The proposed population is in the range of ±2.5% (Table 4.14). </p><p>1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCR- Population 1,90,18,909 2,64,46,180 3,71,00,266 4,60,47,016 4,86,19,000 NCR-DGR 39.05% 40.29% 24.12% 31.05% 0 1,00,00,000 2,00,00,000 3,00,00,000 4,00,00,000 5,00,00,000 6,00,00,000 Population of NCR </p><p><br /> Box 4.4 Earlier population projections in the Regional Plan -2021 were given in fixed numbers, however now proposed population has been given in the range of ±2.5% also. 32 Regional Plan 2021 </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:495px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic41.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic41.PNG" src="/ind/images/f/fc/Demographic41.PNG" width="493" height="570" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <ul><li><ul><li>Note: These Metro/Regional centres could not attain proposed population of Regional Plan-2021 because some large infrastructure projects </li></ul> </li></ul> <p>such as RRTS, Metro Rail, Western/ Eastern Peripheral Expressway, etc. are still in the process of implementation. As such, proposed population for these towns in the Regional Plan-2021 has been retained. </p><p>The Sub-Region wise break-up of proposed urban & rural population is given in Table 4.15. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:485px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic42.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic42.PNG" src="/ind/images/1/18/Demographic42.PNG" width="483" height="216" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p>4.3.1 Policy Issues </p><p>The review of the Regional Plan-2021 as well as the results of the Census 2011 reveals that the actual population in 2011 is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021. The proposed population for Metro and Regional Centres within Central NCR towns was 51 Lakh, while the Census population reached 56 Lakh in 2011 which is 109% of the proposed population. In the case of Metro and Regional Centres outside Central NCR, proposed population was 48.6 Lakh, while Census population is 43.68 Lakh which is 90.1% of the proposed population. The analysis shows that the Metro and Regional centres within CNCR have grown much faster than proposed while the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR could not grow as anticipated to achieve the target population of RP-2021. The emphasis therefore should be on developing the Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR by providing fast and efficient connectivity, boost to economic activities and development of infrastructure. </p><p>4.4 SETTLEMENT PATTERN </p><p>4.4.1 Urban Settlements </p><p>Number of urban settlements in the region has increased from 94 in 1981 to 108 in 2001. Composition of urban centres included 17 UA/Class-I cities, 9 Class-II towns, 27 Class-III, 38 Class-IV, 15 Class-V and 2 Class-VI towns in 2001 (Table 4.16). However as per census 2011, there are 20 UA/ Class I towns. In 2011, the Class-I cities accommodated more than 92.7% of the total urban population of the region and the remaining 7.3% is distributed in 88 towns of Class-II to Class-VI size. The details of urban settlements below 1 lakh population as per Census 2011 are awaited. </p> <ul><li> Note: For Census 2011 only the population for cities with more than 1 Lakh is available. The analysis/picture of settlement pattern will change </li></ul> <p>after the census data on all urban settlements in NCR is made available for 2011. </p><p>34 Regional Plan 2021 </p><p>There are 35 urban settlements in Haryana Sub-region, 9 in Rajasthan Sub-region and 63 in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region. Outside NCT-Delhi, there are 8 Class-I urban centres in Haryana Sub-region, one Class-I urban centre in Rajasthan Sub-region and 7 Class-I urban centres in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (refer Map 4.3). (Detailed Census 2011 data is awaited.) The number of metropolitan cities (more than 10 Lakh) in the region increased from three cities in 2001 to four cities in 2011. </p><p>4.4.2 Rural Settlements </p><p>According to the Census 2001, there were 7,528 rural settlements of various sizes in the National Capital Region. Of these, 158 were in NCT of Delhi, 2,471 in Haryana, 1,954 in Rajasthan and 3,185 in Uttar Pradesh subregions. The rural population of NCR which was 44 % of the total population, increased from 162 Lakh in 2001 to 172.60 Lakh (Provisional) in 2011. The proportion of rural population to total population has however declined. It was 44% in 2001 which has gone down to 37.5% in 2011. Census data for Rural Settlements for 2011 is awaited. </p><p>4.4.3 Proposed Hierarchy of Settlements </p><p>Regional Plan-2021 proposed a six-tier settlement system i.e., Metro Centre, Regional Centres, Subregional Centres, Service Centres, Central Village and Basic Villages. The same settlement pattern is proposed to be continued and is represented in Table 4.17. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:503px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic45.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic45.PNG" src="/ind/images/5/51/Demographic45.PNG" width="501" height="148" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p>A. Metro Centre </p><p>As per the Census 2011, in NCR outside Delhi already three towns/complexes namely Ghaziabad-Loni complex, Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex and Meerut have crossed the one million population mark. Additionally, the participating States have planned urban centres with million plus population in their respective sub-regions. Towns envisaged/planned with million plus population by 2021 are listed in Table 4.18. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:694px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic46.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic46.PNG" src="/ind/images/9/95/Demographic46.PNG" width="692" height="272" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p>Note - UP Sub-regional Plan -2021 has proposed a new township YEIDA under the provision of para 4.3.5 (I) of the RP-2021 as a Green Field Township. </p><p>These settlements can, however, act as powerful growth nodes to attract capital functions and activities and help in population dispersal from the national Capital. Given their special functional status and size, a Box 4.5 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR have grown much faster than the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, which could not grow as anticipated in the Regional Plan 2021. </p><p>Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 35 </p><p>high level of physical, social and economic infrastructure better than that in the Capital is required to be developed in these towns/complexes. This would include efficient intra-urban mass transportation system as well as strong transport and communication linkages with Delhi, other Metro centres and NCR towns. The respective participating States and their agencies would be required to create the necessary infrastructure themselves in these Metro Centres and also be required to facilitate the private sector investment therein. B. Regional Centre Being second tier settlement it is the well-established urban centre in the region, marked by highly specialized secondary and tertiary sector activities and providing job opportunities, which normally cannot be performed by other lower order centres. These centres will be developed for advanced industrial and other economic activities and will have concentration of administrative and higher order service functions, which are expected to exert an increasingly dynamic influence on attraction of investment and creation of conducive living and working environment. The Regional Centres proposed in the Plan are as under (Table 4.19). </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:530px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic47.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic47.PNG" src="/ind/images/5/52/Demographic47.PNG" width="528" height="229" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <p>There are 6 Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR, whereas there are 12 Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR (Map 4.4) which are as follows: </p><p>Sl. Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR Sl. No Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR ( within NCR) 1. Bahadurgarh 1. Panipat 2. Faridabad- Ballabgarh Complex 2. Rohtak 3. Gurgaon - Manesar Complex 3. Palwal 4. Ghaziabad - Loni Complex 4. Rewari 5. Noida 5. Meerut 6. Sonepat - Kundli Complex 6. Hapur – Pilkhua Complex 7. Greater Noida 8. Bulandshahr- Khurja Complex 9. Bhagpat - Baraut Complex 10. Alwar 11. Greater Bhiwadi 12. Shahjanpur- Neemrana- Behror Complex. The functions of other lower order centres in the hierarchy of settlement are touched briefly in the Regional Plan. Identification of these centres and their role would be spelt out in the Sub-regional Plan in detail. 36 Regional Plan 2021 </p><p>C. Sub-Regional Centre The Sub-regional Centre shall generally be medium sized towns or intermediate city performing a variety of roles, particularly in promoting and supporting a more balanced distribution of urban population and in providing functional linkages between the smaller towns and Regional/Metro Centres. The Sub-regional Centres are proposed to undertake the urban economic and service functions and will have sound infrastructure like transport, power, water, credit banking, marketing, managerial services etc. D. Service Centre The Service Centre shall be a small town or a large village having linkages with immediate rural hinterlands. These centres would cater to the rural hinterland as agro-service centre in collection and distribution of agricultural goods and services with processing, marketing, warehousing and storage facilities. E. Central Village The Central Village is the higher order village having central location and potential for development within its catchment area, with relatively better services and facilities in terms of education, health, communication, accessibility and has the capacity to serve a group of Basic Villages. This centre is proposed to provide basic social facilities for population engaged in agriculture and other primary activities. F. Basic Village All other Census villages with a population of less than 5,000 have been classified as Basic Villages and would be provided with basic facilities like link roads, water supply and electricity, paved streets and lowcost common sanitary facilities as well as the minimum required social infrastructure as per planning norms. </p><p>4.4.4 Strategies for Development of Settlement System </p><p>Strategies for the development of settlement system would be to harness the growth impulses of Delhi and adjoining towns and to integrate the urban and rural settlements in the region. This could be attained by developing balanced settlement structure and mutually reinforcing system of urban and rural centres. Strategies to achieve these objectives would be as under: </p><p>A. Development of a well-knit regional settlement system wherein Delhi and other towns in the region would be allowed to grow as per their carrying capacity so as to harness the development potential within the broad frame of the Regional Plan. </p><p>B. In order to make a significant impact of the large growing centres to act as catalyst for development in the National Capital Region, it is proposed to identify new ‘Metro Centres/ Regional Centres/ Investment Regions/ other New Townships’ for intensive development for attracting investment, generation of employment, creation of high-quality infrastructure, robust transport and communication linkages, development of high-quality residential areas, industrial and commercial complexes. The proposed new townships would be growth nodes along the key transport corridors, proposed expressways, orbital rail corridors and other suitable locations either on virgin land or as extension of existing settlement. </p><p>C. Development of small and medium towns in the region as Sub-regional centres or service centres. These towns would play an important role in supporting the socio-economic development in their rural hinterland by providing access to education and health facilities, agricultural extension services and agro-based industries depending on local resources. </p><p>D. Rural development would be encouraged by providing facilities and services in appropriate hierarchy of service centres, to help stimulate production and increase the income of the rural population. This will help facilitate diversification of the economy. </p><p><br /> </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:339px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic49.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic49.PNG" src="/ind/images/3/3c/Demographic49.PNG" width="337" height="449" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:338px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic50.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic50.PNG" src="/ind/images/e/eb/Demographic50.PNG" width="336" height="435" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:338px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic51.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic51.PNG" src="/ind/images/0/03/Demographic51.PNG" width="336" height="413" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:337px;"><a href="/ind/index.php/File:Demographic52.PNG" class="image"><img alt="Demographic52.PNG" src="/ind/images/e/eb/Demographic52.PNG" width="335" height="399" class="thumbimage" /></a> <div class="thumbcaption"></div></div></div>
New page text, stripped of any markup `(new_text)`	This article has been sourced from an authoritative, official publication. Therefore, it has been ‘locked’ and will never be thrown open to readers to edit or comment on. After the formal launch of their online archival encyclopædia, readers who wish to update or add further details can do so on a ‘Part II’ of this article. [edit] The source of this article Draft Revised Regional Plan 2021: National Capital Region July, 2013 National Capital Region Planning Board, Ministry of Urban Development, Govt. of India, Core-4B, First Floor, India Habitat Centre, Lodhi Road, New Delhi-110003 National Capital Region Planning Board =Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern= [edit] BACKGROUND As per Census 2011, India’s population is 1210 million, of which the urban population is 377 million. The level of urbanization has gone up from 27.8% in 2001 to 31.2% in 2011. As much as 42.6% of urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. The four major metropolitan cities in India, namely, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai and Delhi together account for 15.4% of the total urban population of India (Fig 4.1). The NCR contains about 7.6% of India’s urban population and 2.1% of the total rural population of India (Fig 4.2). About 4.4 % of the India’s urban population resides in NCT Delhi alone. [edit] DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE 4.2.1 Distribution and Density of Population The NCT-Delhi has the largest share of population (36.4%) followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region (31.7%) and Haryana sub-region (24.0%). Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest share of 8.0%. In 2011, NCR had a total population of 460.5 Lakh. Since 1981, share of population in Haryana and Rajasthan sub-regions has almost remained constant; however it increased from 31.4% in 1981 to 36.4% in 2011 in NCT-Delhi and in U.P sub-region it declined from 35% to 31.6% during the same period. 22 Regional Plan 2021 The growth rate of population in NCR has declined from 37.6% in 1981-91 to 24.1% in 2001-11(Table 4.2). During the last 3 decades, trends show that the growth rate of population in all the sub-regions has been declining (Fig 4.5.) Although the growth rate is declining, there has been a substantial increase in absolute numbers in all the sub-regions. During the last decade (2001-11) as much as 29 Lakh persons were added in Delhi’s population. Uttar Pradesh and Haryana sub-region added 30.1 Lakh and 23.5 Lakh population respectively during the same period. Rajasthan sub-region also added 6.8 Lakh persons (Table 4.3). Share of urban population in NCR has however been rising from 50.2% in 1991 to 62.5% in 2011 and the rural population declined in the same proportion (Fig 4.6). In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban population has increased from 16.9% in 1981 to 27.0% in 2011. At district level, Faridabad and Gurgaon have urbanization level of more than 50%. Panipat, Sonepat and Rohtak districts have 30 and 50 percent urbanization, while other districts have low level of urbanization in Haryana Sub-Region (Below 30 %). Similarly, in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Meerut, Ghaziabad (incl. Hapur) and Gautam Budh Nagar districts are highly urbanized (more than 50%) while other districts are less urbanized. Density of population in NCR has more than doubled from 657 Persons per sq.km in 1981 to 1349 persons per sq.km in 2011 in the last three decades (Fig 4.8). The density of population in rest of NCR excluding NCT Delhi is 912 persons per sq km. Density of population is 1349 persons per sq km in NCR as against the All India average of 382 persons per sq km in 2011. The Sub-region wise density of population is shown in Fig 4.9. NCT- Delhi has the highest density of population of 11,297 persons per sq.km followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 1344 persons per sq.km. Haryana sub-region has a relatively lesser density of 822 persons per sq.km whereas Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest density of population of 438 persons per sq. km. in the Region. (Map 4.2) Over the years, density of population has been increasing every decade in all the sub-regions (Table 4.5). At district level, Ghaziabad has the highest density of population of 3967 persons per sq.km followed by Faridabad (2421), Meerut (1326), Gautam- Budh Nagar (1187) and Gurgaon (1207). Other districts have relatively lesser densities below 1000 person / sq.km. (Annex 4/III) 4.2.2 Sub-region wise Growth of Population A. NCT-Delhi B. NCT-Delhi is highly urbanized with 97.5% of its population living in urban areas as against the national average of 31.2% in 2011 (Fig 4.10). The decadal growth of population in the National Capital Territory of Delhi during the period 1951-1991 has been consistently above 50%, but in the last two decades, it has steadily declined from 47.0 % in 1991-2001 to 21.0 % in 2001-2011. (Table 4.6) In absolute terms, the population increase was 29.0 lakh during 2001-11, as against 44.3 lakh in the previous decade. Density of population in NCR as well as in its Sub-regions has more than doubled during the last three decades. It is 1371 person/sq.km in NCR as against 382 person/sq.km at national level. Urban 97.5% Rural 2.5% 26 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.12: Component of Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi, 1971-2001 (in Lakh) Figure 4.11: Decadal Growth Rate of NCT-Delhi (1901-2011) Source- Census of India, 1901- 2011* (Provisional) The percentage of urban population in NCT-Delhi has been consistently increasing except in 1991 (Table- 4.7). The share of urban population has gone up from 82.4 % in 1951 to 97.5% in 2011. In absolute terms urban Delhi has increased by more than 11 times in the last six decades from 1951-2011. The total population of NCT-Delhi as well as the urban population is growing but with declining rates. During 2001-11, the total population of NCT-Delhi grew by 21% while urban population grew by 26.6%. (Table 4.6) The rapid decline in rural population during 2001-2011 is due to the fact that most of NCT Delhi has now been earmarked as ‘Urbanisable’ area as per Master Plan for Delhi-2021. The number of villages have declined from 209 in 1991 to 158 in 2001, probably due to their inclusion in the urban agglomeration and through re-classification or up gradation as urban or census town. (Census data for rural areas for 2011 is still awaited from Census of India.) Components of Growth in NCT-Delhi The main components of the population growth are natural growth and in-migration. The share of natural growth during the last four decade during 1961-2001 has been from 50-60 percent. Over the years component of natural growth has increased and share of net migration has declined. On an average 1.2 to 1.5 Lakh migrants were added per annum in the net growth of Delhi’s population during last 30 years from 1971- 2001 (Fig 4.12). The share of out-migration from Delhi has also increased from 2.42 Lakh in 1961-1971 to 4.58 Lakh during 1991-2001. Delhi has been witnessing a high rate of in-migration, although there was a decline in the percentage share of net migrants in the decadal growth of population in NCT Delhi from 45.1% in 1961-71 to 39.8% in 1991-01. However, in absolute terms, the number of migrants continuously increased. The percentage share of migration from NCR States viz. Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh to NCT Delhi consistently declined in the last three decades. Total share of migrants from the above three states declined from 70.65% in 1971-81, to 65.76% in 1981-91 and further declined to 57.09% during 1991-2001 (including Uttarakhand:5.11%) (Annexure 4/IV). Box 4.3 The rural population of NCTDelhi has declined by 55.6% from 9.5 Lakh in 2001 to 4.20 Lakh in 2011. According to Census 2001, the main reasons for migration to Delhi are better employment opportunities and shifting of residence (Fig 4.13). Both these factors account for 74.4 % of the total migrants to Delhi during the decade 1991-2001 as shown in Fig 4.13 and Table 4.9. B. Haryana Sub-region: The share of urban and rural population in Haryana sub-region is 39.4% and 60.6% respectively in 2011. Although growth rate is declining, there is substantial increase in the absolute number. The absolute increase in population of the Haryana sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 23.5 Lakh, as against 20.43 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth rate of Haryana sub-region has declined during the last three decades (Table 4.10). During 1981-91, decadal growth rate of population was 34.5%, which declined to 30.8% during 1991-2001 and further dropped to 27.1% during the last decade 2001-2011. There has been a steep decline in growth rate in rural population. During 1981-91, rural population registered a growth rate of 28.9% that fell down to 19.0% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 9.8% during 2001-11. The growth of urban population was phenomenal at a rate of 78.1%, which declined to 52.1% during 1981-91. Further, it increased to 61.5% during the decade 1991-2001 and remained almost constant at 60.4% during the last decade 2001-11. C. Rajasthan Sub-region- The share of urban and rural population in Rajasthan sub-region is 17.8% and 82.2% respectively. In 2011 (Fig. 4.16), growth of population of Rajasthan Sub-region has been steady, ranging between 25 and 30 percent since 1971. However, during the last decade, the growth of population declined from 30.3% in 1991-2001 to 22.7% in 2001-11 (Table 4.11). The absolute increase of population in the Rajasthan Sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 6.8 Lakh, as against 6.9 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population however depicts a different trend. During the period from 1971 to 1991 growth rate of urban population increased from 44.4% in 1971 to 63.2 % in 1991. There was a drastic slip in growth rate of urban population during 1991-2001 registering at 35.8% but further it picked up at 50.4% during 2001-11. Growth of rural population showed an upward trend during 1981- 2001, but declined sharply at 18.0 % during the last decade 2001-11 (Fig. 4.17). Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 29 C. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region The share of urban and rural population in Uttar Pradesh sub-region is 48.3 % and 51.7% respectively in 2011 and the decadal growth rate increased from 22.20% in 1961-71 to 29.2 % in 1981-1991 (Table 4.12). Thereafter it marginally declined to 28.5% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 26.1% during 2001- 2011. In spite of declining trends in growth rate there has been an absolute increase of population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region during 2001-2011, it increased by 30.1 Lakh, as against 25.7 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population was very high at 79.1% during 1971-1981 but it declined to 60% during the decade 1981-1991 and further declined to 48% during 1991-2001. After that it increased to 52.7% during 2001-2011. The growth of rural population in U.P Sub region has however sharply declined from 18.2% during 1991-2001 to 8.4% during 2001-2011 (Fig. 4.19). 4.2.3 Sex Ratio Sex Ratio in NCR is 869 females per 1000 males (2011), which is much below the national average of 940. In 2011, at sub-regional level sex-ratio is lowest in NCT-Delhi at 866 followed by Haryana subregion at 870, UP sub-region at 878. Rajasthan sub-region has a sex-ratio of 894, which is the highest in the region but still below the national average. The lower sex ratio may be attributed to in migration of male population to the region. In urban area of NCR the sex ratio is 870, which is higher than the rural area. However at sub-regional level the urban sex ratio is the lowest in Haryana Sub-region having 866, closely followed by NCT-Delhi with 867, Rajasthan sub-region with 871 and Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 898. In respect of NCR rural the situation is not better. The Sex ratio varies from 847 in NCT-Delhi to 899 in Rajasthan sub-region. In Haryana and UP sub-regions it is 873 and 879 respectively. Mewat is the only district in NCR where sexratio is 906, while in all other districts it is below 900. ) 4.3 Population Projections for 2021 A comparative analysis of the Census 2011* population figures with the proposed population in notified RP-2021 was done to review the trends of population growth in NCR. The analysis indicates that the population of NCR as per Census 2011* is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021 for 2011. (Table 4.13) The population of NCT-Delhi and 18 Metro & Regional centres have as much as 92.7 % of the urban population of NCR and the remaining urban settlements/ towns only contribute the remaining 7.3% in 2011. Note: Population of cities with more than 1 Lakh population is available from Census of India for 2011. Population for cities less than 1 Lakh population have been projected based on urban growth rate in the respective Districts. The analysis also reveals that the census population varies from the proposed population of 2011 (RP- 2021) in the range of 85% to 113% for CNCR towns except in Gurgaon (Table 4.13). In Gurgaon the actual population in 2011 was 200% of the proposed population for 2011 in the Regional Plan-2021. The Census population figures for Manesar, Shahjanpur and Neemrana towns for the year 2011 are still awaited. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 31 The scenario for Metro and Regional Centres, excluding NCT-Delhi, within CNCR and outside CNCR differs slightly. Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR grew to 55.74 Lakh as per Census 2011, which is 109.3% of the proposed population (51 Lakh) for 2011 as per the Regional Plan -2021. For Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, the actual population is 43.80 Lakh as per Census 2011 as against the proposed population of 48.60 Lakh which is 90.1 % of the proposed population. However, the cumulative Census population of all 18 Metro and Regional Centres is almost 100% of the proposed population of 2011. The difference between the proposed population of both NCR and NCT-Delhi vis-à-vis the actual Census population of 2011 (provisional) is about 25.5 Lakh. It may be attributed to the fact that NCT-Delhi grew at a slower rate than anticipated. Figure 4.20 and 4.21 given below depict growth trends of population in NCR and NCT-Delhi. The population projections of 617.25 Lakh for the year 2021 were finalized by the Study Group and subsequent discussions with the participating states (Fig 4.22). The breakup of projected population at sub-regional level include 202.6 Lakh for Delhi subregion, 168.28 Lakh for Haryana Sub-Region, 46.87 Lakh for Rajasthan sub-region and 199.46 Lakh for U.P. sub-region. The proposed population is in the range of ±2.5% (Table 4.14). 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCR- Population 1,90,18,909 2,64,46,180 3,71,00,266 4,60,47,016 4,86,19,000 NCR-DGR 39.05% 40.29% 24.12% 31.05% 0 1,00,00,000 2,00,00,000 3,00,00,000 4,00,00,000 5,00,00,000 6,00,00,000 Population of NCR Box 4.4 Earlier population projections in the Regional Plan -2021 were given in fixed numbers, however now proposed population has been given in the range of ±2.5% also. 32 Regional Plan 2021 Note: These Metro/Regional centres could not attain proposed population of Regional Plan-2021 because some large infrastructure projects such as RRTS, Metro Rail, Western/ Eastern Peripheral Expressway, etc. are still in the process of implementation. As such, proposed population for these towns in the Regional Plan-2021 has been retained. The Sub-Region wise break-up of proposed urban & rural population is given in Table 4.15. 4.3.1 Policy Issues The review of the Regional Plan-2021 as well as the results of the Census 2011 reveals that the actual population in 2011 is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021. The proposed population for Metro and Regional Centres within Central NCR towns was 51 Lakh, while the Census population reached 56 Lakh in 2011 which is 109% of the proposed population. In the case of Metro and Regional Centres outside Central NCR, proposed population was 48.6 Lakh, while Census population is 43.68 Lakh which is 90.1% of the proposed population. The analysis shows that the Metro and Regional centres within CNCR have grown much faster than proposed while the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR could not grow as anticipated to achieve the target population of RP-2021. The emphasis therefore should be on developing the Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR by providing fast and efficient connectivity, boost to economic activities and development of infrastructure. 4.4 SETTLEMENT PATTERN 4.4.1 Urban Settlements Number of urban settlements in the region has increased from 94 in 1981 to 108 in 2001. Composition of urban centres included 17 UA/Class-I cities, 9 Class-II towns, 27 Class-III, 38 Class-IV, 15 Class-V and 2 Class-VI towns in 2001 (Table 4.16). However as per census 2011, there are 20 UA/ Class I towns. In 2011, the Class-I cities accommodated more than 92.7% of the total urban population of the region and the remaining 7.3% is distributed in 88 towns of Class-II to Class-VI size. The details of urban settlements below 1 lakh population as per Census 2011 are awaited. Note: For Census 2011 only the population for cities with more than 1 Lakh is available. The analysis/picture of settlement pattern will change after the census data on all urban settlements in NCR is made available for 2011. 34 Regional Plan 2021 There are 35 urban settlements in Haryana Sub-region, 9 in Rajasthan Sub-region and 63 in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region. Outside NCT-Delhi, there are 8 Class-I urban centres in Haryana Sub-region, one Class-I urban centre in Rajasthan Sub-region and 7 Class-I urban centres in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (refer Map 4.3). (Detailed Census 2011 data is awaited.) The number of metropolitan cities (more than 10 Lakh) in the region increased from three cities in 2001 to four cities in 2011. 4.4.2 Rural Settlements According to the Census 2001, there were 7,528 rural settlements of various sizes in the National Capital Region. Of these, 158 were in NCT of Delhi, 2,471 in Haryana, 1,954 in Rajasthan and 3,185 in Uttar Pradesh subregions. The rural population of NCR which was 44 % of the total population, increased from 162 Lakh in 2001 to 172.60 Lakh (Provisional) in 2011. The proportion of rural population to total population has however declined. It was 44% in 2001 which has gone down to 37.5% in 2011. Census data for Rural Settlements for 2011 is awaited. 4.4.3 Proposed Hierarchy of Settlements Regional Plan-2021 proposed a six-tier settlement system i.e., Metro Centre, Regional Centres, Subregional Centres, Service Centres, Central Village and Basic Villages. The same settlement pattern is proposed to be continued and is represented in Table 4.17. A. Metro Centre As per the Census 2011, in NCR outside Delhi already three towns/complexes namely Ghaziabad-Loni complex, Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex and Meerut have crossed the one million population mark. Additionally, the participating States have planned urban centres with million plus population in their respective sub-regions. Towns envisaged/planned with million plus population by 2021 are listed in Table 4.18. Note - UP Sub-regional Plan -2021 has proposed a new township YEIDA under the provision of para 4.3.5 (I) of the RP-2021 as a Green Field Township. These settlements can, however, act as powerful growth nodes to attract capital functions and activities and help in population dispersal from the national Capital. Given their special functional status and size, a Box 4.5 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR have grown much faster than the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, which could not grow as anticipated in the Regional Plan 2021. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 35 high level of physical, social and economic infrastructure better than that in the Capital is required to be developed in these towns/complexes. This would include efficient intra-urban mass transportation system as well as strong transport and communication linkages with Delhi, other Metro centres and NCR towns. The respective participating States and their agencies would be required to create the necessary infrastructure themselves in these Metro Centres and also be required to facilitate the private sector investment therein. B. Regional Centre Being second tier settlement it is the well-established urban centre in the region, marked by highly specialized secondary and tertiary sector activities and providing job opportunities, which normally cannot be performed by other lower order centres. These centres will be developed for advanced industrial and other economic activities and will have concentration of administrative and higher order service functions, which are expected to exert an increasingly dynamic influence on attraction of investment and creation of conducive living and working environment. The Regional Centres proposed in the Plan are as under (Table 4.19). There are 6 Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR, whereas there are 12 Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR (Map 4.4) which are as follows: Sl. Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR Sl. No Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR ( within NCR) 1. Bahadurgarh 1. Panipat 2. Faridabad- Ballabgarh Complex 2. Rohtak 3. Gurgaon - Manesar Complex 3. Palwal 4. Ghaziabad - Loni Complex 4. Rewari 5. Noida 5. Meerut 6. Sonepat - Kundli Complex 6. Hapur – Pilkhua Complex 7. Greater Noida 8. Bulandshahr- Khurja Complex 9. Bhagpat - Baraut Complex 10. Alwar 11. Greater Bhiwadi 12. Shahjanpur- Neemrana- Behror Complex. The functions of other lower order centres in the hierarchy of settlement are touched briefly in the Regional Plan. Identification of these centres and their role would be spelt out in the Sub-regional Plan in detail. 36 Regional Plan 2021 C. Sub-Regional Centre The Sub-regional Centre shall generally be medium sized towns or intermediate city performing a variety of roles, particularly in promoting and supporting a more balanced distribution of urban population and in providing functional linkages between the smaller towns and Regional/Metro Centres. The Sub-regional Centres are proposed to undertake the urban economic and service functions and will have sound infrastructure like transport, power, water, credit banking, marketing, managerial services etc. D. Service Centre The Service Centre shall be a small town or a large village having linkages with immediate rural hinterlands. These centres would cater to the rural hinterland as agro-service centre in collection and distribution of agricultural goods and services with processing, marketing, warehousing and storage facilities. E. Central Village The Central Village is the higher order village having central location and potential for development within its catchment area, with relatively better services and facilities in terms of education, health, communication, accessibility and has the capacity to serve a group of Basic Villages. This centre is proposed to provide basic social facilities for population engaged in agriculture and other primary activities. F. Basic Village All other Census villages with a population of less than 5,000 have been classified as Basic Villages and would be provided with basic facilities like link roads, water supply and electricity, paved streets and lowcost common sanitary facilities as well as the minimum required social infrastructure as per planning norms. 4.4.4 Strategies for Development of Settlement System Strategies for the development of settlement system would be to harness the growth impulses of Delhi and adjoining towns and to integrate the urban and rural settlements in the region. This could be attained by developing balanced settlement structure and mutually reinforcing system of urban and rural centres. Strategies to achieve these objectives would be as under: A. Development of a well-knit regional settlement system wherein Delhi and other towns in the region would be allowed to grow as per their carrying capacity so as to harness the development potential within the broad frame of the Regional Plan. B. In order to make a significant impact of the large growing centres to act as catalyst for development in the National Capital Region, it is proposed to identify new ‘Metro Centres/ Regional Centres/ Investment Regions/ other New Townships’ for intensive development for attracting investment, generation of employment, creation of high-quality infrastructure, robust transport and communication linkages, development of high-quality residential areas, industrial and commercial complexes. The proposed new townships would be growth nodes along the key transport corridors, proposed expressways, orbital rail corridors and other suitable locations either on virgin land or as extension of existing settlement. C. Development of small and medium towns in the region as Sub-regional centres or service centres. These towns would play an important role in supporting the socio-economic development in their rural hinterland by providing access to education and health facilities, agricultural extension services and agro-based industries depending on local resources. D. Rural development would be encouraged by providing facilities and services in appropriate hierarchy of service centres, to help stimulate production and increase the income of the rural population. This will help facilitate diversification of the economy.
`old_html`	<table class="wikitable"> <tr> <td colspan="0"><div style="font-size:100%"> <p>This article has been sourced from an authoritative, official <br />publication. Therefore, it has been ‘locked’ and will never be <br /> thrown open to readers to edit or comment on.<br /> </p> After the formal launch of their online archival encyclopædia, <br /> readers who wish to update or add further details can do so on <br /> a ‘Part II’ of this article. </div> </td></tr></table> <h2><span class="editsection">[<a href="/ind/index.php?title=Demographic_Profile_and_Settlement_Pattern&action=edit&section=1" title="Edit section: The source of this article">edit</a>]</span> <span class="mw-headline" id="The_source_of_this_article">The source of this article</span></h2> <p><b> Draft Revised Regional Plan 2021: National Capital Region </b> </p><p>July, 2013 </p><p>National Capital Region Planning Board, Ministry of Urban Development, Govt. of India, Core-4B, First Floor, India Habitat Centre, Lodhi Road, New Delhi-110003 </p><p><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.ncrpb.nic.in/">National Capital Region Planning Board</a> </p><p><br /> =Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern= </p> <h2><span class="editsection">[<a href="/ind/index.php?title=Demographic_Profile_and_Settlement_Pattern&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section: BACKGROUND">edit</a>]</span> <span class="mw-headline" id="BACKGROUND"> BACKGROUND</span></h2> <p>As per Census 2011, India’s population is 1210 million, of which the urban population is 377 million. The level of urbanization has gone up from 27.8% in 2001 to 31.2% in 2011. As much as 42.6% of urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. The four major metropolitan cities in India, namely, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai and Delhi together account for 15.4% of the total urban population of India (Fig 4.1). The NCR contains about 7.6% of India’s urban population and 2.1% of the total rural population of India (Fig 4.2). About 4.4 % of the India’s urban population resides in NCT Delhi alone. </p> <div class="thumb tright"><div class="thumbinner" style="width:182px;"><a href="/ind/index.php?title=Special:Upload&wpDestFile=Xxx.jpg" class="new" title="File:Xxx.jpg">File:Xxx.jpg</a> <div class="thumbcaption">500px</div></div></div> <h2><span class="editsection">[<a href="/ind/index.php?title=Demographic_Profile_and_Settlement_Pattern&action=edit&section=3" title="Edit section: DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE">edit</a>]</span> <span class="mw-headline" id="DEMOGRAPHIC_PROFILE"> DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE</span></h2> <p>4.2.1 Distribution and Density of Population </p><p>The NCT-Delhi has the largest share of population (36.4%) followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region (31.7%) and Haryana sub-region (24.0%). Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest share of 8.0%. In 2011, NCR had a total population of 460.5 Lakh. Since 1981, share of population in Haryana and Rajasthan sub-regions has almost remained constant; however it increased from 31.4% in 1981 to 36.4% in 2011 in NCT-Delhi and in U.P sub-region it declined from 35% to 31.6% during the same period. </p><p>Box 4.1 As much as 42.6% of the country’s urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. Delhi alone accounts for 4.4 % of the total urban population. Mumbai 4.9% Kolkata 3.8% Chennai 2.3% NCT Delhi 4.4% Other Metropolitan cities 27.2% Remaining towns/ cities 57.4% India- U 31.2% NCR-U India- R 7.6% 68.8% NCR-R 2.1% 22 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.5: Growth Rate of Population in NCR Source- Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.3: Distribution of Population in Sub-Regions of NCR-2011 Figure 4.4: Distribution of Area in Sub-Regions of NCR-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.1: Sub-Region Wise Distribution of Population in NCR (1981-2011) Sub-region Population Share of Population (%) 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 NCT-Delhi 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 31.4 34.4 37.3 36.4 Haryana 49,38,541 66,43,604 86,87,050 1,10,37,548 24.8 24.3 23.4 24.0 Rajasthan 17,55,575 22,96,580 29,92,592 36,71,999 8.8 8.4 8.1 8.0 U.P 69,68,646 90,01,704 1,15,70,117 1,45,84,234 35.0 32.9 31.2 31.6 NCR 1,98,83,168 2,73,62,532 3,71,00,266 4,60,49,032 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Census of India- 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) The growth rate of population in NCR has declined from 37.6% in 1981-91 to 24.1% in 2001-11(Table 4.2). During the last 3 decades, trends show that the growth rate of population in all the sub-regions has been declining (Fig 4.5.) Table 4.2: Population Growth Rate in NCR (1981-2011) Sub-regions 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 NCT-Delhi 51.4% 47.0% 21.0% Haryana 34.5% 30.8% 27.1% Rajasthan 30.8% 30.3% 22.7% Uttar Pradesh 29.2% 28.5% 26.1% NCR 37.6% 35.6% 24.1% Source: Census of India- 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Although the growth rate is declining, there has been a substantial increase in absolute numbers in all the sub-regions. During the last decade (2001-11) as much as 29 Lakh persons were added in Delhi’s population. Uttar Pradesh and Haryana sub-region added 30.1 Lakh and 23.5 Lakh population respectively during the same period. Rajasthan sub-region also added 6.8 Lakh persons (Table 4.3). NCT-Delhi 4.3% Haryana 39.3% Rajasthan 24.5% Uttar Pradesh 31.8% NCT-Delhi 36.4% Haryana 24.0% Rajasthan 8.0% Uttar Pradesh 31.7% Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 23 Figure 4.7: Level of Urbanisation in Sub-Regions of NCR, 2011 Figure 4.6: Urban and Rural Components of Population in NCR (1991-2001) Source- Census of India, 1991- 2011* (Provisional) 50.2% 56.4% 62.5% 49.8% 43.6% 37.5% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 1991 2001 2011 Rural NCR Urban NCR Urban Growth rate Rural Growth rate 273.6 Lakhs 371.0 Lakhs 460.5 Lakhs 97.5% 43.1% 17.8% 48.3% - 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 NCT Haryana S.R Rajasthan SR U.P SR Population-2011 (Lakh) Sub-Region pop-2011 Level of Urbanisation Share of urban population in NCR has however been rising from 50.2% in 1991 to 62.5% in 2011 and the rural population declined in the same proportion (Fig 4.6). In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban population has increased from 16.9% in 1981 to 27.0% in 2011. Table 4.3: Decadal Increase in Population in NCR Sub-regions Increase in Population (in lakhs) 1991-01 2001-11 NCT- Delhi S.R 44.3 29.0 Haryana S.R 20.4 23.5 Rajasthan S.R 6.9 6.8 Uttar Pradesh S.R 25.7 30.1 NCR 97.3 89.4 Source: Census of India, 1991 - 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.4: Urban- Rural composition of population in NCR (1981-2011) Urban-Rural Component/Year Percent share (%) 1981 1991 2001 2011 Urban NCR 45.9 50.2 56.4 62.5 Rural NCR 54.1 49.8 43.6 37.5 Urban NCR excluding NCT-Delhi-U 16.9 19.3 21.6 27.0 Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) At district level, Faridabad and Gurgaon have urbanization level of more than 50%. Panipat, Sonepat and Rohtak districts have 30 and 50 percent urbanization, while other districts have low level of urbanization in Haryana Sub-Region (Below 30 %). Similarly, in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Meerut, Ghaziabad (incl. Hapur) and Gautam Budh Nagar districts are highly urbanized (more than 50%) while other districts are less urbanized. Alwar district in Rajasthan is less urbanized at 17.8%. (Map 4.1). Urbanisation level of all districts in NCR is given in Annexure 4/II. Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) 24 Regional Plan 2021 657 475 216 904 624 274 1,104 724 324 1,349 912 382 0 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2,100 2,400 2,700 3,000 3,300 3,600 3,900 4,200 NCR Region outside Delhi India Density ( perons/ sq.km) 2001-11 1991-01 1981-91 1971-81 1,349 11,297 823 469 1,344 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) Map 4.1: Level of Urbanisation in NCR (2011) Map 4.2- Population Density of NCR (2011) Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Density of population in NCR has more than doubled from 657 Persons per sq.km in 1981 to 1349 persons per sq.km in 2011 in the last three decades (Fig 4.8). The density of population in rest of NCR excluding NCT Delhi is 912 persons per sq km. Density of population is 1349 persons per sq km in NCR as against the All India average of 382 persons per sq km in 2011. The Sub-region wise density of population is shown in Fig 4.9. Figure 4.8: Decadal Density Growth of NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.9: Density of Sub-Regions of NCR in 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) 1,349 11,297 822 438 1,344 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 25 Figure 4.10: Population Distribution in NCT-Delhi, 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.5: Sub-Region wise Density of population in NCR (2011) Area (Sq.km) Population (in Lakh) Density (Persons/sq.km) 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 NCT Delhi 1,483 1,483 1,483 1,483 62.2 94.2 138.5 167.5 4,194 6,352 9,340 11,297 Haryana 13,413 13,413 13,413 13,428 49.4 66.4 86.9 110.4 368 495 648 822 Rajasthan * 4,493 4,493 7,829 8380 17.6 23.0 29.9 36.7 391 511 382 438 Uttar Pradesh 10,853 10,853 10,853 10,853 69.7 90.0 115.7 145.8 642 829 1,066 1,344 NCR 30,242 30,242 33,578 34,144 198.8 273.6 371.0 460.5 657 905 1,105 1,349 Source: Census of India 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011 (Provisional) Note: Corresponds to Rajasthan Sub-region comprising part of Alwar district in 1981 and the entire district in 2001 </p><p>NCT- Delhi has the highest density of population of 11,297 persons per sq.km followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 1344 persons per sq.km. Haryana sub-region has a relatively lesser density of 822 persons per sq.km whereas Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest density of population of 438 persons per sq. km. in the Region. (Map 4.2) </p><p>Over the years, density of population has been increasing every decade in all the sub-regions (Table 4.5). At district level, Ghaziabad has the highest density of population of 3967 persons per sq.km followed by Faridabad (2421), Meerut (1326), Gautam- Budh Nagar (1187) and Gurgaon (1207). Other districts have relatively lesser densities below 1000 person / sq.km. (Annex 4/III) </p><p>4.2.2 Sub-region wise Growth of Population </p><p>A. NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi is highly urbanized with 97.5% of its population living in urban areas as against the national average of 31.2% in 2011 (Fig 4.10). The decadal growth of population in the National Capital Territory of Delhi during the period 1951-1991 has been consistently above 50%, but in the last two decades, it has steadily declined from 47.0 % in 1991-2001 to 21.0 % in 2001-2011. (Table 4.6) In absolute terms, the population increase was 29.0 lakh during 2001-11, as against 44.3 lakh in the previous decade. Table 4.6: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1951-2011) Year Total Urban Rural Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1951 17,44,072 90.0 14,37,134 106.6 3,06,938 38.1 1961 26,58,612 52.4 23,59,408 64.2 2,99,204 -2.5 1971 40,65,698 52.9 36,47,023 54.6 4,18,675 39.9 1981 62,20,406 53.0 57,68,200 58.2 4,52,206 8.0 1991 94,20,644 51.4 84,71,625 46.9 9,49,019 109.9 2001 1,38,50,507 47.0 1,29,05,780 52.3 9,44,727 -0.5 2011 1,67,53,235 21.0 1,63,33,916 26.6 4,19,319 -55.6 Source: Census of India, 1951- 2011* (Provisional) Box 4.2 Density of population in NCR as well as in its Sub-regions has more than doubled during the last three decades. It is 1371 person/sq.km in NCR as against 382 person/sq.km at national level. Urban 97.5% Rural 2.5% 26 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.12: Component of Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi, 1971-2001 (in Lakh) Figure 4.11: Decadal Growth Rate of NCT-Delhi (1901-2011) Source- Census of India, 1901- 2011* (Provisional) The percentage of urban population in NCT-Delhi has been consistently increasing except in 1991 (Table- 4.7). The share of urban population has gone up from 82.4 % in 1951 to 97.5% in 2011. In absolute terms urban Delhi has increased by more than 11 times in the last six decades from 1951-2011. Table 4.7: Trends of Urbanization in NCT-Delhi Year 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 % Urban Pop 82.4 88.8 89.7 92.7 89.9 93.2 97.5 Source: Census of India, 1951 - 2011* (Provisional) The total population of NCT-Delhi as well as the urban population is growing but with declining rates. During 2001-11, the total population of NCT-Delhi grew by 21% while urban population grew by 26.6%. (Table 4.6) The rapid decline in rural population during 2001-2011 is due to the fact that most of NCT Delhi has now been earmarked as ‘Urbanisable’ area as per Master Plan for Delhi-2021. The number of villages have declined from 209 in 1991 to 158 in 2001, probably due to their inclusion in the urban agglomeration and through re-classification or up gradation as urban or census town. (Census data for rural areas for 2011 is still awaited from Census of India.) Components of Growth in NCT-Delhi The main components of the population growth are natural growth and in-migration. The share of natural growth during the last four decade during 1961-2001 has been from 50-60 percent. Over the years component of natural growth has increased and share of net migration has declined. On an average 1.2 to 1.5 Lakh migrants were added per annum in the net growth of Delhi’s population during last 30 years from 1971- 2001 (Fig 4.12). The share of out-migration from Delhi has also increased from 2.42 Lakh in 1961-1971 to 4.58 Lakh during 1991-2001. Delhi has been witnessing a high rate of in-migration, although there was a decline in the percentage share of net migrants in the decadal growth of population in NCT Delhi from 45.1% in 1961-71 to 39.8% in 1991-01. However, in absolute terms, the number of migrants continuously increased. The percentage share of migration from NCR States viz. Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh to NCT Delhi consistently declined in the last three decades. Total share of migrants from the above three states declined from 70.65% in 1971-81, to 65.76% in 1981-91 and further declined to 57.09% during 1991-2001 (including Uttarakhand:5.11%) (Annexure 4/IV). Box 4.3 The rural population of NCTDelhi has declined by 55.6% from 9.5 Lakh in 2001 to 4.20 Lakh in 2011. -60.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% Urban Rural Total Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 27 Figure 4.14: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Haryana Sub- Region-2011 Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.13: Reasons for Migration to NCTDelhi in 1991-2001 Source: Census of India, 1991- 2001 Work/emp loyment 37.6% Moved with household 36.8% Buisness 0.5% Education 2.7% Marriage 13.8% Moved after birth 2.4% Others 6.3% Urban 39.4% Rural 60.6% Table 4.8: Growth of Population and Migrants component-NCT Delhi (1961-2001) Year 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 Population (in Lakh) 26.59 40.7 62.2 94.2 138.5 Growth Rate (%) 52.4 52.9 53.0 51.4 47.0 Net Growth of Population (Lakh) 14.1 21.5 32.0 44.3 Migrants Component (Lakh) a) In-migrants 8.8 12.3 15.9 22.2 b) Out-migrants 2.4 2.8 2.8 4.6 Net-migrants (a-b) 6.3 9.5 13.1 17.6 Component of migrants in growth of population (%) 45.1 44.2 40.8 39.8 Net natural increase 7.7 12.0 18.9 26.7 Component of natural increase in growth of population (%) 54.9 55.8 59.2 60.2 Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991and 2001 (Migration Data not available for 2001-11) According to Census 2001, the main reasons for migration to Delhi are better employment opportunities and shifting of residence (Fig 4.13). Both these factors account for 74.4 % of the total migrants to Delhi during the decade 1991-2001 as shown in Fig 4.13 and Table 4.9. Table 4.9: Reasons of Migration to Delhi Reasons of Migration Migrants (1981-1991) Migrants (1991-2001) Total % Total % Employment/work 4,96,731 31.3 8,16,174 37.6 Business 64,678 4.1 11,818 0.5 Education 36,192 2.3 58,146 2.7 Marriage 2,47,903 15.6 2,99,856 13.8 Moved with household 6,58,041 41.5 7,99,231 36.8 Others 83,947 5.3 1,87,535 8.6 Total migrants 15,87,492 100.0 21,72,760 100.0 Source: Census of India 1981, 1991 and 2001 B. Haryana Sub-region: The share of urban and rural population in Haryana sub-region is 39.4% and 60.6% respectively in 2011. Although growth rate is declining, there is substantial increase in the absolute number. The absolute increase in population of the Haryana sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 23.5 Lakh, as against 20.43 Lakh in the previous decade. Table 4.10: Growth of Population in Haryana Sub-Region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population DGR (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 28,93,365 -- 24,32,155 -- 4,61,210 -- 1971 37,98,228 31.3 31,20,856 28.3 6,77,372 46.9 1981 49,38,541 30.0 37,31,837 19.6 12,06,704 78.1 1991 66,43,604 34.5 48,08,344 28.9 18,35,260 52.1 2001 86,87,050 30.8 57,22,372 19.0 29,64,678 61.5 2011 11037548 27.1 62,82,939 9.8 47,54,609 60.4 Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) 28 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.16: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.15: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Haryana Sub-Region Source: Census of India, 1971- 2011* (Provisional) 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decadal Growth rate Urban Rural Total (Haryana SR) Figure 4.17: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Urban 17.8% Rural 82.2% The growth rate of Haryana sub-region has declined during the last three decades (Table 4.10). During 1981-91, decadal growth rate of population was 34.5%, which declined to 30.8% during 1991-2001 and further dropped to 27.1% during the last decade 2001-2011. There has been a steep decline in growth rate in rural population. During 1981-91, rural population registered a growth rate of 28.9% that fell down to 19.0% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 9.8% during 2001-11. The growth of urban population was phenomenal at a rate of 78.1%, which declined to 52.1% during 1981-91. Further, it increased to 61.5% during the decade 1991-2001 and remained almost constant at 60.4% during the last decade 2001-11. C. Rajasthan Sub-region- The share of urban and rural population in Rajasthan sub-region is 17.8% and 82.2% respectively. In 2011 (Fig. 4.16), growth of population of Rajasthan Sub-region has been steady, ranging between 25 and 30 percent since 1971. However, during the last decade, the growth of population declined from 30.3% in 1991-2001 to 22.7% in 2001-11 (Table 4.11). Table 4.11: Growth of Population in Rajasthan Sub-region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 11,00,372 -- 10,12,480 -- 87,892 -- 1971 14,03,787 27.6 12,76,905 26.1 1,26,882 44.4 1981 17,71,173 26.2 15,74,972 23.3 1,96,201 54.6 1991 22,96,580 29.7 19,76,293 25.5 3,20,287 63.2 2001 29,92,592 30.3 25,57,653 29.4 4,34,939 35.8 2011* 36,71,999 22.7 30,17,711 18.0 6,54,288 50.4 Source: Census of India-1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) The absolute increase of population in the Rajasthan Sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 6.8 Lakh, as against 6.9 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population however depicts a different trend. During the period from 1971 to 1991 growth rate of urban population increased from 44.4% in 1971 to 63.2 % in 1991. There was a drastic slip in growth rate of urban population during 1991-2001 registering at 35.8% but further it picked up at 50.4% during 2001-11. Growth of rural population showed an upward trend during 1981- 2001, but declined sharply at 18.0 % during the last decade 2001-11 (Fig. 4.17). 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decedal Growth Rate Urban Rural Total (Rajasthan SR) Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 29 Figure 4.19: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region-2011 Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.18: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region- 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Urban 48.3% Rural 51.7% D. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region The share of urban and rural population in Uttar Pradesh sub-region is 48.3 % and 51.7% respectively in 2011 and the decadal growth rate increased from 22.20% in 1961-71 to 29.2 % in 1981-1991 (Table 4.12). Table 4.12: Growth of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 44,50,172 -- 36,71,496 -- 7,78,676 -- 1971 54,4p0,296 22.2 43,51,826 18.5 10,88,470 39.8 1981 69,68,646 28.1 50,19,579 15.3 19,49,067 79.1 1991 90,01,704 29.2 58,84,092 17.2 31,17,612 60.0 2001 1,15,70,117 28.5 69,55,440 18.2 46,14,677 48.0 2011 1,45,84,234 26.1 75,37,517 8.4 70,46,483 52.7 Source: Census of India 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Thereafter it marginally declined to 28.5% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 26.1% during 2001- 2011. In spite of declining trends in growth rate there has been an absolute increase of population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region during 2001-2011, it increased by 30.1 Lakh, as against 25.7 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population was very high at 79.1% during 1971-1981 but it declined to 60% during the decade 1981-1991 and further declined to 48% during 1991-2001. After that it increased to 52.7% during 2001-2011. The growth of rural population in U.P Sub region has however sharply declined from 18.2% during 1991-2001 to 8.4% during 2001-2011 (Fig. 4.19). 4.2.3 Sex Ratio Sex Ratio in NCR is 869 females per 1000 males (2011), which is much below the national average of 940. In 2011, at sub-regional level sex-ratio is lowest in NCT-Delhi at 866 followed by Haryana subregion at 870, UP sub-region at 878. Rajasthan sub-region has a sex-ratio of 894, which is the highest in the region but still below the national average. The lower sex ratio may be attributed to in migration of male population to the region. In urban area of NCR the sex ratio is 870, which is higher than the rural area. However at sub-regional level the urban sex ratio is the lowest in Haryana Sub-region having 866, closely followed by NCT-Delhi with 867, Rajasthan sub-region with 871 and Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 898. In respect of NCR rural the situation is not better. The Sex ratio varies from 847 in NCT-Delhi to 899 in Rajasthan sub-region. In Haryana and UP sub-regions it is 873 and 879 respectively. Mewat is the only district in NCR where sexratio is 906, while in all other districts it is below 900. 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decedal Growth Rate Urban Rural Total (Uttar pradesh SR) 30 Regional Plan 2021 4.3 Population Projections for 2021 A comparative analysis of the Census 2011* population figures with the proposed population in notified RP-2021 was done to review the trends of population growth in NCR. The analysis indicates that the population of NCR as per Census 2011* is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021 for 2011. (Table 4.13) The population of NCT-Delhi and 18 Metro & Regional centres have as much as 92.7 % of the urban population of NCR and the remaining urban settlements/ towns only contribute the remaining 7.3% in 2011. Table 4.13: Actual & Proposed Population 2011 for NCT-Delhi, Metro & Regional Centres and NCR Name of Town Population(in Lakh) Decadal Growth Rate 2001- 11 (%) Proposed Pop. 2011 (R.P. 2021) Census Population as % of Proposed Population in 2011, as in R.P- 2001 2011* 2021 NCT-Delhi 138.50 167.53 21.0 193.00 86.8 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 28.8 2.00 85.0 Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex 10.56 14.05 33.0 16.00 87.8 Gurgaon-Manesar complex 2.29 9.02 293.9 4.50 200.4 Ghaziabad-Loni complex 10.89 21.48 97.2 19.00 113.1 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 110.5 6.00 107.0 Sonepat-Kundli complex 2.34 3.07 31.2 3.50 87.7 Sub-total 30.45 55.74 83.1 51.00 109.3 Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR Panipat 3.54 4.42 24.9 5.00 88.4 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 26.9 4.20 88.8 Palwal 1.00 1.31 31.0 1.70 77.1 Rewari 1.31 1.43 9.2 2.00 71.5 Meerut 11.62 14.25 22.6 15.00 95.0 Hapur-Pilkhua complex 2.79 3.58 28.3 3.00 119.3 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 260.0 7.00 15.4 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex 2.74 3.78 38.0 3.70 102.2 Baghpat-Baraut complex 1.22 1.46 19.7 1.60 91.3 Alwar 2.66 3.41 28.2 3.40 100.3 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 208.8 1.00 105.0 SNB-complex 0.36 4.30 1094.4 1.00 430.0 Sub-total 30.82 43.80 42.1 48.60 90.1 Population of 18 metros & RCs excluding NCT 61.27 99.54 62.5 99.60 99.9 Total (NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs) 199.77 266.95 33.6 292.60 91.2 Remaining Urban Towns ( < 1 Lakh pop) 9.43 20.93 122.0 - - NCR Urban population 209.20 287.88 37.6 - - NCR Rural population 161.80 172.58 6.7 - - Total NCR population 371.00 460.46 24.1 486.19 94.7 Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR Note: Population of cities with more than 1 Lakh population is available from Census of India for 2011. Population for cities less than 1 Lakh population have been projected based on urban growth rate in the respective Districts. The analysis also reveals that the census population varies from the proposed population of 2011 (RP- 2021) in the range of 85% to 113% for CNCR towns except in Gurgaon (Table 4.13). In Gurgaon the actual population in 2011 was 200% of the proposed population for 2011 in the Regional Plan-2021. The Census population figures for Manesar, Shahjanpur and Neemrana towns for the year 2011 are still awaited. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 31 Figure 4.22: Revised Population Projections for NCR -2021 Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 Population ( in Lakhs) NCR ( population as per R.P-2021) NCR ( Revised Pop Projection) Revised population for 2021 Proposed Population as per RP-2021 actual census population in 2011 The scenario for Metro and Regional Centres, excluding NCT-Delhi, within CNCR and outside CNCR differs slightly. Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR grew to 55.74 Lakh as per Census 2011, which is 109.3% of the proposed population (51 Lakh) for 2011 as per the Regional Plan -2021. For Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, the actual population is 43.80 Lakh as per Census 2011 as against the proposed population of 48.60 Lakh which is 90.1 % of the proposed population. However, the cumulative Census population of all 18 Metro and Regional Centres is almost 100% of the proposed population of 2011. The difference between the proposed population of both NCR and NCT-Delhi vis-à-vis the actual Census population of 2011 (provisional) is about 25.5 Lakh. It may be attributed to the fact that NCT-Delhi grew at a slower rate than anticipated. Figure 4.20 and 4.21 given below depict growth trends of population in NCR and NCT-Delhi. Figure 4.20: Growth of Population in NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.21: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1981-2011) 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCT-Delhi Pop 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 1,93,00,000 NCT-Delhi -DGR 51.45% 47.02% 20.96% 39.35% 0 50,00,000 1,00,00,000 1,50,00,000 2,00,00,000 2,50,00,000 Population of NCT Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) The population projections of 617.25 Lakh for the year 2021 were finalized by the Study Group and subsequent discussions with the participating states (Fig 4.22). The breakup of projected population at sub-regional level include 202.6 Lakh for Delhi subregion, 168.28 Lakh for Haryana Sub-Region, 46.87 Lakh for Rajasthan sub-region and 199.46 Lakh for U.P. sub-region. The proposed population is in the range of ±2.5% (Table 4.14). 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCR- Population 1,90,18,909 2,64,46,180 3,71,00,266 4,60,47,016 4,86,19,000 NCR-DGR 39.05% 40.29% 24.12% 31.05% 0 1,00,00,000 2,00,00,000 3,00,00,000 4,00,00,000 5,00,00,000 6,00,00,000 Population of NCR Box 4.4 Earlier population projections in the Regional Plan -2021 were given in fixed numbers, however now proposed population has been given in the range of ±2.5% also. 32 Regional Plan 2021 Table 4.14: Projected Population for NCR-2021 (In Lakh) S. No Name of Town Sub- Region Pop-2011 * Proposed Pop -2021 Proposed Population Range – 2021 (±2.5%) 1 NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi 167.53 202.60 197.54 – 207.67 METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES WITHIN CNCR 2 Bahadurgarh Haryana 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 3 Faridabad-Ballabhgarh complex Haryana 14.05 25.00 24.38 – 25.63 4 Gurgaon-Manesar complex Haryana 9.02 21.00 20.48 – 21.53 5 Ghaziabad-Loni complex U.P 21.48 30.19 40.85 – 42.95 6 Noida U.P 6.42 17.40 16.97 – 17.84 7 Sonepat-Kundli complex Haryana 3.07 10.00 9.75 – 10.25 Sub- Total 55.74 106.59 103.93 – 109.25 METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES OUTSIDE CNCR 8 Panipat Haryana 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 9 Rohtak Haryana 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 10 Palwal Haryana 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 11 Rewari Haryana 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 12 Meerut- Daurala U.P 14.25 26.5 25.84 – 27.16 13 Hapur-Pilkhua U.P 3.58 7.5 7.31 – 7.69 14 Greater Noida U.P 1.08 12.00 11.70 – 12.30 15 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex U.P 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 16 Baghpat-Baraut U.P 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 17 Alwar Rajasthan 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 18 Greater Bhiwadi Rajasthan 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 19 SNB complex Rajasthan 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 Sub- Total 43.68 95.23 92.85 – 97.61 NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs 266.95 404.46 394.35 – 414.57 Remaining Urban Towns (< 1 Lakh Pop.) 20.93 48.10 46.90 – 49.30 NCR Urban population 287.88 452.56 441.25 – 463.87 NCR Rural population 172.58 164.70 160.58 – 168.82 NCR 460.46 617.26 601.83 – 632.69 Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR </p> <ul><li><ul><li>Note: These Metro/Regional centres could not attain proposed population of Regional Plan-2021 because some large infrastructure projects </li></ul> </li></ul> <p>such as RRTS, Metro Rail, Western/ Eastern Peripheral Expressway, etc. are still in the process of implementation. As such, proposed population for these towns in the Regional Plan-2021 has been retained. The Sub-Region wise break-up of proposed urban & rural population is given in Table 4.15. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 33 Table 4.15: Sub-Region Wise Projected Urban and Rural Population (In Lakh) Sl. No. Sub-regions Pop- 2011* Proposed Pop- 2021 Proposed DGR 2011-21 (%) Population range (± 2.5%) I Delhi 167.53 202.64 21.0 197.57 – 207.71 II Haryana-U 47.55 106.48 123.9 103.82 – 109.15 Haryana-R 62.83 61.80 -1.6 60.26 – 63.35 Haryana 110.38 168.28 52.5 164.08 – 172.49 III Raj-U 6.54 20.04 206.4 19.54 – 20.54 Raj-R 30.18 26.83 -11.1 24.43 – 24.16 Raj 36.72 46.87 27.6 45.70 – 48.04 IV UP-U 70.46 123.39 75.1 120.31 – 126.47 UP-R 75.38 76.07 0.9 74.17 – 77.97 UP 145.84 199.46 36.8 194.47 – 204.44 V Urban 287.89 452.55 57.2 441.24 – 463.87 Rural 172.58 164.70 -4.6 160.58 – 168.81 NCR 460.47 617.25 34.0 601.82 – 632.68 Source- Census 2011* (Provisional) and analysis by NCRPB 4.3.1 Policy Issues The review of the Regional Plan-2021 as well as the results of the Census 2011 reveals that the actual population in 2011 is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021. The proposed population for Metro and Regional Centres within Central NCR towns was 51 Lakh, while the Census population reached 56 Lakh in 2011 which is 109% of the proposed population. In the case of Metro and Regional Centres outside Central NCR, proposed population was 48.6 Lakh, while Census population is 43.68 Lakh which is 90.1% of the proposed population. The analysis shows that the Metro and Regional centres within CNCR have grown much faster than proposed while the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR could not grow as anticipated to achieve the target population of RP-2021. The emphasis therefore should be on developing the Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR by providing fast and efficient connectivity, boost to economic activities and development of infrastructure. 4.4 SETTLEMENT PATTERN 4.4.1 Urban Settlements Number of urban settlements in the region has increased from 94 in 1981 to 108 in 2001. Composition of urban centres included 17 UA/Class-I cities, 9 Class-II towns, 27 Class-III, 38 Class-IV, 15 Class-V and 2 Class-VI towns in 2001 (Table 4.16). However as per census 2011, there are 20 UA/ Class I towns. In 2011, the Class-I cities accommodated more than 92.7% of the total urban population of the region and the remaining 7.3% is distributed in 88 towns of Class-II to Class-VI size. The details of urban settlements below 1 lakh population as per Census 2011 are awaited. Table 4.16: Urban Settlements in NCR (2001) Urban Settlement/ Sub Region Class -I (1 Lakh plus) Class-II (50,000- 99,999) Class-III (20,000- 49,999) Class-IV (10,000- 19,999) Class-V (5,000- 9,999) Class-VI (Below 5,000) Total Year 2001 2011* 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 Haryana 8 8 0 7 13 6 1 35 Rajasthan 1 2 0 4 3 1 0 9 Uttar Pradesh 7 9 9 16 22 8 1 63 NCT-Delhi 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 NCR 17 20 9 27 38 15 2 108 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011 (Provisional) </p> <ul><li> Note: For Census 2011 only the population for cities with more than 1 Lakh is available. The analysis/picture of settlement pattern will change </li></ul> <p>after the census data on all urban settlements in NCR is made available for 2011. 34 Regional Plan 2021 There are 35 urban settlements in Haryana Sub-region, 9 in Rajasthan Sub-region and 63 in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region. Outside NCT-Delhi, there are 8 Class-I urban centres in Haryana Sub-region, one Class-I urban centre in Rajasthan Sub-region and 7 Class-I urban centres in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (refer Map 4.3). (Detailed Census 2011 data is awaited.) The number of metropolitan cities (more than 10 Lakh) in the region increased from three cities in 2001 to four cities in 2011. 4.4.2 Rural Settlements According to the Census 2001, there were 7,528 rural settlements of various sizes in the National Capital Region. Of these, 158 were in NCT of Delhi, 2,471 in Haryana, 1,954 in Rajasthan and 3,185 in Uttar Pradesh subregions. The rural population of NCR which was 44 % of the total population, increased from 162 Lakh in 2001 to 172.60 Lakh (Provisional) in 2011. The proportion of rural population to total population has however declined. It was 44% in 2001 which has gone down to 37.5% in 2011. Census data for Rural Settlements for 2011 is awaited. 4.4.3 Proposed Hierarchy of Settlements Regional Plan-2021 proposed a six-tier settlement system i.e., Metro Centre, Regional Centres, Subregional Centres, Service Centres, Central Village and Basic Villages. The same settlement pattern is proposed to be continued and is represented in Table 4.17. Table 4.17: Proposed Six-Tier Hierarchy of Settlements S. No. Hierarchical Level Population Range 1. Metro Centre 10 Lakh and above 2. Regional Centre 3 to 10 Lakh 3. Sub-regional Centre 0.5 to 3 Lakh 4. Service Centre 10,000 to 50,000 5. Central Village 5,000 to 10,000 6. Basic Village Below 5,000 A. Metro Centre As per the Census 2011, in NCR outside Delhi already three towns/complexes namely Ghaziabad-Loni complex, Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex and Meerut have crossed the one million population mark. Additionally, the participating States have planned urban centres with million plus population in their respective sub-regions. Towns envisaged/planned with million plus population by 2021 are listed in Table 4.18. Table 4.18: Proposed Metro Centres -2021 (Population in Lakh) S. No City/Complex Population (in Lakh) Proposed Pop-2021 Proposed Population Range - 2001 2011* 2021 1 Faridabad-Ballabgarh 10.56 14.05 25.00 24.38 - 25.63 2 Gurgaon-Manesar 2.28 9.02 21.00 20.48 - 21.53 3 Ghaziabad-Loni 10.89 21.48 30.19 29.44 - 30.94 4 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 17.40 16.97 - 17.84 5 Sonepat-Kundli 2.25 3.07 10.00 9.75 - 10.25 6 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 12.00 11.70 - 12.30 7 Meerut 11.62 14.24 26.50 25.84 - 27.16 Total 41.04 69.37 142.09 138.54 - 145.6 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Note - UP Sub-regional Plan -2021 has proposed a new township YEIDA under the provision of para 4.3.5 (I) of the RP-2021 as a Green Field Township. These settlements can, however, act as powerful growth nodes to attract capital functions and activities and help in population dispersal from the national Capital. Given their special functional status and size, a Box 4.5 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR have grown much faster than the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, which could not grow as anticipated in the Regional Plan 2021. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 35 high level of physical, social and economic infrastructure better than that in the Capital is required to be developed in these towns/complexes. This would include efficient intra-urban mass transportation system as well as strong transport and communication linkages with Delhi, other Metro centres and NCR towns. The respective participating States and their agencies would be required to create the necessary infrastructure themselves in these Metro Centres and also be required to facilitate the private sector investment therein. B. Regional Centre Being second tier settlement it is the well-established urban centre in the region, marked by highly specialized secondary and tertiary sector activities and providing job opportunities, which normally cannot be performed by other lower order centres. These centres will be developed for advanced industrial and other economic activities and will have concentration of administrative and higher order service functions, which are expected to exert an increasingly dynamic influence on attraction of investment and creation of conducive living and working environment. The Regional Centres proposed in the Plan are as under (Table 4.19). Table 4.19: Proposed Regional Centres-2021 (in Lakh) S. No City/Complex Population (in Lakh) Proposed pop-2021 Proposed Population 2001 2011* Range – 2021 1 Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 2 Panipat 3.54 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 3 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 4 Palwal 1.00 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 5 Rewari 1.31 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 6 Hapur-Pilkhua 2.79 3.58 7.50 7.31 – 7.69 7 Bulandshahr-Khurja 2.74 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 8 Baghpat-Baraut 1.22 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 9 Alwar 2.66 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 10 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 11 SNB Complex 2.32 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 Total 20.22 30.17 59.73 58.24 – 61.22 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) There are 6 Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR, whereas there are 12 Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR (Map 4.4) which are as follows: Sl. Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR Sl. No Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR ( within NCR) 1. Bahadurgarh 1. Panipat 2. Faridabad- Ballabgarh Complex 2. Rohtak 3. Gurgaon - Manesar Complex 3. Palwal 4. Ghaziabad - Loni Complex 4. Rewari 5. Noida 5. Meerut 6. Sonepat - Kundli Complex 6. Hapur – Pilkhua Complex 7. Greater Noida 8. Bulandshahr- Khurja Complex 9. Bhagpat - Baraut Complex 10. Alwar 11. Greater Bhiwadi 12. Shahjanpur- Neemrana- Behror Complex. The functions of other lower order centres in the hierarchy of settlement are touched briefly in the Regional Plan. Identification of these centres and their role would be spelt out in the Sub-regional Plan in detail. 36 Regional Plan 2021 C. Sub-Regional Centre The Sub-regional Centre shall generally be medium sized towns or intermediate city performing a variety of roles, particularly in promoting and supporting a more balanced distribution of urban population and in providing functional linkages between the smaller towns and Regional/Metro Centres. The Sub-regional Centres are proposed to undertake the urban economic and service functions and will have sound infrastructure like transport, power, water, credit banking, marketing, managerial services etc. D. Service Centre The Service Centre shall be a small town or a large village having linkages with immediate rural hinterlands. These centres would cater to the rural hinterland as agro-service centre in collection and distribution of agricultural goods and services with processing, marketing, warehousing and storage facilities. E. Central Village The Central Village is the higher order village having central location and potential for development within its catchment area, with relatively better services and facilities in terms of education, health, communication, accessibility and has the capacity to serve a group of Basic Villages. This centre is proposed to provide basic social facilities for population engaged in agriculture and other primary activities. F. Basic Village All other Census villages with a population of less than 5,000 have been classified as Basic Villages and would be provided with basic facilities like link roads, water supply and electricity, paved streets and lowcost common sanitary facilities as well as the minimum required social infrastructure as per planning norms. 4.4.4 Strategies for Development of Settlement System Strategies for the development of settlement system would be to harness the growth impulses of Delhi and adjoining towns and to integrate the urban and rural settlements in the region. This could be attained by developing balanced settlement structure and mutually reinforcing system of urban and rural centres. Strategies to achieve these objectives would be as under: A. Development of a well-knit regional settlement system wherein Delhi and other towns in the region would be allowed to grow as per their carrying capacity so as to harness the development potential within the broad frame of the Regional Plan. B. In order to make a significant impact of the large growing centres to act as catalyst for development in the National Capital Region, it is proposed to identify new ‘Metro Centres/ Regional Centres/ Investment Regions/ other New Townships’ for intensive development for attracting investment, generation of employment, creation of high-quality infrastructure, robust transport and communication linkages, development of high-quality residential areas, industrial and commercial complexes. The proposed new townships would be growth nodes along the key transport corridors, proposed expressways, orbital rail corridors and other suitable locations either on virgin land or as extension of existing settlement. C. Development of small and medium towns in the region as Sub-regional centres or service centres. These towns would play an important role in supporting the socio-economic development in their rural hinterland by providing access to education and health facilities, agricultural extension services and agro-based industries depending on local resources. D. Rural development would be encouraged by providing facilities and services in appropriate hierarchy of service centres, to help stimulate production and increase the income of the rural population. This will help facilitate diversification of the economy. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 37 38 Regional Plan 2021 MAP 4.4 Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 39 Annexure 4/I: Growth of Population in four Mega Cities in India (1951-2011) City/Year Greater Mumbai UA Kolkata UA Chennai UA NCT-Delhi Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) 1,951 29,66,902 -- 46,69,559 -- 15,42,333 -- 17,44,072 -- 1,961 41,52,056 40.0 59,83,669 28.1 19,44,502 26.08 26,58,612 52.4 1,971 59,70,575 43.8 74,20,300 24.0 31,69,930 63.02 40,65,698 52.9 1,981 82,43,405 38.1 91,94,018 23.9 42,89,347 35.31 62,20,406 53.0 1,991 1,25,96,243 52.8 1,10,21,918 19.9 54,21,985 26.41 94,20,644 51.5 2,001 1,63,68,084 29.9 1,32,16,546 19.9 65,60,242 20.99 1,38,50,50 47.0 2,011 1,84,14,288 12.5 1,41,42,536 7.0 86,96,010 32.56 1,67,53,23 21.0 Source: Census of India 1951, 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Annexure 4/II: District wise level of Urbanization in NCR (2011) Sl. No District/ Sub-Region Total Population Urban Level of Urbanisation (%) 1 NCT-Delhi 1,67,53,235 1,63,33,916 97.5 Haryana- Sub-region 1 Panipat 12,02,811 5,52,945 46.0 2 Sonepat 14,80,080 4,51,687 30.5 3 Rohtak 10,58,683 4,44,819 42.0 4 Jhajjar 9,56,907 2,42,974 25.4 5 Rewari 8,96,129 2,31,411 25.8 6 Gurgaon 15,14,085 10,42,000 68.8 7 Mewat 10,89,406 1,24,017 11.4 8 Faridabad 17,98,954 14,29,093 79.4 9 Palwal 10,40,493 2,35,663 22.6 Total 1,10,37,548 47,54,609 43.1 Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region 1 Meerut 34,47,405 17,62,573 51.1 2 Baghpat 13,02,156 2,74,135 21.1 3 Ghaziabad 46,61,452 31,44,574 67.5 4 Hapur 5 Gautam Budh Nagar 16,74,714 9,97,410 59.6 6 Bulandshahr 34,98,507 8,67,791 24.8 Total 1,45,84,234 70,46,483 48.3 Rajasthan Sub-Region 1 Alwar 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 Total 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional) 40 Regional Plan 2021 Annexure 4/III: Sub-Region wise Area and Density of Population in NCR (2011) Sl. No District Area ( Sq. Km) Pop - 2011 Density (Person/ Sq.km) NCT Delhi 1 NCT- Delhi 1,483 1,67,53,235 11297 Haryana- Sub-region 1 Panipat 1,268 12,02,811 949 2 Sonepat 2,122 14,80,080 697 3 Rohtak 1,745 10,58,683 607 4 Jhajjar 1834 9,56,907 522 5 Rewari 1594 8,96,129 562 6 Gurgaon 1254 15,14,085 1207 7 Mewat 1500 10,89,406 726 8 Faridabad 743 17,98,954 2421 9 Palwal 1,368 10,40,493 761 Total 13,428 1,10,37,548 822 Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region 1 Meerut 2,601 34,47,405 1325 2 Baghpat 1,307 13,02,156 986 3 Ghaziabad 2001 46,61,452 2330 4 Hapur 5 Gautam Budh Nagar 1,411 16,74,714 1187 6 Bulandshahr 3532 34,98,507 991 Total 10,852 1,45,84,234 1344 Rajasthan Sub-Region 1 Alwar 8380 36,71,999 438 Total 8380 36,71,999 438 Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional), Statistical Abstract of Haryana Annexure 4/ IV: Migrants to NCT-Delhi by Place of Last Residence Place of last residence 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 No. of migrants % No. of migrants % No. of migrants % Uttar Pradesh 616021 50.1 765151 48.3 889857 40.0 Haryana 159028 12.9 182507 11.5 174889 7.9 Bihar 70904 5.8 169445 10.7 424093 19.1 Uttaranchal - - - - 113519 5.1 Rajasthan 93836 7.6 95198 6.0 90317 4.1 Punjab 78671 6.4 83684 5.3 47984 2.2 West Bengal 33154 2.7 43096 2.7 86249 3.9 Madhya Pradesh 37709 3.1 41815 2.6 40442 1.8 Others 140422 11.4 110727 7.0 354691 16.0 Total 1229745 100.0 1585770 100.0 2222041 100.0 Source: Census of India - 1971, 1981, 1991& 2001 Figure 5.1: Share of NCR’s GDP to India’s GDP Source: CSO (National Account Statistics); Economic Survey of Delhi, 2012-13; Department of Economic and Statistical Analysis, Haryana; Directorate of Economics and Statistics, Rajasthan; updes.up.nic.in 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Fig 5.1: Share of NCR GDP to India’s GDP </p>
`old_text`	This article has been sourced from an authoritative, official publication. Therefore, it has been ‘locked’ and will never be thrown open to readers to edit or comment on. After the formal launch of their online archival encyclopædia, readers who wish to update or add further details can do so on a ‘Part II’ of this article. [edit] The source of this article Draft Revised Regional Plan 2021: National Capital Region July, 2013 National Capital Region Planning Board, Ministry of Urban Development, Govt. of India, Core-4B, First Floor, India Habitat Centre, Lodhi Road, New Delhi-110003 National Capital Region Planning Board =Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern= [edit] BACKGROUND As per Census 2011, India’s population is 1210 million, of which the urban population is 377 million. The level of urbanization has gone up from 27.8% in 2001 to 31.2% in 2011. As much as 42.6% of urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. The four major metropolitan cities in India, namely, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai and Delhi together account for 15.4% of the total urban population of India (Fig 4.1). The NCR contains about 7.6% of India’s urban population and 2.1% of the total rural population of India (Fig 4.2). About 4.4 % of the India’s urban population resides in NCT Delhi alone. File:Xxx.jpg 500px [edit] DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE 4.2.1 Distribution and Density of Population The NCT-Delhi has the largest share of population (36.4%) followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region (31.7%) and Haryana sub-region (24.0%). Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest share of 8.0%. In 2011, NCR had a total population of 460.5 Lakh. Since 1981, share of population in Haryana and Rajasthan sub-regions has almost remained constant; however it increased from 31.4% in 1981 to 36.4% in 2011 in NCT-Delhi and in U.P sub-region it declined from 35% to 31.6% during the same period. Box 4.1 As much as 42.6% of the country’s urban population is concentrated in 53 metropolitan cities. Delhi alone accounts for 4.4 % of the total urban population. Mumbai 4.9% Kolkata 3.8% Chennai 2.3% NCT Delhi 4.4% Other Metropolitan cities 27.2% Remaining towns/ cities 57.4% India- U 31.2% NCR-U India- R 7.6% 68.8% NCR-R 2.1% 22 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.5: Growth Rate of Population in NCR Source- Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.3: Distribution of Population in Sub-Regions of NCR-2011 Figure 4.4: Distribution of Area in Sub-Regions of NCR-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.1: Sub-Region Wise Distribution of Population in NCR (1981-2011) Sub-region Population Share of Population (%) 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 NCT-Delhi 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 31.4 34.4 37.3 36.4 Haryana 49,38,541 66,43,604 86,87,050 1,10,37,548 24.8 24.3 23.4 24.0 Rajasthan 17,55,575 22,96,580 29,92,592 36,71,999 8.8 8.4 8.1 8.0 U.P 69,68,646 90,01,704 1,15,70,117 1,45,84,234 35.0 32.9 31.2 31.6 NCR 1,98,83,168 2,73,62,532 3,71,00,266 4,60,49,032 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Census of India- 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) The growth rate of population in NCR has declined from 37.6% in 1981-91 to 24.1% in 2001-11(Table 4.2). During the last 3 decades, trends show that the growth rate of population in all the sub-regions has been declining (Fig 4.5.) Table 4.2: Population Growth Rate in NCR (1981-2011) Sub-regions 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 NCT-Delhi 51.4% 47.0% 21.0% Haryana 34.5% 30.8% 27.1% Rajasthan 30.8% 30.3% 22.7% Uttar Pradesh 29.2% 28.5% 26.1% NCR 37.6% 35.6% 24.1% Source: Census of India- 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Although the growth rate is declining, there has been a substantial increase in absolute numbers in all the sub-regions. During the last decade (2001-11) as much as 29 Lakh persons were added in Delhi’s population. Uttar Pradesh and Haryana sub-region added 30.1 Lakh and 23.5 Lakh population respectively during the same period. Rajasthan sub-region also added 6.8 Lakh persons (Table 4.3). NCT-Delhi 4.3% Haryana 39.3% Rajasthan 24.5% Uttar Pradesh 31.8% NCT-Delhi 36.4% Haryana 24.0% Rajasthan 8.0% Uttar Pradesh 31.7% Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 23 Figure 4.7: Level of Urbanisation in Sub-Regions of NCR, 2011 Figure 4.6: Urban and Rural Components of Population in NCR (1991-2001) Source- Census of India, 1991- 2011* (Provisional) 50.2% 56.4% 62.5% 49.8% 43.6% 37.5% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 1991 2001 2011 Rural NCR Urban NCR Urban Growth rate Rural Growth rate 273.6 Lakhs 371.0 Lakhs 460.5 Lakhs 97.5% 43.1% 17.8% 48.3% - 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 NCT Haryana S.R Rajasthan SR U.P SR Population-2011 (Lakh) Sub-Region pop-2011 Level of Urbanisation Share of urban population in NCR has however been rising from 50.2% in 1991 to 62.5% in 2011 and the rural population declined in the same proportion (Fig 4.6). In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban population has increased from 16.9% in 1981 to 27.0% in 2011. Table 4.3: Decadal Increase in Population in NCR Sub-regions Increase in Population (in lakhs) 1991-01 2001-11 NCT- Delhi S.R 44.3 29.0 Haryana S.R 20.4 23.5 Rajasthan S.R 6.9 6.8 Uttar Pradesh S.R 25.7 30.1 NCR 97.3 89.4 Source: Census of India, 1991 - 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.4: Urban- Rural composition of population in NCR (1981-2011) Urban-Rural Component/Year Percent share (%) 1981 1991 2001 2011 Urban NCR 45.9 50.2 56.4 62.5 Rural NCR 54.1 49.8 43.6 37.5 Urban NCR excluding NCT-Delhi-U 16.9 19.3 21.6 27.0 Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) At district level, Faridabad and Gurgaon have urbanization level of more than 50%. Panipat, Sonepat and Rohtak districts have 30 and 50 percent urbanization, while other districts have low level of urbanization in Haryana Sub-Region (Below 30 %). Similarly, in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Meerut, Ghaziabad (incl. Hapur) and Gautam Budh Nagar districts are highly urbanized (more than 50%) while other districts are less urbanized. Alwar district in Rajasthan is less urbanized at 17.8%. (Map 4.1). Urbanisation level of all districts in NCR is given in Annexure 4/II. Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) 24 Regional Plan 2021 657 475 216 904 624 274 1,104 724 324 1,349 912 382 0 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2,100 2,400 2,700 3,000 3,300 3,600 3,900 4,200 NCR Region outside Delhi India Density ( perons/ sq.km) 2001-11 1991-01 1981-91 1971-81 1,349 11,297 823 469 1,344 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) Map 4.1: Level of Urbanisation in NCR (2011) Map 4.2- Population Density of NCR (2011) Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Density of population in NCR has more than doubled from 657 Persons per sq.km in 1981 to 1349 persons per sq.km in 2011 in the last three decades (Fig 4.8). The density of population in rest of NCR excluding NCT Delhi is 912 persons per sq km. Density of population is 1349 persons per sq km in NCR as against the All India average of 382 persons per sq km in 2011. The Sub-region wise density of population is shown in Fig 4.9. Figure 4.8: Decadal Density Growth of NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.9: Density of Sub-Regions of NCR in 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) 1,349 11,297 822 438 1,344 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P Density ( Persons/ Sq.km) Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 25 Figure 4.10: Population Distribution in NCT-Delhi, 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Table 4.5: Sub-Region wise Density of population in NCR (2011) Area (Sq.km) Population (in Lakh) Density (Persons/sq.km) 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 NCT Delhi 1,483 1,483 1,483 1,483 62.2 94.2 138.5 167.5 4,194 6,352 9,340 11,297 Haryana 13,413 13,413 13,413 13,428 49.4 66.4 86.9 110.4 368 495 648 822 Rajasthan * 4,493 4,493 7,829 8380 17.6 23.0 29.9 36.7 391 511 382 438 Uttar Pradesh 10,853 10,853 10,853 10,853 69.7 90.0 115.7 145.8 642 829 1,066 1,344 NCR 30,242 30,242 33,578 34,144 198.8 273.6 371.0 460.5 657 905 1,105 1,349 Source: Census of India 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011 (Provisional) Note: Corresponds to Rajasthan Sub-region comprising part of Alwar district in 1981 and the entire district in 2001 NCT- Delhi has the highest density of population of 11,297 persons per sq.km followed by Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 1344 persons per sq.km. Haryana sub-region has a relatively lesser density of 822 persons per sq.km whereas Rajasthan sub-region has the lowest density of population of 438 persons per sq. km. in the Region. (Map 4.2) Over the years, density of population has been increasing every decade in all the sub-regions (Table 4.5). At district level, Ghaziabad has the highest density of population of 3967 persons per sq.km followed by Faridabad (2421), Meerut (1326), Gautam- Budh Nagar (1187) and Gurgaon (1207). Other districts have relatively lesser densities below 1000 person / sq.km. (Annex 4/III) 4.2.2 Sub-region wise Growth of Population A. NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi is highly urbanized with 97.5% of its population living in urban areas as against the national average of 31.2% in 2011 (Fig 4.10). The decadal growth of population in the National Capital Territory of Delhi during the period 1951-1991 has been consistently above 50%, but in the last two decades, it has steadily declined from 47.0 % in 1991-2001 to 21.0 % in 2001-2011. (Table 4.6) In absolute terms, the population increase was 29.0 lakh during 2001-11, as against 44.3 lakh in the previous decade. Table 4.6: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1951-2011) Year Total Urban Rural Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1951 17,44,072 90.0 14,37,134 106.6 3,06,938 38.1 1961 26,58,612 52.4 23,59,408 64.2 2,99,204 -2.5 1971 40,65,698 52.9 36,47,023 54.6 4,18,675 39.9 1981 62,20,406 53.0 57,68,200 58.2 4,52,206 8.0 1991 94,20,644 51.4 84,71,625 46.9 9,49,019 109.9 2001 1,38,50,507 47.0 1,29,05,780 52.3 9,44,727 -0.5 2011 1,67,53,235 21.0 1,63,33,916 26.6 4,19,319 -55.6 Source: Census of India, 1951- 2011* (Provisional) Box 4.2 Density of population in NCR as well as in its Sub-regions has more than doubled during the last three decades. It is 1371 person/sq.km in NCR as against 382 person/sq.km at national level. Urban 97.5% Rural 2.5% 26 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.12: Component of Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi, 1971-2001 (in Lakh) Figure 4.11: Decadal Growth Rate of NCT-Delhi (1901-2011) Source- Census of India, 1901- 2011* (Provisional) The percentage of urban population in NCT-Delhi has been consistently increasing except in 1991 (Table- 4.7). The share of urban population has gone up from 82.4 % in 1951 to 97.5% in 2011. In absolute terms urban Delhi has increased by more than 11 times in the last six decades from 1951-2011. Table 4.7: Trends of Urbanization in NCT-Delhi Year 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 % Urban Pop 82.4 88.8 89.7 92.7 89.9 93.2 97.5 Source: Census of India, 1951 - 2011* (Provisional) The total population of NCT-Delhi as well as the urban population is growing but with declining rates. During 2001-11, the total population of NCT-Delhi grew by 21% while urban population grew by 26.6%. (Table 4.6) The rapid decline in rural population during 2001-2011 is due to the fact that most of NCT Delhi has now been earmarked as ‘Urbanisable’ area as per Master Plan for Delhi-2021. The number of villages have declined from 209 in 1991 to 158 in 2001, probably due to their inclusion in the urban agglomeration and through re-classification or up gradation as urban or census town. (Census data for rural areas for 2011 is still awaited from Census of India.) Components of Growth in NCT-Delhi The main components of the population growth are natural growth and in-migration. The share of natural growth during the last four decade during 1961-2001 has been from 50-60 percent. Over the years component of natural growth has increased and share of net migration has declined. On an average 1.2 to 1.5 Lakh migrants were added per annum in the net growth of Delhi’s population during last 30 years from 1971- 2001 (Fig 4.12). The share of out-migration from Delhi has also increased from 2.42 Lakh in 1961-1971 to 4.58 Lakh during 1991-2001. Delhi has been witnessing a high rate of in-migration, although there was a decline in the percentage share of net migrants in the decadal growth of population in NCT Delhi from 45.1% in 1961-71 to 39.8% in 1991-01. However, in absolute terms, the number of migrants continuously increased. The percentage share of migration from NCR States viz. Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh to NCT Delhi consistently declined in the last three decades. Total share of migrants from the above three states declined from 70.65% in 1971-81, to 65.76% in 1981-91 and further declined to 57.09% during 1991-2001 (including Uttarakhand:5.11%) (Annexure 4/IV). Box 4.3 The rural population of NCTDelhi has declined by 55.6% from 9.5 Lakh in 2001 to 4.20 Lakh in 2011. -60.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% Urban Rural Total Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 27 Figure 4.14: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Haryana Sub- Region-2011 Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.13: Reasons for Migration to NCTDelhi in 1991-2001 Source: Census of India, 1991- 2001 Work/emp loyment 37.6% Moved with household 36.8% Buisness 0.5% Education 2.7% Marriage 13.8% Moved after birth 2.4% Others 6.3% Urban 39.4% Rural 60.6% Table 4.8: Growth of Population and Migrants component-NCT Delhi (1961-2001) Year 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 Population (in Lakh) 26.59 40.7 62.2 94.2 138.5 Growth Rate (%) 52.4 52.9 53.0 51.4 47.0 Net Growth of Population (Lakh) 14.1 21.5 32.0 44.3 Migrants Component (Lakh) a) In-migrants 8.8 12.3 15.9 22.2 b) Out-migrants 2.4 2.8 2.8 4.6 Net-migrants (a-b) 6.3 9.5 13.1 17.6 Component of migrants in growth of population (%) 45.1 44.2 40.8 39.8 Net natural increase 7.7 12.0 18.9 26.7 Component of natural increase in growth of population (%) 54.9 55.8 59.2 60.2 Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991and 2001 (Migration Data not available for 2001-11) According to Census 2001, the main reasons for migration to Delhi are better employment opportunities and shifting of residence (Fig 4.13). Both these factors account for 74.4 % of the total migrants to Delhi during the decade 1991-2001 as shown in Fig 4.13 and Table 4.9. Table 4.9: Reasons of Migration to Delhi Reasons of Migration Migrants (1981-1991) Migrants (1991-2001) Total % Total % Employment/work 4,96,731 31.3 8,16,174 37.6 Business 64,678 4.1 11,818 0.5 Education 36,192 2.3 58,146 2.7 Marriage 2,47,903 15.6 2,99,856 13.8 Moved with household 6,58,041 41.5 7,99,231 36.8 Others 83,947 5.3 1,87,535 8.6 Total migrants 15,87,492 100.0 21,72,760 100.0 Source: Census of India 1981, 1991 and 2001 B. Haryana Sub-region: The share of urban and rural population in Haryana sub-region is 39.4% and 60.6% respectively in 2011. Although growth rate is declining, there is substantial increase in the absolute number. The absolute increase in population of the Haryana sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 23.5 Lakh, as against 20.43 Lakh in the previous decade. Table 4.10: Growth of Population in Haryana Sub-Region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population DGR (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 28,93,365 -- 24,32,155 -- 4,61,210 -- 1971 37,98,228 31.3 31,20,856 28.3 6,77,372 46.9 1981 49,38,541 30.0 37,31,837 19.6 12,06,704 78.1 1991 66,43,604 34.5 48,08,344 28.9 18,35,260 52.1 2001 86,87,050 30.8 57,22,372 19.0 29,64,678 61.5 2011 11037548 27.1 62,82,939 9.8 47,54,609 60.4 Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) 28 Regional Plan 2021 Figure 4.16: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.15: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Haryana Sub-Region Source: Census of India, 1971- 2011* (Provisional) 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decadal Growth rate Urban Rural Total (Haryana SR) Figure 4.17: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Urban 17.8% Rural 82.2% The growth rate of Haryana sub-region has declined during the last three decades (Table 4.10). During 1981-91, decadal growth rate of population was 34.5%, which declined to 30.8% during 1991-2001 and further dropped to 27.1% during the last decade 2001-2011. There has been a steep decline in growth rate in rural population. During 1981-91, rural population registered a growth rate of 28.9% that fell down to 19.0% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 9.8% during 2001-11. The growth of urban population was phenomenal at a rate of 78.1%, which declined to 52.1% during 1981-91. Further, it increased to 61.5% during the decade 1991-2001 and remained almost constant at 60.4% during the last decade 2001-11. C. Rajasthan Sub-region- The share of urban and rural population in Rajasthan sub-region is 17.8% and 82.2% respectively. In 2011 (Fig. 4.16), growth of population of Rajasthan Sub-region has been steady, ranging between 25 and 30 percent since 1971. However, during the last decade, the growth of population declined from 30.3% in 1991-2001 to 22.7% in 2001-11 (Table 4.11). Table 4.11: Growth of Population in Rajasthan Sub-region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 11,00,372 -- 10,12,480 -- 87,892 -- 1971 14,03,787 27.6 12,76,905 26.1 1,26,882 44.4 1981 17,71,173 26.2 15,74,972 23.3 1,96,201 54.6 1991 22,96,580 29.7 19,76,293 25.5 3,20,287 63.2 2001 29,92,592 30.3 25,57,653 29.4 4,34,939 35.8 2011* 36,71,999 22.7 30,17,711 18.0 6,54,288 50.4 Source: Census of India-1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) The absolute increase of population in the Rajasthan Sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was 6.8 Lakh, as against 6.9 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population however depicts a different trend. During the period from 1971 to 1991 growth rate of urban population increased from 44.4% in 1971 to 63.2 % in 1991. There was a drastic slip in growth rate of urban population during 1991-2001 registering at 35.8% but further it picked up at 50.4% during 2001-11. Growth of rural population showed an upward trend during 1981- 2001, but declined sharply at 18.0 % during the last decade 2001-11 (Fig. 4.17). 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decedal Growth Rate Urban Rural Total (Rajasthan SR) Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 29 Figure 4.19: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region-2011 Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Figure 4.18: Share of Urban and Rural Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region- 2011 Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Urban 48.3% Rural 51.7% D. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region The share of urban and rural population in Uttar Pradesh sub-region is 48.3 % and 51.7% respectively in 2011 and the decadal growth rate increased from 22.20% in 1961-71 to 29.2 % in 1981-1991 (Table 4.12). Table 4.12: Growth of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (1961-2011) Year Total Rural Urban Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) Population Decadal Growth (%) 1961 44,50,172 -- 36,71,496 -- 7,78,676 -- 1971 54,4p0,296 22.2 43,51,826 18.5 10,88,470 39.8 1981 69,68,646 28.1 50,19,579 15.3 19,49,067 79.1 1991 90,01,704 29.2 58,84,092 17.2 31,17,612 60.0 2001 1,15,70,117 28.5 69,55,440 18.2 46,14,677 48.0 2011 1,45,84,234 26.1 75,37,517 8.4 70,46,483 52.7 Source: Census of India 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Thereafter it marginally declined to 28.5% during 1991-2001 and further declined to 26.1% during 2001- 2011. In spite of declining trends in growth rate there has been an absolute increase of population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region during 2001-2011, it increased by 30.1 Lakh, as against 25.7 Lakh in the previous decade. The growth of urban population was very high at 79.1% during 1971-1981 but it declined to 60% during the decade 1981-1991 and further declined to 48% during 1991-2001. After that it increased to 52.7% during 2001-2011. The growth of rural population in U.P Sub region has however sharply declined from 18.2% during 1991-2001 to 8.4% during 2001-2011 (Fig. 4.19). 4.2.3 Sex Ratio Sex Ratio in NCR is 869 females per 1000 males (2011), which is much below the national average of 940. In 2011, at sub-regional level sex-ratio is lowest in NCT-Delhi at 866 followed by Haryana subregion at 870, UP sub-region at 878. Rajasthan sub-region has a sex-ratio of 894, which is the highest in the region but still below the national average. The lower sex ratio may be attributed to in migration of male population to the region. In urban area of NCR the sex ratio is 870, which is higher than the rural area. However at sub-regional level the urban sex ratio is the lowest in Haryana Sub-region having 866, closely followed by NCT-Delhi with 867, Rajasthan sub-region with 871 and Uttar Pradesh sub-region with 898. In respect of NCR rural the situation is not better. The Sex ratio varies from 847 in NCT-Delhi to 899 in Rajasthan sub-region. In Haryana and UP sub-regions it is 873 and 879 respectively. Mewat is the only district in NCR where sexratio is 906, while in all other districts it is below 900. 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1961-71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11 Decedal Growth Rate Urban Rural Total (Uttar pradesh SR) 30 Regional Plan 2021 4.3 Population Projections for 2021 A comparative analysis of the Census 2011* population figures with the proposed population in notified RP-2021 was done to review the trends of population growth in NCR. The analysis indicates that the population of NCR as per Census 2011* is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021 for 2011. (Table 4.13) The population of NCT-Delhi and 18 Metro & Regional centres have as much as 92.7 % of the urban population of NCR and the remaining urban settlements/ towns only contribute the remaining 7.3% in 2011. Table 4.13: Actual & Proposed Population 2011 for NCT-Delhi, Metro & Regional Centres and NCR Name of Town Population(in Lakh) Decadal Growth Rate 2001- 11 (%) Proposed Pop. 2011 (R.P. 2021) Census Population as % of Proposed Population in 2011, as in R.P- 2001 2011* 2021 NCT-Delhi 138.50 167.53 21.0 193.00 86.8 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 28.8 2.00 85.0 Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex 10.56 14.05 33.0 16.00 87.8 Gurgaon-Manesar complex 2.29 9.02 293.9 4.50 200.4 Ghaziabad-Loni complex 10.89 21.48 97.2 19.00 113.1 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 110.5 6.00 107.0 Sonepat-Kundli complex 2.34 3.07 31.2 3.50 87.7 Sub-total 30.45 55.74 83.1 51.00 109.3 Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR Panipat 3.54 4.42 24.9 5.00 88.4 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 26.9 4.20 88.8 Palwal 1.00 1.31 31.0 1.70 77.1 Rewari 1.31 1.43 9.2 2.00 71.5 Meerut 11.62 14.25 22.6 15.00 95.0 Hapur-Pilkhua complex 2.79 3.58 28.3 3.00 119.3 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 260.0 7.00 15.4 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex 2.74 3.78 38.0 3.70 102.2 Baghpat-Baraut complex 1.22 1.46 19.7 1.60 91.3 Alwar 2.66 3.41 28.2 3.40 100.3 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 208.8 1.00 105.0 SNB-complex 0.36 4.30 1094.4 1.00 430.0 Sub-total 30.82 43.80 42.1 48.60 90.1 Population of 18 metros & RCs excluding NCT 61.27 99.54 62.5 99.60 99.9 Total (NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs) 199.77 266.95 33.6 292.60 91.2 Remaining Urban Towns ( < 1 Lakh pop) 9.43 20.93 122.0 - - NCR Urban population 209.20 287.88 37.6 - - NCR Rural population 161.80 172.58 6.7 - - Total NCR population 371.00 460.46 24.1 486.19 94.7 Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR Note: Population of cities with more than 1 Lakh population is available from Census of India for 2011. Population for cities less than 1 Lakh population have been projected based on urban growth rate in the respective Districts. The analysis also reveals that the census population varies from the proposed population of 2011 (RP- 2021) in the range of 85% to 113% for CNCR towns except in Gurgaon (Table 4.13). In Gurgaon the actual population in 2011 was 200% of the proposed population for 2011 in the Regional Plan-2021. The Census population figures for Manesar, Shahjanpur and Neemrana towns for the year 2011 are still awaited. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 31 Figure 4.22: Revised Population Projections for NCR -2021 Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 Population ( in Lakhs) NCR ( population as per R.P-2021) NCR ( Revised Pop Projection) Revised population for 2021 Proposed Population as per RP-2021 actual census population in 2011 The scenario for Metro and Regional Centres, excluding NCT-Delhi, within CNCR and outside CNCR differs slightly. Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR grew to 55.74 Lakh as per Census 2011, which is 109.3% of the proposed population (51 Lakh) for 2011 as per the Regional Plan -2021. For Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, the actual population is 43.80 Lakh as per Census 2011 as against the proposed population of 48.60 Lakh which is 90.1 % of the proposed population. However, the cumulative Census population of all 18 Metro and Regional Centres is almost 100% of the proposed population of 2011. The difference between the proposed population of both NCR and NCT-Delhi vis-à-vis the actual Census population of 2011 (provisional) is about 25.5 Lakh. It may be attributed to the fact that NCT-Delhi grew at a slower rate than anticipated. Figure 4.20 and 4.21 given below depict growth trends of population in NCR and NCT-Delhi. Figure 4.20: Growth of Population in NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.21: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1981-2011) 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCT-Delhi Pop 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 1,93,00,000 NCT-Delhi -DGR 51.45% 47.02% 20.96% 39.35% 0 50,00,000 1,00,00,000 1,50,00,000 2,00,00,000 2,50,00,000 Population of NCT Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) The population projections of 617.25 Lakh for the year 2021 were finalized by the Study Group and subsequent discussions with the participating states (Fig 4.22). The breakup of projected population at sub-regional level include 202.6 Lakh for Delhi subregion, 168.28 Lakh for Haryana Sub-Region, 46.87 Lakh for Rajasthan sub-region and 199.46 Lakh for U.P. sub-region. The proposed population is in the range of ±2.5% (Table 4.14). 1981 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as per R.P) NCR- Population 1,90,18,909 2,64,46,180 3,71,00,266 4,60,47,016 4,86,19,000 NCR-DGR 39.05% 40.29% 24.12% 31.05% 0 1,00,00,000 2,00,00,000 3,00,00,000 4,00,00,000 5,00,00,000 6,00,00,000 Population of NCR Box 4.4 Earlier population projections in the Regional Plan -2021 were given in fixed numbers, however now proposed population has been given in the range of ±2.5% also. 32 Regional Plan 2021 Table 4.14: Projected Population for NCR-2021 (In Lakh) S. No Name of Town Sub- Region Pop-2011 * Proposed Pop -2021 Proposed Population Range – 2021 (±2.5%) 1 NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi 167.53 202.60 197.54 – 207.67 METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES WITHIN CNCR 2 Bahadurgarh Haryana 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 3 Faridabad-Ballabhgarh complex Haryana 14.05 25.00 24.38 – 25.63 4 Gurgaon-Manesar complex Haryana 9.02 21.00 20.48 – 21.53 5 Ghaziabad-Loni complex U.P 21.48 30.19 40.85 – 42.95 6 Noida U.P 6.42 17.40 16.97 – 17.84 7 Sonepat-Kundli complex Haryana 3.07 10.00 9.75 – 10.25 Sub- Total 55.74 106.59 103.93 – 109.25 METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES OUTSIDE CNCR 8 Panipat Haryana 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 9 Rohtak Haryana 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 10 Palwal Haryana 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 11 Rewari Haryana 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 12 Meerut- Daurala U.P 14.25 26.5 25.84 – 27.16 13 Hapur-Pilkhua U.P 3.58 7.5 7.31 – 7.69 14 Greater Noida U.P 1.08 12.00 11.70 – 12.30 15 Bulandshahr-Khurja complex U.P 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 16 Baghpat-Baraut U.P 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 17 Alwar Rajasthan 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 18 Greater Bhiwadi Rajasthan 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 19 SNB complex Rajasthan 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 Sub- Total 43.68 95.23 92.85 – 97.61 NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs 266.95 404.46 394.35 – 414.57 Remaining Urban Towns (< 1 Lakh Pop.) 20.93 48.10 46.90 – 49.30 NCR Urban population 287.88 452.56 441.25 – 463.87 NCR Rural population 172.58 164.70 160.58 – 168.82 NCR 460.46 617.26 601.83 – 632.69 Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR Note: These Metro/Regional centres could not attain proposed population of Regional Plan-2021 because some large infrastructure projects such as RRTS, Metro Rail, Western/ Eastern Peripheral Expressway, etc. are still in the process of implementation. As such, proposed population for these towns in the Regional Plan-2021 has been retained. The Sub-Region wise break-up of proposed urban & rural population is given in Table 4.15. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 33 Table 4.15: Sub-Region Wise Projected Urban and Rural Population (In Lakh) Sl. No. Sub-regions Pop- 2011* Proposed Pop- 2021 Proposed DGR 2011-21 (%) Population range (± 2.5%) I Delhi 167.53 202.64 21.0 197.57 – 207.71 II Haryana-U 47.55 106.48 123.9 103.82 – 109.15 Haryana-R 62.83 61.80 -1.6 60.26 – 63.35 Haryana 110.38 168.28 52.5 164.08 – 172.49 III Raj-U 6.54 20.04 206.4 19.54 – 20.54 Raj-R 30.18 26.83 -11.1 24.43 – 24.16 Raj 36.72 46.87 27.6 45.70 – 48.04 IV UP-U 70.46 123.39 75.1 120.31 – 126.47 UP-R 75.38 76.07 0.9 74.17 – 77.97 UP 145.84 199.46 36.8 194.47 – 204.44 V Urban 287.89 452.55 57.2 441.24 – 463.87 Rural 172.58 164.70 -4.6 160.58 – 168.81 NCR 460.47 617.25 34.0 601.82 – 632.68 Source- Census 2011* (Provisional) and analysis by NCRPB 4.3.1 Policy Issues The review of the Regional Plan-2021 as well as the results of the Census 2011 reveals that the actual population in 2011 is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021. The proposed population for Metro and Regional Centres within Central NCR towns was 51 Lakh, while the Census population reached 56 Lakh in 2011 which is 109% of the proposed population. In the case of Metro and Regional Centres outside Central NCR, proposed population was 48.6 Lakh, while Census population is 43.68 Lakh which is 90.1% of the proposed population. The analysis shows that the Metro and Regional centres within CNCR have grown much faster than proposed while the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR could not grow as anticipated to achieve the target population of RP-2021. The emphasis therefore should be on developing the Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR by providing fast and efficient connectivity, boost to economic activities and development of infrastructure. 4.4 SETTLEMENT PATTERN 4.4.1 Urban Settlements Number of urban settlements in the region has increased from 94 in 1981 to 108 in 2001. Composition of urban centres included 17 UA/Class-I cities, 9 Class-II towns, 27 Class-III, 38 Class-IV, 15 Class-V and 2 Class-VI towns in 2001 (Table 4.16). However as per census 2011, there are 20 UA/ Class I towns. In 2011, the Class-I cities accommodated more than 92.7% of the total urban population of the region and the remaining 7.3% is distributed in 88 towns of Class-II to Class-VI size. The details of urban settlements below 1 lakh population as per Census 2011 are awaited. Table 4.16: Urban Settlements in NCR (2001) Urban Settlement/ Sub Region Class -I (1 Lakh plus) Class-II (50,000- 99,999) Class-III (20,000- 49,999) Class-IV (10,000- 19,999) Class-V (5,000- 9,999) Class-VI (Below 5,000) Total Year 2001 2011* 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 Haryana 8 8 0 7 13 6 1 35 Rajasthan 1 2 0 4 3 1 0 9 Uttar Pradesh 7 9 9 16 22 8 1 63 NCT-Delhi 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 NCR 17 20 9 27 38 15 2 108 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011 (Provisional) Note: For Census 2011 only the population for cities with more than 1 Lakh is available. The analysis/picture of settlement pattern will change after the census data on all urban settlements in NCR is made available for 2011. 34 Regional Plan 2021 There are 35 urban settlements in Haryana Sub-region, 9 in Rajasthan Sub-region and 63 in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region. Outside NCT-Delhi, there are 8 Class-I urban centres in Haryana Sub-region, one Class-I urban centre in Rajasthan Sub-region and 7 Class-I urban centres in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (refer Map 4.3). (Detailed Census 2011 data is awaited.) The number of metropolitan cities (more than 10 Lakh) in the region increased from three cities in 2001 to four cities in 2011. 4.4.2 Rural Settlements According to the Census 2001, there were 7,528 rural settlements of various sizes in the National Capital Region. Of these, 158 were in NCT of Delhi, 2,471 in Haryana, 1,954 in Rajasthan and 3,185 in Uttar Pradesh subregions. The rural population of NCR which was 44 % of the total population, increased from 162 Lakh in 2001 to 172.60 Lakh (Provisional) in 2011. The proportion of rural population to total population has however declined. It was 44% in 2001 which has gone down to 37.5% in 2011. Census data for Rural Settlements for 2011 is awaited. 4.4.3 Proposed Hierarchy of Settlements Regional Plan-2021 proposed a six-tier settlement system i.e., Metro Centre, Regional Centres, Subregional Centres, Service Centres, Central Village and Basic Villages. The same settlement pattern is proposed to be continued and is represented in Table 4.17. Table 4.17: Proposed Six-Tier Hierarchy of Settlements S. No. Hierarchical Level Population Range 1. Metro Centre 10 Lakh and above 2. Regional Centre 3 to 10 Lakh 3. Sub-regional Centre 0.5 to 3 Lakh 4. Service Centre 10,000 to 50,000 5. Central Village 5,000 to 10,000 6. Basic Village Below 5,000 A. Metro Centre As per the Census 2011, in NCR outside Delhi already three towns/complexes namely Ghaziabad-Loni complex, Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex and Meerut have crossed the one million population mark. Additionally, the participating States have planned urban centres with million plus population in their respective sub-regions. Towns envisaged/planned with million plus population by 2021 are listed in Table 4.18. Table 4.18: Proposed Metro Centres -2021 (Population in Lakh) S. No City/Complex Population (in Lakh) Proposed Pop-2021 Proposed Population Range - 2001 2011* 2021 1 Faridabad-Ballabgarh 10.56 14.05 25.00 24.38 - 25.63 2 Gurgaon-Manesar 2.28 9.02 21.00 20.48 - 21.53 3 Ghaziabad-Loni 10.89 21.48 30.19 29.44 - 30.94 4 NOIDA 3.05 6.42 17.40 16.97 - 17.84 5 Sonepat-Kundli 2.25 3.07 10.00 9.75 - 10.25 6 Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 12.00 11.70 - 12.30 7 Meerut 11.62 14.24 26.50 25.84 - 27.16 Total 41.04 69.37 142.09 138.54 - 145.6 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Note - UP Sub-regional Plan -2021 has proposed a new township YEIDA under the provision of para 4.3.5 (I) of the RP-2021 as a Green Field Township. These settlements can, however, act as powerful growth nodes to attract capital functions and activities and help in population dispersal from the national Capital. Given their special functional status and size, a Box 4.5 Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR have grown much faster than the Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR, which could not grow as anticipated in the Regional Plan 2021. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 35 high level of physical, social and economic infrastructure better than that in the Capital is required to be developed in these towns/complexes. This would include efficient intra-urban mass transportation system as well as strong transport and communication linkages with Delhi, other Metro centres and NCR towns. The respective participating States and their agencies would be required to create the necessary infrastructure themselves in these Metro Centres and also be required to facilitate the private sector investment therein. B. Regional Centre Being second tier settlement it is the well-established urban centre in the region, marked by highly specialized secondary and tertiary sector activities and providing job opportunities, which normally cannot be performed by other lower order centres. These centres will be developed for advanced industrial and other economic activities and will have concentration of administrative and higher order service functions, which are expected to exert an increasingly dynamic influence on attraction of investment and creation of conducive living and working environment. The Regional Centres proposed in the Plan are as under (Table 4.19). Table 4.19: Proposed Regional Centres-2021 (in Lakh) S. No City/Complex Population (in Lakh) Proposed pop-2021 Proposed Population 2001 2011* Range – 2021 1 Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 2 Panipat 3.54 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18 3 Rohtak 2.94 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83 4 Palwal 1.00 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 5 Rewari 1.31 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10 6 Hapur-Pilkhua 2.79 3.58 7.50 7.31 – 7.69 7 Bulandshahr-Khurja 2.74 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92 8 Baghpat-Baraut 1.22 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08 9 Alwar 2.66 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 10 Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29 11 SNB Complex 2.32 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48 Total 20.22 30.17 59.73 58.24 – 61.22 Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional) There are 6 Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR, whereas there are 12 Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR (Map 4.4) which are as follows: Sl. Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR Sl. No Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR ( within NCR) 1. Bahadurgarh 1. Panipat 2. Faridabad- Ballabgarh Complex 2. Rohtak 3. Gurgaon - Manesar Complex 3. Palwal 4. Ghaziabad - Loni Complex 4. Rewari 5. Noida 5. Meerut 6. Sonepat - Kundli Complex 6. Hapur – Pilkhua Complex 7. Greater Noida 8. Bulandshahr- Khurja Complex 9. Bhagpat - Baraut Complex 10. Alwar 11. Greater Bhiwadi 12. Shahjanpur- Neemrana- Behror Complex. The functions of other lower order centres in the hierarchy of settlement are touched briefly in the Regional Plan. Identification of these centres and their role would be spelt out in the Sub-regional Plan in detail. 36 Regional Plan 2021 C. Sub-Regional Centre The Sub-regional Centre shall generally be medium sized towns or intermediate city performing a variety of roles, particularly in promoting and supporting a more balanced distribution of urban population and in providing functional linkages between the smaller towns and Regional/Metro Centres. The Sub-regional Centres are proposed to undertake the urban economic and service functions and will have sound infrastructure like transport, power, water, credit banking, marketing, managerial services etc. D. Service Centre The Service Centre shall be a small town or a large village having linkages with immediate rural hinterlands. These centres would cater to the rural hinterland as agro-service centre in collection and distribution of agricultural goods and services with processing, marketing, warehousing and storage facilities. E. Central Village The Central Village is the higher order village having central location and potential for development within its catchment area, with relatively better services and facilities in terms of education, health, communication, accessibility and has the capacity to serve a group of Basic Villages. This centre is proposed to provide basic social facilities for population engaged in agriculture and other primary activities. F. Basic Village All other Census villages with a population of less than 5,000 have been classified as Basic Villages and would be provided with basic facilities like link roads, water supply and electricity, paved streets and lowcost common sanitary facilities as well as the minimum required social infrastructure as per planning norms. 4.4.4 Strategies for Development of Settlement System Strategies for the development of settlement system would be to harness the growth impulses of Delhi and adjoining towns and to integrate the urban and rural settlements in the region. This could be attained by developing balanced settlement structure and mutually reinforcing system of urban and rural centres. Strategies to achieve these objectives would be as under: A. Development of a well-knit regional settlement system wherein Delhi and other towns in the region would be allowed to grow as per their carrying capacity so as to harness the development potential within the broad frame of the Regional Plan. B. In order to make a significant impact of the large growing centres to act as catalyst for development in the National Capital Region, it is proposed to identify new ‘Metro Centres/ Regional Centres/ Investment Regions/ other New Townships’ for intensive development for attracting investment, generation of employment, creation of high-quality infrastructure, robust transport and communication linkages, development of high-quality residential areas, industrial and commercial complexes. The proposed new townships would be growth nodes along the key transport corridors, proposed expressways, orbital rail corridors and other suitable locations either on virgin land or as extension of existing settlement. C. Development of small and medium towns in the region as Sub-regional centres or service centres. These towns would play an important role in supporting the socio-economic development in their rural hinterland by providing access to education and health facilities, agricultural extension services and agro-based industries depending on local resources. D. Rural development would be encouraged by providing facilities and services in appropriate hierarchy of service centres, to help stimulate production and increase the income of the rural population. This will help facilitate diversification of the economy. Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 37 38 Regional Plan 2021 MAP 4.4 Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 39 Annexure 4/I: Growth of Population in four Mega Cities in India (1951-2011) City/Year Greater Mumbai UA Kolkata UA Chennai UA NCT-Delhi Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) Population Decadal Growth Rate (%) 1,951 29,66,902 -- 46,69,559 -- 15,42,333 -- 17,44,072 -- 1,961 41,52,056 40.0 59,83,669 28.1 19,44,502 26.08 26,58,612 52.4 1,971 59,70,575 43.8 74,20,300 24.0 31,69,930 63.02 40,65,698 52.9 1,981 82,43,405 38.1 91,94,018 23.9 42,89,347 35.31 62,20,406 53.0 1,991 1,25,96,243 52.8 1,10,21,918 19.9 54,21,985 26.41 94,20,644 51.5 2,001 1,63,68,084 29.9 1,32,16,546 19.9 65,60,242 20.99 1,38,50,50 47.0 2,011 1,84,14,288 12.5 1,41,42,536 7.0 86,96,010 32.56 1,67,53,23 21.0 Source: Census of India 1951, 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional) Annexure 4/II: District wise level of Urbanization in NCR (2011) Sl. No District/ Sub-Region Total Population Urban Level of Urbanisation (%) 1 NCT-Delhi 1,67,53,235 1,63,33,916 97.5 Haryana- Sub-region 1 Panipat 12,02,811 5,52,945 46.0 2 Sonepat 14,80,080 4,51,687 30.5 3 Rohtak 10,58,683 4,44,819 42.0 4 Jhajjar 9,56,907 2,42,974 25.4 5 Rewari 8,96,129 2,31,411 25.8 6 Gurgaon 15,14,085 10,42,000 68.8 7 Mewat 10,89,406 1,24,017 11.4 8 Faridabad 17,98,954 14,29,093 79.4 9 Palwal 10,40,493 2,35,663 22.6 Total 1,10,37,548 47,54,609 43.1 Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region 1 Meerut 34,47,405 17,62,573 51.1 2 Baghpat 13,02,156 2,74,135 21.1 3 Ghaziabad 46,61,452 31,44,574 67.5 4 Hapur 5 Gautam Budh Nagar 16,74,714 9,97,410 59.6 6 Bulandshahr 34,98,507 8,67,791 24.8 Total 1,45,84,234 70,46,483 48.3 Rajasthan Sub-Region 1 Alwar 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 Total 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8 Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional) 40 Regional Plan 2021 Annexure 4/III: Sub-Region wise Area and Density of Population in NCR (2011) Sl. No District Area ( Sq. Km) Pop - 2011 Density (Person/ Sq.km) NCT Delhi 1 NCT- Delhi 1,483 1,67,53,235 11297 Haryana- Sub-region 1 Panipat 1,268 12,02,811 949 2 Sonepat 2,122 14,80,080 697 3 Rohtak 1,745 10,58,683 607 4 Jhajjar 1834 9,56,907 522 5 Rewari 1594 8,96,129 562 6 Gurgaon 1254 15,14,085 1207 7 Mewat 1500 10,89,406 726 8 Faridabad 743 17,98,954 2421 9 Palwal 1,368 10,40,493 761 Total 13,428 1,10,37,548 822 Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region 1 Meerut 2,601 34,47,405 1325 2 Baghpat 1,307 13,02,156 986 3 Ghaziabad 2001 46,61,452 2330 4 Hapur 5 Gautam Budh Nagar 1,411 16,74,714 1187 6 Bulandshahr 3532 34,98,507 991 Total 10,852 1,45,84,234 1344 Rajasthan Sub-Region 1 Alwar 8380 36,71,999 438 Total 8380 36,71,999 438 Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional), Statistical Abstract of Haryana Annexure 4/ IV: Migrants to NCT-Delhi by Place of Last Residence Place of last residence 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 No. of migrants % No. of migrants % No. of migrants % Uttar Pradesh 616021 50.1 765151 48.3 889857 40.0 Haryana 159028 12.9 182507 11.5 174889 7.9 Bihar 70904 5.8 169445 10.7 424093 19.1 Uttaranchal - - - - 113519 5.1 Rajasthan 93836 7.6 95198 6.0 90317 4.1 Punjab 78671 6.4 83684 5.3 47984 2.2 West Bengal 33154 2.7 43096 2.7 86249 3.9 Madhya Pradesh 37709 3.1 41815 2.6 40442 1.8 Others 140422 11.4 110727 7.0 354691 16.0 Total 1229745 100.0 1585770 100.0 2222041 100.0 Source: Census of India - 1971, 1981, 1991& 2001 Figure 5.1: Share of NCR’s GDP to India’s GDP Source: CSO (National Account Statistics); Economic Survey of Delhi, 2012-13; Department of Economic and Statistical Analysis, Haryana; Directorate of Economics and Statistics, Rajasthan; updes.up.nic.in 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Fig 5.1: Share of NCR GDP to India’s GDP
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 of the India’s urban population resides in NCT Delhi alone.
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 == DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE==
 NCT-Delhi and in U.P sub-region it declined from 35% to 31.6% during the same period.
-Box 4.1
-As much as 42.6% of the
-country’s urban population
-is concentrated in 53
-metropolitan cities. Delhi
-alone accounts for 4.4 % of
-the total urban population.
-Mumbai
-.9%
-Kolkata
-.8% Chennai
-.3% NCT Delhi
-.4%
-Other
-Metropolitan
-cities
-.2%
-Remaining
-towns/ cities
-.4%
-India- U
-.2%
-NCR-U
-India- R 7.6%
-.8%
-NCR-R
-.1%
 Regional Plan 2021
-Figure 4.5: Growth Rate of Population in NCR
-Source- Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional)
+ [[File:  demographic7.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Figure 4.3: Distribution of Population in Sub-Regions of
-NCR-2011
-Figure 4.4: Distribution of Area in Sub-Regions of
+ [[File:  demographic5.PNG||frame|500px]]
-NCR-2011
-Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
-Table 4.1: Sub-Region Wise Distribution of Population in NCR (1981-2011)
-Sub-region
-Population Share of Population (%)
-1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011
-NCT-Delhi 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 31.4 34.4 37.3 36.4
-Haryana 49,38,541 66,43,604 86,87,050 1,10,37,548 24.8 24.3 23.4 24.0
-Rajasthan 17,55,575 22,96,580 29,92,592 36,71,999 8.8 8.4 8.1 8.0
-U.P 69,68,646 90,01,704 1,15,70,117 1,45,84,234 35.0 32.9 31.2 31.6
-NCR 1,98,83,168 2,73,62,532 3,71,00,266 4,60,49,032 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
-Source: Census of India- 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional)
 The growth rate of population in NCR has
 declined from 37.6% in 1981-91 to 24.1% in
 trends show that the growth rate of population in
 all the sub-regions has been declining (Fig 4.5.)
-Table 4.2: Population Growth Rate in NCR (1981-2011)
-Sub-regions 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11
+ [[File:  demographic6.PNG||frame|500px]]
-NCT-Delhi 51.4% 47.0% 21.0%
-Haryana 34.5% 30.8% 27.1%
-Rajasthan 30.8% 30.3% 22.7%
-Uttar Pradesh 29.2% 28.5% 26.1%
-NCR 37.6% 35.6% 24.1%
-Source: Census of India- 1981- 2011* (Provisional)
 Although the growth rate is declining, there has been a substantial increase in absolute numbers in all the
 sub-regions.
 Pradesh and Haryana sub-region added 30.1 Lakh and 23.5 Lakh population respectively during the same
 period. Rajasthan sub-region also added 6.8 Lakh persons (Table 4.3).
-NCT-Delhi
-.3%
+ [[File:  demographic8.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Haryana
+[[File:  demographic9.PNG||frame|500px]]
-.3%
-Rajasthan
-.5%
-Uttar
-Pradesh
-.8%
-NCT-Delhi
-.4%
-Haryana
-.0%
-Rajasthan
-.0%
-Uttar
-Pradesh
-.7%
-Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 23
-Figure 4.7: Level of Urbanisation in Sub-Regions of NCR,
-Figure 4.6: Urban and Rural Components of Population
-in NCR (1991-2001)
-Source- Census of India, 1991- 2011* (Provisional)
-.2%
-.4%
-.5%
-.8%
-.6%
-.5%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-2001 2011
-Rural NCR Urban NCR
-Urban Growth rate Rural Growth rate
-.6 Lakhs
-.0 Lakhs
-.5 Lakhs
-.5%
-.1%
-.8%
-.3%
--
-NCT Haryana S.R Rajasthan SR U.P SR
-Population-2011 (Lakh)
-Sub-Region pop-2011 Level of Urbanisation
 Share of urban population in NCR has however
 been rising from 50.2% in 1991 to 62.5% in 2011
 and the rural population declined in the same
 proportion (Fig 4.6).
 In NCR excluding NCT-Delhi the share of urban
 population has increased from 16.9% in 1981 to
 .0% in 2011.
-Table 4.3: Decadal Increase in Population in NCR
-Sub-regions
+[[File:  demographic10.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Increase in Population (in lakhs)
--01 2001-11
+[[File:  demographic11.PNG||frame|500px]]
-NCT- Delhi S.R 44.3 29.0
-Haryana S.R 20.4 23.5
-Rajasthan S.R 6.9 6.8
-Uttar Pradesh S.R 25.7 30.1
-NCR 97.3 89.4
+ [[File:  demographic11.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Source: Census of India, 1991 - 2011* (Provisional)
-Table 4.4: Urban- Rural composition of population in NCR (1981-2011)
+[[File:  demographic12.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Urban-Rural Component/Year
-Percent share (%)
-1991 2001 2011
-Urban NCR 45.9 50.2 56.4 62.5
-Rural NCR 54.1 49.8 43.6 37.5
-Urban NCR excluding NCT-Delhi-U 16.9 19.3 21.6 27.0
-Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional)
 At district level, Faridabad and Gurgaon have
 urbanization level of more than 50%. Panipat,
 low level of urbanization in Haryana Sub-Region
 (Below 30 %).
 Similarly, in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region Meerut,
 Ghaziabad (incl. Hapur) and Gautam Budh Nagar
 districts are highly urbanized (more than 50%)
 while other districts are less urbanized.
-Alwar district in Rajasthan is less urbanized at
-.8%. (Map 4.1). Urbanisation level of all
-districts in NCR is given in Annexure 4/II.
-Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
-Regional Plan 2021
-475
-,104
-,349
-,200
-,500
-,800
-,100
-,400
-,700
-,000
-,300
-,600
-,900
-,200
-NCR Region outside
-Delhi
-India
-Density ( perons/ sq.km)
--11
--01
--91
--81
-,349
-,297
-,344
--
-,000
-,000
-,000
-,000
-,000
-,000
-NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P
-Density ( Persons/ Sq.km)
-Map 4.1: Level of Urbanisation in NCR (2011) Map 4.2- Population Density of NCR (2011)
-Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
 Density of population in NCR has more than doubled from 657 Persons per sq.km in 1981 to 1349
 persons per sq.km in 2011 in the last three decades (Fig 4.8). The density of population in rest of NCR
 as against the All India average of 382 persons per sq km in 2011. The Sub-region wise density of
 population is shown in Fig 4.9.
-Figure 4.8: Decadal Density Growth of NCR (1981-2011) Figure 4.9: Density of Sub-Regions of NCR in 2011
-Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional) Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
+[[File:  demographic13.PNG||frame|500px]]
-,349
-,297
+[[File:  demographic15.PNG||frame|500px]]
-,344
--
-,000
-,000
-,000
-,000
-,000
-,000
-NCR NCT-Delhi Haryana Rajasthan U.P
-Density ( Persons/ Sq.km)
-Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 25
-Figure 4.10: Population
-Distribution in NCT-Delhi, 2011
-Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
-Table 4.5: Sub-Region wise Density of population in NCR (2011)
-Area (Sq.km) Population (in Lakh) Density (Persons/sq.km)
-1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011 1981 1991 2001 2011
-NCT Delhi 1,483 1,483 1,483 1,483 62.2 94.2 138.5 167.5 4,194 6,352 9,340 11,297
-Haryana 13,413 13,413 13,413 13,428 49.4 66.4 86.9 110.4 368 495 648 822
-Rajasthan * 4,493 4,493 7,829 8380 17.6 23.0 29.9 36.7 391 511 382 438
-Uttar Pradesh 10,853 10,853 10,853 10,853 69.7 90.0 115.7 145.8 642 829 1,066 1,344
-NCR 30,242 30,242 33,578 34,144 198.8 273.6 371.0 460.5 657 905 1,105 1,349
-Source: Census of India 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011 (Provisional)
-Note: *Corresponds to Rajasthan Sub-region comprising part of Alwar district in 1981 and the entire district in 2001
 NCT- Delhi has the highest density of population of 11,297 persons
 .2.2 Sub-region wise Growth of Population
-A. NCT-Delhi
+A.	NCT-Delhi
+B.
 NCT-Delhi is highly urbanized with 97.5% of its population living
 in urban areas as against the national average of 31.2% in 2011
 In absolute terms, the population increase was 29.0 lakh during
 -11, as against 44.3 lakh in the previous decade.
-Table 4.6: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi (1951-2011)
-Year
+ [[File:  demographic18.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Total Urban Rural
-Population Decadal Growth
-(%) Population Decadal Growth
-(%) Population Decadal Growth
-(%)
-17,44,072 90.0 14,37,134 106.6 3,06,938 38.1
-26,58,612 52.4 23,59,408 64.2 2,99,204 -2.5
-40,65,698 52.9 36,47,023 54.6 4,18,675 39.9
-62,20,406 53.0 57,68,200 58.2 4,52,206 8.0
-94,20,644 51.4 84,71,625 46.9 9,49,019 109.9
-1,38,50,507 47.0 1,29,05,780 52.3 9,44,727 -0.5
-* 1,67,53,235 21.0 1,63,33,916 26.6 4,19,319 -55.6
-Source: Census of India, 1951- 2011* (Provisional)
-Box 4.2
 Density of population in NCR as
 well as in its Sub-regions has
 .5%
 Regional Plan 2021
 Figure 4.12: Component of Growth of Population in
 NCT-Delhi, 1971-2001 (in Lakh)
 (1901-2011)
 Source- Census of India, 1901- 2011* (Provisional)
 The percentage of urban population in NCT-Delhi has
 been consistently increasing except in 1991 (Table-
 urban Delhi has increased by more than 11 times in the
 last six decades from 1951-2011.
-Table 4.7: Trends of Urbanization in NCT-Delhi
-Year 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011
+ [[File:  demographic19.PNG||frame|500px]]
-%
-Urban
-Pop
-.4 88.8 89.7 92.7 89.9 93.2 97.5
-Source: Census of India, 1951 - 2011* (Provisional)
 The total population of NCT-Delhi as well as the
 urban population is growing but with declining rates.
 grew by 21% while urban population grew by
 .6%. (Table 4.6)
 The rapid decline in rural population during 2001-2011 is due to
 the fact that most of NCT Delhi has now been earmarked as
 and through re-classification or up gradation as urban or census
 town.
 (Census data for rural areas for 2011 is still awaited from Census of India.)
 Components of Growth in NCT-Delhi
 The main components of the population
 growth are natural growth and in-migration.
 population during last 30 years from 1971-
 (Fig 4.12).
 The share of out-migration from Delhi has
 also increased from 2.42 Lakh in 1961-1971
 migrants in the decadal growth of population in NCT Delhi from 45.1% in 1961-71 to 39.8% in 1991-01.
 However, in absolute terms, the number of migrants continuously increased.
 The percentage share of migration from NCR States viz. Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh to NCT
 Delhi consistently declined in the last three decades. Total share of migrants from the above three states
 .5 Lakh in 2001 to 4.20 Lakh in
 .
--60.0%
--40.0%
+ [[File:  demographic22.PNG||frame|500px]]
--20.0%
-.0%
+ [[File:  demographic25.PNG||frame|500px]]
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
+ [[File:  demographic21.PNG||frame|500px]]
-.0%
-.0%
-Urban Rural Total
-Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 27
-Figure 4.14: Share of Urban and
-Rural Population in Haryana Sub-
-Region-2011
-Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
-Figure 4.13: Reasons for Migration to NCTDelhi
-in 1991-2001
-Source: Census of India, 1991- 2001
-Work/emp
-loyment
-.6%
-Moved
-with
-household
-.8%
-Buisness
-.5%
-Education
-.7%
-Marriage
-.8%
-Moved
-after birth
-.4%
-Others
-.3%
-Urban
-.4%
-Rural
-.6%
-Table 4.8: Growth of Population and Migrants component-NCT Delhi (1961-2001)
-Year 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
-Population (in Lakh) 26.59 40.7 62.2 94.2 138.5
-Growth Rate (%) 52.4 52.9 53.0 51.4 47.0
-Net Growth of Population (Lakh) 14.1 21.5 32.0 44.3
-Migrants Component (Lakh)
-a) In-migrants 8.8 12.3 15.9 22.2
-b) Out-migrants 2.4 2.8 2.8 4.6
-Net-migrants (a-b) 6.3 9.5 13.1 17.6
-Component of migrants in growth of population (%) 45.1 44.2 40.8 39.8
-Net natural increase 7.7 12.0 18.9 26.7
-Component of natural increase in growth of population (%) 54.9 55.8 59.2 60.2
-Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991and 2001 (Migration Data not available for 2001-11)
 According to Census 2001, the main reasons for migration to Delhi are better employment opportunities
 and shifting of residence (Fig 4.13). Both these factors account for 74.4 % of the total migrants to Delhi
 during the decade 1991-2001 as shown in Fig 4.13 and Table 4.9.
-Table 4.9: Reasons of Migration to Delhi
-Reasons of Migration Migrants (1981-1991) Migrants (1991-2001)
+ [[File:  demographic23.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Total % Total %
-Employment/work 4,96,731 31.3 8,16,174 37.6
-Business 64,678 4.1 11,818 0.5
-Education 36,192 2.3 58,146 2.7
-Marriage 2,47,903 15.6 2,99,856 13.8
-Moved with household 6,58,041 41.5 7,99,231 36.8
-Others 83,947 5.3 1,87,535 8.6
-Total migrants 15,87,492 100.0 21,72,760 100.0
-Source: Census of India 1981, 1991 and 2001
 B. Haryana Sub-region: The share of urban and rural population in Haryana sub-region is 39.4% and
 .6% respectively in 2011. Although growth rate is declining, there is substantial increase in the absolute
 number. The absolute increase in population of the Haryana sub-region in the decade 2001-2011 was
 .5 Lakh, as against 20.43 Lakh in the previous decade.
-Table 4.10: Growth of Population in Haryana Sub-Region (1961-2011)
-Year
+[[File:  demographic24.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Total Rural Urban
-Population
+[[File:  demographic27.PNG||frame|500px]]
-DGR
-(%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-(%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-(%)
-28,93,365 -- 24,32,155 -- 4,61,210 --
-37,98,228 31.3 31,20,856 28.3 6,77,372 46.9
-49,38,541 30.0 37,31,837 19.6 12,06,704 78.1
-66,43,604 34.5 48,08,344 28.9 18,35,260 52.1
-86,87,050 30.8 57,22,372 19.0 29,64,678 61.5
-11037548 27.1 62,82,939 9.8 47,54,609 60.4
-Source: Census of India- 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional)
-Regional Plan 2021
-Figure 4.16: Share of Urban and Rural
-Population in Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011
-Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
-Figure 4.15: Decadal Growth Rate of Population
-in Haryana Sub-Region
-Source: Census of India, 1971- 2011* (Provisional)
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
--71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11
-Decadal Growth rate
-Urban Rural Total (Haryana SR)
-Figure 4.17: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in
-Rajasthan Sub-Region-2011
-Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
-Urban
-.8%
-Rural
-.2%
 The growth rate of Haryana sub-region has declined
 during the last three decades (Table 4.10). During
 -2001 and remained almost constant at 60.4% during
 the last decade 2001-11.
 C. Rajasthan Sub-region- The share of urban and rural population in Rajasthan sub-region is 17.8% and
 .2% respectively. In 2011 (Fig. 4.16), growth of population of Rajasthan Sub-region has been steady,
 ranging between 25 and 30 percent since 1971. However, during the last decade, the growth of population
 declined from 30.3% in 1991-2001 to 22.7% in 2001-11 (Table 4.11).
-Table 4.11: Growth of Population in Rajasthan Sub-region (1961-2011)
-Year
+ [[File:  demographic25.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Total Rural Urban
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-(%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-(%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-(%)
-11,00,372 -- 10,12,480 -- 87,892 --
-14,03,787 27.6 12,76,905 26.1 1,26,882 44.4
-17,71,173 26.2 15,74,972 23.3 1,96,201 54.6
-22,96,580 29.7 19,76,293 25.5 3,20,287 63.2
-29,92,592 30.3 25,57,653 29.4 4,34,939 35.8
-* 36,71,999 22.7 30,17,711 18.0 6,54,288 50.4
-Source: Census of India-1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional)
 The absolute increase of population in the
 Rajasthan Sub-region in the decade 2001-2011
 was 6.8 Lakh, as against 6.9 Lakh in the
 previous decade.
 The growth of urban population however depicts a
 different trend. During the period from 1971 to
 , but declined sharply at 18.0 % during the last
 decade 2001-11 (Fig. 4.17).
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
--71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11
-Decedal Growth Rate
-Urban Rural Total (Rajasthan SR)
 Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 29
-Figure 4.19: Decadal Growth Rate of Population in
+ [[File:  demographic34.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region-2011
-Source: Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
-Figure 4.18: Share of Urban and Rural
+ [[File:  demographic33.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region-
-Source- Census of India, 2011* (Provisional)
+C.	Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region
-Urban
-.3%
-Rural
-.7%
-D. Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region
 The share of urban and rural population in Uttar Pradesh sub-region is 48.3 % and 51.7% respectively in 2011 and
 the decadal growth rate increased from 22.20% in 1961-71 to 29.2 % in 1981-1991 (Table 4.12).
-Table 4.12: Growth of Population in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region (1961-2011)
-Year
-Total Rural Urban
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-(%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-(%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-(%)
-44,50,172 -- 36,71,496 -- 7,78,676 --
-54,4p0,296 22.2 43,51,826 18.5 10,88,470 39.8
-69,68,646 28.1 50,19,579 15.3 19,49,067 79.1
-90,01,704 29.2 58,84,092 17.2 31,17,612 60.0
-1,15,70,117 28.5 69,55,440 18.2 46,14,677 48.0
-1,45,84,234 26.1 75,37,517 8.4 70,46,483 52.7
-Source: Census of India 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional)
 Thereafter it marginally declined to 28.5% during
 -2001 and further declined to 26.1% during 2001-
 .1 Lakh, as against 25.7 Lakh in the previous
 decade.
 The growth of urban population was very high at
 .1% during 1971-1981 but it declined to 60% during
 .2% during 1991-2001 to 8.4% during 2001-2011
 (Fig. 4.19).
 .2.3 Sex Ratio
 Sex Ratio in NCR is 869 females per 1000 males (2011), which is much below the national average of
 . In 2011, at sub-regional level sex-ratio is lowest in NCT-Delhi at 866 followed by Haryana subregion
 the region but still below the national average. The lower sex ratio may be attributed to in migration of
 male population to the region.
 In urban area of NCR the sex ratio is 870, which is higher than the rural area. However at sub-regional
 level the urban sex ratio is the lowest in Haryana Sub-region having 866, closely followed by NCT-Delhi
 Haryana and UP sub-regions it is 873 and 879 respectively. Mewat is the only district in NCR where sexratio
 is 906, while in all other districts it is below 900.
-.0%
-.0%
+ [[File:  demographic28.PNG||frame|500px]]
-.0%
+ )
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
-.0%
--71 1971-81 1981-91 1991-01 2001-11
-Decedal Growth Rate
-Urban Rural Total (Uttar pradesh SR)
-Regional Plan 2021
 .3 Population Projections for 2021
 A comparative analysis of the Census 2011* population figures with the proposed population in notified
 RP-2021 was done to review the trends of population growth in NCR. The analysis indicates that the
 .7 % of the urban population of NCR and the remaining urban settlements/ towns only contribute the
 remaining 7.3% in 2011.
-Table 4.13: Actual & Proposed Population 2011 for NCT-Delhi, Metro & Regional Centres and NCR
-Name of Town
+ [[File:  demographic35.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Population(in
-Lakh)
-Decadal
-Growth
-Rate 2001-
-(%)
-Proposed
-Pop. 2011
-(R.P.
-)
-Census Population
-as % of Proposed
-Population in
-, as in R.P-
-2011* 2021
-NCT-Delhi 138.50 167.53 21.0 193.00 86.8
-Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR
-Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 28.8 2.00 85.0
-Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex 10.56 14.05 33.0 16.00 87.8
-Gurgaon-Manesar complex 2.29 9.02 293.9 4.50 200.4
-Ghaziabad-Loni complex 10.89 21.48 97.2 19.00 113.1
-NOIDA 3.05 6.42 110.5 6.00 107.0
-Sonepat-Kundli complex 2.34 3.07 31.2 3.50 87.7
-Sub-total 30.45 55.74 83.1 51.00 109.3
-Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR
-Panipat 3.54 4.42 24.9 5.00 88.4
-Rohtak 2.94 3.73 26.9 4.20 88.8
-Palwal 1.00 1.31 31.0 1.70 77.1
-Rewari 1.31 1.43 9.2 2.00 71.5
-Meerut 11.62 14.25 22.6 15.00 95.0
-Hapur-Pilkhua complex 2.79 3.58 28.3 3.00 119.3
-Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 260.0 7.00 15.4
-Bulandshahr-Khurja complex 2.74 3.78 38.0 3.70 102.2
-Baghpat-Baraut complex 1.22 1.46 19.7 1.60 91.3
-Alwar 2.66 3.41 28.2 3.40 100.3
-Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 208.8 1.00 105.0
-SNB-complex 0.36 4.30 1094.4 1.00 430.0
-Sub-total 30.82 43.80 42.1 48.60 90.1
-Population of 18 metros & RCs excluding NCT 61.27 99.54 62.5 99.60 99.9
-Total (NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs) 199.77 266.95 33.6 292.60 91.2
-Remaining Urban Towns ( < 1 Lakh pop) 9.43 20.93 122.0 - -
-NCR Urban population 209.20 287.88 37.6 - -
-NCR Rural population 161.80 172.58 6.7 - -
-Total NCR population 371.00 460.46 24.1 486.19 94.7
-Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR
 Note: Population of cities with more than 1 Lakh population is available from Census of India for 2011. Population for cities less than 1 Lakh
 population have been projected based on urban growth rate in the respective Districts.
 The analysis also reveals that the census population varies from the proposed population of 2011 (RP-
 ) in the range of 85% to 113% for CNCR towns except in Gurgaon (Table 4.13). In Gurgaon the
 Census population figures for Manesar, Shahjanpur and Neemrana towns for the year 2011 are still
 awaited.
 Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 31
-Figure 4.22: Revised Population Projections for
-NCR -2021
+ [[File:  demographic38.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional)
-1991 2001 2011 2021
-Population ( in Lakhs)
-NCR ( population as per R.P-2021) NCR ( Revised Pop Projection)
-Revised
-population
-for 2021
-Proposed
-Population as
-per RP-2021
-actual census
-population in
 The scenario for Metro and Regional Centres, excluding NCT-Delhi, within CNCR and outside CNCR differs
 slightly. Metro and Regional Centres within CNCR grew to 55.74 Lakh as per Census 2011, which is 109.3%
 at a slower rate than anticipated. Figure 4.20 and 4.21 given below depict growth trends of population in
 NCR and NCT-Delhi.
-Figure 4.20: Growth of Population in NCR
-(1981-2011)
+ [[File:  demographic36.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Figure 4.21: Growth of Population in NCT-Delhi
-(1981-2011)
-1991 2001 2011 2011 (as
-per R.P)
-NCT-Delhi Pop 62,20,406 94,20,644 1,38,50,507 1,67,53,235 1,93,00,000
-NCT-Delhi -DGR 51.45% 47.02% 20.96% 39.35%
-,00,000
-,00,00,000
-,50,00,000
-,00,00,000
-,50,00,000
-Population of NCT
-Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional) Source: Census of India, 1981- 2011* (Provisional)
 The population projections of 617.25 Lakh for the year 2021 were finalized by the Study Group and
 subsequent discussions with the participating states
 U.P. sub-region. The proposed population is in the
 range of ±2.5% (Table 4.14).
 1991 2001 2011 2011 (as
 per R.P)
 ,00,00,000
 Population of NCR
 Box 4.4
 Earlier population projections in the Regional
 given in the range of ±2.5% also.
 Regional Plan 2021
-Table 4.14: Projected Population for NCR-2021 (In Lakh)
-S. No Name of Town Sub-
+ [[File:  demographic41.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Region Pop-2011 * Proposed
-Pop -2021
-Proposed Population
-Range – 2021
-(±2.5%)
-NCT-Delhi NCT-Delhi 167.53 202.60 197.54 – 207.67
-METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES WITHIN CNCR
-Bahadurgarh Haryana 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08
-Faridabad-Ballabhgarh complex** Haryana 14.05 25.00 24.38 – 25.63
-Gurgaon-Manesar complex Haryana 9.02 21.00 20.48 – 21.53
-Ghaziabad-Loni complex U.P 21.48 30.19 40.85 – 42.95
-Noida U.P 6.42 17.40 16.97 – 17.84
-Sonepat-Kundli complex** Haryana 3.07 10.00 9.75 – 10.25
-Sub- Total 55.74 106.59 103.93 – 109.25
-METRO AND REGIONAL CENTRES OUTSIDE CNCR
-Panipat** Haryana 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18
-Rohtak** Haryana 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83
-Palwal** Haryana 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10
-Rewari ** Haryana 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10
-Meerut- Daurala U.P 14.25 26.5 25.84 – 27.16
-Hapur-Pilkhua U.P 3.58 7.5 7.31 – 7.69
-Greater Noida U.P 1.08 12.00 11.70 – 12.30
-Bulandshahr-Khurja complex U.P 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92
-Baghpat-Baraut U.P 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08
-Alwar Rajasthan 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48
-Greater Bhiwadi Rajasthan 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29
-SNB complex Rajasthan 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48
-Sub- Total 43.68 95.23 92.85 – 97.61
-NCT+ 18 Metro & RCs 266.95 404.46 394.35 – 414.57
-Remaining Urban Towns (< 1 Lakh Pop.) 20.93 48.10 46.90 – 49.30
-NCR Urban population 287.88 452.56 441.25 – 463.87
-NCR Rural population 172.58 164.70 160.58 – 168.82
-NCR 460.46 617.26 601.83 – 632.69
-Source: Census of India- 2011* (Provisional) and Regional Plan-2021 of NCR
 **Note: These Metro/Regional centres could not attain proposed population of Regional Plan-2021 because some large infrastructure projects
 such as RRTS, Metro Rail, Western/ Eastern Peripheral Expressway, etc. are still in the process of implementation. As such, proposed population
 for these towns in the Regional Plan-2021 has been retained.
 The Sub-Region wise break-up of proposed urban & rural population is given in Table 4.15.
-Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 33
-Table 4.15: Sub-Region Wise Projected Urban and Rural Population (In Lakh)
+ [[File:  demographic42.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Sl.
-No. Sub-regions Pop- 2011* Proposed Pop- 2021 Proposed
-DGR 2011-21 (%)
-Population range
-(± 2.5%)
-I Delhi 167.53 202.64 21.0 197.57 – 207.71
-II Haryana-U 47.55 106.48 123.9 103.82 – 109.15
-Haryana-R 62.83 61.80 -1.6 60.26 – 63.35
-Haryana 110.38 168.28 52.5 164.08 – 172.49
-III Raj-U 6.54 20.04 206.4 19.54 – 20.54
-Raj-R 30.18 26.83 -11.1 24.43 – 24.16
-Raj 36.72 46.87 27.6 45.70 – 48.04
-IV UP-U 70.46 123.39 75.1 120.31 – 126.47
-UP-R 75.38 76.07 0.9 74.17 – 77.97
-UP 145.84 199.46 36.8 194.47 – 204.44
-V Urban 287.89 452.55 57.2 441.24 – 463.87
-Rural 172.58 164.70 -4.6 160.58 – 168.81
-NCR 460.47 617.25 34.0 601.82 – 632.68
-Source- Census 2011* (Provisional) and analysis by NCRPB
 .3.1 Policy Issues
 The review of the Regional Plan-2021 as well as the results of the Census 2011 reveals that the actual
 population in 2011 is 94.7% of the proposed population as per Regional Plan-2021. The proposed
 therefore should be on developing the Metro and Regional centres outside CNCR by providing fast and
 efficient connectivity, boost to economic activities and development of infrastructure.
 .4 SETTLEMENT PATTERN
 .4.1 Urban Settlements
 Number of urban settlements in the region has increased from 94 in 1981 to 108 in 2001. Composition of
 urban centres included 17 UA/Class-I cities, 9 Class-II towns, 27 Class-III, 38 Class-IV, 15 Class-V and 2
 the remaining 7.3% is distributed in 88 towns of Class-II to Class-VI size. The details of urban
 settlements below 1 lakh population as per Census 2011 are awaited.
-Table 4.16: Urban Settlements in NCR (2001)
-Urban Settlement/
-Sub Region Class -I (1 Lakh plus)
-Class-II
-(50,000-
-,999)
-Class-III
-(20,000-
-,999)
-Class-IV
-(10,000-
-,999)
-Class-V
-(5,000-
-,999)
-Class-VI
-(Below
-,000)
-Total
-Year 2001 2011* 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001
-Haryana 8 8 0 7 13 6 1 35
-Rajasthan 1 2 0 4 3 1 0 9
-Uttar Pradesh 7 9 9 16 22 8 1 63
-NCT-Delhi 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
-NCR 17 20 9 27 38 15 2 108
-Source: Census of India 2001, 2011 (Provisional)
 * Note: For Census 2011 only the population for cities with more than 1 Lakh is available. The analysis/picture of settlement pattern will change
 after the census data on all urban settlements in NCR is made available for 2011.
 Regional Plan 2021
 There are 35 urban settlements in Haryana Sub-region, 9 in Rajasthan
 Sub-region and 63 in Uttar Pradesh Sub-region. Outside NCT-Delhi,
 is awaited.) The number of metropolitan cities (more than 10 Lakh) in
 the region increased from three cities in 2001 to four cities in 2011.
 .4.2 Rural Settlements
 According to the Census 2001, there were 7,528 rural settlements of various
 sizes in the National Capital Region. Of these, 158 were in NCT of Delhi,
 population to total population has however declined. It was 44% in 2001 which has gone down to 37.5% in
 . Census data for Rural Settlements for 2011 is awaited.
 .4.3 Proposed Hierarchy of Settlements
 Regional Plan-2021 proposed a six-tier settlement system i.e., Metro Centre, Regional Centres, Subregional
 Centres, Service Centres, Central Village and Basic Villages. The same settlement pattern is
 proposed to be continued and is represented in Table 4.17.
-Table 4.17: Proposed Six-Tier Hierarchy of Settlements
-S. No. Hierarchical Level Population Range
+ [[File:  demographic45.PNG||frame|500px]]
-. Metro Centre 10 Lakh and above
-. Regional Centre 3 to 10 Lakh
+A.	Metro Centre
-. Sub-regional Centre 0.5 to 3 Lakh
-. Service Centre 10,000 to 50,000
-. Central Village 5,000 to 10,000
-. Basic Village Below 5,000
-A. Metro Centre
 As per the Census 2011, in NCR outside Delhi already three towns/complexes namely Ghaziabad-Loni complex,
 Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex and Meerut have crossed the one million population mark. Additionally, the
 participating States have planned urban centres with million plus population in their respective sub-regions.
 Towns envisaged/planned with million plus population by 2021 are listed in Table 4.18.
-Table 4.18: Proposed Metro Centres -2021 (Population in Lakh)
-S. No City/Complex
+ [[File:  demographic46.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Population (in Lakh) Proposed
-Pop-2021
-Proposed
-Population Range -
-2011* 2021
-Faridabad-Ballabgarh 10.56 14.05 25.00 24.38 - 25.63
-Gurgaon-Manesar 2.28 9.02 21.00 20.48 - 21.53
-Ghaziabad-Loni 10.89 21.48 30.19 29.44 - 30.94
-NOIDA 3.05 6.42 17.40 16.97 - 17.84
-Sonepat-Kundli 2.25 3.07 10.00 9.75 - 10.25
-Greater Noida 0.30 1.08 12.00 11.70 - 12.30
-Meerut 11.62 14.24 26.50 25.84 - 27.16
-Total 41.04 69.37 142.09 138.54 - 145.6
-Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional)
 Note - UP Sub-regional Plan -2021 has proposed a new township YEIDA under the provision of para 4.3.5 (I) of the RP-2021 as a Green Field
 Township.
 These settlements can, however, act as powerful growth nodes to attract capital functions and activities
 and help in population dispersal from the national Capital. Given their special functional status and size, a
 as anticipated in the
 Regional Plan 2021.
 Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 35
 high level of physical, social and economic infrastructure better than that in the Capital is required to be
 developed in these towns/complexes. This would include efficient intra-urban mass transportation system
 investment and creation of conducive living and working environment. The Regional Centres proposed in
 the Plan are as under (Table 4.19).
-Table 4.19: Proposed Regional Centres-2021 (in Lakh)
-S. No City/Complex
+ [[File:  demographic47.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Population (in Lakh)
-Proposed pop-2021 Proposed Population
-2011* Range – 2021
-Bahadurgarh 1.32 1.70 3.00 2.93 – 3.08
-Panipat 3.54 4.42 7.00 6.83 – 7.18
-Rohtak 2.94 3.73 7.64 7.45 – 7.83
-Palwal 1.00 1.31 4.00 3.90 – 4.10
-Rewari 1.31 1.43 4.00 3.90 – 4.10
-Hapur-Pilkhua 2.79 3.58 7.50 7.31 – 7.69
-Bulandshahr-Khurja 2.74 3.78 4.80 4.68 – 4.92
-Baghpat-Baraut 1.22 1.46 3.00 2.93 – 3.08
-Alwar 2.66 3.41 5.35 5.22 – 5.48
-Greater Bhiwadi 0.34 1.05 8.09 7.89 – 8.29
-SNB Complex 2.32 4.30 5.35 5.22 – 5.48
-Total 20.22 30.17 59.73 58.24 – 61.22
-Source: Census of India 2001, 2011* (Provisional)
 There are 6 Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR, whereas there are 12 Metro and Regional centres
 outside CNCR (Map 4.4) which are as follows:
 Sl. Metro and Regional Centres in CNCR Sl. No Metro and Regional Centres outside CNCR ( within NCR)
 . Bahadurgarh 1. Panipat
 detail.
 Regional Plan 2021
 C. Sub-Regional Centre
 The Sub-regional Centre shall generally be medium sized towns or intermediate city performing a variety
 common sanitary facilities as well as the minimum required social infrastructure as per planning
 norms.
 .4.4 Strategies for Development of Settlement System
 Strategies for the development of settlement system would be to harness the growth impulses of Delhi
 and adjoining towns and to integrate the urban and rural settlements in the region. This could be attained
 by developing balanced settlement structure and mutually reinforcing system of urban and rural centres.
 Strategies to achieve these objectives would be as under:
 A. Development of a well-knit regional settlement system wherein Delhi and other towns in the region
 would be allowed to grow as per their carrying capacity so as to harness the development potential
 within the broad frame of the Regional Plan.
 B. In order to make a significant impact of the large growing centres to act as catalyst for development
 in the National Capital Region, it is proposed to identify new ‘Metro Centres/ Regional Centres/
 proposed expressways, orbital rail corridors and other suitable locations either on virgin land or as
 extension of existing settlement.
 C. Development of small and medium towns in the region as Sub-regional centres or service centres.
 These towns would play an important role in supporting the socio-economic development in their
 rural hinterland by providing access to education and health facilities, agricultural extension services
 and agro-based industries depending on local resources.
 D. Rural development would be encouraged by providing facilities and services in appropriate hierarchy
 of service centres, to help stimulate production and increase the income of the rural population. This
 will help facilitate diversification of the economy.
-Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 37
-Regional Plan 2021
-MAP 4.4
-Demographic Profile and Settlement Pattern 39
+ [[File:  demographic49.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Annexure 4/I: Growth of Population in four Mega Cities in India (1951-2011)
-City/Year
+[[File:  demographic50.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Greater Mumbai UA Kolkata UA Chennai UA NCT-Delhi
-Population
+[[File:  demographic51.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Decadal
-Growth
+[[File:  demographic52.PNG||frame|500px]]
-Rate (%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-Rate (%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-Rate (%)
-Population
-Decadal
-Growth
-Rate (%)
-,951 29,66,902 -- 46,69,559 -- 15,42,333 -- 17,44,072 --
-,961 41,52,056 40.0 59,83,669 28.1 19,44,502 26.08 26,58,612 52.4
-,971 59,70,575 43.8 74,20,300 24.0 31,69,930 63.02 40,65,698 52.9
-,981 82,43,405 38.1 91,94,018 23.9 42,89,347 35.31 62,20,406 53.0
-,991 1,25,96,243 52.8 1,10,21,918 19.9 54,21,985 26.41 94,20,644 51.5
-,001 1,63,68,084 29.9 1,32,16,546 19.9 65,60,242 20.99 1,38,50,50 47.0
-,011 1,84,14,288 12.5 1,41,42,536 7.0 86,96,010 32.56 1,67,53,23 21.0
-Source: Census of India 1951, 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011* (Provisional)
-Annexure 4/II: District wise level of Urbanization in NCR (2011)
-Sl. No District/ Sub-Region Total Population Urban Level of Urbanisation (%)
-NCT-Delhi 1,67,53,235 1,63,33,916 97.5
-Haryana- Sub-region
-Panipat 12,02,811 5,52,945 46.0
-Sonepat 14,80,080 4,51,687 30.5
-Rohtak 10,58,683 4,44,819 42.0
-Jhajjar 9,56,907 2,42,974 25.4
-Rewari 8,96,129 2,31,411 25.8
-Gurgaon 15,14,085 10,42,000 68.8
-Mewat 10,89,406 1,24,017 11.4
-Faridabad 17,98,954 14,29,093 79.4
-Palwal 10,40,493 2,35,663 22.6
-Total 1,10,37,548 47,54,609 43.1
-Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region
-Meerut 34,47,405 17,62,573 51.1
-Baghpat 13,02,156 2,74,135 21.1
-Ghaziabad
-,61,452 31,44,574 67.5
-Hapur
-Gautam Budh Nagar 16,74,714 9,97,410 59.6
-Bulandshahr 34,98,507 8,67,791 24.8
-Total 1,45,84,234 70,46,483 48.3
-Rajasthan Sub-Region
-Alwar 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8
-Total 36,71,999 6,54,288 17.8
-Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional)
-Regional Plan 2021
-Annexure 4/III: Sub-Region wise Area and Density of Population in NCR (2011)
-Sl. No District Area ( Sq. Km) Pop - 2011 Density (Person/ Sq.km)
-NCT Delhi
-NCT- Delhi 1,483 1,67,53,235 11297
-Haryana- Sub-region
-Panipat 1,268 12,02,811 949
-Sonepat 2,122 14,80,080 697
-Rohtak 1,745 10,58,683 607
-Jhajjar 1834 9,56,907 522
-Rewari 1594 8,96,129 562
-Gurgaon 1254 15,14,085 1207
-Mewat 1500 10,89,406 726
-Faridabad 743 17,98,954 2421
-Palwal 1,368 10,40,493 761
-Total 13,428 1,10,37,548 822
-Uttar Pradesh Sub-Region
-Meerut 2,601 34,47,405 1325
-Baghpat 1,307 13,02,156 986
-Ghaziabad
-46,61,452 2330
-Hapur
-Gautam Budh Nagar 1,411 16,74,714 1187
-Bulandshahr 3532 34,98,507 991
-Total 10,852 1,45,84,234 1344
-Rajasthan Sub-Region
-Alwar 8380 36,71,999 438
-Total 8380 36,71,999 438
-Source: Census of India - 2011* (Provisional), Statistical Abstract of Haryana
-Annexure 4/ IV: Migrants to NCT-Delhi by Place of Last Residence
-Place of last
-residence
--81 1981-91 1991-01
-No. of migrants % No. of migrants % No. of migrants %
-Uttar Pradesh 616021 50.1 765151 48.3 889857 40.0
-Haryana 159028 12.9 182507 11.5 174889 7.9
-Bihar 70904 5.8 169445 10.7 424093 19.1
-Uttaranchal - - - - 113519 5.1
-Rajasthan 93836 7.6 95198 6.0 90317 4.1
-Punjab 78671 6.4 83684 5.3 47984 2.2
-West Bengal 33154 2.7 43096 2.7 86249 3.9
-Madhya Pradesh 37709 3.1 41815 2.6 40442 1.8
-Others 140422 11.4 110727 7.0 354691 16.0
-Total 1229745 100.0 1585770 100.0 2222041 100.0
-Source: Census of India - 1971, 1981, 1991& 2001
-Figure 5.1: Share of NCR’s GDP to India’s GDP
-Source: CSO (National Account Statistics); Economic Survey of Delhi, 2012-13;
-Department of Economic and Statistical Analysis, Haryana; Directorate of
-Economics and Statistics, Rajasthan; updes.up.nic.in
-.0%
-.2%
-.4%
-.6%
-.8%
-.0%
-.2%
--05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
-Fig 5.1: Share of NCR GDP to India’s GDP